Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie

Gameweek 9 Transfers.

1141517192026

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,305 ✭✭✭✭Mr.Prodston


    manual_man wrote: »
    This game would send ya over the edge... But feck it look here pal you're doin great and in a great position to kick on. I hereby promise to warn ye off it if I sense another RVP-Nolan bout of madness comin on :D Or just take a moment yourself, look at the Mick tea gif, and....... Go make yourself a cuppa

    A cuppa solves most things :)

    Ah no I'm over it really. I just enjoy complaining which may have become noticeable over the past 2 years :pac:

    I would appreciate a Mick gif every so often though :D I was just so sure I'd wildcard the following week. Anyway I'm still in shock that I'm doing so well. I mean 6k and the WC still in my pocket regardless of some defensive frailties I wouldn't believe anyone if they said this is where I'd be going into GW9


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,293 ✭✭✭✭Mint Sauce


    G1032 wrote: »
    The thing that immediately hit me was that you have too much spent on goalies.......
    I wouldn't do the proposed changes either. Ramsey and Chadli just not good enough replacements.....(Ramsey in current form that is)

    5.0 and 4.5 on Goalies, too much?

    Would have thought a fit Ramsey would be one to have, any other suggestions instead of Chadli staying in budget?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,354 ✭✭✭G1032


    Mint Sauce wrote: »
    5.0 and 4.5 on Goalies, too much?

    Would have thought a fit Ramsey would be one to have, any other suggestions instead of Chadli staying in budget?

    Well it's 0.5m too much on goalies. You can have a 4.0 on the bench instead of a 4.5

    I'd hold off on Ramsey for now. Too many other good options at the moment. When he finds a bit of form he'll be the man to have alright


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,536 ✭✭✭joe123


    This has been the toughest week to know what to do. There has been some great reading over the last few days on here though. The Baines v midfielder posts really made me think.



    Current Team: 5.6 mill in the bank

    Krul/Mcarthy----

    Azpil ---Duff--Wilson--Clyne--Wisdom
    ADM--Sterling--Siggy--Downing--Fabs--
    Costa----Welbeck---Naismith

    Azpil ---> Baines
    Naimsith ----> Aguero
    Sterling ---> Chaldi
    Downing ---> Boyd/Obertan

    This would be an 8 pt hit as I have two FT. Really need some advice :(


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,256 ✭✭✭✭Lemlin


    iroced wrote: »
    Great post Lemlin.

    Looking at the table you posted this looks like the perfect plan. On paper... Have to say I've been burnt by the rotation route several times (with the away CS smiling on my bench...) but in reality it's the only route really.

    Only thing is Arsenal are in very poor form at the moment. Only 1 CS. And they don't inspire confidence at the back. Chambers is cheap but he could be a real not such good idea. I'd have a lot more confidence in Spurs and Kaboul. Spurs rotate well with palace (34 games) and Chelsea (30 games) so maybe one of these rotation, albeit more expensive, would prove worthier.

    Cheers. Kaboul is my definite for this week once he comes through Europa League unscathed. I can reassess the Chambers situation but my thinking is Arsenal have to tighten up at some point.

    Re Chelsea, to get Azpi I'd have to drop Naylor and I was planning to hold onto him. That'd also leave me with Kaboul, Azpi and 3 4.0 mil cheapies which is one too many long term IMO. I'd have no cash in the bank either.

    As for Palace, I have no faith in Warnock as a manager. Will keep an eye on them but he's the main issue I have.


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,514 ✭✭✭Shedite27


    G1032 wrote: »
    Take three very popular premium midfielders, Silva, YaYa, Fabregas and their scores over the last 4 years.
    Silva (151, 147, 184, 144) -> average of 156.5 points
    YaYa (241, 142, 139, 146) -> average of 167 points
    Fabregas last 4 PL seasons (205, 108, 214, 128) -> 163.75 points

    and then look at Baines (169, 177, 134, 178) -> average 164.5.
    I had a think about this post over the past few days, trying to weigh up whether to go for Baines or not.

    In my opinion, to make this a fair comparison, you have to take away the CS points to weigh it up (as you can get the same CS points by selecting Jags at 5.5m. When you do that, Baines' points are 117, 133, and 98 (average of 116). That's what you're getting for the extra 1.6m. That puts him in the category of more mid-priced mids (Nolan, Carzola from last season).

    So by my logic (which people are free to disagree with, they're getting a mid-priced mid (116pts) for 7.1m, which is about right. For a mid who'll score 116 this season you'll probably pay more than 7.1, but less than 8 anyway. IMO, yes, he's value, but he doesn't equate to a premium midfielder


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 784 ✭✭✭FrClintPower


    Shedite27 wrote: »
    I had a think about this post over the past few days, trying to weigh up whether to go for Baines or not.

    In my opinion, to make this a fair comparison, you have to take away the CS points to weigh it up (as you can get the same CS points by selecting Jags at 5.5m. When you do that, Baines' points are 117, 133, and 98 (average of 116). That's what you're getting for the extra 1.6m. That puts him in the category of more mid-priced mids (Nolan, Carzola from last season).

    So by my logic (which people are free to disagree with, they're getting a mid-priced mid (116pts) for 7.1m, which is about right. For a mid who'll score 116 this season you'll probably pay more than 7.1, but less than 8 anyway. IMO, yes, he's value, but he doesn't equate to a premium midfielder

    But surely it's about the points overall though? For the price of a mid-priced midfielder like Nolan you're getting Nolan's points + Jagielka's clean sheets points, which sounds like value to me.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,514 ✭✭✭Shedite27


    But surely it's about the points overall though? For the price of a mid-priced midfielder like Nolan you're getting Nolan's points + Jagielka's clean sheets points, which sounds like value to me.
    You need to take away the appearance points from those, so it's a lot less when you do that.

    I'm not saying it's not value, but the post I replied to suggested you're getting a 10m player for 7.1, whereas it's really about an 8m player for 7.1


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,354 ✭✭✭G1032


    But surely it's about the points overall though? For the price of a mid-priced midfielder like Nolan you're getting Nolan's points + Jagielka's clean sheets points, which sounds like value to me.

    Ya. I'd also be looking at the points overall.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,262 ✭✭✭iroced


    Lemlin wrote: »
    Cheers. Kaboul is my definite for this week once he comes through Europa League unscathed. I can reassess the Chambers situation but my thinking is Arsenal have to tighten up at some point.

    Yeah. makes me regret my early a tad knee-jerked Sterling -> Chadli transfer. Was debating Ivanovic -> Kaboul. Ah well I had to make the move to be able to get Pellè in for Ulloa. Didn't have time to weigh up all my options.
    Lemlin wrote: »
    Re Chelsea, to get Azpi I'd have to drop Naylor and I was planning to hold onto him. That'd also leave me with Kaboul, Azpi and 3 4.0 mil cheapies which is one too many long term IMO. I'd have no cash in the bank either.

    Yeah. Considering their respective fixtures (*) I understand your point of view.

    (*) Next 10 games for
    • Swansea
    Lei (h), Eve (a), Ars (h), MC (a), CP (h), QPR (h), WH (a), Tot (h), Hul (a), AV (h)
    • Chelsea
    MU (a), QPR (h), Liv (a), WBA (h), Sun (a), Tot (H), New (a), Hul (h), Sto (a), WH (H)

    Much of a muchness overall. So the extra £1.6m for upgrading Taylor to Azpi does not seem that essential.
    Lemlin wrote: »
    As for Palace, I have no faith in Warnock as a manager. Will keep an eye on them but he's the main issue I have.

    Thanks for this (precious) info. Being French, that's the kind of information I have very little clue about.


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,274 ✭✭✭✭FHFC


    Shedite27 wrote: »
    I had a think about this post over the past few days, trying to weigh up whether to go for Baines or not.

    In my opinion, to make this a fair comparison, you have to take away the CS points to weigh it up (as you can get the same CS points by selecting Jags at 5.5m. When you do that, Baines' points are 117, 133, and 98 (average of 116). That's what you're getting for the extra 1.6m. That puts him in the category of more mid-priced mids (Nolan, Carzola from last season).

    So by my logic (which people are free to disagree with, they're getting a mid-priced mid (116pts) for 7.1m, which is about right. For a mid who'll score 116 this season you'll probably pay more than 7.1, but less than 8 anyway. IMO, yes, he's value, but he doesn't equate to a premium midfielder

    That's it! As I've been pulling around my team trying to fit Baines in I've known on a gut level that despite G1032's post it didn't seem sensible to drop ADM, Fab etc to get him.

    I read back the post earlier to try and find a flaw, but I think you have it.

    You don't even have to use Jag as the counter argument, I'd say if you deducted the clean sheet points you'd get from a good 5 or even 4.5 defender it would reduce the value.

    Another way to look at it is the total cost of the two players.

    Baines + 7.0m mid = 14m
    5m def + 9m mid = 14m

    Probably could expect to score around the same.

    Think I'd still prefer the second one.

    I am now back off the Baines bus.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,305 ✭✭✭✭Mr.Prodston


    Aaron Cresswell and Carl Jenkinson at 5.4 and 5.0 respectively from West Ham are worth monitoring I think from next week on. Could be a nice alternative to Baines. A shame Cresswell was over priced by .5 from the start. Both got assists at the weekend.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,747 ✭✭✭Ziegler1988


    Baines is a great player once you have high team value, but he tends to throw off the balance before that. If Costa is out, he's straight in my team. But he would also be sacrificed once I want that premium striker slot back.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,747 ✭✭✭Ziegler1988


    Aaron Cresswell and Carl Jenkinson at 5.4 and 5.0 respectively from West Ham are worth monitoring I think from next week on. Could be a nice alternative to Baines. A shame Cresswell was over priced by .5 from the start. Both got assists at the weekend.

    Tomkins at 5.0m has great stats for touches inside the box. He was my differential until not making the squad against Burnley :rolleyes:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,305 ✭✭✭✭Mr.Prodston


    Tomkins at 5.0m has great stats for touches inside the box. He was my differential until not making the squad against Burnley :rolleyes:

    I had him for a while last season when James Collins decided he'd be superman for the same few weeks so have a bit of an irrational thing with him.

    Cresswell had a great assists record last season for Ipswich I believe although I'm sure he had set-pieces there too. Now that he's settling in and has that first assist he might kick on....or I'm applying wishful thinking. I think Allardyce will tighten things up a little and there's handy fixtures which could warrant a WHam defender


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,747 ✭✭✭Ziegler1988


    I think Allardyce will tighten things up a little and there's handy fixtures which could warrant a WHam defender

    That was my thinking. Decent rotation with Chambers as well; now to hope that Tomkins doesn't lose value (if I keep him).


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 784 ✭✭✭FrClintPower


    Shedite27 wrote: »
    You need to take away the appearance points from those, so it's a lot less when you do that.

    I'm not saying it's not value, but the post I replied to suggested you're getting a 10m player for 7.1, whereas it's really about an 8m player for 7.1

    Of course, there's only one set of appearance points allowed! But he's still Nolan + some (10+?) clean sheets, so worth more than Nolan alone.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,514 ✭✭✭Shedite27


    FHFC wrote: »
    I read back the post earlier to try and find a flaw, but I think you have it.

    You don't even have to use Jag as the counter argument, I'd say if you deducted the clean sheet points you'd get from a good 5 or even 4.5 defender it would reduce the value.

    Another way to look at it is the total cost of the two players.

    Baines + 7.0m mid = 14m
    5m def + 9m mid = 14m

    Probably could expect to score around the same.
    Yeah that's my point a bit better illustrated. You need to look at 2 players to evaluate it fairly.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,029 ✭✭✭✭Ace2007


    Baines is a great player once you have high team value, but he tends to throw off the balance before that. If Costa is out, he's straight in my team. But he would also be sacrificed once I want that premium striker slot back.

    Depending on what formation you are playing you can have 2 premium strikers with say welbeck and brains and play 433 so sacrifice say siggy


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24 It Balanced!


    Ace2007 wrote: »
    Depending on what formation you are playing you can have 2 premium strikers with say welbeck and brains and play 433 so sacrifice say siggy

    Really tempted to drop Siggy and Vardy for Obertan (or whoever) and Welbeck!

    Sterling - Tadic - ADM - Fabregas

    Costa-Aguero-Welbeck


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,267 ✭✭✭✭manual_man


    Shedite27 wrote: »
    I had a think about this post over the past few days, trying to weigh up whether to go for Baines or not.

    In my opinion, to make this a fair comparison, you have to take away the CS points to weigh it up (as you can get the same CS points by selecting Jags at 5.5m. When you do that, Baines' points are 117, 133, and 98 (average of 116). That's what you're getting for the extra 1.6m. That puts him in the category of more mid-priced mids (Nolan, Carzola from last season).

    So by my logic (which people are free to disagree with, they're getting a mid-priced mid (116pts) for 7.1m, which is about right. For a mid who'll score 116 this season you'll probably pay more than 7.1, but less than 8 anyway. IMO, yes, he's value, but he doesn't equate to a premium midfielder

    I'm sorry but that makes no sense whatsoever. Total points is the only relevant thing when doing a points comparison. Unless your trying to say that Everton won't get a single clean sheet for the remainder of the season, which let's face it isn't going to happen.

    Let's simplify things: Finding a player in ANY position for close to 7M that goes on to score 150+ points is going to represent good value. Baines, based on his very high consistent scoring for a number of seasons, and the great current form he is showing, would look to be a very good bet. There's simply no getting away from that.

    Deducting points which have been earned just doesn't count :P


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,022 ✭✭✭✭Iused2likebusts


    Mint Sauce wrote: »
    Thoughts please...

    Guzan---Speroni
    Ivanovic---Wisdom---Clyne---Williams---Duff
    Sterling---Di María---Fábregas---Schneiderlin---Sigurdsson
    Welbeck---Naismith---Diego Costa

    to

    Guzan---Speroni
    Ivanovic---Wisdom---Clyne---Williams---Duff
    Chadli---Di María---Ramsey---Schneiderlin---Sigurdsson
    Agüero---Naismith---Diego Costa

    4pt hit, 0.5 left in bank.

    could you do ivan to chambers or hutton, a premium mid to chadli and naismith to aguero. Id be inclined to keep wellbeck.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,022 ✭✭✭✭Iused2likebusts


    I really want hazard and sanchez in my team for gw 10 home to qpr and burnley respectively. Now to figure out a way of doing it.
    I was all on for baines but the way Im looking at it is baines moore or azpil kaboul. Azpil Kaboul for me.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,514 ✭✭✭Shedite27


    manual_man wrote: »
    I'm sorry but that makes no sense whatsoever. Total points is the only relevant thing when doing a points comparison. Unless your trying to say that Everton won't get a single clean sheet for the remainder of the season, which let's face it isn't going to happen.

    Let's simplify things: Finding a player in ANY position for close to 7M that goes on to score 150+ points is going to represent good value. Baines, based on his very high consistent scoring for a number of seasons, and the great current form he is showing, would look to be a very good bet. There's simply no getting away from that.

    Deducting points which have been earned just doesn't count :P
    FHFC illustrates it better above. Each to their own, but in a "moneyball" economic appraoch, I don't think Baines warrants the price. There'll be a few weeks he will be a nice differential, but over a 38 week season, I don't agree.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,088 ✭✭✭Nib


    First hit of the season just taken.

    Baines and Tadic in for Azpilicueta and Sterling. This is my fourth year playing FPL and it's my first time owning Baines.

    Don't let me down sonny..


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 48,463 ✭✭✭✭km79


    mourinho just said he does not expect Costa to be fit for Sunday.......


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,288 ✭✭✭✭kippy


    Shedite27 wrote: »
    I had a think about this post over the past few days, trying to weigh up whether to go for Baines or not.

    In my opinion, to make this a fair comparison, you have to take away the CS points to weigh it up (as you can get the same CS points by selecting Jags at 5.5m. When you do that, Baines' points are 117, 133, and 98 (average of 116). That's what you're getting for the extra 1.6m. That puts him in the category of more mid-priced mids (Nolan, Carzola from last season).

    So by my logic (which people are free to disagree with, they're getting a mid-priced mid (116pts) for 7.1m, which is about right. For a mid who'll score 116 this season you'll probably pay more than 7.1, but less than 8 anyway. IMO, yes, he's value, but he doesn't equate to a premium midfielder
    The problem with any of these debates is that they don't reflect what is required to do well in the game.
    The game is about trying to spot a player coming into form before anyone else, then spotting when they are about to go out of form as early as possible. Moving that player out then getting in a decent replacement. This could be based on blind luck, analysis of up coming fixtures etc.....
    Of course there are a few "key players" that you need to keep in the team but outside of that is in my opinion where the overall points are won and lost.

    You only need to see how this plays out if you were to look at the top 11 highest points scoring players in the FPL and add up their points, then realise that if you had just those players for the season, you'd be a long way off the top score. Why - because spotting those "form" players and getting rid of those who are not performing is the differential.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,262 ✭✭✭iroced


    Re the to Baines or not to Baines debate.

    The question you need to ask yourself is which option you'd prefer between the price-equivalent following 2:
    FHFC wrote: »
    Baines + 7.0m mid = 14m
    5m def + 9m mid = 14m
    If the 5m def is Kaboul it looks like much of a muchness for the month to come.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,268 ✭✭✭IsMiseMyself


    km79 wrote: »
    mourinho just said he does not expect Costa to be fit for Sunday.......

    Mourinho better be playing mind games cos I already made my transfers. :pac::o


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 48,463 ✭✭✭✭km79


    Mourinho better be playing mind games cos I already made my transfers. :pac::o

    I'm just going to have to suck up the price rises I think.
    Too many permutations with Costa and adm both doubts !
    aguero is coming in though......falcao may get a stay of execution yet!


Advertisement