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seklly · 20-09-2013 8:48pm

OK so I'm 50 bets in and we're just over the month mark so time for some analysis!

Bets 50
Wins 23
Loses 27

Odds Range Odds<2 2<=Odds<=3 3<Odds
Win 12 10 1
Loss 7 8 12
Total 19 18 13

Av Stake €29.47 €23.61 €9.92
Av Odds 1.81 2.42 25.25
Expected B/E Strike Rate 55.30% 41.38% 3.96%
Actual Strike Rate 63.16% 55.56% 7.69%

Total Staked €1,114.00
Total Returned €1,300.72
Profit €186.72 + €100 (Bonus)
ROI 16.76%

Bet Type Number Wins Losses
Single 34 20 14
Double 6 1 5
Treble 4 1 3
4-fold 2 1 1
5-fold 1 0 1
6-fold 2 0 2
9-fold 1 0 1

So it looks like the singles are the most successful bet type. Although a few of those multiples were close to coming off but as they say there's always one that lets you down!

Happy with being in profit but would like to improve the strike rate and ROI.

seklly · 21-09-2013 11:38am

Over 2.5 Goals looks good in the Norwich v Villa match today. It has come in 5 times in Norwich's last 6 home premiership games and in the last 13 of Villa's away premiership games. Both sides should think they have a chance so don't expect to see them playing negatively as they should both be pushing for the win.

€30 Over 2.5 Goals @ 9/10
L -€30

Current Bank: €506.72

seklly · 21-09-2013 11:52am

I'm also putting my 3 fantasy football strikers into an anytime scorer bet, all 3 in good form and capable of getting on the scoresheet today.

€20 Outlay - €5 Benteke/Sturridge/Giroud Anytime Scorer Trixie @ 7/5, 10/11, 10/11
L -€20

Current Bank: €486.72

seklly · 22-09-2013 12:19am

Both bets above lose, Benteke going off injured early didn't help either bet, not a great week in the fantasy football either!!

Looking forward to tonight's UFC card although don't see anything too interesting bets wise. Think I'll put on a speculative one and sit back and enjoy it.

In the final 2 fights I thing the favourites are rightly favourites. Think Jones will probably win but putting a double on the outsiders, they've both got good knockout power and will likely try to keep it standing and connect with a big shot.

€5 Wineland/Gustafsson Double @ 35/1
L -€5

Current Bank: €481.72

seklly · 24-09-2013 7:39pm

Man City making a few changes tonight in the Capital One Cup but still have a strong team out and should cover the handicap with some of the second string looking to impress.

€30 Man City -1 @ 4/6
W +€20

Current Bank: €451.72

seklly · 24-09-2013 10:11pm

Easy 5-0 win for City, Jovetic impressed with a hat-trick.

Current Bank: €501.72

seklly · 25-09-2013 6:52pm

Capital One Cup again tonight, Suarez returns for Liverpool and will be chomping at the bit!

€20 Suarez Anytime Goalscorer @ 6/4
L -€20

€5 All 5 Away teams Win 5-fold @ ~88/1
L -€5

Current Balance: €476.72

seklly · 26-09-2013 7:23pm

Inter to beat Fiorentina tonight, they've both started the season well but Inter have an impressive head to head record and I fancy them to win this at home.

€33 Inter Win @ 10/11
W +€30

Current Bank: €443.72

seklly · 26-09-2013 9:53pm

They did it the hard way going 1-0 down but pulled it out of the bag!

Current Bank: €506.72

seklly · 28-09-2013 11:16am

One for tomorrow in the Reims v Monaco match, from the tips thread.

€40 Monaco Win @ 8/11
L -€40

Current Bank: €466.72

seklly · 30-09-2013 7:43pm

Everton to cover the corner handicap today. Everton's average margin for last season and this season at home is 3.8 and Newcastle's for the same period away is -3.

€40 Everton -3 Corners @ 20/21
L -€40

Current Bank: €426.72

seklly · 01-10-2013 7:30pm

Speculative one tonight in the CL.

€10 Arsenal/Basel/Athletico/Chelsea 4-fold @ ~28/1
L -€10 (3/4 win)

Current Bank: €416.72

seklly · 02-10-2013 7:30pm

Another speculative one tonight in the CL.

€16.72 Man Utd/PSG/Real -2/City v Munich BTTS 4-fold @ ~15/1
L -€16.72 (3/4 win)

Current Bank: €400.00

seklly · 03-10-2013 11:28am

Another close night, Man Utd the only team to let me down and they were winning with 14 minutes to go!!

Current Bank: €400.00

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