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Tesla Talk 2

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,958 ✭✭✭✭prawnsambo


    I always thought it was a tool to drive the share price. These announcements always seemed to coincide with a slump.

    Either way, it leaves a gaping hole in his credibility.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,200 ✭✭✭✭Cyrus


    and yet if he delivers it no one will care about false dawns, i think he has enough credibility built up at this point if he never succeeds in anything again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,958 ✭✭✭✭prawnsambo




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,926 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    It makes sense that you would receive the market value for your car and with that you should have the money to buy the same make/model/mileage etc. Or am I missing something? Your deposit was 'lost' the day you handed it over in lieu of the car, was it not?

    Of course that's what Tesla want is for you to stay with them so I'm sure that's part of the thinking, however they are not the only ones to have dropped prices so you could probably afford many other makes/models as well



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,326 ✭✭✭✭ELM327


    In other cars I would have a balance remaining after 2-3 years in excess of the GFMV to use as the deposit for the next car. Instead I received the market value which was less than the outstanding balance.

    Elon's incessant price drops over the 24 month period (54k to 37k for the car I had) meant I would have been handing the car back at the end of the agreement as it wasn't worth the GFMV.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,926 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    I presume you mean the GMFV on a PCP? I would have thought that whatever the insurance paid out would have gotten you another car of a similar make/model/mileage and at the end of your term you could just hand that in for the GMFV

    In the event that the car wasn't written off, you could have handed the car back at the end of the term or you could have bought the car outright for less than the GMFV, could you not?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,200 ✭✭✭✭Cyrus


    true but similar with VW on price drops and effectively audi as well given the way they have depreciated.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,326 ✭✭✭✭ELM327


    Yes, PCP GFMV, it was about 9 months to end of term. Settlement was 24 at end of PCP, current balance was 31k from memory at time of accident. Insurance offered 27k to start, i bargained them up to 31k so it was net zero. I would have handed it back but it was cat D damaged, so I'd have had to repair it before handing back.

    You can't trade what car your PCP is on.

    At the end of the PCP you either pay the GFMV or hand the car back , or sell it for in excess of the GFMV and the sale price less the GFMV is yours.

    Started by elon's drops.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,926 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    So you had the GMFV paid off? I'm failing to see the problem being honest… Would the 31k have bought you the same car with that age and mileage? Buying the PCP would have cost you the same thing like in any case.

    The price of car batteries was coming down at the time, if Elon didn't drop the prices then some other manufacturer would have, especially on the back of BYD's introduction. We'd also have far less EVs physically on the road and far less interest in EVs which would in turn have knocked resale values as well.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,326 ✭✭✭✭ELM327


    I argued until they paid off the outstanding balance (which would have been the GFMV in another few months). I lost the 10k I put in at the start. That would usually be equity for the next deal so you don't need another deposit, that's generally how you roll into the next pcp.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,926 ✭✭✭✭Red Silurian


    Ah I see, that's the risk of course, isn't it? You're only guaranteed the GMFV, anything extra might or might not be there

    I'm thinking more of my own case where I just bought using a credit union loan. I'm assuming if my car gets written off I won't be able to cover the remainder of the loan but I will fight tooth and nail to be able to buy a similar make/model/mileage/year with the money the insurance pays out

    From that point of view the new car price makes no difference



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,974 ✭✭✭MojoMaker


    I don't think the 10k equity was ever really there to be fair, not after the price cuts at least.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 18,324 Mod ✭✭✭✭slave1


    Just horrendous unfortunate timing during a market correction, as an aside did the M3 afford crash protection to occupants?

    I'd move on…..

    My stuff on Adverts, mostly Tesla Pre Highland Model 3

    Public Profile active ads for slave1



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,326 ✭✭✭✭ELM327


    Exactly, but people are used to a market where there is said equity.

    It was phenomenal. Absolutely phenomenal. There was a slight jolt, we were hit from the back at 60-80kmh when stopped, and the other car disintegrated. Did its job to A1 standards, volvo would be proud!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 9,395 ✭✭✭markpb


    Tesla is a good car company with lots of great innovation and IMHO it served as a catalyst for the entire EV market. I've been driving one since 2019 and love it. Starship/Starlink is another good company with an interesting idea that was well executed. On the other hand, I'd seriously question some of your other claims.

    Solar Roof has a terrible customer reputation and is rumoured to have just a few thousand total installs in the lifetime of the company. I'm not sure it will survive as a product much longer, the rest of the energy division of Tesla is producing products that are actually useful.

    The Boring company is extremely debatable. The aspiration of cheaper, faster tunneling is very attractive but the resulting tunnel isn't very practical for most cities and the fact that they only have 1.5 tunnels dug means that it's hard to judge the actual efficiency of it.

    Hyperloop doesn't exist at all and there's no evidence of any plan to bring it to reality. It's not even a research project, it's just not a thing.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,241 ✭✭✭sk8board


    the Cybertruck has also shown that just because Tesla builds something, it doesn’t mean people will spend serious money buying one - so the notion of the general public spending $20-30,000 on a humanoid Optimus is genuinely fanciful.

    Commercial applications maasaaaybe, but it’s hard to see. Behind the scenes factory work, perhaps - but again, look at the Pepsi deal for the Semi truck, it’s been a disaster and that truck project is going nowhere fast



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 108 ✭✭6.5x55 seller ammo


    To my mind the Cybertruck pricing killed the package, not to mentioned a strong restriction on export and the questionable build quality of US/Mex Tesla products.

    A sensible (EU allowable) facelift with either Chinese or German gigabuild priced at 50/55k and you have a winner.

    As someone who lives in a only EV household but with plenty of countryside pursuits - a cybertruck would be an absolute winner.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 331 ✭✭prosaic


    Apologies, yes, I was conflating solar and storage business. It does seem solar is not a major growth area, since they aren't reporting it separately in the financial statements. I doubt it's a failing business or they would quickly chop it off. It seems they have moved away from the installation end of the business but are still producing solar roof products. But indeed, the power storage business is the big one. Powerwall seems to be doing very well with more than 600,000 installs (Feb '24).


    Boring Co.: In Las Vegas, they have completed 1st phase of convention centre project a while back and I think they have complete the 2nd phase to join Resort world and Encore. Then they have a much bigger project to expand the system over 67 miles along and around the Vega strip with over 100 stations. They’ve begun some initial construction for part of the strip. Dubai are planning to use Boring Co



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,827 ✭✭✭pah


    So, another deadline missed and a "tentative" one in it's place. When it's completely shelved, will you finally admit it's all pie in the sky?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,200 ✭✭✭✭Cyrus


    you think tesla will be completely shelving driverless taxis? i very much doubt it.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 331 ✭✭prosaic


    errm, they pushed back an unoffical deadline by 10 days. Ohh, shocking. I had said "official" in the above quote but that was my interpretation from a Musk tweet. The 22nd looks like a more solid date.

    One possibilty: they could be conducting tests, with a view to creating promotional material to push out on the launch date. Or they're being super cautious and ironing out issues (which they said they would be).

    Let's say 30th June and no sign of any launch, then we can wonder about issues.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,827 ✭✭✭pah




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 59,828 ✭✭✭✭unkel


    Just heard that the plan is that the first Teslas will be driving themselves off the production line straight to the customer's home before the end of this month. Even if it is before the end of this year, that is pretty awesome in my book. But I'm sure the naysayers will come on now to state this will never happen, or that Elon told a lie as he was a bit late, they always do. And he always is 😂



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,241 ✭✭✭sk8board


    Saw that too from musk and just dismissed it immediately 😂.

    Firstly there’s a limit to the delivery of whatever distance the buyer is from the 3 or 4 factories worldwide 🙄🙄🙄, so it’s a few handfuls of cars at best.

    But surely the cars have been able to drive themselves to nearby buyers for a while - in theory?

    Also, if the car is driving itself to a buyer, it’s really just a driverless journey without any passengers.

    So like everything musk says, it’s possible in theory, but won’t happen in practice, nor will it be applicable to even 1% of Tesla’s buyers, living nearby the factory



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,827 ✭✭✭pah


    In Theory though driving to someones home from the nearest Tesla "dealership" is what they mean, surely?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,326 ✭✭✭✭ELM327


    Plans are great, I'd believe it when, like I said before, the OEM (ie Tesla) covers the cars insurance and the car can legally drive me home from the pub. Or even can the car drive from Sandyford to my house in wexford. We're about 15 mins off the M11.

    Until then it's just a novelty, like summon. Useless.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 59,828 ✭✭✭✭unkel


    By definition, if the car drives itself from the factory to the customer's home, with nobody in the driver's seat, it is unsupervised FSD. Which is level 5 autonomous driving, which by definition means that Tesla is responsible / liable

    As you know, here in Ireland and in the EU, we fall under the UNECE commission for autonomous driving, which is constantly holding up any progress in this area. Although FSD supervised is currently being tested in several EU countries, like the Netherlands, France, Czechia, etc. It is unlikely being allowed / available here in Ireland before the end of this year. But I would be fairly optimistic it will at some stage next year



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,524 ✭✭✭wassie


    I love the concept, but in reality not sure I would take delivery of a car driven to my house without the ability to check it over first.

    I wonder what happens if there was big discrepancy between the QA check when it leaves the yard to the condition it arrives in your driveway. Would you have the ability to reject it and send it back on its merry way?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 59,828 ✭✭✭✭unkel


    Of course you would. Doesn't affect your consumer rights. Same as an Amazon delivery really 😂



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,241 ✭✭✭sk8board


    the CEO of Tesla said it was “from the end of the production line”. 😬



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