US/Israel conduct airstrikes on Iran again

Mod - discuss the topic, not other posters and their contributions. This is just baiting.

Which tweet?

I don't contribute anything to that sick fcuk or his platform. I can read tweets if linked.

In theory they could, of course, but it would be an incredibly recklessly unlikely thing to do. The operational practices of Nuclear Submarines (SSN) are no exactly public. Even low level grunts in the submarine crews will generally not tell you anything beyond banal generalities about how they operate, and their capabilities. (Allegedly there was investigations after Tom Clancy published the Hunt for Red October, as aspects of it were far too realistic).

More than likely the SSN was given the intelligence sometime in the last week about the likely movements of the Iranian ship, and tasked to sink it. After that there's a good chance that the SSN wouldn't have had much communication with the outside world. The precise hows, wheres and whens of the sinking would have been left to SSN's command. It's possible the commander may have re-checked for late confirmation to carry out the sinking (That's said to have happened when the Belgrano was sunk, but circumstances were not the same there), but my own guess, given how the rest of the war has been progressing, is that the initial orders would have been more than enough.

Any message to that ship to surrender or be sunk would have alerted them to the fact that they were an immenant target. The Iranians are not fools (They also have never shown much inclination to surrender either). They would have been much more actively looking for submarine threats. There is no realistic way that it would be worth risking a highly expensive and rare asset like an SSN (not to mention its crew), on the off chance that you might have the only Iranian military outfit who would surrender rather than go down fighting on that ship. It's just not realistic in the real non-ideal world where this war is taking place.

Oh, if they any chance of firing a few off in the direction of a carrier I'm sure they'll have a go. But its hard to hit small static targets precisely with Ballistic missiles at range. Hitting a small moving target would pure luck. They'll know they have a very slim chance of getting near to hitting one. The best they could hope for is for the USN to have to use some (very expensive indeed, and therefore relatively rare) Standard ABM missiles to take one down. I think it's pretty simple here, and what all the expert commentary are saying. The Iranians have more missiles that can hit Israel than Israel have ABMs to defend against them. The Iranians will be hoping to force the Israelis to have to choose which targets to defend if/when their ABM stocks become too depleted. In the meantime the Israels and Americans are hitting every trace of every Iranian missile facility in Iran that they can find.