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Navan Rail Line

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,205 ✭✭✭✭Zebra3


    How come we have posts saying “we can’t just build new towns” and also “we’ll build SDZs along the line”?

    Surely both the same thing?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 501 ✭✭✭PlatformNine


    Honestly, I think being our second biggest town without a rail connection is more than enough justification for a rail connection.

    However, I think you are seriously underestimating the passenger count the Navan line could see. You based your estimate on Greystones numbers, when Drogheda would be a more accurate comparison given the distance and that Navan will likely be a similar size by then. Even then, Navan is already much larger than I think you realise, just over 50% larger than Greystones during the last census.

    I also don't think we need to be looking at numbers for other towns to get a good estimate, for that I think we just need to look at the NX's numbers. Last year it carrier 846000 people or an average of 2300 a day, and that doesn't even consider some of other routes passengers could use like the 109 and 109A.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,801 ✭✭✭✭Geuze


    Also, most bus traffic from Cavan / Kells and other places should integrate / connect / transfer onto the trains.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,556 ✭✭✭gjim


    Honestly, I think being our second biggest town without a rail connection is more than enough justification for a rail connection.

    We're veering dangerously into rail fetishism here. The purpose of PT spending should be to provide maximum utility to people - I don't care if the mode is rail, bus, bike or donkey and cart. Rail has strengths and weaknesses and we should be leveraging it's strengths not shoehorning it into every proposal where the costs are completely out-of-whack with the benefits.

    Picking projects based solely on a towns population size is "lines on the map" thinking. We need to think in terms of how many people a service will help move.

    There's underlying snobbery about non-rail public transport in Ireland (buses) which is weird. "It needs to be rail to get people out of their cars" - no it needs to be better (faster, more convenient) than driving.

    Drogheda is the opposite of Navan - there exists a functioning rail link already so the costs of providing the service is marginal - so I'm all for it.

    Like I said, if this this were a simple line upgrade and could be done for a couple of 100m, then it would be a no-brainer. But you no matter how much you stuff the numbers (and from experience, the mere existence of a rail option does mean everyone will abandon coach/bus services) and even if you manage to convince yourself that 4000 will take the train every day, we are still taking about paying nearly 1m per passenger to switch bus/coach users to rail.

    This per-passenger cost is simply not sustainable if we are to have any serious ambitions to improve PT in Ireland. It doesn't scale - if replicated it would mean that spending 100B on public transport infrastructure would only provide services for 2% of the population.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,070 ✭✭✭PeadarCo


    But if Navan is not a good candidate for a railway? Why reopen/build any new railways? Foynes, the western railway should also stop.

    We know the guts of a million passengers use the Bus to go between Navan and Dublin a year. That's despite the issues with the bus service at rush hour due to traffic on the M3 into Dublin which can leave travel times completely up in the air. The only way to improve the bus service is to expand the roads from Dunboyne onwards which isn't sustainable or possible.

    The fact a motorway was required to bypass the town should tell you in itself the demand. Towns along the former N3 have only grown due to the fact you no longer have multi kilometre long tail backs going in and out of the towns at certain times of the day. M3 traffic numbers may not be "high" but the old N3 was completely overcapacity for a long time before the motorway was built.

    There is hardly a better candidate for a new railway.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,556 ✭✭✭gjim


    But if Navan is not a good candidate for a railway? Why reopen/build any new railways? Foynes, the western railway should also stop.

    I agree - Foynes and the WRC are both wastes of money in terms of emissions or improving public transport. But at least they were/are relatively cheap so it doesn't bother me so much. Rail fetishists are fans of these projects because "all/any new rail is good" - regardless of cost or benefit or if anyone actually uses the service. But let them off - as long as the billions are being spent on properly beneficial stuff, I'm not going to get worked up about 100m here or there on these side projects.

    "Why reopen/build any new railways?" - if rail is the appropriate solution to providing a PT option, then go for it. In Ireland this means Cork and Dublin metro (heavy or light), Luas type systems in both (maybe also could work for Limerick and Galway) and eliminating bottlenecks and along the main intercity routes.

    The cost of this thing is simply insane. The entire Luas network in Dublin didn't cost this much and immediately improved the lives of people by providing a service that blew all the alternatives out of the water in terms of frequency and speed - hence 50-60m trips per year. We could electrify Belfast to Dublin and Dublin to Cork for this sort of money. It's just a completely bizarre project to prioritize given the huge shopping list of rail improvements we have to make up for nearly a century of underinvestment.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,141 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    If you don't think Navan is "Dublin metro" you have been in a coma for the last 30 years.

    Portlaoise is considered the Dublin commuter zone now by Irish Rail and Drogheda is going to be part of it too.

    Ennis to Limerick is a sucessful commuter line despite the motorway and bus so thinking Navan won't be is disingenuous bullsht.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 1,427 ✭✭✭riddlinrussell


    I have no problem with this project happening as long as a hierarchy of projects is done up of all the AISRR rail projects, and those that will benefit the most people (weighted somewhat against Dublin proper to offset the negative effects of overconcentrating projects in one city, see London vs rest of UK) are done first.

    I'd expect such a weighting to give us a list of projects that need to be done before this and for it to be quite long. Off the top of my head (Excluding existing projects)

    • Dublin-Cork Electrification + Line improvement for 'medium speed' rail
    • Belfast to Dublin Electrification and Line improvement
    • Dualling and Electrification of Limerick to LJ
    • Dualling/Electrification Athlone to Portarlington
    • Derry to Portadown Line
    • Dualling/Electrification Galway-Athlone
    • Intercity Bypasses: Portarlington to Hazelhatch, Kilcock to Hazelhatch, Drogheda to Clonsilla (all of huge benefit to a large number of commuters while simultaneously improving intercity services, win-win
    • Dualling/Line upgrade of any existing line that has the space for it within the envelope of IE/CIE lands
    • Navan
    • Remaining WRC sections
    Post edited by riddlinrussell on

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,556 ✭✭✭gjim


    I said metro, not commuter. You could be a bit more civil before trying to make a point about something I didn't mention.

    But btw I have not problem at all with commuter services and am a fan - where it can be done economically and especially if it squeezes more value out of existing rail infrastructure which is otherwise underutilized. Every town you mention was able to launch a commuter service without spending 3B euro to do it - thus benefit > cost.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,556 ✭✭✭gjim


    Yep. I'd swap Derry-Portadown with "Belfast to Dublin Electrification and Line improvement" but otherwise this looks like a perfectly reasonable list to me. And I'm guessing you're pretty close to the order you'd get if you were to rank them in terms of cost/benefit.

    But the WRC next stage getting the nod harks back to the bad old days when you could jump to the top of the list if you managed to get "your man" into a ministerial position and not based on overall benefits to the country and not based on need - gombeenism. This needs to be stamped out before swallowing billions of euro but also using up the finite pool of engineering/project management talent and construction resources on projects that deliver a fraction of the benefits compared to alternatives.

    People have short memories. "Sure we've loads of money, so why bother counting euros?" - the country was awash with cash 18 years ago and full of plans for rail and PT investment before everything went to shite. Back then we were vulnerable to property development taxes falling and now we are vulnerable to a collapse in corporate tax income. If the latter ever goes boom (unlikely but possible), then projects will get cancelled again so it's so it's vital we start with the projects that deliver the most benefits to the most people per euro spent, given how far behind the country is in terms of rail public transport.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,070 ✭✭✭PeadarCo


    Comparing or even mentioning the Navan line in the same conversation as WRC just shows a huge ignorance of the situation. I'd completely agree that the WRC is a waste and would be better as a Greenway. But I'd argue the same about electrifying intercity lines. Ireland doesn't have the population to support this. To really improve speed on intercity trains you need completely new routes as what has been done in places like France and Japan. But that obviously costs money. To do it properly you are talking about a new railway.

    Rail makes sense in Ireland when it comes to commuters. Between Navan and Dublin alone you have not far off a million bus journeys a year. This does not include Dunshaughlin and it's catchment area. The numbers would be higher if there were more buses and higher again if travel times were reliable at rush hour. This number will only grow due to housing demand. For the housing crisis to be solved large numbers of houses will be required in the area which the line would follow will only increase the numbers of people who would use it. Also going back to housing travel times on the bus are only likely get worse as Dublin grows to meet the housing need.



  • Moderators, Motoring & Transport Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 23,729 Mod ✭✭✭✭bk


    But I'd argue the same about electrifying intercity lines. Ireland doesn't have the population to support this. To really improve speed on intercity trains you need completely new routes as what has been done in places like France and Japan. But that obviously costs money. To do it properly you are talking about a new railway.

    What you are talking about here is TGV or true 300km/h HSR. That would cost in the region of 40 to 50 Billion Euro, which of course would never happen.

    What Irish Rail are proposing is far more reasonable and far more affordable.

    200km/h electric Intercity trains on mostly the existing tracks. It should give us significant reduction in journey times, but without ridiculous cost. 90 minutes from Dublin to Cork/Limerick/Galway/Waterford/Belfast would be game changing for the intercity network.

    This is the same approach that other smaller European countries like Netherlands and Switzerland are mostly taking. Interestingly I was watching a video that compared TGV too 200km/h trains on the same line and they were pointing out that because TGV trains were much heavier, they have a significantly slower acceleration/deceleration speed. As a result on lines with shorter distances and many stops, the 200km/h trains could keep up quiet well, I think there was only a 10 minute difference between the TGV and 200km/h train on that line between the same stations!

    Also the thing is, much of this is going to be done regardless. The Enterprise and Mark 4 need to be replaced anyway over the next few years, so getting 200km/h capable trains to replace them makes sense, specially given that it is largely become the default for new MU intercity trains, it is almost difficult to get ones that aren't 200km/h compatible and we need to decarbonise our rail network regardless due to our environmental goals. That just leaves upgrades to the existing track to unlock those 200km/h speeds and since it isn't a whole new track, should be much more affordable and can be done gradually over time.

    Also I believe 200km/h is required on the Cork to Dublin line by the EU as it is a core TEN-T line, likely to get significant funding from them for that too.

    I'm not really comparing this to Navan, more pointing out IR's Intercity plan makes a lot of sense.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,556 ✭✭✭gjim


    Comparing or even mentioning the Navan line in the same conversation as WRC just shows a huge ignorance of the situation.

    They’re the same in terms of la-la-land cost benefit. The estimate for the Navan rail project is more than 30 times that of WRC. Ridership from Claremorris is likely to be minuscule but if they manage even 100 boardings a day - it will beat Navan in terms of capital per passenger converted to rail.

    In both cases the rail option will be barely faster (slower in the WRC case) than the existing bus and coach services. Making the decision to spend such sums to “convert” passengers from one PT mode to another even more ridiculous.

    I couldn’t disagree more with you about intercity development but @bk has expressed most of what I’d say. TGV is never going to happen - the distances on the island are not sufficient. The Swiss have examined this option a number of times and decided it doesn’t make sense in smaller countries and they have TGV arriving at their borders - 200km/h electric should be and is the target - TGV is monorail/maglev territory in terms of misguided ideas for future Irish rail. Also, numbers for context - 35,000 passengers board intercities in Heuston every day so knocking 20 minutes off every journey is significant.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,746 ✭✭✭✭end of the road


    with respect to portlaoise, really it only is considdered as part of the commuter network because of the rail care depot and the need to get trains to and from it, so running the tad extra to the station makes sense.

    i'm not saying that is right or fair but it is realism, if it wasn't for that then it's likely it would just be a stop on the inter city services only and nothing more.

    I'm very highly educated. I know words, i have the best words, nobody has better words then me.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,746 ✭✭✭✭end of the road


    anyway, the navan line absolutely is a critical project for the reasons i already mentioned, the bus and road capacity is beyond a situation where road transport and more of it can solve any issues.
    it has to be done, no iffs, no buts, no excuses.

    the numbers and usership is there, and even if it is the case the cost will be high the reality is the cost of the alternatives to try and get out of building it will be way way more.

    time to choose a route and get it done.

    I'm very highly educated. I know words, i have the best words, nobody has better words then me.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,141 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    The terminus used to be much closer to Dublin was it not ?

    Why is it all that way out if there is no need or demand ?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,746 ✭✭✭✭end of the road


    to be fair i never said there was no need or demand, what i said is that it is out that far because of the rail care depot that maintains the inter city units.
    i didn't say that should be the case, in fact it's quite right it has the level of service it has, but i'm under no illusions it would have the level of service it has but for the maintenence depot, or a minister forcing the issue.
    remember nearly all of what we have as a suburban/commuter network exists because of a minister forcing the issue.
    the best and most recent example is the phoenix park tunnel services, only introduced because the NTA forced it, does anyone really think it would be there if irish rail had their way?

    I'm very highly educated. I know words, i have the best words, nobody has better words then me.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,556 ✭✭✭gjim


    absolutely is a critical project

    "Absolutely critical"? - complete hyperbole.

    There is absolutely no transport capacity bottleneck between Navan and the M50 which is the path that this rail project covers. Where is the critical need for a rail line to bring people from Navan to Pace when there is an underutilized overspecced motorway connecting these endpoints already? And the rail line will be slower than an express coach using this motorway at getting people from Navan to M3 Parkway.

    Yeah, you'd have to transfer/change transport modes but this is completely normal in countries who take public transport seriously - using a mixture of public transport modes is perfectly normal.

    But no, in Ireland, before trying to bring our busy intercity routes - riddled with level crossings, single track sections and poor bends and lacking any electrification - even up to 1980s standards, or doing the same for our capital's metro heavy rail system, lets first find some old alignments that wind through empty countryside and were closed 50 or 60 years ago due to lack of viability and reinstate them. Navan and Claremoris WRC have a lot in common in this regard.

    This isn't the way to approach modern rail development, this is rail fetishism. We do NOT want the network we had in the 1950s - it would be useless in the modern age.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,556 ✭✭✭gjim


    I missed this the last time.

    Limerick Ennis commuter service is NOT a great success. It carries fewer than 300 people a day and has crappy frequencies, and that's after a few years of annual celebrations of "bumper growth". I did the ride once for the novelty of it.

    There are exactly 10 times as many bus and coach services operating per day serving this trip and that's excluding the slow stopping services.

    An overwhelming majority of the people doing this trip, despite having the choice of using a marginally faster rail option, are still choosing coach or bus because of better frequency, more convenient stop locations (Colbert is not well located for anyone North of the river or the centre of the city compared to Arthurs Quay or Ennis Rd) and better price.

    It's because regular people don't have a fetish for rail - they'll use what gets the job done in the most convenient way.



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