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Hi all, please see this major site announcement: https://www.boards.ie/discussion/2058427594/boards-ie-2026

Presidential Election 2025

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,028 ✭✭✭Caquas


    No, you don't get the distinction between the Government and the party.

    It wasn't the Government who gave FF the Áras on three occasions, it was FG, the only party that could challenge FF for the Áras. They couldn't face the electorate in 1974 or 1976 or 1983 because their government was so unpopular and so the FG party (not the coalition Government) conceded the Aras to FF. FG would have done the same in 1990 but for Dick Spring.

    Here's another humiliating FG Presidential fact you won't hear in the media. HH was the most successful FG candidate in the past half-century with 29.7% of First Preferences.😂



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,362 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    No you are missing the point.

    The point was in many years we had votes between 2 or 3 candidates or no vote at all. That was the point.

    Nothing I said is wrong on the point in question.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,855 ✭✭✭liamtech


    Its always been present. Mainly among the more hard-line Unionist/Loyalist.

    The huge advantage that NI is in - being within both the EU Customs Union // Single Market, while also having full access to the UK. This is a huge advantage, but its always sold as the 'great betrayal' of the Unionists, by London. We are also held responsble of course.

    Look at the dabacle around EURO 2028. NI had the oppertunity to host matches, but hard liners couldnt get behind it because of the inclusion of Casement park. Yes there were other issues, but the predominant view from Hard Loyalism was that Casement is a nationalist park, and shouldnt be funded by the UK.

    I have every respect for a persons right to identify as British, and Unionist. But there is a powerful bloc within this societal group that cannot be reasoned with. If GB mainland caught fire, they would be pouring petrol on their own rooves within an hour. They are single issue, against Irish Nationalism, and that includes anything they can frame along those lines - all other considerations are null and void

    Sic semper tyrannis - thus always to Tyrants



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,768 ✭✭✭✭sligeach


    A record number of the electorate didn't feel spoiled by the candidates, and so spoiled their votes.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,028 ✭✭✭Caquas


    No lies, just facts that she managed to dodge. Anti-EU, anti-American, pro-Brexit with a gangster for her Parliamentary assistant. "Framing" = uncomfortable truths.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,781 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Thats just it, she no longer has a choice.

    Her days of pinko, tankie, commie activism are over.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,438 ✭✭✭✭Quantum Erasure


    In fairness the spoiled vote of 6.25% of the electorate (13.5*46.2) is bigger than 10% of 40%...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 3,565 ✭✭✭Cyclingtourist


    "Is there a particular reason why Humphries did so badly in Donegal compared to most other constituencies?"

    No one by that name was running.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,028 ✭✭✭Caquas


    Interesting responses and I wish this had been explored with the candidates.

    "Speaking for the people" or "being a voice for the voiceless"😫 is not the same as criticizing the Government, certainly not for HH. It would be perfectly legitimate for the President e.g. to deplore the level of homelessness but not if, like Michael D., the President blames the government's policies.

    No. The President doesn't have to do either under Art. 14.7 but I want to hear them say that, if they did use Art. 14.7, they would submit their message for Government approval. That leads to the next question - why would you do that if you don't need government approval for any other speeches?

    No. CC never said she would get Government approval for any communication with foreign Heads of State. Why would she resile from the terrible precedent of Michael D. 's love letter to the Ayatollah?

    Doing the Government's bidding at every hand's turn while mouthing off against them is the very definition of hypocrisy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,438 ✭✭✭✭Quantum Erasure




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 3,565 ✭✭✭Cyclingtourist


     "Varadkar elevated the mediocrities McEntee and Harris because he seemed to think that they were not challengers to his leadership."

    LOL

    Varadkar decided to leave and did, hardly a sign of leadership paranoia.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,082 ✭✭✭An Claidheamh


    Is it about time we sent out a search party for Blanch?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,781 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    I can say as a FG member that it wasn't paranoia.

    After the botched referendum, he KNEW he had a target on his back, and he was correct in that assessment.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 159 ✭✭thenuisance


    The spoiled votes %age is actually over the 6-12% that I reckoned on. And I thought 12% was a real outside figure.
    I do think there is a significant %age of the population who feel that no traditional political party represents their view - and in this case they actually took the trouble to come out and vote. No matter who undertook that encouragement to spoil their vote the response seems remarkable.
    It's perhaps not as remarkable as it looks on the surface - the (generally) right wing parties and independents outside the fold had polled 12 to 16 % in the 2011, 2016 and 2020 elections. In the 2024 election that jumped to 25% - in that election there were candidates offered that provided the policies that these voters wanted. The European results offer a parallel result although the numbers differ as Harkin and Flanagan are left independents rather than right leaning.
    The Presidential election shows that there were about 12% of the population dissatisfied with what was on offer.
    It's quite rightly pointed out there were plenty of reasons for spoiling your vote - my guess is that possibly up to half of these voters were dissatisfied voters who belonged to one of the main tribes (FF mainly but perhaps a few FG). They came out because they are used to voting. The other 6% however are disaffected with the political process - but they are also sufficiently disaffected to make the effort to vote and that makes me think that these 'homeless' voters are a far greater number - probably closer (either more or less) to that additional 12% who came out to vote for independents in the last election.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 854 ✭✭✭kazamo


    where did you get that graphic, as it is wrong

    • there was no election in 2004 as there was only one candidate, so no need for an election
    • There were four elections before 1990 and all had turnouts above 50% but these elections don’t count ?

    So this election is not the lowest, it is the second lowest out of 8 elections. It may get above the 1997 turnout, so would rise to bottom 3 of 8.

    But hey, don’t let facts get in the way of your soap box standing.

    Have a good evening 😎



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,992 ✭✭✭For Petes Sake


    Spoiled votes, no matter how many there are, mean absolutely sweet f*ck all.

    Nobody will care in a week.

    No issue with people using their vote to spoil it. At least they're getting up off their arse to use their democratic right.

    Although those who write about it being 'undemocratic' while they use that democratic right are very, very silly indeed.

    It actually looks like that despite the apathy towards this election, turn out is higher than in 2018.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,908 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout


    Interesting trend developing in the constituencies with the highest % of spoiled votes. Lots of midlands regions.

    Any theories on that? Is there a higher presence of Celtic tiger hotels converted into IPAS centres? More catholic conservative types?

    image.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,469 ✭✭✭✭dulpit


    I see Micheal Martin wasn't going to attend Dublin Castle for the confirmation of the vote later, but has since changed his mind.

    Whatever happened to him since last election, I don't know. But he's gotten super cranky and is doing everything it seems to hurt his legacy. If he had decided to run for president he'd have been the clear front runner, a likely winner and have a nice retirement then. Instead he could end up facing a vote of no confidence within the party...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,438 ✭✭✭almostover


    Maths musn't be your strong point. The average turnout in those 5 presidential elections was 54.3%. So this turnout was below average.

    56.1% is the middle or median turnout of those 5 elections.

    This is a low turnout election, just not as low as 2018. Get the facts correct.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,028 ✭✭✭Caquas


    No wonder I missed your point - you keep changing it.

    You said that

    the government decided who the president was with no election.

    Now that I have corrected you twice, you are making a completely different point:

    we had votes between 2 or 3 candidates or no vote at all.

    What's wrong with a vote between 2 or 3 candidates, assuming the candidates represent a clear majority of the population (as FF+FG did for decades)?.

    I explained that some Presidents were not elected because FG couldn't stomach the fight in the 70s and 80s. In other cases e.g. Douglas Hyde, Mary McAleese, there was no election because the candidate commanded wide popular support.

    In no case did the Government decide who was President. That was always a matter for members of the Oireachtas or of local authorities.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,992 ✭✭✭For Petes Sake


    Utterly embarrassing for Martin. Both for the initial decision not to go, then having to row back on it because he got such a wallopping for it.

    Absolutely right that he attends. Would have been a disgrace if he didn't. Go there, take your beating, and say 'well done' to Connolly.

    I don't see anything about him being there yet mind, and a declaration isn't too far away.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,704 ✭✭✭Jack Daw


    There is talk about spoiled votes, if people didn't turn up and spoil there vote there would be no similar talk about low turnout.It has at least got some traction in the media and may get through to the political parties how fed up a decent proportion of the population are.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,992 ✭✭✭For Petes Sake


    Except it won't, because when people spoil their vote it doesn't actually count for anything.

    Like I say, nobody will care in a week, Catherine Connolly is still President with the biggest mandate given by anyone in the State, ever.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 13,871 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    President elect Catherine Connolly speaking on Radio 1 now

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth house?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,438 ✭✭✭✭Quantum Erasure


    Spoiled votes, no matter how many there are, mean absolutely sweet f*ck all. Nobody will care in a week.

    Martin was asked about the high numbers of spoiled votes, said he'd have to look at how the nomination process worked



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,704 ✭✭✭Jack Daw


    About 25% of the electorate voted for connolly , not exactly a gigantic mandate when there were only 2 candidates



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,438 ✭✭✭✭Quantum Erasure


    where did you get that graphic, as it is wrong

    Probably an AI summary...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,992 ✭✭✭For Petes Sake


    She has gotten more votes than any candidate in any election ever, even with low turnout and high numbers of spoils.

    Nobody in the history of the State has had a bigger individual mandate.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,855 ✭✭✭liamtech


    I can only speak on the Dublin Constituencies and say that they would be underprivaleged in certain areas, and probably working class. Its difficult because the various constituency borders have shifted numerous times, but I have lived in both South Central, and Mid West - between these you could include Ballyfermot, Clondalkin, Inchicore etc. I think there is dissatisfaction and disaffection. And this could have added to both the spoiled votes, but also - if you check, these constituencies voted heavily for Connolly, as opposed to HH. So they would be left wing - like myself in fairness

    I worry about these areas as to there being targetted by bad actors, beyond mere anti establishment - And we have seen what can come of this.

    Just to be clear, I am not having a dig at them (i lived there), and I respect peoples right to vote, and to spoil their vote! - But dissatisfaction with the establishment would be high, in my view. I cant speak to the other constituencies but, thats as i see it

    image.png

    Sic semper tyrannis - thus always to Tyrants



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,386 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    I thought this part of Connolly's speech was excellent, setting a very good tone: “Together we can shape a new Republic, that takes confidence in our identity, our Irish language, our English language - and the new people who have come to our country.”



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