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Budget will be €7billion: Noonan breaks confidentiality on RTE

  • 21-10-2010 09:21AM
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,900 ✭✭✭


    Just on Pat Kenny a few minutes ago Michael Noonan revealed that the Dept of Finance in the meeting he had with them told him that the budget would have to be €7billion in order for them to borrow on the markets next year. This was supposed to be a 'confidential' briefing from the Dept in preparation of the budget. Noonan revealed the true budget figure in the context of saying that the ESRI are arguing for a budget of just €4billion whereas the Dept of Finance told him in the briefing that it will be €7billion.


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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 692 ✭✭✭gleep


    Where in the name of jaysus are they going to find €7Bn:confused::confused::confused::confused::confused::confused:

    Is this one of them moves where they exaggerate and then expect us to be relieved when they "only" cut by €5Bn?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 832 ✭✭✭who what when


    Thats a lot of money to take out of an economy but if they dont have it they cant spend it!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,764 ✭✭✭✭kippy


    gleep wrote: »
    Where in the name of jaysus are they going to find €7Bn:confused::confused::confused::confused::confused::confused:

    Is this one of them moves where they exaggerate and then expect us to be relieved when they "only" cut by €5Bn?

    If it is it means all parties are using spin and bullcrap to keep the electorate in the dark about the real figures.
    Making sure they all get saved.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 774 ✭✭✭lucy2010


    :eek::eek::eek::eek::eek:

    €7bn - where in Gods name will that be cut from ? would love to hear the suggestions.....


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,650 ✭✭✭sensibleken


    If they can find 29 billion for anglo they can find 7 billion. failing that we could sell connacht to someone


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 692 ✭✭✭gleep


    kippy wrote: »
    If it is it means all parties are using spin and bullcrap to keep the electorate in the dark about the real figures.
    Making sure they all get saved.

    Would anyone be surprised?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,226 ✭✭✭✭jmayo


    Shure they can follow the lefts ideas, up corporation tax and tax the rich.
    Problem solved. :rolleyes:

    I am not allowed discuss …



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 18,599 CMod ✭✭✭✭Nody


    lucy2010 wrote: »
    :eek::eek::eek::eek::eek:

    €7bn - where in Gods name will that be cut from ? would love to hear the suggestions.....
    That is only the start; remember that the gap is 20 Billion and that needs to be covered in cuts and/or income increases (read fees & taxes).


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,333 ✭✭✭bad2dabone


    Last one out of the country please switch out the lights


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,911 ✭✭✭✭whatawaster


    It should be

    €2.5bn off the Public Sector Pay Bill – this is a reduction of about 10%, and should be achieved through redundancies and paycuts. (More too come next year)

    €2.5bn off the Welfare bill.
    - Similar to UK – no child benefit if household Income over €50,000
    - Old Age pension – reduce by 5%, no medical card/other benefits to those with Incomes above €50,000
    - Dole – across board cuts of 10%. Sharp reduction in benefits after 6 months and 12 months on dole.
    - Reduction in rent allowances

    The other 2 billion should be generated through things like Water Charges, reductions in capital expenditure


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,075 ✭✭✭fenris


    No it is more likely to be the usual bit of shock and awe

    - 7bn - OMG WTF BBQ
    - 5.5bn - better than 7bn, we don't like it it could be worse

    instead of - 4bn promised
    - 5.5 bn budget - robbing b*stards etc.

    In reality there is no need for such games, it is not as if anybody will react anyway, what would it take to trigger French or Greek style protests in Ireland?
    joining the commonwealth?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,226 ✭✭✭✭jmayo


    If they can find 29 billion for anglo they can find 7 billion. failing that we could sell connacht to someone

    Connacht is not for sale, we shall secede from the disaster that is the Republic of Ireland.
    We shall restore the Republic of Connaught and then we can bring our gas ashore and f*** the rest of ye.
    Also seeing how gold is doing so well we can open up that gold vein under Croak Patrick.

    Oh we shall repatriate all Dubs and you can keep the flynns seen as they have multiple houses in Dublin.

    I am not allowed discuss …



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,806 ✭✭✭Poly


    Well, fair play to Noonan for keeping us informed.

    I'm sure FF will be furious at the leak.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,364 ✭✭✭ei.sdraob


    there is no choice, 7 billion would bring us only to 10% target :eek:
    Note that even if one didn’t factor in negative effects of fiscal adjustments on GDP, then with a Central Bank GDP projection of €162 billion, hitting the original deficit target for 2011 of 10% of GDP would require adjustments of €6.3 billion (162*0.039). Factoring in the contractionary impact of budget cuts on GDP, it would likely take €7 billion in adjustments to get to a 10% target. {in 2011 in next budget}

    here


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,903 ✭✭✭✭Riskymove


    It should be

    €2.5bn off the Public Sector Pay Bill – this is a reduction of about 10%, and should be achieved through redundancies and paycuts. (More too come next year)


    €2.5bn off the PS payroll is a lot more than 10%

    its already down to around €17bn I think

    I would think that the tacking of the HSE would produce significant savings combined with voluntary redeundancy packages and continuing the ISER will se serioud reduction in posts

    I think €2 bn might be achievable but it would require the above along with scrapping of certain quangos and examining pensions
    €2.5bn off the Welfare bill.
    - Similar to UK – no child benefit if household Income over €50,000
    - Old Age pension – reduce by 5%, no medical card/other benefits to those with Incomes above €50,000
    - Dole – across board cuts of 10%. Sharp reduction in benefits after 6 months and 12 months on dole.
    - Reduction in rent allowances

    I'd agree with these, not sure if they come to €2.5bn but certainly thats a reasonable target
    The other 2 billion should be generated through things like Water Charges, reductions in capital expenditure

    I agree but its inevitable that tax changes will occur

    I'd imagine at least €1bn from bringing people into tax net etc


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,124 ✭✭✭Amhran Nua


    Thats a lot of money to take out of an economy but if they dont have it they cant spend it!
    Its not technically being taken out of the economy, since it was taken out in the first place by taxation. Depending on where the cuts will happen this might be good or bad news, at least public sector wages put a portion of that back into the economy. Do the banks even count as part of the productive economy any more?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,903 ✭✭✭✭Riskymove


    Amhran Nua wrote: »
    Its not technically being taken out of the economy, since it was taken out in the first place by taxation.

    well firstly a lot of it is borrowed not taken in tax

    secondly its not like less tax will be taken

    so it really is being taken out of circulation...retail etc are going to be really badly hit....this Christmas particularly as people react to the severe budget


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,364 ✭✭✭ei.sdraob


    Amhran Nua wrote: »
    Its not technically being taken out of the economy

    you are correct

    we will not be borrowing as much

    better way of describing what will happen
    that puts the debate into a different light altogether now :)

    Riskymove wrote: »
    well firstly a lot of it is borrowed not taken in tax

    secondly its not like less tax will be taken

    so it really is being taken out of circulation...retail etc are going to be really badly hit....this Christmas particularly as people react to the severe budget

    Oh for gods sake

    this is like turning down the tap (external money flowing in via debt inflow) and reducing the water falling into a pot with very large holes in it (welfare+public spend)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,650 ✭✭✭sensibleken


    jmayo wrote: »
    Connacht is not for sale, we shall secede from the disaster that is the Republic of Ireland.
    We shall restore the Republic of Connaught and then we can bring our gas ashore and f*** the rest of ye.
    Also seeing how gold is doing so well we can open up that gold vein under Croak Patrick.

    Oh we shall repatriate all Dubs and you can keep the flynns seen as they have multiple houses in Dublin.

    Hmmm. yeah that makes more sense, any chance i can still go to westport for sessions?

    all hail the chidren of Conn!:)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,124 ✭✭✭Amhran Nua


    Riskymove wrote: »
    well firstly a lot of it is borrowed not taken in tax
    The borrowings eventually have to be paid back from the tax take.
    Riskymove wrote: »
    secondly its not like less tax will be taken
    True, which is why it might be good or bad news. Actually I'll modify that to "bad or worse" news. Still, it has to be done. I've no confidence in this government to optimise the process though.
    Riskymove wrote: »
    retail etc are going to be really badly hit....this Christmas particularly as people react to the severe budget
    Depends on where the cuts happen.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,364 ✭✭✭ei.sdraob


    Amhran Nua wrote: »
    The borrowings eventually have to be paid back from the tax take.

    plus LARGE interest

    something the public sector supporters here always ignore

    thats money that could be going to improve hospitals, schools and roads and now instead will be paid out to external investors


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,943 ✭✭✭20Cent


    You can bet it will be coming from the weakest and most vulnerable sections of society.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,903 ✭✭✭✭Riskymove


    ei.sdraob wrote: »
    Oh for gods sake

    this is like turning down the tap (external money flowing in via debt inflow) and reducing the water falling into a pot with very large holes in it (welfare+public spend)

    I am aware of that..perhaps its the way I put my point or perhaps you are misinterpreting me

    my point was that we are borrowing to spend and we need to reduce it
    Amhran nua wrote:
    The borrowings eventually have to be paid back from the tax take.

    I am also aware of that, again , perhaps the point is missed

    Depends on where the cuts happen.

    I think its inevitable that cuts will happen to welfare and changes to tax take which will reduce pretty much everyone's disposable incomes


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,124 ✭✭✭Amhran Nua


    ei.sdraob wrote: »
    plus LARGE interest

    something the public sector supporters here always ignore

    thats money that could be going to improve hospitals, schools and roads and now instead will be paid out to external investors
    Yup, its a thoroughgoing shambles on every front. The only question as mentioned is whether or not the government manages a graceful rolling back of expenditure with a bit of joined up thinking and backup strategies.

    I do not hold out much hope.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3 fargoboyle2010


    I am sorry but have we not had enough in this country, people are on there knees, losing houses, getting more and more into trouble with bank managers, money lenders ect ect. This is the time we need to stand up to these people. The Anglo Irish Bank is costing us at least and i mean at least 50 billion euro, for what to save the skins of the goverments mates. We should have insured everyones savings in AIB at the start (it would have cost 2 billion) and let the bank go. The author David mc Williams said lately " to start a econamy we have to start spending not saving", and we as a country are not spending, of which I am also guilty. The goverment are flat out wasting money on make up, drinks parties ect ect. why dont we as a country put a cap on wages of our employees. Mr Cowern gets 240,000 euro a year plus expensise, The President of Ireland gets 300,000 euro a year plus expensise. Barak Obama gets $140,000 a year. See the difference. We are one of the smallest countrys in the world yet we pay ur employees the most. We as a country need to cap wages at 50,000 to 60,000 a year and if they dont wat the job, show them the door. They should be proud to serve our country for the honour of it, Not for Profit.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,396 ✭✭✭Ardent


    I'm glad that they are aiming for 7 billion in cuts, it's absolutely necessary. But can someone explain to me how in the name of god are they going to achieve it when Harney and Lenihan have said recently that public sector pay will not be touched?? I just don't get how it can be possible?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,447 ✭✭✭jprender


    Ardent wrote: »
    But can someone explain to me how in the name of god are they going to achieve it when Harney and Lenihan have said recently that public sector pay will not be touched??


    They are lying.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,828 ✭✭✭KerranJast


    If they need 7Bn in cuts to be able to borrow next Spring from the markets then that constitutes a serious deterioration in the fiscal situation and there's a clause in the Croke Park Deal to allow the Govt an out.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,396 ✭✭✭Ardent


    They better be lying, otherwise if they don't follow the UK's example they should be lynched. For economic treason.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 307 ✭✭johnboy_123


    If they can find 29 billion for anglo they can find 7 billion. failing that we could sell connacht to someone

    By god this is the funniest quote I have seen in ages. Good to seem we have not loast our sense of humour ;)


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