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Las Vegas Raiders Thread

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 42,997 ✭✭✭✭eagle eye


    The Saints have to play the Titans and Jets that's potentially two spots you can move up. If the Saints beat the Titans and lose to the Jets and you lose to the Giants that's the no.2 pick.

    You aren't getting number 1 unless the Titans go on a run because you beat them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,256 ✭✭✭eire4


    Thats whats realistic that the Raiders could get as high as the number 2 pick and if the Titans are set with Ward as their QB then Mendoza may well be available at 2. Time will tell. In any case at least as far as the Raiders and the schedule is concerned the only game I see as winnable is the Giants one at home. So if the Raiders do lose that there is a good chance they finish the season 2-15 and in with a strong shot at the number 2 pick in the draft.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 788 ✭✭✭Kev8360


    I do think some of the teams above us in the draft order will win at least 1 more game but you are right - we wont get to number 1 pick this year at this stage - the Titans have it sown up I reckon. I still think No.2 is a genuine possibility but yeah realistically a trade up will be needed to secure a franchise QB like Mendoza.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 196 ✭✭InsideEdge


    I admire your optimism (pessimism!?) but I wouldn't underestimate the Raiders chances of beating either the Chargers or the Broncos in the coming weeks. Neither of these teams are lighting it up on offense and the Raiders should probably have beaten both of them already.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 788 ✭✭✭Kev8360


    I like to think of it as realism :D - after over 40 years of watching the Raiders I have seen this movie too many times ! In-division games always have a chance of an upset but we are averaging about 16 pts per game so the opposition doesn't need to be on fire to beat us.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 196 ✭✭InsideEdge


    I'm the same, too many failed drafts, coaches players over that time! I'm not sure I'd trust the current administration or coaching staff to develop a QB like Mendoza in any case. The game on Sunday will be interesting as the Chargers OLine is nearly as bad as ours.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 788 ✭✭✭Kev8360


    With the results this weekend if we lose out the rest of the season we could end up with the no.1 pick now - depends on how Strength of schedule finishes up. Knowing this team they will beat the Chiefs in the last game to drop down the draft order - :D



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 42,997 ✭✭✭✭eagle eye


    Didn't you beat the Titans? You need them to win another game. That could happen, they are at home to the Saints



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 788 ✭✭✭Kev8360


    Yeah thats true - we still need titans to win another game - forgot about head to head tie breaker.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 788 ✭✭✭Kev8360


    According to NFL.com strength of schedule is the 1st Tiebreaker so we are number 1 at the moment ahead of Giants and Titans but we will still have to lose all our games for rest of season to keep it.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 42,997 ✭✭✭✭eagle eye


    On the NFL site you are third from bottom behind the Titans and Giants.

    As far as I'm aware the breakdown starts with head to head, then conference record, then common games which has to be a minimum of four,

    I can't remember what's after that, it might be strength of schedule, but it's rare it goes any further than the above.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,256 ✭✭✭eire4


    I think with the Raiders, Giants and Titans all on 2 wins right now SOS decides the draft order which puts the Raiders at number 2. So assuming the Raiders lose next week and the following week against Houston that means the Raiders V Giants is massive for both teams with the reward for the loser being at worst the number 2 pick and possibly the number 1 pick that is assuming a loss to the Chiefs in the final game.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 903 ✭✭✭Prefab Sprouter


    Well we will probably be picking top 2 in the Draft barring a miracle. And I have to say, whilst we may end up with a fantastic prospect as our Franchise QB, 2 things leave me really concerned. No matter who we draft, if you dont have a decent O-Line then that prospect will be another David Carr, spending their career getting sacked and watching a once promising career die. The second thing that worries me is that our Draft scouting leaves a lot to be desired. Most of our picks seem either reaches or misses. We occaisionally hit on a stud such as Bowers or Crosby but too many misses to trust our scouting Department. Will we end up with another Jamarcus Russell? That terrifies me.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 788 ✭✭✭Kev8360


    That is a very real concern - we will have to overpay for any decent O-line improvements - if its a high round draft or free agency so realistically we may have to trade some of our key players (Crosby or Meyer may be options to resource that.

    If its to be done right the rebuild will take a few years at a minimum - best to prioritize our most glaring problems this draft cycle - QB (ideally Mendoza if he's available and let him sit behind Geno at the start of next year)and O-line and the biggest question of all is whether Pete Carroll is ready to start a rebuild or if they need to look at a whole ground up refresh.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 196 ✭✭InsideEdge


    It's going to need a multi-year rebuild so having Carroll in charge wouldn't make sense. If we take Mendoza then we need a head coach with an offense background to develop him. The OLine might not be so catastrophic next season with Miller and JPJ back fit - play JPJ at center, Rodgers at RG and Miller at LT, that leaves a LG and RT to either draft or target in free agency. We also need to address the DLine, Crosby can't be expected to do all the work again and it wouldn't make sense to trade him as it would need two players to replace him. And then there are the LBs, DBs, WRs…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 42,997 ✭✭✭✭eagle eye


    Carroll did well with Russell Wilson.

    I don't see anybody brave or crazy enough to trade Crosby. I think you'd turn a lot of the fanbase against you if you did that.

    Miller is rock solid but I think you badly need both left and right guards and a right tackle.

    Your draft should for at least the first three rounds be about QB and the offensive and that's even if you make moves in free agency.

    I think your defense is fine. If they spend less time on the field and don't tire out there's a lot of talent there.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 788 ✭✭✭Kev8360


    Better Line play on offense and defense will help paper over the other cracks as we start to rebuild - doesn't matter who is QB if they don't have time to throw and we cant open lanes for our RB. If we can get better in the trenches by addition in the off season and getting players back from IR that will give us a foundation to kick on from.

    I just don't want a draft where we put all our eggs into a QB and not strengthen the o-line to protect him. I have seen nothing from Brennan and Nate Carroll that they have any idea how to get anything going with our QB and O-line and I dont see Pete sacking them so best thing overall would be a coaching change.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 788 ✭✭✭Kev8360


    what a clown show that was last night - Pete Carroll’s half time interview was hilarious - he has lost the plot if he thinks this team is a play or 2 away from being competitive in that game.

    We have the no1 spot now but I will not be in anyway shocked to see us beat the Chiefs and drop to 2nd or 3rd next week.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 788 ✭✭✭Kev8360


    Well Pete has been sacked - if that is the start of the franchise realizing that it will take a few years to rebuild then that's a good thing but at this point I am going to wait and see who we bring in as a replacement before drawing any conclusions.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 903 ✭✭✭Prefab Sprouter


    Hi Kev, yup good point well made. Too many false dawns, too many saviours turning out to be hopelessly inept. So we have Number 1 in the draft, and some people are saying that the QB's in this draft are not worthy of a Number 1 pick. I havent seen College Football in a few seasons so I havent seen Mendoza or Moore. Anyways let the rumour mill and the Raiders off-season commence!



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,256 ✭✭✭eire4


    Well a rare good day for the Raiders to finish the season at least with the Giants win prior to the Raiders game meaning the number 1 pick in the draft was locked in and then actually winning a game even more so against the Chiefs.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 42,997 ✭✭✭✭eagle eye


    Reading that makes me think the point you are making there is that the problem is not the coaching or players, it's the owners?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 903 ✭✭✭Prefab Sprouter


    Trying to pinpoint the specific issue as to the Raiders woes is like trying to put an octopus into an onion bag, its not simple. I do think Mark Davis becomes infatuated with a specific individual (a la Gruden) and doesnt do his due diligence when it comes to making coaching choices. We seem to either go with coaching retreads (Pete Carroll) or unproven individuals (Lane Kiffin, Antonio Pierce). We never seem to hire an individual who is seen as a rising star (I know Kiffin has become extremely successful in the College game, but when we appointed him he was like a deer in the headlights) like Ben Johnson or Liam Coen. We also appointed coaches who were out of their depth. McDaniels being a case in point (Great Co-ordinator, not a great Head Coach. Dont believe me? Ask the Broncos fans about his tenure there). Point being, Davis cant seem to get appointing his Coach right. This has a trickle down effect on the rest of the Franchise. Free Agents tend to see the Raiders as a Money making opportunity and draft picks dont seem to relish coming to our Franchise. Speaking of Draft picks, our performance in the draft is patchy at best. The Mayock/Gruden 2019 draft is a case in point. Yes, we got Josh Jacobs but Clelin Ferrel and Jonathan Abrams? Both busts. And if a Franchise gets 3 first round Draft picks, you have to nail them. We dont. If Mark Davis sold the Franchise I wouldnt be too upset. But it has to start with getting the Coaching staff right. Everything flows down from there. I guess I'm saying that there are a number of issues but if we can at least appoint the right Head Coach (And no matter what you're opinion about Pete Carroll, he's 74. To argue he is a long term solution is foolish) it would be a start. And if our Franchise can stop being obsessed with the past and stupid comments like "The Raider Way" and "Commitment to Excellence" then we might have a chance.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 42,997 ✭✭✭✭eagle eye


    The franchise had an identity when you had those slogans like the Raider way.

    They are looked upon as a joke right now.

    This is why I believe Carroll was a great appointment. He inherited a dumpster and didn't improve it in one season. He needed another season to not only kick the team into gear but work on the identity of the Raiders.

    Why do you take on a coach with an impressive track record and give him only one season with a crap roster?

    It's the height of stupidity and the Raiders will continue to be a joke for years to come because nothing is changing there.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 350 ✭✭ipitydafool


    No Carroll deserved to go, if anything other than the disaster that was bringing in Chip Kelly and then the nepotism of having his son Brennan the OL coach where they had a complete dysfunctional offense - couldn't protect Geno or scheme a decent offensive plan to utilise the likes of Bowers to full potential when healthy. Also Jeanty had one of the worst yards before contact in the league, hard to get your 1st round running back going when he getting creamed as soon as he receives the ball behind the line of scrimmage. He fired Kelly but did nothing about his son.

    Just on Lane Kiffin, it was Mark Davis father Al who hired and fired him in complete disaster but Al knew football- had brought in similar profile head coaches in their 30s like Mike Shanahan and Jon Gruden(first time round) who were successful. Mark has zero football knowledge but now Spytek and Brady in charge of operations maybe they have more success. Alot of cap space, some offensive pieces and no1 pick.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 42,997 ✭✭✭✭eagle eye


    I remember a crap running game in 2024, a QB getting sacked multiple times every game. It may have stayed the same but definitely didn't get worse. Brock Bowers had pretty much the exact same numbers per game in '24: and '25. He actually had two more tds in five less games this year.

    I told you that Carroll had two losing seasons to begin his time in Seattle. How about Bill Belichick who started out in New England with a 5-11 season, Andy Reid 5-11 his first season in Philly, Sean Payton started out with a losing season in Denver two years ago, they enter this years playoffs as the no.1 seed.

    You can prod and pick at any little thing you don't like or think was wrong. The very same thing could have been said about any of the above coaches after their first season.

    The truth is Mark Davis would have fired them all but good owners decided to stick with them.

    Peter Carroll has been a winner in college and the NFL. You don't suddenly become a crap coach.

    The organisation itself is fully responsible for making the Raiders the laughing stock of the league.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 350 ✭✭ipitydafool


    Just to be clear I am not and never ever will be a Raiders fan! I also agree that the organisation needs to take culpability for its actions that has meant it has had 5 head coaches since 2021 but Carroll still deserved to go. All the other situations of head coaches coming in like BB, Andy Reid were when they were young coaches and given time under clear directuon. Hiring Carroll as the oldest head coach at 73 was to win immediately not a rebuild. Search any article from when he was hired - these are his words from the press conference when he was hired as Raiders HC

    “It took us a few years to get to the very top of the last couple programs I was with,” Carroll said, referring to leading USC to a national championship and winning a Super Bowl with the Seattle Seahawks. “We’re starting right now and going for it immediately. … We’re going to start right now, (we’re) going to go after it and build this team as quickly as we can.”

    9 months later after finishing 3-14 and failing miserably at what he came in to do and win straight away then deservedly fired.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 42,997 ✭✭✭✭eagle eye


    You don't build a team immediately. That doesn't sound like he was talking about a one season wonder to me. He just said they want to do it quickly. You draft as best you can the first year, see where you are at and then use FA and the draft to get ready for season 2.

    So how did their draft work out and it's only the rookie year. Jeanty needs help from the OL but he certainly has the talent. The two third rounders, Porter and Rogers were both starters. The WR they took in the second round didn't do so well but it's only year one and we often see receiver's not do well in year one.

    So thru had a decent draft. Now you know that you need axlit if help on the offensive line and you have the first round pick to get your QB and 33 to help bolster that OL.

    I don't know if it was this thread or another one where people were saying there's no true first pick in the draft at QB. Well that's definitely not true. There's two outstanding QBs in this class named Fernando Mendoza and Dante Moore. Personally Mendoza is my guy because he's very intelligent, works very hard including spending hours watching tape of his opposition.

    People said he'd struggle against Alabama's defense but he was brilliant as per usual. Intelligence, hard work and an excellent arm, you can't beat that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 788 ✭✭✭Kev8360


    Fully agree the Organisation(and by that I mean Mark Davis) is 100% responsible for the current state of the Raiders. Yes Pete Carroll is a winner in College and NFL and will be in the HoF when eligible but lets be real here - he's 74 and I am not sure what he saw in the roster that made him think he could turn this around quickly - he was only ever going to have 1-2 years as HC to turn it around and after year 1 it was obvious this will take a lot longer than that to become competitive in the most competitive division in the AFC - 20+ years of bad decisions will not be erased overnight.

    I get the feeling that Chip Kelly was there to succeed Carroll as HC eventually but his Offense just never got going this year - the O-line was dysfunctional and there were no signs that the personnel we have were bedding into it as the season went on and he paid the price for that with his job. It was obvious in pre-season that there was problems on the O-line and nothing was done to address it outside of shuffling players across the line to try and put square pegs in round holes. That should have been addressed by the GM and will 100% need to be addressed in the coming offseason or it will be same as 24/25 results no matter who they have in the skill positions.

    Big offseason ahead for John Spytek - just hope he is given the tools to improve the team for whoever is coaching next year.

    There are building blocks there - I believe the identity of the the Raiders when they have been at their most successful is a strong running game with a mean defense and the ability to stretch the field off play action- they have some of the tools to do this with the TEs, RB and DE - just lean into this and focus on getting the right pieces in the trenches. It'll take time but nothing good comes easy.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 903 ✭✭✭Prefab Sprouter


    I'm not having a go at Pete Carroll's career or his legacy, and I certainly am not blaming Pete Carroll for all the Raiders woes. However it can certainly be argued that even the most brilliant coach can land in the wrong place at the wrong time. And he is also prone to making errors. Appointing his son as the O-Line coach was not the smartest move because it left him open to accusations of nepotism, and it looked really bad when he refused to sack him when even the dog on the street could see that the O-line coaching was at best, inept. Everyone can dump on Geno Smith but no QB would have been successful behind that line. Jeanty is a great talent but he found himself meeting defenders in his own backfield all the time. Spytek deserves his share of criticism too, as the line issues should have been identified and dealt with in Free Agency. I do accept that the Raiders are an inept organisation, I also accept that Pete Carroll was an exceptional coach. However, I have spoken to Seahawks fans as well who maintain that Carroll was losing it in the last few seasons he was there and so its not beyond the realms of possibility that the game has passed him by. I liked Carroll and I welcomed the appointment but it didnt work out and any other Franchise would have done the same as we have done.



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