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Presidential Election 2025

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,157 ✭✭✭realdanbreen


    ThThere's Also the fact that far from getting the FF vote it is common knowledge that large tracts of FF are completely pissed off with Gavin having been parachuted in to run.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,580 ✭✭✭✭gormdubhgorm


    HH faring the best on the UI question- invoking McAleese etc. Even bringing Arlene Foster to a GAA match

    Connolly- seemed a bit edgy on the question- article 3 mentioned etc

    Gavin - real bluffers answer, goes on about change - up to the government’s etc.

    Guff about stuff, and stuff about guff.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 15,991 ✭✭✭✭Arghus


    Gavin's pitch seems to be that if there's a state dinner he will definitely attend.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 813 ✭✭✭weadick


    Makes me nostalgic for the 2011 election.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,855 ✭✭✭liamtech


    A poor debate, by three fairly poor candidates, IMHO

    Jim Gavin

    Had some good points to make, but it was very difficult to understand him. He has no experience, or no ability at this game. He walked into a few tight spots. I think he shown through on a few minor occasions. His point on HAMAS, and referencing the PA statement last week was strong. At other times he seemed to stall completely, and lose the run of himself. If he had run as a TD years ago, and gathered some experience, this could have been totally different. He had the talking points, but demonstrated an inability to talk.

    Of course, FF could have selected a seasoned politician. But they chose this man.

    Heather Humphreys

    A serious underperformance from someone seasoned in political experience. She had her moments in the second half. Fumbled a lot on the points relating to policing, and the Occupied territories Bill. She did well in the second half, compared to her barely being present in the first portion of the debate. I have to say, responding to the housing crisis question

    Q. Is the housing crisis a disaster –

    A. Well its a disaster for those who cant get houses

    This was the moment i literally couldn’t help laughing – Heather ‘Obviously’ Humphreys.

    Heather did not come off well in this debate. She wasn’t a strong presence, and i expected a lot more from her.

    Catherine Connolly.

    She made the largest contribution. I don’t agree with a lot of her foreign policy positions. A fun drinking game could have been had, were we to do a shot every time she mentioned a ‘Military Industrial Complex’. Of course we would all be quite tanked at this stage. But CC did very well, and probably made the biggest splash tonight. On social issues, CC killed it too.

    She did far better than i expected, and at times she seemed to spoil the others and knock them off their stride. She was very vocal and even when i didn’t agree with her – i knew precisely where she stood.

    OVERALL – CC won the debate, no doubt. We remain uncertain of what this means, until we see the polls. But she weathered the debate and emerged as the winner in my mind.

    As to who came second;

    Its a tossup really, I think HH didn’t make enough of an impact, and underperformed. JG had some fantastic points but his terrible delivery – so poor at times. Really i couldn’t slip a five euro note between them, and id be interested to see how people here respond.

    Post edited by liamtech on

    Sic semper tyrannis - thus always to Tyrants



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,369 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    Humphries reminds me was too much of a Gift Grub character.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 278 ✭✭Pat734


    Moderator wants accolades for asking and not letting people talk. It's a bit of a non event really, apart from a type of interrogation of Connolly who has more or less been the only one of the 3 capable of answering fully anything she has been asked. Gavin not anything near being an occupant of the Áras, Heather the poor girl needs help badly. People will have been impressed with Connolly, but the moderator made a proper cock up with his questions and non questioning of 2 candidates who needed to answer controversaries they've created themselves.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,586 ✭✭✭munster87


    The other two almost made Connolly look impressive.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,885 ✭✭✭Downlinz


    Imagine how Billy Kelleher must feel watching that



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,580 ✭✭✭✭gormdubhgorm


    Jim Gavin last for sure. Plus the only time one candidate Connolly directly questioned another. It was him.

    Connolly quizzing him on Israel’s “Military objectives” really riled Gavin. With Gavin leaning over waving hands -not good optics.

    Connolly won the debate overall. I think. Most assured/consistent of the three.

    HH lines seem to be that’s terrible for xyz. There needs to be…..In government we have done some…abc.

    But she was much stronger on NI/UI than the other two right at the end - though. People remember the end of debates more?

    Put it this way Gavin is fast moving to my third preference. I started feeling sorry for him the longer the debate went on.

    Guff about stuff, and stuff about guff.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,855 ✭✭✭liamtech


    Yes absolutely - this, 100%

    Really hard to see how Jim Gavin wins this election. And i cant help but feel angry that he is in this situation.

    Honestly i feel annoyed, the man is a legend in Dublin, and for the GAA as a whole. This is reminiscent of the FAI, picking Steve Staunton as manager. I remember being angry, but angry at the FAI, as opposed to Staunton himself.

    Jim Gavin is a great man, wonderful history in GAA - but If he wins this election, I will literally be stunned.

    Sic semper tyrannis - thus always to Tyrants



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 781 ✭✭✭feelings


    she is on record about it, she's commented on it several times over the last few months.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,623 ✭✭✭jmcc


    He would have done better than Gavin and Humphreys. Not sure about Connolly. She has managed to look presidential while the others were just on a chat show.

    Regards…jmcc



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,580 ✭✭✭✭gormdubhgorm


    I found the gist. Connolly is going to use her salary “for the common good”.

    Guff about stuff, and stuff about guff.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,855 ✭✭✭liamtech


    Yea i felt sorry for him. Ugh, he should never have been put in this situation

    In terms of the election, anything is possible.

    I could see Jim Gavin being the first eliminated. And his transfers decide the winner.

    CC could get the largest amount of 1st prefs, but HH would probably benefit more from JGs transfers?

    Thats roughly where i am at right now

    Sic semper tyrannis - thus always to Tyrants



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,128 ✭✭✭harryharry25


    Why would you feel sorry for him? He put himself in this position

    Nobody to blame but himself



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,855 ✭✭✭liamtech


    That is absolutely true, but again. I just like the man. He is a legend in Dublin, and regardless of political leanings, its sad to see him perform so poorly.

    I cannot help but blame FF for this. They could have had a season politician, but they decided to go down the celebrity road for presidential candidates.

    Sic semper tyrannis - thus always to Tyrants



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,128 ✭✭✭harryharry25


    He could have said no. He refused to answer why he decided to run for FF

    He seen the money and the bright lights of the Presidential role and thought il have some of that



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,580 ✭✭✭✭gormdubhgorm


    Gavin was that bad if he is eliminated first with low 1st preference. It could put Martin under pressure.
    I honestly didn’t think Gavin would be so poor when he initially won the nomination.

    But it looks like an awful decision for Gavin and Martin now and for those in FF who backed him.

    Complete fish out of water. Nothing like the Jim Gavin who used to field GAA questions with ease.

    The only thing worse I can remember GAA stars going into politics- was years ago when Graham Geraghty FG - Meath and John O’Leary FF - Dublin were parachuted in to run as TD’s.

    Virgin Media/TV3 decided to have the two debate each other. It was like a comedy skit.

    Guff about stuff, and stuff about guff.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,855 ✭✭✭liamtech


    Look nothing hinges on it, and yes i concede the point. I just know the man as the football legend he became. And seeing him under the cosh is hard.

    But broadly speaking your point is correct. I dont think it matters, he has little chance of being elected.

    Sic semper tyrannis - thus always to Tyrants



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 17,972 ✭✭✭✭Goldengirl


    Post of the night ^^

    My thoughts went exactly to this as I watched JG fist bump the air for the umpteenth time to try to finish his sentence .

    Poor from him and didn't really think his answers made complete sense except about PeaceKeeping . But he brought that and the NE inner city Dublin into too many answers . It sounded like a child's debate or an interview .

    Thing is I have always liked him ..as Dublin manager .

    Heather was pretty pathetic and answered everything with the same' round in circles not really to the point ' politician in government style and as another mentioned , finishing with a smile . Except UI which is what you would expect given her background . But Heather, no point having a UI if we haven't sorted the" very important " issue of Housing first . And weren't you in government ??

    Connolly answered all with aplomb and had a quiet dignity .

    Sure winner on this debate even taking into account the clangers about Germany and Ukraine . She was bang on about Trump and why he should not be called a Peacemaker . And stuck it to the non Gaelgoirs with her Irish speaking esp at the end , lol .

    But , hearing her talk about her being an Independent , felt a little niggle about whether she would be too independent for the actual job which is a stately role mostly .

    Maybe she will relax into it when she gets to the Áras , which I think is very probable if she performs as well in the other debates .

    Mixed feelings watching this tonight .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 8,568 ✭✭✭RedXIV


    Can't argue with others, CC def came across the best and while I don't agree with her on her views on foreign affairs or crime, she definitely appeared more presidential than the others. Almost forgot HH was in it multiple times.
    JG didn't do terrible considering it was his first foray into politics really, in particular I thought he followed up CC well at the start regarding Russia but he does have very repetitive motions, I was happy to hear the task force answer get dismissed by moderator after hearing it multiple times.

    God it really is a poor offering of candidates.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 183 ✭✭spark_tank


    There's a great dignity about Catherine Connolly's manner that makes her a fitting candidate.

    While the other two appeared to be reciting their script (and stumbling when dragged from it) it appeared to me that Catherine would have hardly needed to prep for this. I remember thinking the same thing of Michael D.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,399 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    Connolly came across as sincere (and I wouldn't have been a big fan before the debate). The other two were spouting meaningless platitudes. With CC, you felt she was saying what she really believed.

    It's a real pity Steen wasn't on the ballot - she and CC would have lifted the overall quality of the debates much higher.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 79,468 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    The overwhelming takeaway was CC has a brain of her own and doesn’t require scripted answers.

    Heather was Heather, no surpises at all with her non committal style. Might have her faux pas on the OTB come back to haunt her.

    Gavin just terrible, coached to the level of a robot and floundered when he came off script. A poor 3rd tonight.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,212 ✭✭✭CowboyTed


    Yep, pretty poor debate… the moderator looked like the one who was running to be president, he did more attacking than any of them…

    CC communicated best but there was the incoherent thing where she was bleating on about Industrial Military Complex while then admitting our seas are largely not policed.. How one of the other two didn't see it was a laugh while the moderator could.

    As for Gaza.. Answer is pretty simple, we have led Europe in our condemnation of the genocide that is going on there… Yes, we are friends of US but with America right now you get more with honey than the stick. I am sorry but that is reality, we can't live in aspiration. Both could have stated that attacking the NFL is pretty stupid considering that it is beloved by all Americans and this would just alienate our voice. There are many many people in America that deplore what is going on in Gaza who love NFL.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,623 ✭✭✭jmcc


    Steen on the ballot would have been interesting. She would have highlighted the poor quality of Humphreys and Gavin as cadidates. Both FF and FG now have a Connolly problem in that people may now be thinking of Connolly as presidential while Humphreys and Gavin are not. There is also a court case underway with a hearing on the 7th of October. FF will probably be hoping that RTE's debate will help Gavin because his campaign went pear-shaped tonight.

    Regards…jmcc



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 7,189 ✭✭✭secman


    3 poor candidates, seriously considering spoiling my vote as I can't vote for any of them .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,399 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    I felt Gavin was in huge trouble even before tonight's debate. He has been just as stiff and awkward in his other interviews and public appearances.

    Could well have been a Connolly / Steen top 2 in the election if tonight was anything to go by. We already knew Steen was very articulate and an excellent debater from earlier TV appearances.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,623 ✭✭✭jmcc


    Steen gutted Martin in the refereda debates. Then again, that's not much of an achievement with Martin as an opponent. She would have made it a much more interesting debate.

    Gavin is a really poor choice and that speaks to Martin's ineptitude as the leader of FF. He's more FG than FF. Gavin was approached by FG to run in the Euros. With Humphreys and Gavin, it was like looking at the rural and urban FFG candidates. The only non-FFG candidate is Connolly. The danger for FFG is that Connolly not only becomes the candidate of the centre and Left but also becomes the "None of the Above" candidate. Currently, FF and FG combined party suppport is around 42%. If it becomes an electorate versus FFG election, then Connolly could win. Gavin needed to have had a much better debate. Beyond the platitudes, he just just not a politician. If Steen had been on the ballot paper, this would have quickly become a Connolly versus Steen election.

    Regards…jmcc



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