FI Charts ( T120+ onwards) Winter 2025/2026 **READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST

Some more indications of a settled spell towards the end of February from both the ECM and GEM today.

Two weeks remaining of the ten day winter, it’s going to take something very special ( a Dec 2010) for us to get anything wintry in the 21st century, at least Scandinavia and E Europe can still get very cold winters, I thought cold winters were a thing of the past there too but obviously aren’t which in a way is reassuring for Europe.
We’ve been chasing ten day charts all winter but you can be sure that this is one that will come off.

is this chart an ‘Athens special’?

I can hear the power washers and lawnmowers beginning to wake!

Plenty of action from the 28th - 3rd. 0% chance though

Looks like we will see a return to a more familiar pattern next weekend. An extension of the Azores high in a bit of a ‘Bartlett’ pattern with southwest/ westerly winds and milder weather.

Good news for those underwater in the East but still not great. Likely to be a lot of cloud and drizzle, wettest in the west.

Remains to be seen exactly where the high will position itself, a high positioned further north would be better but its a start!

The signal for high pressure to move close to Ireland over this weekend and into next week has gone. Yet again the models have underestimated the Atlantic, and the rainfall totals will continue to pile up.

Ecm rainfall up to day 7

The west will be taking the brunt of it, at least it will be milder rain with temps in double digits or early teens 🫠

Bar that bit of dry weather around Christmas its been a mostly wet winter. The charts continue to show rainfall on most if not all of the days of February. 46 rainy days in a row this year in SW likely to go up past 50 before any hope of a pause.

Once chart goes past FI it usually has either a blizzard or a blowtorch as these computer models work on probability formulae and not common sense like what if it rains for 50 days then it will be dry in the future days for example. But this is Ireland. Logic doesnt work.

looks like the ECM is going for something kinda similar for that timeframe aswell . The furthest reaches of fi of course but anyway you never know with the weather it could have a trick up its sleeve for early spring 🤣

Any of the charts showing an end to the 50 continuous days of rain i.e when is Irelands first fully dry day of 2026 coming. January had none. February may have none. March??