Fancies For Today III

The Victoria cup Ascot 2.20 is a very competitive handicap that I have always liked Great Acclaim is my fancy today at around 12/1 a 7 furlongs specialist is what’s needed and he fits the bill.

Good call Zim. Thanks

The Victoria cup Ascot 2.20 is a very competitive handicap that I have always liked Great Acclaim is my fancy today at around 12/1 a 7 furlongs specialist is what’s needed and he fits the bill.

just back from the sunny Algarve in time for one of my favourite meetings York which is on for the next few days and we also gave Bangor on Saturdays where I back one or two at most meetings using a method I discovered some time ago that is profitable. there is a big sprint at 2.55 which was won by Rousing Encore last year ( likes York) who could win it again this year,He ran a very good race first time out this year when 6th at Newmarket in a big field and while not so good in a small field last time it is almost certain that todays race was the plan. The best handicapped horse in the race is last years runner up Dark Thirty

Both horses were around 12/1 last night but shortened a bit this morning and I have not had a bet yet so am hoping they drift a little.Rousing Encore is the most reliable and the main bet with a saver on Dak Thirty who is inconsistent but very well handicapped 5 places everywhere and while a draw bias can sometimes emerge at York in reality I mostly does not make much difference over 6 furlongs.

Parisian scholar 16/1 York ew 5.15

Plenty of action again tomorrow as the flat begins to take shape with more current form to go on.I fancy a couple at reasonable ew prices and a couple at very big prices who i believe could be overpriced.In the 6.38 at Doncaster i think Novello Lad can improve on his good 3rd 3 weeks ago should be competitive at around 6/1.At around the same price Indalo,trained by Roger Varian has a decent chance in the 5.oc at Newbury despite being off for 231 days though i would not have too much on in case the run is needed but Varian can have them ready first time out.Also at Newbury Ciceros Gift is worth chancing at 28/1 in the group 1 Lockinge stakes at 2.35.the horse won a group 1 last year and some said it was a fluke because the pace was too quick and Ciceros Gift came with a strong run to win in a very fast time.He is way too big a price and is there is any pace on he can cause another shock.The other big priced horse i fancy is Darkness who is 22/1 to win the 2.50 at Newmarket a handicap worth 30 grand over 7 furlongs.David Omeara sends him to Newmarket from York for this and has also done this in past with a win resulting from the trip,he ran well enough last time when 6th and could be ready for this.

I backed Sir Benedict in the 5.35 at Musselburgh today and I have a decent re bet on the horse.

This horse has a very good turn of foot but the problem is he must come late and backing a hold up horse in a 5 furlong race can be expensive.Trainer Ben Haslam has another horse in the race,Wrestling Revenue and I am hoping he goes off fast and forces the pace because the quicker they go the better for Sir Benedict who will be running on well at the finish and a slow pace would not help.

This fellow might not be for everyone but I like the horse and he done me a turn a couple of times and is exciting to watch when things go right and his speed in the final furlong is amazing.I you back him you know what to expect as he threads his way through the field.

He's taken the other one out now.

Naqeeb runs in the listed race at 4.17 Goodwood with an excellent chance on his 2nd run back after a break when running over a mile and now back over 10 furlongs on softish ground which is much more suitable.Priced at 10/1Naqeeb hangs to the right and is well suited to Goodwood (righthanded).Karl Burk won this last year and has a couple with chances including the fav Ice Max.I backed Naqeeb ew at 7/1 without Ice Max and at 2/1 to be in the first 3.Naqeeb is 10s to win outright and i may back him again at that price when guaranteed prices kicks in,he can make all or stay up with the pace which works well at Goodwood and he stays a good bit further.

Naqeeb finished up a very good price and i would have had a good touch had he won,unlucky to be beaten a short head but all bets on him show a profit,to be in the first 3 was the most profitable. Cant complainthough as luck evens itself out and i have had it on my side at times when one i backed wins by a short head or even a nose,the biggest surprise to me was the generous sp and he will probably do us a turn before too long at one of the big meetings but hopefully connections will avoid one of my favourite meetings,York.He simply does not enjoy York and has a very poor record there.

Thats a fair question,i write a little note if i see a horse that ran well from a very poor draw,or ran well on unsuitable ground,or one that mainly wins a certain track and run well at a different track making a note to look at it if back over the right trip at a course he runs well at.Ipay particular attention to the handful of big handicaps over 7 furlongs and horses who do well in those when contesting them again.It is not as difficult as it seems because traiers repeatedly target races with horses who have run well over the course and distance the previous year.One will miss many opportunities that we have not seen because we are up to othe things but so what we will see many others who fit the bill and whose build up to a certain race makes it apparent that it is the target.Wining is not guaranteed by keeping track of a number of horses but at least we will lose less.Racing is a hobby for many of us and just like golf we have to pay for it but a good touch now and again makes it worthwhile.

Make sure to get the 4 places the two I mentioned ew are 4places with PP,good luck to all.

Derby time again and I give Item a sporting chance,the unbeaten colt could cause a bit of a surprise.

I will be in Fairyhouse on Friday when I hope to see Telegraph Road make up the two and three quarter lengths on Florida Bay in the 4.20 and there is a very good chance the well regarded colt will upset the favourite.

Satisfy my Soul has an ew chance in the 7.09 and I would not rule out the top weight Deuteronomy in the last despite top weight after he finished fast to deny Miss Crinshawn 17 days ago.

In Epsom on Friday I fancy Seagulls Eleven on ground that will suit in the group 3 at 2.40 in the Oaks I give an ew chance to Thundering On who may beat Aidens well fancied fav so let’s hope the long trip home will be lightened by the feeling a couple of winners will provide.