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Northern Ireland 2125?

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,068 ✭✭✭BENDYBINN


    the brits wont give up the north though…not a chance in hell.

    Anyone who thinks otherwise is just foolin themselves.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,062 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,546 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    The cost of maintaining N.I. is relatively little per UK taxpayer, as there are 38 million of them.

    All countries throughout the world make money in their biggest cities / centres of population, and subsidize the outer regions. Donegal gets subsidized by Dublin. If Donegal or Achill were an indepedendent country/ countries it or they would need to be subsidized too.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,062 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Nobody was surveying about the cost to the UK taxpayer.

    The survey asked how much more tax NIers would be willing to pay to stay in the UK Union or for a UI.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,546 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    And if there was a U.I., the subsidy from Britain would stop, meaning there would be extra cost to the taxpayers in the new U.I.

    As noted already, the study which asked how people would vote in a border poll and how much extra tax they would pay finds just 17.5 per cent would pay £5,000 more for unity.

    Think of the knock on effects of every taxpayer paying an extra 5,000 a year in taxes : people would have less money for coffee shops and discretionary income which would be hammered, forcing many shop, restaurants pubs etc to close. Some families already struggling simply could not pay an extra 5000 per year tax.

    As it is, as of late 2025, over 300,000 Irish households are significantly behind on their energy bills, with figures fluctuating but consistently high, indicating a major cost of living crisis. And you want them to paty an extra €5,000 per year?

    I think the 17.5% like you, are mad. Or else they have enough money (like Adams who can go to America for his medical treatment) not to worry about it.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,062 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    We don't know what extra if any would be needed until a proper plan is constructed.

    Some say high (working from a now dubious subvention) and some say low.

    Should be noted that a majority in the Dáil passed a motion to begin the Plan for a UI in Nov. too.

    That's not to say the present government will act but we can see where we are headed.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,546 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    Typical from SF, the party that very recently was caught out not even having the correct amount of properties in its accounts, you are putting the cart before the horse and making a b…s of it as usual.

    If you really want to waste many millions on something ( at a time when 300,000 households here are in energy arrears ), it should be a feasibility study, not a plan.

    As someone else says, a feasibility study comes first to check if an idea works or is viable; the business plan follows to explain how to make it successful. 

    A feasibility study investigates and finds out "Can we do this / what is the cost of doing this?" by assessing an idea's viability (market, technical, financial) to see if it's worth pursuingwhile a  business plan answers "How will we do this?" by detailing the roadmap, operations, and strategies for a viable project; the plan serving as a guide for execution and funding

    You could spend 50 or 100 million on a feasibility study or plan for that matter and it would not answer all the questions, because if for example the UK government says it would be unfair of the "mainland" taxpayer to absorb the N.I. share of UK national debt, it is unlikely SF or the Irish government would want that either.

    Also, to date, NATO as an alliance has never lost territory that was under its collective defense guarantee. If it lost N.I., which the security of a lot of the North Atlantic depends on, what would the countries there have to say about that? Hundreds of other similar questions. And by the time one or two questions get answered, the governments change.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,062 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Feasibility would be a part of the Plan.

    Anyone planning properly would know this.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,546 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    A feasibility study comes before a plan. You still have not a clue how much it would cost. You are a bit like the Brexiteers before Brexit, only much worse.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,062 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Not up to me to know.

    It is up to those making the plan - a majority of the Dáil think that should now begin.

    The previous leader of FG and the hotly tipped future leader of FF both think that needs to begin now too.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,546 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    How did the financials for their bicycle shed and national Childrens hospital turn out, or do they really care once they get their very large salaries and pensions? And now they want to go one worse by planning for something without knowing how much it would cost first?

    Anyway, interesting you admit you still have not a clue how much a U.I. would cost, despite the fact you have over 70,000 posts arguing for a U.I.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,062 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    That's for you to assess.

    Anyway, interesting you admit you still have not a clue how much a U.I. would cost.

    Eh, neither do you.

    Nobody has a definite figure on it. A few myths have been demolished this last while about it though as discussed here:


    The size of the subvention and how much of it will carry into a UI, or the NHS is a jewel that could not be done without, to name a couple.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,546 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    Ask the people of N.I. if they want to pay €65 for a GP vist ( free to all aldults in N.I. ), €100 for a&e, thousands for vhi etc. The free NHS may be something you feel people can do without, but maybe you like Adams can go to America for your medical treatment?

    The subvention to N.I. from Britain has been discussed, and only 17.5% of taxpayers here a U.I. if it means paying an extra 5k a year in taxes.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,062 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    And if you had followed the discussion of this report in the north this week you'd have heard it being pointed out to people that more and more are receiving free GP visits under Slaintecare.

    The Dublin government being immediately on the hook for the full subvention myth has also been busted.

    BTW It is NOT '17.5% of taxpayers here', it 17.5% of those who expressed an opinion in NI.

    There is of course still a high percentage of don't knows. Not the first time your knowledge has shown flaws.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,546 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    Slaintecare and free medical care here is great for asylum seekers and people who cannot afford otherwise €65 to see a doctor. You are right, because of poverty and immigration more and more people are availing of "free" visits to a doctor here. But most people have to pay.

    Since when has "The Dublin government being immediately on the hook for the full subvention myth has also been busted"? You mean if there was a United Ireland, the Northern Ireland part of the U.I. would pay its contribution through Stormont? Far as I knew nothing was agreed about a U.I, any more than if there was a united world goverment and everyone won the euromillions and lived happy every after.

    Paying the cost of a U.I. would fall on to the shoulders of taxpayers in Ireland. Other countries have their own debts and problems. The 17.5% figure was mentioned, ( percentage who would pay £5,000 more in tax for unity ) but I think it would be less that that after they saw so many businesses, coffee shop, retail, services etc close and the country go in to deep recession, if not civil war as well.

     300,000 households here are in energy arrears, how could they pay an extra 5000 in tax per year?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,062 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Paying the cost of a U.I. would fall on to the shoulders of taxpayers in Ireland.

    A country pays to run itself.

    Is there another way?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,960 ✭✭✭csirl


    There's no guarantee that people will have to pay more taxes if a U.I. The economics of the time might say differently.

    If people want to drag out individual out of context stats like N.I. people would have to pay 65e to see a doctor, we can also bring out the following:

    N.I. people will get way way more in social welfare payments and benefits. More per week that the cost of a doctors appointment.

    c.50% of Irish workers pay no net income tax



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,546 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    You expect others to pay for your U.I. Only a few post ago you were claiming "the myth" about "the size of the subvention and how much of it will carry into a UI" has been busted.

    According to the article below in west Belfast the " dependency culture to the point that one in four adults are now in receipt of some form of disability benefit. In the UK, being declared disabled automatically entitles claimants to free cars and west Belfast has the highest levels of this form of free transport provided by the British government under its Disability Living Allowance 'Motability' scheme."

    Who pays for all that?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,960 ✭✭✭csirl


    What would happen in N.I. if the UK taxpayer decided it wouldnt subsidise the place anymore? Could realistically happen given the rise of Engkish nationalism.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,062 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    You expect others to pay for your U.I.

    'Ireland' will pay for Ireland.

    I have paid taxes all my life, it's what you do if you want services and a stable society.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,062 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    It's only Francis who thinks a UI will be a utopia.

    Of course nobody is suggesting that, there will be all the usual challenges and differing political entities claiming their ideologies are the way forward.

    But as the burgeoning all island economy shows it makes sense that an island this small is better off united, because that all island economy is happening regardless of all the belligerent footstamping and fulminating. The bigger it gets the more seamless a transition to a UI will be.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,546 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    What would happen Donegal or Achill if Dublin decided it would not subsidise those places anymore?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,062 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    They degrade and society there would become unstable and infect areas around them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,546 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    That is not what you said before. You said you expected others (outside Ireland) to help pay for a U.I. You even said unionists (who would not live in a U.I. like Arlene Foster) should be paid to leave, and after pages of being pressed on who would pay for that you said the British should.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,546 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    So in other words its not going to happen. Unless Dublin runs out of money, like it did during the last recession, but unlike then could not borrow from the IMF/EU/UK.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,062 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    I never said 'I expected'.

    Do I think the EU will contribute structural type funding?

    Absolutely, that is what membership of the EU entails.

    Fact is, a UI is in the interests of the EU in terms of it's border and it is also in the interests of GB because it restores the integrity of it's sovereignty.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,546 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    As recently as post no 4395 this afternoon you said "The Dublin government being immediately on the hook for the full subvention myth has also been busted.".

    So in the event of a U.I. if the Irish taypayer does not pay €5,000 extra per year to keep the lights on in N.I., and the Dublin government does not, who does?

    And post no. 4401 just a few posts back you say "'Ireland' will pay for Ireland." But you expect Britain to pay to resettle unionists who would be unwilling to stay under your Republican government in a U.I.

    You are all over the place and should apologise.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,062 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Well Westminster does reduce funding to areas. Look at Northern England or Scotland. It's not just folk here talking about increasing budgetary pressures on Westminster since the disaster of Brexit either.

    Since the introduction of austerity by the UK Government in 2010, public spending across the UK has seen real terms cuts which have devastated public services in Northern Ireland and depressed wages in real terms.

    Analysis carried out by the Irish Congress of Trade Unions in Smart Money: Better options for Northern Ireland’s public finances (2024) shows that spending in Northern Ireland has been in decline despite the growth in population and the demographic change within the population itself.

    While the Northern Ireland Government determines the allocation of public sector spending, its overall budget is directly influenced by Westminster Government funding decisions, including education funding, through the Barnett formula.

    Political Briefing - The Barnett Formula and Public Spending (Northern Ireland)

    Any observer of GB would know that fiscal headroom is decreasing not increasing. More cuts are likely.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 81,062 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


     if the Irish taypayer does not pay €5,000 extra per year 

    Who said the Irish taxpayer will have to pay 5000?


    Did you just make that up?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,546 ✭✭✭Francis McM


    Northern Ireland is actually to get an extra £370m (€422m) as a result of the last UK budget announcement at Westminster.

    Now stop diverting and go back to the point.

    As recently as post no 4395 this afternoon you said "The Dublin government being immediately on the hook for the full subvention myth has also been busted.".

    So in the event of a U.I. if the Irish taypayer does not pay €5,000 extra per year to keep the lights on in N.I., and the Dublin government does not, who does?

    And post no. 4401 just a few posts back you say "'Ireland' will pay for Ireland." But you expect Britain to pay to resettle unionists who would be unwilling to stay under your Republican government in a U.I.

    You are all over the place and should apologise.



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