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14-05-2010 12:11PM

In_tuition wrote: »

Let me rephrase my post.

I asked the trainer out of 100% how is the horse. He said he's got an 80% chance. Sorry if that comes across incorrectly but that's what I meant.

The trainer is in fact probably the nicest guy in horse-racing and a totally honest guy.

Nice one

mug · 14-05-2010 02:45PM

the 3 races that have been mentioned look suitable actually, although i don't think any of them are going to be huge value. i hadn't noticed that aintree race was a HC, so i passed over it quickly earlier as it didn't look much use at 1/5 odds.

i'll be checking them later, but i imagine i'll have a little bit on, possibly combining them in a few small multiples too.

Verance · 14-05-2010 03:02PM

Omaruru looks seriously good value in the 8.35, 5/1 with Stan James, win and place looks good value.

Sizzler · 14-05-2010 03:07PM

Wodawick wrote: »

The 3.45 at York has cut up a little and the market with PP now stands as follows:

Fav 6/4
Hoof It 9/2
8/1 Bar

Think I'll have a little on Hoof It.

Good call on Hoof It, wins at 5/2

In_tuition · 14-05-2010 03:28PM

ValueSeeker wrote: »

Good stuff, will stay tuned.

Disappointed not to see anything about tonights match on your site.

Paynter's anytime scorer price (15/8) compared to evens in places is a standout for me.

He scored in this fixture in the regular season. Opening the scoring actually.

Scored 27 goals this term with 16 of them at home.

Only catch is Charlton have only conceded more than 2 goals in 5 out of 23 away matches this season. But for someone is such prolific form he only needs one opening as we know.

At those it's worth siding with him.

Thoughts?

ValueSeeker · 14-05-2010 03:33PM

I know little about the lower leagues mate. From what you say, he does look good value though.

Wodawick · 14-05-2010 03:53PM

Sizzler wrote: »

Good call on Hoof It, wins at 5/2

Yep, a nice one. Got on at 9/2 as well.........

POINTBREAK · 14-05-2010 04:08PM

Wodawick wrote: »

Yep, a nice one. Got on at 9/2 as well.........

Great value bet. It was odds on a place on Betfair at 1.6 and it and the favourite looked miles ahead of the rest. 9/2 was huge........... well done.

Wodawick · 14-05-2010 04:11PM

POINTBREAK wrote: »

Great value bet. It was odds on a place on Betfair at 1.6 and it and the favourite looked miles ahead of the rest. 9/2 was huge........... well done.

Two in a row. Is the hat-trick on with Praxiteles in the 6.30? Who knows? 4/1 3rd favourite and it's 11/1 bar.

POINTBREAK · 14-05-2010 04:46PM

Wodawick wrote: »

Two in a row. Is the hat-trick on with Praxiteles in the 6.30? Who knows? 4/1 3rd favourite and it's 11/1 bar.

Well its either that one or the 5/2 chance.
100 Each Way at 5/2 winner returns 350 + 150 = 500

If you think that is odds on to be placed you are hoping you are betting 50 to win 300. Since if its only placed you lose 50.

100 Each Way at 4/1 winner returns 500 + 180 = 680

Again, if you think it is odds on to be placed you are hoping you are risking 20 to win 480.

Either could be construed as value as far as I can see.

Bear in mind there is no such thing as certain to be placed.

winslow · 14-05-2010 05:35PM

Wodawick wrote: »

Two in a row. Is the hat-trick on with Praxiteles in the 6.30? Who knows? 4/1 3rd favourite and it's 11/1 bar.

Just saw this as the race went off!!!

POINTBREAK · 14-05-2010 05:39PM

Wodawick wrote: »

Two in a row. Is the hat-trick on with Praxiteles in the 6.30? Who knows? 4/1 3rd favourite and it's 11/1 bar.

Yes?

mike65 · 14-05-2010 05:44PM

GET IN! We are going to have to start a log on the subforum. (what? another one?

)

POINTBREAK · 14-05-2010 06:01PM

mike65 wrote: »

GET IN! We are going to have to start a log on the subforum. (what? another one? )

This could turn into a good thread. Well done Guys.

You can all buy me drinks when you see me.

Sizzler · 14-05-2010 06:35PM

In_tuition wrote: »

Received information directly from the trainer of a horse running tonight.

Will post the horse at around 7:30 this evening for anyone interested.

The horse has an 80% chance of winning so an each-way bet has been suggested. The horse will be priced around 5 to 7/1

Ah dont be teasing us now

Is it Chaparro in the 830 at Dundalk? 15/2 at the mo.

Also think Shabassh in the 9pm fits the bill, currently 5/1.

nice1franko · 14-05-2010 06:39PM

we want moar winners

dotsflan · 14-05-2010 06:50PM

Sizzler wrote: »

Ah dont be teasing us now

Is it Chaparro in the 830 at Dundalk? 15/2 at the mo.

Also think Shabassh in the 9pm fits the bill, currently 5/1.

looks like no tip:p

thedini · 14-05-2010 07:11PM

Quel surprise!!!!!

In_tuition · 14-05-2010 07:22PM

Sorry guys for being late.

Delphi Mountain 8:50 Cork

Sizzler · 14-05-2010 07:43PM

In_tuition wrote: »

Sorry guys for being late.

Delphi Mountain 8:50 Cork

Met charlie on a bus one day and he gave me a tip for one of his horses that placed a few days later at 16/1

POINTBREAK · 14-05-2010 07:44PM

In_tuition wrote: »

Sorry guys for being late.

Delphi Mountain 8:50 Cork

Is Charlie Swan a mate of yours?

POINTBREAK · 14-05-2010 07:45PM

Sizzler wrote: »

Met charlie on a bus one day and he gave me a tip for one of his horses that placed a few days later at 16/1

On a bus? I heard he was going bad, but on a bus.......... lol

In_tuition · 14-05-2010 07:46PM

POINTBREAK wrote: »

Is Charlie Swan a mate of yours?

No

POINTBREAK · 14-05-2010 07:53PM

Weird market, Jerry Schindler backed into 14/1 from 25 but 33/1 on betfair........

In_tuition · 14-05-2010 08:00PM

In_tuition wrote: »

Sorry guys for being late.

Delphi Mountain 8:50 Cork

Surprise Surprise.

Sorry.

dotsflan · 14-05-2010 08:02PM

In_tuition wrote: »

Surprise Surprise.

Sorry.

did it run any sort of race? online stream cut out just as the race was off

Juwwi · 14-05-2010 08:05PM

how do l remove a thanks from a post

In_tuition · 14-05-2010 08:17PM

dotsflan wrote: »

did it run any sort of race? online stream cut out just as the race was off

Horse was travelling extremely well until push came to shove about 4 furlongs from home. Leaders drew clear and Delphi Mountain really struggled.

Extremely poor run and quite surprising giving how Charlie rated the chances.

We always end up with egg on the face

Sorry to those who lost money.

dotsflan · 14-05-2010 08:20PM

In_tuition wrote: »

Horse was travelling extremely well until push came to shove about 4 furlongs from home. Leaders drew clear and Delphi Mountain really struggled.

Extremely poor run and quite surprising giving how Charlie rated the chances.

We always end up with egg on the face

Sorry to those who lost money.

ah i didnt lose anything, logged onto my victor chandler account and for some reason they gave me 24.44 for a losing bet so i stuck 12.22 ew on the horse:p

In_tuition · 14-05-2010 08:54PM

In_tuition wrote: »

Disappointed not to see anything about tonights match on your site.

Paynter's anytime scorer price (15/8) compared to evens in places is a standout for me.

He scored in this fixture in the regular season. Opening the scoring actually.

Scored 27 goals this term with 16 of them at home.

Only catch is Charlton have only conceded more than 2 goals in 5 out of 23 away matches this season. But for someone is such prolific form he only needs one opening as we know.

At those it's worth siding with him.

Thoughts?

Non-runner. Must have pulled hamstring in warm-up or something.

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