Cheltenham preview nights

Another Report CVB http://http://www.betsmarttrading.com/forum/horse-racing/18955--cheltenham-festival-2012-bets-thread-?limit=15&start=195

Friend was at preview last night,


Below is what I took away from the Chelts Preview Night in Westmanstown last night. I am sure that I missed a few things or whatever, but it’s a start. I will get some more notes off a few lads that were there and see is there anything else to add in later. All were unanimous on Hurricane Fly / Quevega / Sprinter Sacre / Big Bucks winning at the festival. I understand that picking the big dogs to win each race is predictable and safe, but they are very high on all of the above, and avoiding individual mistakes, they will all win.

Boston Bob and Nobel Prince (BG’s pick of the Festival) were also held in very high regard.

Paul Nicholls and Willie Mullins were brought in by conference call, they didn’t give away too much, but Mullins picked out Sweet My Lord as his e/w punt of the festival in the Pertemps, and Nicholls outlined that he thought Zarkander was a very good e/w punt.

DR = Davy Russell
RW = Ruby Walsh
BG = Barry Geraghty
PP = Paddy Power
CM = Colm Murphy
DMcC = Don McClean
JH = Jessica Harraington

Tuesday 13th

13.30 Supreme Novices Hurdle

RW - Darlan
JH - Steps to Freedom (very high on this horse)
BG - Darlan
DMcC - Steps to Freedom

14.05 Arkle

BG - Sprinter Sacre (thinks the horse is top class and won't be beaten)
RW - Thinks Al Ferof must improve to beat Sprinter. Go for Al Ferof on PP's Money Back Special
PP - Sprinter Sacre
JH - Sprinter Sacre (BG informs her that this horse may be better than Moscow Flyer)
DR - Peddlers Cross to place
CM - Sprinter Sacre
DMcC - Sprinter Sacre

15.20 Champion Hurdle

RW - Hurricane, no doubts
PP - Hurricane
JH - Oscar Wells to place, Hurricane to romp.
BG - Hurricane (nailed on) / Oscar is value
DR - Hurricane
CM - Binocular to be 2nd, better than people think
DMcC - Hurricane

Wednesday 14th

13.30 National Hunt Chase

RW - Alle Garde on good ground
PP - watch out for who Mullins puts in the race

14.05 Neptune

DMcC - Monksland
PP - Monksland good value
RW - whatever Wille Mullins runs
JH - Simonsig if runs

14.40 RSA Chase

RW - Grand Crus is very beatable and reckons Sir Des Champs has a good chance if runs
BG - Bobs Worth has a big chance (3 for 3 in Chelts)
PP - Bobs Worth
DR - Call the Police has a chance if runs
JH - watch out for W Mullins who he runs
CM - whatever horse D Russell rides (if he rides First Lieutenant in particular)
DMcC - First Lieutenant
*MO'L - e/w bet on First Lieutenant (Michael O’Leary was asked on a radio show for a pick out of his horses)

**I got the feeling from the panel that First Lieutenant will win this race, but that’s just my feeling!

15.20 QM Chase

JH - Sizing Europe (but closer than people think!)
DR - good ground = good for Zeb
PP - Sizing Europe a cert
RW - Sizing hard to beat
DMcC - top 2 will be close
CM - very happy with the way Zeb is going at the minute
BG - Zeb willl be closer than people think to SIzing

Thursday 15th

14.40 Ryanair Chase

JH - Albertas Run / Rubi Light
RW - Albertas Run could surprise everyone and pop up and win, Rubi Light vulnerable on good ground
DMcC - Nobel Prince has a huge chance
DR - Nobel Prince is his bet of the festival - NAP
BG - Respect paid to Somersby
CM - Nobel Prince and Somersby
DMcC - Nobel Prince (but will be competitive)

15.20 World Hurdle

RW - Bucks (w/ Thousand Stars doing well)
BG - Thousand Stars is value, but Bucks will win
PP - Bucks
JH - Bucks
DR - Bucks
CM - Voler la Vadette e/w (he runs in this race defo)
DMcC - Bucks (w/ thousand stars)

17.15 Champion Bumper

**STEER CLEAR OF THIS RACE was the main opinion

PP - Moscow Mannion best of the Irish, but Irish will more than likely not win it
DR - Royal Guardsman
JH - Moscow Mannion (although you should wait till the day of the race and see what the word is)
CM – Nigel Twiston Davies horse, whatever he is called


Friday 16th

13.30 Triumph Hurdle

PP - Alot of money for Ranjann / Shadow Catcher / Balder Success
RW - Ut di Sivola impressive horse, as is Pearl Swan
JH - doesnt know
DR - steer clear of this race!!
BG - Lyvius (if she performs well in Newbury this Friday - watch out for this)
CM - Sadlers Risk
DMcC - Shadow Catcher good value

14.40 Albert Bartlett

DR - Ipsos Du Berle is good horse
BG - Boston Bob / Mount Benbulben
DMcC - Mount Benbulben interesting horse

**Boston Bob got very good backing by RW, no matter what race he is in, he doesn’t think it matters.

15.20 Gold Cup

DR - Long Run is the best horse in the race / Midnight Chase is a good e/w punt
RW - Kauto needs to be at very best to beat Long Run - but he wouldnt back Kauto, nor would he get off him. Long Run should win it
BG - everything is in Long Runs favour
JH - Burton Port e/w
PP - Long Run
DMcC - Wouldnt back Long Run @ 5/2, and believes Weird Al willl push them and good e/w bet



OTHER NOTES

JH - Citizenship e/w whatever race she runs him in is a good bet
Paul Flynn - Moondice doing very well - defo worth an e/w punt

CHARITY BETS of €200 each

DMcC - Nobel Prince with the lot
CM - half on Scotsirish / half on Somersby
BG - Bobs Worth with the lot
DR - Nobel Prince - NAP
JH - the lot on Steps To Freedom
RW - half on Boston Bob (he will win) / half on Ted Spread (County Hurdle)
PP - the lot on Sacre

WILLIE MULLINS

- Quevega and Hurricane in good fettle (will win)
- Midnight Game in the Supreme (likes the hard ground)
- BOSTON BOB is his real hope, he reckons he would be very disapointed is he doesnt win
- Uncle Junior ahead of Scotsirish - both will love ground, but Scots has never won over this trip
- Sir Des Champs is doing everything right, is a course winner, he is gonna be good
- Loving Alle Garde, he will float on that ground.
- Mourad is coming back to himself, defo worth an e/w punt
- Champagne Fever has a huge cruising speed and will do well
- Thousand Stars will run in the Champion Hurdle
- E/W TIP of the FESTIVAL is Sweet My Lord in the Pertemps
- Boston Bob is on track

PAUL NICHOLLS

- Bucks in good form (will win) - Oscar Whiskey is the only danger whatsoever.
- Rock on Ruby is in good form, has a great chance
- Prospect Wells has a good e/w chance
- Crystal Bonus is someone that he is high on, good e/w
- Harry the Viking is 4/4 this year, stays forever, has a good chance
- Join Together is one of his best chances in the festival
- REALLY likes ULK DU LIN in the Fred Winter on the wednesday
- Banker = Bucks
- e/w punt = Zarkander!

Great stuff. One thing id like to know is what Ruby said on Zarkandar. If there is no doubts on HF, and Zarkandars the main danger, makes HF even more of a banker

mdwexford wrote: »

Lol love it

I have already sent it on to about 5 lads who have been telling me constantly he wont get up the hill!

tucker1971 wrote: »

Anyone got any links to last years preview nights and how accurate were the predictions?

If i remember correctly a lot of talk was made about So Young and Call the Police, but both were let downs.

Basically, are the panelists keeping their cards close to their chest, and throwing out a few red herrings here and there?

There is the betfair preview from last year on youtube.

solerina wrote: »

I was at the Waterford preview night last year (going again tonight) and I did quite well from Davy Russells tips, he picked the right Giggenstown winners, he was on the ball anout most other things too....everyone picked Hurrican Fly too (he was 14/1 at the time...), might seem obvious now but Binocular/Pedlars Cross were supposed to be the ones to watch then

Not to be pedantic but HF wasn't 14/1. 4/1 maybe

rag2gar wrote: »

Does anybody know when the one in Kavanaghs in Naas is on? Can't find it on the net

Monday march 5th.

Anyone know if there is any reports floating around the web from the waterford preview night?

Hulk Hands wrote: »

Not to be pedantic but HF wasn't 14/1. 4/1 maybe

well I did him at 14s last year and so did 2 of my mates (maybe not when the preview night was on, we werent sure about that when we discussed it today, but it was about the same time) but we def got that price !!

It sure does.

Went to go to one in kilkenny but there looked to be only about 7-10 people there and didnt go in. Youd have to feel for the lads running it..

No good horses from Kilkenny sure, nuff said

aidankkk wrote: »

only Sea the Stars:)

I'm only messing. Limestone Lad too???

aidankkk wrote: »

Went to go to one in kilkenny but there looked to be only about 7-10 people there and didnt go in. Youd have to feel for the lads running it..

Was this in Langtons?

I heard something about one in there and sent an email to Langtons looking for some info on it as I could not see anything online about it.

They never replied.

ft9 wrote: »

Forgot Red Rum, bred in KK afaik

And Monets Garden!

Anyone at the one in Stillorgan last night?

Nulty wrote: »

I was there. Davy Russel said the Triumph is a ****e race and he has no time for it. Couldn't make out if he just meant this year or not. I think he feels the same about the bumper - not real national hunt races.

Jese he's a real preview night whore this year isnt he. Seems to have been in every single report i've read

Gavin "shels" wrote: »

Anyone going to the one in Cafe En Seine on Thursday? Probably pop along myself since it's free and I'm not in work.

Anyone know what age it is in there? And roughly how much is a pint (supposedly it's a joke)?

It'd generally be 21's and you'd be looking at 5.15 a pint if memory serves me correctly.
Who's lined up to attend as a matter of interest??

Slattsy wrote: »

It'd generally be 21's and you'd be looking at 5.15 a pint if memory serves me correctly.
Who's lined up to attend as a matter of interest??

Prob Davy Russell anyway