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Malaysia Airlines flight MH370-Updates and Discussion

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Comments

  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,066 ✭✭✭✭Happyman42


    Have the Guardian quit their live blog...can't find it, for an update on today's search, which I presume has been fruitless?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,009 ✭✭✭sopretty


    Happyman42 wrote: »
    Have the Guardian quit their live blog...can't find it, for an update on today's search, which I presume has been fruitless?

    No significant updates that I've seen today. Just the Chinese sightings of possible debris being investigated, some updates on the planes/ships being deployed to the area and a rumour of a further sighting of possible debris 550km (or miles?) away from other sightings, coming from French satellites.
    Aussie pilot (very young guy!) is the only one I've seen giving any thing resembling an update today.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,204 ✭✭✭Zcott


    Happyman42 wrote: »
    Have the Guardian quit their live blog...can't find it, for an update on today's search, which I presume has been fruitless?

    I think it's 'on pause'.

    http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/mar/22/mh370-search-continues-as-australian-pm-vows-to-find-wreckage--live-updates?view=desktop#block-532e703ee4b0356d1758428f


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 18,066 ✭✭✭✭Happyman42


    Zcott wrote: »

    Many thanks...found it quite handy and reliable. Will make sure to bookmark it now!


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 8,156 ✭✭✭Iwannahurl


    MALAYSIA’S continuing refusal to share the cargo manifest for Flight MH370 with an Australian-led search and rescue operation will hamper the effort to find the missing aircraft, an aviation expert says.

    Strategic Aviation Solutions chairman Neil Hansford said it also suggests Malaysian authorities are not being fully transparent about what the Boeing 777-200ER, which disappeared on March 8 an hour into a journey from Kuala Lumpur to Beijing, was carrying.

    “To me, there is no reason why they wouldn’t declare the cargo manifest unless you’ve got something to hide,” he said.

    “There is no reason you wouldn’t have given it to AMSA (the Australian Maritime Safety Authority) on the first day of the search.”

    AMSA has requested a cargo manifest for Flight M370 from Malaysia Airlines.

    The manifest is expected to give the search operation a better idea in identifying objects they spot in the Indian Ocean if they indeed came from the missing plane.

    http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/malaysias-unwillingness-to-release-the-full-cargo-manifest-from-missing-flight-mh370-will-hamper-the-search-effort/story-e6frg6n6-1226863022091


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,188 ✭✭✭wil


    pclancy wrote: »
    Oh Dear. How on earth would they even have 3G or GPRS up there to send a photo in the first place?

    Terrible that this stuff gets past some kind of sanity check before being published.
    4G of course :o
    I'm almost surprised there hasn't been more of this type, people must be too busy coming up with new theories.
    Happyman42 wrote: »
    Have the Guardian quit their live blog...can't find it, for an update on today's search, which I presume has been fruitless?
    Don't know about Guardian. But you could check here..
    Tomorrows search is already starting and todays finished about lunchtime.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 12,069 ✭✭✭✭LordSutch


    sopretty wrote: »
    No significant updates that I've seen today.

    I just learned this evening that the plane dropped to 12000 ft shortly after it turned left.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,705 ✭✭✭Mountainsandh


    so would the subsequent climb be an over reaction from a less experienced pilot ?

    This little video is worth watching, although it's in French :o

    But I'll tell you the gist of it, and the images will do the rest : it's about satellites, and it simply says that stationary satellites, at 36k km are not the most precise, but civil and military orbiting satellites, at 2000 km, are very precise. Civil can identify a suitcase type object, while military can identify down to 10cm objects. So we are mostly shown stationary satellite images, but countries can also discreetly peruse and analyse pics from their military satellites, then pass on more or less anonymously the bits they think might be interesting to the concerned governments/to the public.

    So I would guess for example that the French military satellite whose pics we haven't been shown must have seen pretty definite objects for the Australian to share their optimism.

    The video is here : http://videos.tf1.fr/jt-we/2014/vol-mh370-que-peuvent-vraiment-traquer-les-satellites-8387865.html

    edit : please note, "PUB : 9 seconds" does NOT mean you have to head to the pub in 9 seconds :D

    re edit : watched it again, it also says Europe is participating in the searches with 4 orbiting satellites, these can be programmed 24 hours in advance.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,188 ✭✭✭wil


    ...
    So I would guess for example that the French military satellite whose pics we haven't been shown must have seen pretty definite objects for the Australian to share their optimism.
    ......
    .

    I wondered why we hadn't seen these new images, but it appears they may not be the usual photos per se, and they are from 850 km north of the current search area.

    NST
    While Malaysian authorities initially said the latest data came in the form of images, France's foreign ministry clarified this, saying it came in the form of "satellite-generated radar echoes".
    A radar echo is an electronic signal that contains information about the location and distance of the object which bounces the signal back.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,156 ✭✭✭cuterob


    If they are holding back satellite images you would have to presume that the images are very obviously pieces of an airplane right?.. they just don't want to release them in case of the 0.1% chance that it isn't MH370 and everyone has already assumed it's faith just to turn out it wasn't it and give families more hope again


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,436 ✭✭✭✭Mellor


    spurious wrote: »
    ...who remembered his ex was supposed to have been on that flight. Sure I don't even know what country most of my exes are in, much less what flights they are or are not supposed to be taking.

    An ex that he hasn't spoken to in months. :rolleyes:
    So how exactly did he know she was on that flight. Fake story is terrible.
    We examined the Flight 370 and found that the aircraft is designed with 3-3-3 seating, including screen monitors on the back of every seat. This will lead us to believe that this image is in fact ‘real’. Jake shared with us his Gmail account and even showed us where the email was sent from and that it was sent just off the coast of Malaysia.

    If we lean on this image being the first surfacing from a passenger who boarded Malaysia Airlines Flight 370, when was this taken and why was it taken? Analyzing Jake’s Gmail account, the image was sent to Jake on March 9th, 2014 at 4:35 Pacific time. According to Jake, there is no explanation to why his ex-girlfriend would send him a picture of the flight. “We haven’t talked in a while. The last time we chatted was 5 months ago, besides that, she comments & likes my pictures on Facebook and that’s just it”, Jake says.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,346 ✭✭✭✭homerjay2005


    objects identified and it appears to be significant, ships on route to investigate.

    seems that finally they have found something.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 687 ✭✭✭pfurey101


    objects identified and it appears to be significant, ships on route to investigate.

    seems that finally they have found something.


    Or maybe not :( ??


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 88,968 ✭✭✭✭mike65


    Happyman42 wrote: »
    Have the Guardian quit their live blog...can't find it, for an update on today's search, which I presume has been fruitless?

    http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/mar/24/mh370-chinese-plane-spots-white-objects-live-updates


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,346 ✭✭✭✭homerjay2005


    the most logical explanation here is the one put forward originally by a former BA pilot - cabin decompression, the course was turned before pilots and all passengers then passed out. it continued on its course, ran of fuel and then crashed.

    what doesnt add up however is why the transponder was turned off and why no contact, they surely had 10-15 mins worth of oxygen and if they descended, would have had more.

    is it possible that the captain wanted to commit suicide, but wasnt fully willing to experience the crash, so decompressed the plane to knock everybody out, turned off the coms so the plane wouldnt be tracked and then passed out?

    thats the only plausible thing i can see here, UNLESS some of the reports about turning, acars/transponder turned off are untrue.
    pfurey101 wrote: »
    Or maybe not :( ??

    ????

    Sky reporting that the pilots normally come off the flights and give a statement, but this morning they didnt. a few minutes later, a phone call was made to the Malaysian PM by Australian PM.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,080 ✭✭✭✭Maximus Alexander


    is it possible that the captain wanted to commit suicide, but wasnt fully willing to experience the crash, so decompressed the plane to knock everybody out, turned off the coms so the plane wouldnt be tracked and then passed out?

    If this were the case, what would be the point in trying to 'hide' the plane? If the aircraft was decompressed and everyone was unconscious, tracking the plane would not make any difference - there's nothing that could be done to save the flight.

    I think it's pretty unfair to be directing (theoretical) blame towards the captain at this point, when we have no clue what actually happened.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,436 ✭✭✭✭Mellor


    Sky reporting that the pilots normally come off the flights and give a statement, but this morning they didnt. a few minutes later, a phone call was made to the Malaysian PM by Australian PM.
    Malay transport minister confirmed it on the news there.


    Tony Abbot (Oz PM) said this;
    'The crew on board the Orion reported seeing two objects, the first a grey or green circular object and the second an orange rectangular object,' he told parliament on Monday evening.

    The HMAS Success is in the area and attempting to recover the objects.

    They are different to the pieces spotted by a Chinese plane earlier in the day.

    Mr Abbott said a US Navy Poseidon, a second Royal Australian Orion and a Japanese Orion are also en route to the search area.

    'I caution again ... that we don't know whether any of these objects are from MH370, they could be flotsom,' he told parliament.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,567 ✭✭✭Red Pepper


    the most logical explanation here is the one put forward originally by a former BA pilot - cabin decompression, the course was turned before pilots and all passengers then passed out. it continued on its course, ran of fuel and then crashed.

    what doesnt add up however is why the transponder was turned off and why no contact, they surely had 10-15 mins worth of oxygen and if they descended, would have had more.


    Could an electronics problem have disabled the transponder too?


  • Moderators, Motoring & Transport Moderators Posts: 10,120 Mod ✭✭✭✭Tenger


    Red Pepper wrote: »
    Could an electronics problem have disabled the transponder too?
    Quite possible. An early theory was that a electrical fire caused the comms blackout and that the crew were overcome by either fumes or subsequent decompression as they dealt with the fire and tried to divert.


    An Egyptair B77 was ruined 18-24 months ago by an electrical fire below the cockpit which burned a hole in the fuselage. This happened on the ground but a similar inflight fire could cause smoke, fumes and decompression. Flight deck smoke hoods are designed to be used in both smoke and decompression.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,567 ✭✭✭Red Pepper


    Tenger wrote: »
    Quite possible. An early theory was that a electrical fire caused the comms blackout and that the crew were overcome by either fumes or subsequent decompression as they dealt with the fire and tried to divert.


    An Egyptair B77 was ruined 18-24 months ago by an electrical fire below the cockpit which burned a hole in the fuselage. This happened on the ground but a similar inflight fire could cause smoke, fumes and decompression. Flight deck smoke hoods are designed to be used in both smoke and decompression.

    Ok then that's what happened in my opinion - Plane starts off normal, incident on board wipes out communications over Gulf of Thailand. Pilots descend and turn back for KLIA. Crew passes out. Plane continues on autopilot until it runs out of fuel and crashes in Southern Indian Ocean. No foul play involved.

    Big question is, would the plane "mechanics" still be capable of flying on autopilot until the fuel ran out despite the other communications issues. If the debris is confirmed, then apparently yes (imo).


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,497 ✭✭✭Tea 1000


    How many communication systems are on board? The main radio (excuse the blunt terminology!) that they use to communicate normally to ATC, is there a back-up radio in case that fails or is there a seperate captain and FO radio on seperate switches for failure redundancy? And isn't there the text based system or is that defunct now?
    I'd assume they're not on the same circuit.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,346 ✭✭✭✭homerjay2005


    how on earth would a plane with a fire, continue to fly for 6-7 hours?


    there was 21 minutes between one event and the next - turning off transponder and Acars.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,567 ✭✭✭Red Pepper


    how on earth would a plane with a fire, continue to fly for 6-7 hours?

    there was 21 minutes between one event and the next - turning off transponder and Acars.

    who said there was a fire?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,816 ✭✭✭ProfessorPlum


    how on earth would a plane with a fire, continue to fly for 6-7 hours?


    there was 21 minutes between one event and the next - turning off transponder and Acars.

    Who said there was 21 minutes between turning off ACARS and transponder? The only reliable time fix was for the loss of transponder data - the ACARS could have been lost anytime between the last transmission and the next scheduled one, 30 minutes later.

    To answer another question, there would usually be 3 VHF radios, two HF radios and 2 SATCOM channels.
    The ACARS transmits via either the VHF or SATCOM.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,497 ✭✭✭Tea 1000


    Who said there was 21 minutes between turning off ACARS and transponder? The only reliable time fix was for the loss of transponder data - the ACARS could have been lost anytime between the last transmission and the next scheduled one, 30 minutes later.

    To answer another question, there would usually be 3 VHF radios, two HF radios and 2 SATCOM channels.
    The ACARS transmits via either the VHF or SATCOM.
    OK, so ACARS would possibly be on the same circuit as one of the radios?
    It's just hard to imagine why there was no communication attempt, what could take out many systems and yet leave enough in place for the pilots to be able to head to new waypoints (assuming it was done to land somewhere because of the assumed emergency situation), and be able to adjust flight level to the 12,000 feet that seems to be what the plane was at at some point.


    http://www.thestar.com.my/News/Nation/2014/03/23/MAS-plane-ducks-nepal/

    Don't know if that story was posted here or not, but in that particular incident, the pilots seemed to have a fairly lax attitude to reporting problems to ATC. It might raise questions for Malaysia Airlines practices and pilot training, I assume from IATA or some similar body? Or is there such a procedure for airlines if there is a questionable action following an incident?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,854 ✭✭✭lintdrummer


    Tea 1000 wrote: »
    OK, so ACARS would possibly be on the same circuit as one of the radios?
    It's just hard to imagine why there was no communication attempt, what could take out many systems and yet leave enough in place for the pilots to be able to head to new waypoints (assuming it was done to land somewhere because of the assumed emergency situation), and be able to adjust flight level to the 12,000 feet that seems to be what the plane was at at some point.

    I don't think 'same circuit' is the right way to think of it, they would possibly share an antenna but they are separate units. Losing ACARS would not automatically mean loss of VHF communications if that's what you are implying.

    There are so many variables here that it's impossible to say what happened until we have facts and evidence.

    Speculation is pointless but for arguments sake let me propose that it's entirely possible the pilots were concentrating solely on the fault at hand before quickly becoming disorientated and perhaps incapacitated before getting an opportunity to use the radios.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,657 ✭✭✭brandon_flowers


    I assume what they have found in the Indian Ocean to be parts of MH370 as I fully believe it is in the water and not landed in someones back yard being painted in the new Air Al-Qaeda livery.

    http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2014/03/17/world/asia/search-for-flight-370.html?ref=world&_r=0

    Using the above timeline how plausible is this scenario? Given that I am not fully aware of what does and doesn't run on a UPS system in an aircraft.

    Pilots get a fire warning in the cockpit at 1.20
    Go through checklists for fire which involves pulling circuit breakers including those running transponders/comms
    Input new waypoints to return to KUL (assuming nav is running on a UPS)
    Pilots try to communicate but systems are off due to pulling circuit breakers
    Fire damage causes decompression during or just before descent
    Fire runs out of fuel (tyres, cables or whatever could have burning)
    Autopilot continues to fly for another 7 hours until engine fuel is gone (no idea if autopilot also runs on a UPS)

    I guess one piece of info that would be very nice to have is what was the altitude was between Malacca Straits and the Southern Indian Ocean.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 943 ✭✭✭SNAKEDOC


    I still cant fathom that they think the crew and possibly all on board were incapicated yet the plane continued flying for several hours making course changes. I think its completly mad. Something happened onboard but i dont think it was anything innocent or accidental.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 150 ✭✭Bill G


    Tea 1000 wrote: »

    http://www.thestar.com.my/News/Nation/2014/03/23/MAS-plane-ducks-nepal/

    Don't know if that story was posted here or not, but in that particular incident, the pilots seemed to have a fairly lax attitude to reporting problems to ATC. It might raise questions for Malaysia Airlines practices and pilot training, I assume from IATA or some similar body? Or is there such a procedure for airlines if there is a questionable action following an incident?

    Since it was the landing light and not the windscreen that hit (as was broken) by the birds, the pilot probably didn't even know they had hit anything.


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