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Predict the result?

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  • 01-10-2009 12:32am
    #1
    Permabear
    Closed Accounts Posts: 39,022 ✭✭✭✭


    This post has been deleted.


«1

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    #2
    Euro_Kraut
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,957 ✭✭✭Euro_Kraut


    Good idea.

    Yes 64%
    No 36%

    Turnout 57%


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    #3
    marco_polo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 10,079 Mod ✭✭✭✭marco_polo


    Yes 61%
    No 39%


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    #4
    moondogspot
    Closed Accounts Posts: 113 ✭✭moondogspot


    49% : No
    47% : Yes
    4% : Spoilt Votes


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    #5
    major bill
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,421 ✭✭✭major bill


    yes side to scrape it


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    #6
    pog it
    Registered Users Posts: 2,912 ✭✭✭pog it


    No side to win by 5-10%.

    Talking to people all day and 3/4 are voting no in my home county.


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    #7
    Rb
    Closed Accounts Posts: 14,277 ✭✭✭✭Rb


    Yes 58%
    No 42%


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    #8
    Mrmoe
    Registered Users Posts: 2,212 ✭✭✭Mrmoe


    Yes side to win by 10-20%, I think some of the polls are accurate enough predictors that it is near probable that the Yes side will win, the only debate is by how much.


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    #9
    Colpriz
    Closed Accounts Posts: 216 ✭✭Colpriz


    donegalfella wrote: »
    This post has been deleted.

    Based on what?

    Larger turn out of the general electorate?
    More people are unemployed?
    People think FF have srewed us so we'd be better in Europe
    Or this is a mockery asked to vote twice wish we had Euopean ministers running Ireland instead of Irish?


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    #10
    Daftendirekt
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,312 ✭✭✭Daftendirekt


    Yes side by about 5-10%, turnout of about 52%.

    Any yes voters expecting a no, or vice versa?


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    #11
    Daftendirekt
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,312 ✭✭✭Daftendirekt


    Colpriz wrote: »
    Based on what?

    Larger turn out of the general electorate?
    More people are unemployed?
    People think FF have srewed us so we'd be better in Europe
    Or this is a mockery asked to vote twice wish we had Euopean ministers running Ireland instead of Irish?

    Or maybe everyone's sick of having the same old shit thrown back and forth, and just want a light thread on the topic?


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    #12
    Dinner
    Registered Users Posts: 2,132 ✭✭✭Dinner


    Daftendirekt wrote: »
    Yes side by about 5-10%, turnout of about 52%.

    Any yes voters expecting a no, or vice versa?

    The pessimist in me, coupled with the strength of the lies in the no side says the no camp could wing it, not by much though.

    A few weeks ago I had a few euro left in paddy power account, so I put that on a no victory so the 15 or so euro might help to console me.

    I'd still rather a yes vote over the money though.


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    #13
    Euro_Kraut
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,957 ✭✭✭Euro_Kraut


    Just before poll close on Friday I will stick every prediction here into a spreadsheet and see what the average prediction is. Will be interesting to see how close it is to the actual result and who get closest.

    The predictions need to be in a format like :

    NO 60%
    YES 40%

    Should be fun*

    *in a really nerdy way


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    #14
    free-man
    Closed Accounts Posts: 350 ✭✭free-man


    It really is going to be tight..

    I'd say 52% No | 48% Yes

    I think either is interchangeable depending on the Dont Knows decision in the next 2 days.


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    #15
    bug
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,204 ✭✭✭bug


    NO 51% YES 49%

    Irish people's head's begin to spontaneously explode on announcement of final count ala mars attacks.

    Sarkozy spontaneously combusts.


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    #16
    ArmaniJeanss
    Registered Users Posts: 13,340 ✭✭✭✭ArmaniJeanss


    No 41.5%
    Yes 58.5%


    I converted the 2 most anti-Europe people I know into Yes voters over the last week (my SinnFein/IRA loving next door neighbour and my distrust-all-foreigners Mum) so I'm rather optimistic of a landslide.


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    #17
    major bill
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,421 ✭✭✭major bill


    Euro_Kraut wrote: »
    Just before poll close on Friday I will stick every prediction here into a spreadsheet and see what the average prediction is. Will be interesting to see how close it is to the actual result and who get closest.

    The predictions need to be in a format like :

    NO 60%
    YES 40%

    Should be fun*

    *in a really nerdy way

    on that note then

    YES 54
    NO 46

    council to play a big part in yes side winning;)


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    #18
    K-9
    Registered Users Posts: 43,311 ✭✭✭✭K-9


    YES - 22%

    NO - 18%

    SPOILED - 23%

    CONFUSED - 37%

    Mad Men's Don Draper : What you call love was invented by guys like me, to sell nylons.



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    #19
    Rb
    Closed Accounts Posts: 14,277 ✭✭✭✭Rb


    I hope Sarkozy, Barrosso and Merkel come over to party should we win vote Yes.


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    #20
    The Volt
    Registered Users Posts: 7,957 ✭✭✭The Volt


    Rb wrote: »
    I hope Sarkozy, Barrosso and Merkel come over to party should we win vote Yes.
    Drinks on Nick, dibs on his wife :)

    YES 53%
    NO 44%
    SPOILED 3%


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    #21
    ArmaniJeanss
    Registered Users Posts: 13,340 ✭✭✭✭ArmaniJeanss


    Rb wrote: »
    I hope Sarkozy, Barrosso and Merkel come over to party should we win vote Yes.

    And Silvio, but keep an eye on your womanfolk.


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    #22
    Colpriz
    Closed Accounts Posts: 216 ✭✭Colpriz


    Daftendirekt wrote: »
    Or maybe everyone's sick of having the same old shit thrown back and forth, and just want a light thread on the topic?

    just wondering if this was gamblers corner or based on something more ..thats all:)


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    #23
    Holsten
    Registered Users Posts: 4,971 ✭✭✭Holsten


    No - 56% win.


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    #24
    CliffHuxtabel
    Registered Users Posts: 407 ✭✭CliffHuxtabel


    Yes :54%

    No :46%


    Then thankfully this whole ridiculous situation will be over and can be forgotten.


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    #25
    amacachi
    Closed Accounts Posts: 23,316 ✭✭✭✭amacachi


    :( No will win with less than 55%.


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    #26
    Plotician
    Closed Accounts Posts: 113 ✭✭Plotician


    I'm a 'no' voter expecting a 'yes' result.

    Slightly confused though as everyone i've talked to bar one has been a 'no' or a 'don't know'.

    Either way i think it's going to be closer than anticipated a few weeks ago. The recent radio/tv debates have evened it up a bit.


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    #27
    PomBear
    Registered Users Posts: 1,885 ✭✭✭PomBear


    Paddy Power are giving 1/25 on a Yes vote and 8/1 on a no vote, which is mad in my opinion. I stuck on €20 on a no vote:D


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    #28
    Rb
    Closed Accounts Posts: 14,277 ✭✭✭✭Rb


    What I'd like to see is how many people who intended to vote No accidentally spoil their vote vs the number of those who intended to vote Yes who accidentally spoiled the vote.

    I'm sure there'll be a few amusing sights at the count anyway.


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    #29
    free-man
    Closed Accounts Posts: 350 ✭✭free-man


    PomBear wrote: »
    Paddy Power are giving 1/25 on a Yes vote and 8/1 on a no vote, which is mad in my opinion. I stuck on €20 on a no vote:D

    Are these the best odds you've found?

    Might be worth a flurry :)


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    #30
    hellboy99
    Registered Users Posts: 6,219 ✭✭✭hellboy99


    No = 62%
    Yes = 38%


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    #31
    PomBear
    Registered Users Posts: 1,885 ✭✭✭PomBear


    free-man wrote: »
    Are these the best odds you've found?

    Might be worth a flurry :)

    Ladbrokes actually have better odds, anyone know why the odds are so certain of a certain result


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