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Idiots calls for minimum price for alcohol - Mod Warning Post #1

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Comments

  • Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Politics Moderators Posts: 14,539 Mod ✭✭✭✭johnnyskeleton


    BeerNut wrote: »
    Beer Baron wrote: »
    Surely the default argument is "imagine how much the health service will save by stopping more people drinking".
    To which the response ought to be: imaginings are no fit basis for public policy. Can we have some facts instead, please?

    Or some counter propaganda - any more increases and we shop up north and there's nothing they can do about that.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,218 ✭✭✭bobbysands81


    Or some counter propaganda - any more increases and we shop up north and there's nothing they can do about that.

    Unless there's an All-Ireland alcohol policy in the offing...

    There's HUGE changes coming to off-sales in Ireland folks. Tax on off-sales will go up, minimum pricing to be introduced, no savings for the consumer for making multiple purchases, higher tax for higher % alcohol etc... this and much more is going to happen sooner rather than later.

    By the way... some of this could actuallt be good news for Craft/Premium beers as it might mean less of a price variation.


  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 11,942 Mod ✭✭✭✭BeerNut


    some of this could actuallt be good news for Craft/Premium beers as it might mean less of a price variation.
    Bad news for the consumer, though. Price variation = competition = good.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,131 ✭✭✭subway


    so, letter writing campaign anyone?
    any legal eagles willing to draft something that we can all post to our reps?

    they are more likely to stand against it if they know there are a few people supporting it


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,218 ✭✭✭bobbysands81


    BeerNut wrote: »
    Bad news for the consumer, though. Price variation = competition = good.

    I don't think it's going to bring prices down for craft beers... rather it's going to decrease the price differential as the price of all other beers will rise.

    The price of buying drink from Off-Licences is going to rocket whilst prces in pubs will remain untouched.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,131 ✭✭✭subway


    as long as offers like this continue up north (which they will) there is really no point pushing up the price of low end beers
    http://www.hotukdeals.com/deals/tesco-3-for-20-packs-beer-1037745

    irish off licenses are just about competing on this
    (bud example)
    36 x 300 ml = 10.8lt for 20£ (~24eu) (5%) - 66c per bottle (& stronger abv)
    24 x 300 ml = 7.2lt for 15eu-20eu (4.3%) - 75c-1eu per bottle

    introduce a min charge and you are potentially looking at doubling the price per bottle, driving people north of the border - almost guaranteed. rent a van and split it between 10 people etc.

    while its not explicitly targeting nice beers, multibuy offers could also be in their sights (so 4 for 10eu could be gone) which is a staple in my local offy :)

    finally, the law of unintended consequences is always at play-
    for example, people travel north to buy booze, but buy huge amounts. they drink more at home or never visit the pub due to having a small breweries worth int he garden. pb prices go up or pubs go bust
    or
    people switch to spirits and "home measures", increasing alcohol intake and costing more in the long run


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,218 ✭✭✭bobbysands81


    subway wrote: »
    as long as offers like this continue up north (which they will) there is really no point pushing up the price of low end beers
    http://www.hotukdeals.com/deals/tesco-3-for-20-packs-beer-1037745

    irish off licenses are just about competing on this
    (bud example)
    36 x 300 ml = 10.8lt for 20£ (~24eu) (5%) - 66c per bottle (& stronger abv)
    24 x 300 ml = 7.2lt for 15eu-20eu (4.3%) - 75c-1eu per bottle

    introduce a min charge and you are potentially looking at doubling the price per bottle, driving people north of the border - almost guaranteed. rent a van and split it between 10 people etc.

    while its not explicitly targeting nice beers, multibuy offers could also be in their sights (so 4 for 10eu could be gone) which is a staple in my local offy :)

    finally, the law of unintended consequences is always at play-
    for example, people travel north to buy booze, but buy huge amounts. they drink more at home or never visit the pub due to having a small breweries worth int he garden. pb prices go up or pubs go bust
    or
    people switch to spirits and "home measures", increasing alcohol intake and costing more in the long run

    A few comments...

    An All-Ireland alcohol policy is being discussed by Govt here and in the north(note the articles in today's paper surrounding alcohol abuse in the north). It is generally accepted that the cheap availability and the subsequent abuse of alcohol has a huge detrimental negative effect on people's lives on this island, regardless of their political jurisdiction.

    Tax will not increase on just low end beers, it will increase on ALL alcohol sold from Off-Licences.

    Also, there will be minimum pricing based on the amount of alcohol a product has, the higher the alcohol content the more expensive it will be.

    Multi-buy offers will be a thing of the past. There will be no savings allowed for the consumer for multiple buys. So, for instance, if 1 bottle of beer costs €2:20, 4 bottles of beer CANNOT cost less than €8:80.

    Pub prices won't be hit and they'll be the winners out of these changes, as will home brewing.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,131 ✭✭✭subway


    you've a lot of points in there, first off, while perhaps some common ideal might be agreed, i doubt we will have a cross border taxation and minimum pricing agreement.

    the thread is about minimum pricing, taxation is another kettle of fish

    if minimum pricing will be brought in, (even cross border) the price of a bottle of cheap vodka in NI will still be far below the equivalent in beer bought in ROI (see scottish pricing here http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-15525950)

    i dont see multi buys mentioned anywhere yet, min price could be implemented, but i can still sell 20 bottle for 20eu, whether its 2eu a bottle individually or not, as long as its over the min price per unit

    pubs will only be unaffected if nothing else changes (everything from salaries to consumer expectations to technology etc). and its impossible for anyone to predict that i'm afraid.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,218 ✭✭✭bobbysands81


    subway wrote: »
    you've a lot of points in there, first off, while perhaps some common ideal might be agreed, i doubt we will have a cross border taxation and minimum pricing agreement.

    You're right, it will be hard to ensure consistency across the island on prices/taxation etc... but there's huge problems regarding alcohol abuse in the north as well and there's a temperance element to the DUP that would be rabidly against alcohol.

    subway wrote: »
    if minimum pricing will be brought in, (even cross border) the price of a bottle of cheap vodka in NI will still be far below the equivalent in beer bought in ROI (see scottish pricing here http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-15525950)

    As the level of minimum pricing has not yet been agreed in the north or the Republic then it's impossible to say whether or not alcohol would be more or less expensive in either jurisdiction. Experience tells us that alcohol will remain more expensive in the Republic but if the differential is quite close then it might not be economically viable to drive long distances to purchase your alcohol across the border.
    subway wrote: »
    i dont see multi buys mentioned anywhere yet, min price could be implemented, but i can still sell 20 bottle for 20eu, whether its 2eu a bottle individually or not, as long as its over the min price per unit

    Multi-buys are one of the major changes coming here. They are in addition to minimum pricing. No savings will be possible for the consumer when purchasing more than one bottle/can.
    subway wrote: »
    pubs will only be unaffected if nothing else changes (everything from salaries to consumer expectations to technology etc). and its impossible for anyone to predict that i'm afraid.

    Alocohol served in pubs in done so in (what's seen as) a regulated environment. People (generally) drink in social groups and there is a responsibility on the pub owner/workers to ensure that folk don't get too drunk (obviously this doesn't always happen though).

    Changes are a coming for Off-Sales (higher taxes, minimum pricing, no savings for buying in bulk etc...), none of these will apply to pubs.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,220 ✭✭✭cojomo2


    Is there a date set for drink prices to increase? Has anything actually been confirmed? I was chatting to a publican off grafton street recently and he told me to stock up from my local tesco as prices would be rising sharply in the next few weeks? He said it was 100% confirmed and going ahead. Is this true?

    As others have said, if the same doesn't happen in N.I , floods of people will go there to buy booze, and while there, they will spend in many other areas (especially around the xmas period) which means our economy will be hit even worse with less off a tax take.


  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 11,942 Mod ✭✭✭✭BeerNut


    Nothing officially confirmed, but I have heard that Tesco are already planning the increases.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,220 ✭✭✭cojomo2


    BeerNut wrote: »
    Nothing officially confirmed, but I have heard that Tesco are already planning the increases.

    Both north and south, or just south?

    How soon is this expected to be announced, budget day?

    A question for the brewers here, oce you have the equipment, how much does it cost t produce a pint of o.k beer? How muchoutlay would be needed on basic equipment?


  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 11,942 Mod ✭✭✭✭BeerNut


    Just south, I'm sure. And yes, if it's happening it's likely to be on budget day -- 6th December.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,218 ✭✭✭bobbysands81


    There's a report going to Govt that will deal with all the issues, after that's adopted (if it even is adopted) it will then begin implementation.

    There might be something in the Budget to do with tax/excise but I think the major announcements will be next year.


  • Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Politics Moderators Posts: 14,539 Mod ✭✭✭✭johnnyskeleton


    On frontline a while ago. All the same rubbish arguments


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 139 ✭✭phonejacker


    Wouldn't it be great if we had alcohol as cheap here as it is in Norway. Bring on the price increases.:D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,805 ✭✭✭✭The Hill Billy


    Phonejacker - If you have nothing positive to contribute to the thread do not bother posting. Troll again & your posting privileges may be removed.

    tHB


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