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Interesting articles

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 544 ✭✭✭Grassy Knoll


    agree this FT article chimes with what is known here for some time, but as also has been said here, this is becoming an issue internationally, particularly at the EU level. The freeloading and fool’s paradise politics, as exemplified by our new President and her utterances, grate particularly where other countries are making hard choices and feel potentially they have significant security risks emerging to their East. This is known and understood at the highest levels in government and the negative strategic impact this will have on our ‘operating model’ as a country and the potentially isolating impact it will have on us at a policy level. What I would feel it is probably a good time to be entering the DF as a career given there will be sustained and increasing investment for some time to come. However, our capability will take some time to develop given the low starting base. Finally, it seems there may be the emergence of a deal of some sort in Ukraine in the next few months. this likely means Russia will continue to fester away to our East with the current regime meddling, creating trouble and threatening the sovereignty of us and our EU colleagues. The argument for a strong DF remains valid.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,881 ✭✭✭sparky42


    Interestingly enough, this seems to be an FT article the likes of the IT doesn't want to republish, like they do with other articles, just yesterday on Nvidia's share price.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,360 ✭✭✭jonnybigwallet


    Thank you o wise one.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,073 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    The IT could well put it in the Weekend edition. As Mupper said, its a massive piece, it could take some shoehorning to republish and give it a profile.

    But I doubt it will pass uncommented on in the Irish fourth estate.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,881 ✭✭✭sparky42


    Maybe they will, but taking a week to publish it seems a bit off, I mean outside of actual FT readers and those like us who would have seen it, how much attention has it actually got in Ireland? If it was such a sized article on our Finances or FDI balance or something, I'd bet it would already be getting some public notice/Government reaction. Instead, all quiet.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,094 ✭✭✭blindsider


    https://www.irishtimes.com/politics/2025/11/29/minister-thomas-byrne-warns-on-russian-attacks-after-visit-to-baltic-republics/

    image.png

    That's from the end of the article. The Brexit reference is interesting in 2 ways:

    1. The EU DID support us re the border etc
    2. Credible reports are now emerging of direct foreign interference in the pro-Brexit campaign e.g. the Nathan Gill story and David Coburn, who now lives in France - "Sacre bleu!" https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cn09x11yr7ro

    For those without an Irish Times subscription, I'm sure the article above can be 'archived'.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,051 ✭✭✭CrabRevolution


    Pieces like that in the FT make no difference to any side of Irish politics. The Government will present it as "See, this is why we're making the right moves in our pathetic, sclerotic investment in the DF".

    The opposition will claim it's proof that the big globalist EU is pushing us to end neutrality at the behest of capitalist NATO warmongers.

    For a bunch of parties that often label themselves "Social Democratic", the Irish opposition have a powerful conspiratorial streak that you don't see in other countries. They'll loudly talk about misinformation, disinformation or conspiracies and the need to "educate" the "wrong" viewpoints out of the public regarding topics like immigration, LGBT etc. but then they'll turn around and with a straight face say that increased investment in Defence, or updating the triple lock are just part of a US imperialist plot to send our children to their deaths.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,881 ✭✭✭sparky42


    I see a French Frigate is in Cobh, wonder if it's going to wander up to Dublin just as we have Zelenskyy arriving tomorrow, only way any sort of no fly zone might be enforced.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,691 ✭✭✭✭banie01


    Very interesting in the wake of the UK's failure to agree joining SAFE funding programme that Canada has signed up.

    The strategic pivot undertaken by Canada has been very effectively managed and must rankle the Yanks.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,073 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Good enough for the U.S. , and for stupid Brexit Britain.

    Though I see Starmer decrying the Brexit effect in his address to the Square Mile yesterday, and warning strongly about the malign influence of China, so maybe Downing Street is preparing the ground for a strategic shift to reconnect more with the EU.

    Mind you, his is the same administration that just granted permission for an enormous new embassy of China, which will presumably house hundreds of intelligence agents too.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,073 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Indeed, the Aquitaine-class FREMM frigate FS Auvergne, no less.

    While not bound for Dublin, she would certainly be the type of ship France might lend us for the big EU presidency set-pieces.

    As Jonny would say, a fine bit of kit, and a snip at €860 million in today's money! 😱

    1000003903.jpg

    Photo credit: Niall O'Connor and The Journal.ie



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,881 ✭✭✭sparky42


    Certainly a nice ship, how the USN managed to butcher the FREMM design so much into the Constellation disaster is beyond me. But I'd settle for a FTI or two for that price…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,691 ✭✭✭✭banie01


    They kept adding weight and then decided they also wanted to include scope for future weight growth that they believe was beyond the scope of the hull. (Allegedly at least).

    The French AD variant is 6000 tons
    The Italian Anti Sub Variant is 6700.
    The Constellation is apparently already at 7500 and they keep adding more weight.
    Constant weight and scope creep means that eventually? The performance was going to take a hit as was seakeeping.

    How much more life can they flog out of the Burke's hull design?
    I wonder just how much the S.Koreans and their ship building and repair pitch swayed the decision?
    The yanks currently have a hard on for getting launch tubes available.
    Well and good but, those VLS cells need to have something to restock them with and whilst there are plenty of Tomahawks.
    There is a dearth of SM missiles and in particular SM6 and other AD and BMD missiles.

    https://nationalsecurityjournal.org/the-u-s-navys-great-missile-shortage/

    Last time I checked, the US had about 8500 launch tubes in service.
    Which is a lot but, factor in the need for reloads and magazine depth it looks like they are running the risk of having a hollow fleet in terms of missile reloads after any heavy missile exchange.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,873 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997


    I think the US is looking at likely opponents and their tubes counts..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,881 ✭✭✭sparky42


    If they were looking at their opponents they wouldn’t be in the state they are in now.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,881 ✭✭✭sparky42




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,873 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997


    They have litany of over complex poorly made projects thinking they were ahead of the opposition in terms of technology. When much of that failed or ran massively over budget and got cut down or cancelled they been left caught out.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,073 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Government is a collective. The cabinet takes joint decisions as one entity. It was always clear that Ryan was not remotely serious about this stuff himself while he was in cabinet. In fact the Greens implemented more stupid round-the-houses measures for climate compliance on major infrastructure than any other delaying factor in that period.

    Total metres of new light and heavy rail delivered during Ryan's tenure as Minister for Transport? Zero. Zip. None.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,073 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Apart from two ships already in build, Constellation and Congress, the programme has been cancelled.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,881 ✭✭✭sparky42


    not the point I was making, but the fact that DPER has a massive ability to slow things down and incredible shortsightedness, as can be seen in their roles regarding the state of the DF and procurement. There has to be a better balance between care of public finances and stalling on major investments or PS numbers.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 345 ✭✭mupper2


    kevin phipps1.jpg

    ..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,881 ✭✭✭sparky42


    Clocks ticking though, not long at all to get it, install it and trained up on it before the Presidency.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 676 ✭✭✭Razor44


    DPER hate the rest of the civil service in all shapes and cant abide investment in anything bar the thing its replacing is actually dead. See the very slow roll out of any IT upgrades or staff head counts in any departments or bodies staffed with civil servants. Most places are still down on head count and dont get replacements when someone leaves. Its very much penny wise pound foolish stuff.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,873 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997


    Its caused a massive amount of contactors and outsourcing which is more expensive in the long run.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 649 ✭✭✭vswr


    Which you hide in OPEX, so you're CAPEX looks great… and no one is none the wiser, other than the people who are doing the work of 2 or 3 people



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,073 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    It is and it isn't.

    Hiring contractors for a specific purpose, even if that purpose is long, is often more economical in the end when you aren't paying for their pensions.

    Though admittedly when it happens to paper cracks in permanent service provision, like nursing, then the whole people strategy needs to be examined. And that is happening with the Commission report and implementation.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,873 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997


    I agree it's not one size fits all. But you've some work being with contractors and outsourced for decades it's not simply saving on pensions. Its avoiding their obligations as employers



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 544 ✭✭✭Grassy Knoll


    I see to the end of November DoD have about €60m odd of capital money unspent from a total annual allocation of €215m. While there is the traditional end of year 'pile in' for invoices from builders etc, I assume some of this will settle up the balance on the new govt jet due this month. However, I'm also watching to see if there is any movement on the radar system and an announcement with down payment …



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,881 ✭✭✭sparky42


    the Junior Miniater has already said in committee that they expect to spend all their allocation this year, including the 20 odd million they moved from pensions to capital spend for down payment on the CUAS.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 544 ✭✭✭Grassy Knoll


    Thks for that update. With about €80m then, there might be money for a few items on the Santa list … Interesting to read the committee debate- clear support for DF investment



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