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UFC/MMA Gambling. **NO AFTER-TIMING**

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Comments

  • #542
    Mr. Manager
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,139 ✭✭✭✭Mr. Manager


    Scar Tissue wrote: »
    Think Roy is 6/5 on PP for the KO, have a bit of that! :p

    For a slight difference in price I'd take Big Country to finish in round 1 @3.3 instead of the KO/TKO @2.4


  • #543
    Mr. Manager
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,139 ✭✭✭✭Mr. Manager


    What's the verdict on FOTN? PP has marked Sonnen/Jones as the favourite @4.0

    Some decent value to me in Caraway/Bedford @26.0 and more appealing, Miller/Healy @7.0


  • #544
    mailburner
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,121 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    Cereal Rapist wrote: »
    For a slight difference in price I'd take Big Country to finish in round 1 @3.3 instead of the KO/TKO @2.4

    Good thinking there
    I think by midway through the second round nelson will start gassing
    so it wont be too hard for kongo to avoid a ko
    Cereal Rapist wrote: »
    What's the verdict on FOTN? PP has marked Sonnen/Jones as the favourite @4.0

    Some decent value to me in Caraway/Bedford @26.0 and more appealing, Miller/Healy @7.0

    agree with you here
    cant have jones/chael at 3s, i dont see an exciting fight here
    bisb/belch a possiblity but short enough at 10/3 and although bisbing
    get the job done, he's rarely in exciting fights imo
    easy to rule out davis/magal and for me nelson/kongo also
    miller/healy is big in comparison and that would be my pick
    great odds on that I think


  • #545
    Mr. Manager
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,139 ✭✭✭✭Mr. Manager


    mailburner wrote: »
    agree with you here
    cant have jones/chael at 3s, i dont see an exciting fight here
    bisb/belch a possiblity but short enough at 10/3 and although bisbing
    get the job done, he's rarely in exciting fights imo
    easy to rule out davis/magal and for me nelson/kongo also
    miller/healy is big in comparison and that would be my pick
    great odds on that I think

    As much as I like Bisping, he's not exciting to watch. Same with Davis. He's about as fun as AIDS.

    Will stick something on FOTN but just not Sonnen/JJ.


  • #546
    broders3
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 85 ✭✭broders3


    I went with Miller/Healy for FON @ 6/1 on Paddy Power.

    I threw a couple of euro on Gilliante to beat St Preux @13/8 which I thought was generous odds.

    Also Jones to win by KO is 6/4, but he is also 6/4 to win by submission. For my money he is an absolute certainty to win by one of those means. So by putting equal amounts of money on both outcomes you come out on top.
    I just put a fiver on each method, both of which pay back 12.50, so you get both your stakes back plus 2.50 in my case.

    What ye think?


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  • #547
    Scar Tissue
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,391 ✭✭✭Scar Tissue


    broders3 wrote: »
    Also Jones to win by KO is 6/4, but he is also 6/4 to win by submission. For my money he is an absolute certainty to win by one of those means. So by putting equal amounts of money on both outcomes you come out on top.
    I just put a fiver on each method, both of which pay back 12.50, so you get both your stakes back plus 2.50 in my case.

    What ye think?

    Likely? Very

    Certainty? Never.


  • #548
    broders3
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 85 ✭✭broders3


    Very true. Best laid plans and all that.

    It would be on a level of GSP getting KO'd by Serra if Sonnen gets the win.


  • #549
    Mr. Manager
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,139 ✭✭✭✭Mr. Manager


    3 bets for tonight.

    €15 FOTN Miller/Healy
    €35 accum Jones, Nelson, Miller, Khabilov
    €50 Jones by TKO/KO


  • #550
    Mellor
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,829 ✭✭✭✭Mellor


    Khabilov win, Bisping by Dec and Nelson TKO.
    All singles


  • #551
    Mr. Manager
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,139 ✭✭✭✭Mr. Manager


    Mellor wrote: »
    Khabilov win, Bisping by Dec and Nelson TKO.
    All singles

    Was just talking about these picks with Bohsman, agree with each pick except Bisping. I think he'll finish.


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  • #552
    Steve O
    Closed Accounts Posts: 595 ✭✭✭Steve O


    Jones has excellent takedown defence and would be a much stronger candidate to Anderson, Sonnen has no chance. I really don't know why people are saying bisping will beat belcher, belcher has serious power in his punches and bisping doesn't have a great chin.

    Excellent card all over.


  • #553
    Mr. Manager
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,139 ✭✭✭✭Mr. Manager


    Steve O wrote: »
    Jones has excellent takedown defence and would be a much stronger candidate to Anderson, Sonnen has no chance. I really don't know why people are saying bisping will beat belcher, belcher has serious power in his punches and bisping doesn't have a great chin.

    Excellent card all over.

    As was already said about Bispings chin.

    http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showpost.php?p=84335084&postcount=23


  • #554
    Steve O
    Closed Accounts Posts: 595 ✭✭✭Steve O


    Cereal Rapist wrote: »
    As was already said about Bispings chin.

    http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showpost.php?p=84335084&postcount=23

    We'll see. :)


  • #555
    SevereMMA
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 435 ✭✭SevereMMA


    I got Sheila Gaff at 5/1 to win, mad odds


  • #556
    mailburner
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,121 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    really think davis will win on points
    price is 10/11
    more i look at it the more I cant see past it
    davis wont sub vinnie and vinnie wont sub davis imo
    davis too good a wrestler anyway
    davis wouldn't ko the cat and vinnie definitely wont be
    koing davis when much better fighters have failed
    it's 8/13 that this fight goes the distance
    i'd have it a lot shorter
    If i could afford to I would have a huge bet on this

    I do think this will be one of the most boring fights of the year

    my main bet is bisb pts so dont want to invest anymore
    as im not loaded so went with miller pts also in a double



    UFC Matches Jim Miller v Pat Healy
    28-04-2013 03:00
    Method of Victory
    Jim Miller on Points @ 10/11
    UFC Matches Phil Davis v Vinicius Magalhaes
    28-04-2013 03:00
    Method of Victory
    Phil Davis on Points @ 10/11


  • #557
    The Clown Man
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,305 ✭✭✭The Clown Man


    I'd be tempted to stick a bet on Kongo. Don't think that fight is straightforward at all. Kongo could beat Roy standing as I think he has slightly more technical striking. But while Kongo can fold, Roy certainly won't. And I don't know if Roy will look to take this down to the mat. Kongo has every chance to catch him clean and if he does Roy will go down.

    Having said all that, Roy's overhand right could stop a train if he can connect


  • #558
    Mr. Manager
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,139 ✭✭✭✭Mr. Manager


    Pretty sure Kongo isn't going to be putting Nelson to sleep. The dude has been KO'd once and fought some of the hardest hitters out there.

    He went 15 minutes with JDS..


  • #559
    MrStuffins
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,588 ✭✭✭✭MrStuffins


    Cereal Rapist wrote: »
    Pretty sure Kongo isn't going to be putting Nelson to sleep. The dude has been KO'd once and fought some of the hardest hitters out there.

    He went 15 minutes with JDS..

    Not only that but JDS beat the sh*t out of him. Anyone else taking those shots would've crumbled after 1.


  • #560
    mailburner
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,121 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    It would be easier to knock out a horse than nelson

    kongo can win this on points alright but any other way? No way


  • #561
    Ray Mond
    Closed Accounts Posts: 536 ✭✭✭Ray Mond


    Jones by KO, nelson by KO , bisping on points got 13/1


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  • #562
    mailburner
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,121 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    Ray Mond wrote: »
    Jones by KO, nelson by KO , bisping on points got 13/1

    well worth a stab at those odd I think
    nearly a point and a half shorter on pp for that


  • #563
    Mellor
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,829 ✭✭✭✭Mellor


    Cereal Rapist wrote: »
    Was just talking about these picks with Bohsman, agree with each pick except Bisping. I think he'll finish.

    Here's the decider :)


    Heavyweight
    Roy Nelson ​vs. ​Cheick Kongo
    Roy has a solid chin, incredible KO power and a really underutilised BJJ game. He repeatedly walks through attacks lands the big right hands. A part of me would love to see his ground game on show a bit more. A lot of people aren’t aware of his BJJ credentials and it would one a great wtf moment if he took him down mounted him and slapped on a gogoplata. It this is a bad match up for Kongo. He beats lower tier fighters by grinding out decisions. But Nelson isn’t going to settle into that sort of pace. He’ll be looking to close fast. So much so that I think both Nelson in rd 1 @ 23/10 and Nelson by TKO @ 7/5 both represent value.
    Nelson by TKO in Rd1
    Roy delivered in spades


  • #564
    Mr. Manager
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,139 ✭✭✭✭Mr. Manager


    Mellor wrote: »
    Here's the decider :)

    GLGL.

    Miller fūcked mine up. Would have been practically free rolling. Jones was the last piece of the puzzle.


  • #565
    Scar Tissue
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,391 ✭✭✭Scar Tissue


    Mellor wrote: »
    Here's the decider :)

    Where was that quote posted originally Mellor?


  • #566
    Mr. Manager
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,139 ✭✭✭✭Mr. Manager


    Scar Tissue wrote: »
    Where was that quote posted originally Mellor?

    IPB, as far as I know.


  • #567
    Mellor
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,829 ✭✭✭✭Mellor


    Scar Tissue wrote: »
    Where was that quote posted originally Mellor?
    Originally from a piece I wrote from a betting website. But cross posted on IPB too. So far it's going alright. Predicted Miller to but said to avoid the bet as he could gas and open in the third.

    http://www.sportsbettingonline.net/sbo-weekly/ufc-159-betting-picks-jones-vs-sonnen/


  • #568
    Mellor
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,829 ✭✭✭✭Mellor


    Cereal Rapist wrote: »
    GLGL.

    Miller fūcked mine up. Would have been practically free rolling. Jones was the last piece of the puzzle.

    Free rolling myself at the min.
    Staked $300 and €320
    So far I've returned $400 and €384
    Little or large profit is riding on Bisping. €352 back if he wins by decision.

    Half a round left I have him up by two.


  • #569
    Mr. Manager
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,139 ✭✭✭✭Mr. Manager


    Uh oh


  • #570
    Mellor
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,829 ✭✭✭✭Mellor


    ****. What's happens here.
    Technical decision I think


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  • #571
    Mr. Manager
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,139 ✭✭✭✭Mr. Manager


    Yea think so. Hope PP pay out on that.


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