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POINTBREAK · 13-05-2010 06:17PM

mike65 wrote: »

Oh no, a refusal coming. Phew he went!

Emotional wasn't it?

what?

mug · 13-05-2010 06:17PM

mike65 wrote: »

Oh no, a refusal coming. Phew he went!

Emotional wasn't it?

lol i saw it was traded at 1000/1 briefly on BF... pretty bad result for someone

Verance · 13-05-2010 06:22PM

Balls I backed whataboutya and the favourite ew in the morning, trying to take advantage of the guaranteed prices. :mad:

POINTBREAK · 13-05-2010 06:22PM

mug wrote: »

lol i saw it was traded at 1000/1 briefly on BF... pretty bad result for someone

ffs.............unreal. I didn't see the race must have a look at it if the RacingPost has it..

Wodawick · 13-05-2010 06:25PM

Get In!!

This is easy!! One bet, one winner. 100% record.

I think I'll retire now.

POINTBREAK · 13-05-2010 06:28PM

Wodawick wrote: »

Get In!!

This is easy!! One bet, one winner. 100% record.

I think I'll retire now.

you da man!

Wodawick · 13-05-2010 06:29PM

POINTBREAK wrote: »

you da man!

Maybe for today, yes. Tomorrow's another day, though. Looking forward to it already.

POINTBREAK · 13-05-2010 06:35PM

The replay should ready on the RP site in about 30mins for anyone who didn't see the race........ like me. It must have been bizzare.

POINTBREAK · 13-05-2010 07:00PM

mug wrote: »

lol i saw it was traded at 1000/1 briefly on BF... pretty bad result for someone

I just watched that race. To lay that one at 1000 you would have had to be seriously insane. Maybe there is some mad multi millionaire on Betfair who wants to give his money away?

mug · 13-05-2010 09:09PM

POINTBREAK wrote: »

I just watched that race. To lay that one at 1000 you would have had to be seriously insane. Maybe there is some mad multi millionaire on Betfair who wants to give his money away?

it was matched for 4 quid... maybe it was a misclick

POINTBREAK · 13-05-2010 10:27PM

mug wrote: »

it was matched for 4 quid... maybe it was a misclick

Disaster for somebody......... click 4k gone......... lol
It was interesting that Wodavick read the interview, understood it and was able to pick a target race. Getting the winner was a bonus but I think it really proved your point.

Kod-box · 13-05-2010 10:31PM

so how much money did everyone make off Emotional Article then, sickened im only reading this now.

Wodawick · 14-05-2010 09:39AM

POINTBREAK wrote: »

Disaster for somebody......... click 4k gone......... lol
It was interesting that Wodavick read the interview, understood it and was able to pick a target race. Getting the winner was a bonus but I think it really proved your point.

Morning all !

Obviously, getting a winner with the first selection was a major plus. Of more interesting consideration was the fact that the horse would have been a selection in both markets i.e. before the favourite came out and after.

I had a small each-way bet at 13/2 at lunchtime, but even after the massive Rule 4, still managed to double my money on the bet. Would have just about broken even if the horse had only placed. Nice start.

From what I can see of today's racing, nothing appears to stand out. Will only get to look at this evening's markets later on.

Also, I spent an hour last night rustling through some old Racing Posts I had lying around. I identified seven markets in which there would have been selections. Results were pretty impressive: three winners at odds between 4/1 and 6/1, two placed horses at odds of 5/1 and 7/1, and two losers at 5/1 and 8/1.

I'm fully aware of the dangers of looking at past races and trying to put square results in round boxes, but these were based on the opening market prices as per the Racing Post, so the bets could have been placed ten minutes before the off.

Thoughts?

mug · 14-05-2010 10:10AM

8.35 hamilton looks the only possibility today.

even if there is a bet it probably won't be strong, but you should have a look at it again around tea time.

mike65 · 14-05-2010 10:11AM

6:30 NOVICES HURDLE 2m 110y (AINT) has a margin call - Praxiteles currently 6/1 with AP on board

POINTBREAK · 14-05-2010 10:38AM

mike65 wrote: »

6:30 NOVICES HURDLE 2m 110y (AINT) has a margin call - Praxiteles currently 6/1 with AP on board

I see what you mean and if you think its odds on to be placed and the bookies is laying you 6/5 its a must bet. I think Mugsy would prefer the 4 outsiders to be bigger prices so I don't think he would make it a bet. I could easily be wrong.
He might even make the 5/2 chance the bet on the race.

Wodawick · 14-05-2010 10:40AM

mug wrote: »

8.35 hamilton looks the only possibility today.

even if there is a bet it probably won't be strong, but you should have a look at it again around tea time.

Good stuff !

I can't access betting sites at work, so I'm restricted to PP shows on Aertel, of all things. The evening markets will only appear as the day's racing proceeds, so I'll have a gander later on. Thanks for that.

mug · 14-05-2010 10:47AM

mike65 wrote: »

6:30 NOVICES HURDLE 2m 110y (AINT) has a margin call - Praxiteles currently 6/1 with AP on board

missed that one.. but def looks to have potential too. and as PS said, even the 2nd fav could be a bet.

Wodawick · 14-05-2010 10:49AM

POINTBREAK wrote: »

I see what you mean and if you think its odds on to be placed and the bookies is laying you 6/5 its a must bet. I think Mugsy would prefer the 4 outsiders to be bigger prices so I don't think he would make it a bet. I could easily be wrong.
He might even make the 5/2 chance the bet on the race.

Can you post the prices in this market, please? As I said, I can't access them at work.

Fav, 2nd & 3rd fav and the bar price? Cheers.

mike65 · 14-05-2010 10:55AM

POINTBREAK wrote: »

I see what you mean and if you think its odds on to be placed and the bookies is laying you 6/5 its a must bet. I think Mugsy would prefer the 4 outsiders to be bigger prices so I don't think he would make it a bet. I could easily be wrong.
He might even make the 5/2 chance the bet on the race.

I'd be surprised if it didn't place. Admitedly Lidar, the fav would only have to not make any errors to win.

POINTBREAK · 14-05-2010 11:17AM

Wodawick wrote: »

Can you post the prices in this market, please? As I said, I can't access them at work.

Fav, 2nd & 3rd fav and the bar price? Cheers.

Lidar (13/8) Saveiro (5/2) Praxiteles (5) Wilbury Star (10)
Devotion To Duty (14) Heron Bay (14) Double Handful (20) Reverend Green (25)

POINTBREAK · 14-05-2010 11:19AM

mug wrote: »

missed that one.. but def looks to have potential too. and as PS said, even the 2nd fav could be a bet.

The added advantage that these people don't realise is that you're a lucky bollox!

Wodawick · 14-05-2010 11:20AM

The 3.45 at York has cut up a little and the market with PP now stands as follows:

Fav 6/4
Hoof It 9/2
8/1 Bar

Think I'll have a little on Hoof It.

mike65 · 14-05-2010 11:24AM

Timeform agrees in terms of the top 3

Diman Waters and Hoof It are both ahead of the handicapper and really ought to fight out the finish, with preference just for the former, who ran a blinder from 6 lb out of the weights at Chester last week and can run off his proper mark this time. Trade Secret could prove best of the rest. (they also top the speed ratings)

In_tuition · 14-05-2010 11:25AM

Received information directly from the trainer of a horse running tonight.

Will post the horse at around 7:30 this evening for anyone interested.

The horse has an 80% chance of winning so an each-way bet has been suggested. The horse will be priced around 5 to 7/1

Wodawick · 14-05-2010 11:27AM

POINTBREAK wrote: »

Lidar (13/8) Saveiro (5/2) Praxiteles (5) Wilbury Star (10)
Devotion To Duty (14) Heron Bay (14) Double Handful (20) Reverend Green (25)

Thanks a million for that. In that market, Praxiteles looks the bet to me. A small each-way is in order, I think.

thedini · 14-05-2010 11:41AM

In_tuition wrote: »

Received information directly from the trainer of a horse running tonight.

Will post the horse at around 7:30 this evening for anyone interested.

The horse has an 80% chance of winning so an each-way bet has been suggested. The horse will be priced around 5 to 7/1

Wow, looking forward to this, thanks in advance. It's not too often you receive information on a horse that should be 1/4 and its tissue price is 5 to 7/1.

In_tuition · 14-05-2010 11:44AM

thedini wrote: »

Wow, looking forward to this, thanks in advance. It's not too often you receive information on a horse that should be 1/4 and its tissue price is 5 to 7/1.

Let me rephrase my post.

I asked the trainer out of 100% how is the horse. He said he's got an 80% chance. Sorry if that comes across incorrectly but that's what I meant.

The trainer is in fact probably the nicest guy in horse-racing and a totally honest guy.

mike65 · 14-05-2010 11:48AM

Another to consider 8:15 HANDICAP HURDLE 3m 110y (AINT) Boyoboy 9/2 at (1/4 e/w odds race)

Flying Doctor 2.62
Boyoboy 4.50
Ballyvesey 11.00
Earcomesthedream and Glen Rouge 13.00
17.00 bar

ValueSeeker · 14-05-2010 12:08PM

In_tuition wrote: »

Received information directly from the trainer of a horse running tonight.

Will post the horse at around 7:30 this evening for anyone interested.

The horse has an 80% chance of winning so an each-way bet has been suggested. The horse will be priced around 5 to 7/1

Good stuff, will stay tuned.

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