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Cold Case Review of Sophie Tuscan du Plantier murder to proceed. **Threadbans lifted - see OP**

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,007 ✭✭✭tinytobe


    There were only a handfull of individuals who knew with utter certainty that Sophie was at her cottage and that she was alone there. Amongst others Bolger and the Helens were one of them.

    Of course this doesn't mean anything. However the most common thing is that most people who knew that Sophie was alone also had a previous brush with the law.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 575 ✭✭✭jesuisjuste


    Appreciate the reference, thanks. Not sure how he could asses rigor mortis without touching the body, but I’ll take him at his word. Claiming death before 7 a.m. is your opinion/assumption though, not his.

    The point still stands though, the initial Garda on the scene didn’t check for signs of life, or temperature etc. this is not a conspiracy, it’s a fact.

    This fact (among many others) calls into question their competence, and that was what I was referring to.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 575 ✭✭✭jesuisjuste


    Unfortunately the initial assessments were ripped out of the jobs book, so we’ll never know what they were (unless the investigators who wrote them decide to just, you know, tell us what was assessed and written down)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 575 ✭✭✭jesuisjuste


    I think you'll be hard pressed to find someone who disagrees with that statement, it's bordering on water is wet levels.

    That is exactly the problem in this case, investigators looked at the scene and came up with a theory, and then as the evidence came in, they only considered that which supported that theory, and ignored evidence that pointed away from the theory, and in the end ended up with no tangible evidence at all, and down a dead end.

    Statistically and practically the theory is unlikely, but if the perpetrator was Bailey, they only found him as a suspect at all, through sheer dumb luck of him turning up at the crime scene acting like a buffoon.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 575 ✭✭✭jesuisjuste


    There is a lot of evidence that has been debated during the course of this thread, which looking back now is easy enough to say it was probably inconsequential, however contemporaneously, at the time of the murder and within the first few days they had no understanding of how important it may be. An example is letting Shirley drive off in her car within hours of the murder, before any of the forensics, or the lead investigators turned up, but there are countless others, and likely lots more that was probably overlooked completely (I listed a few earlier).

    Another obvious example is that the forensics came in which did not implicate Bailey (this is after he had been arrested and placed under questioning etc.). At that point they thought it would be a slam dunk, and it should have blown the case wide open, but it didn't.
    Finally, when DNA did come in which pointed to potential different perpetrator, nothing came of it.

    "I merely stated the obvious that investigators look at what's in front of them and try to determine what happened"

    The scene as come across by the investigators in the morning would have logically pointed to a perpetrator who drove to the site, this is the most common sense assumption upon coming across the scene, would you agree with that?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 575 ✭✭✭jesuisjuste


    "He said when detectives arrive at a murder scene the first thing they do is survey the crime scene and deduce what likely happened, this is before any forensic evidence etc comes into play"

    "In the bailey case the absence of physical evidence etc means they're still working off this assumption which is a nightime killer who arrived at her door"

    "They had a chief suspect bailey and tried to fit him up when they didn't have enough evidence to secure a prosecution"

    "None of which means they are wrong in their theory . I happen to believe they are right"

    The point I'm making is that their original theory is not the same working assumption that they ultimately came to when submitted to the DPP, they changed their theory based on the information they gathered about Bailey, not the other way around.

    Walking to the site is the most obvious one, but there were others. Each of the decisions they made were debatable, initial meeting at the door vs the gate, middle of the night meeting, vs morning or previous night etc. Each decision was not based on evidence but on hunches, and in fact counter to the common sense perspective.

    It was indeed a stitch up as you say, and they could have been lucky twice and got the right man. I just happen to believe they were more likely wrong, statistically, and evidentially.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 575 ✭✭✭jesuisjuste



    Your the one who said their deduced working theory after arriving at the scene was a nighttime killer. You have no evidence for that.

    Finding out that the DNA evidence at the scene did not point to Bailey by definition made it less likely to be him.

    Before they had the results they had unknown blood at the scene which could have been Bailey, and in fact they thought it was. After the results they had no evidence, I.e. less likely it was him. Basic stuff.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,374 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    Even though I’ve seen it posted here a number of times, and indeed by a poster just above on this page, it’s only struck me now about “only a handful number of people knew Sophie was at home that night” .

    It was so close to Christmas - the day before Christmas Eve- that had you known Sophie was in town earlier that week, you’d be forgiven for thinking she was well gone back home to France by December 23rd considering Christmas was only 2 days away.


    Does that mean people living closest to her inthe area should have been investigated more? It’s certainly an argument- did Bailey know she was still in the area on the night of the 22nd? You wouldn’t go travelling to her house, pissed, on foot, if you didn’t know she was there- and if you didn’t know she was there you would likely have convinced yourself she had gone back to France anyway given the date



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,007 ✭✭✭tinytobe


    This poster was myself and it is about the only certain common similarities in this case.

    This is based on the absence of any evidence against anybody and the idea that in most murder cases killer and victim are either known to each other or have some other form of prior relationship to each other.

    Of this "handfull number of people" there is also the common similarity that they knew that the house was remote, most likely that the Richardsons ( "outsiders" from England ) were not there, and all of these people also had a prior issue with the law, either violence, or drugs. All except her husband, who most likely wanted either a cheap divorce or the wife out of the way in a quick and convenient manner.

    Alfie Lyons drugs, Leo Bolger drugs, Finbarr Helens violence, husband Daniel wanted her out of the way out of financial reasons and love for the next wife. They all knew Sophie was alone they all knew the location of the house and they all knew that the chances of been seen by a witness would be slim to none. These similarities can't easily be denied.

    They would all have had to have been "number one suspect".

    The only ones beyond a high degree of suspicion would have been the Ungerers and the publican in that pub.

    For Bailey it was only violence and alcohol, but no real prior connection to or sexual interest in Sophie.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 575 ✭✭✭jesuisjuste


    They would all have had to have been "number one suspect". Logic would dictate this, and yet how did they treat them within hours of the murder?

    • For Alfie, they allowed his car to leave the scene and who knew what was in it?
    • For Finbar they allowed him to come to see the body, trample on the scene etc.

    It would seem neither were seriously considered suspects at all imo, and crossed off almost immediately. Both had similar alibis to that of Bailey, and both were taken at their word within hours, with no interrogation. Maybe they were right in their judgement, we don't know, but they didn't follow the right protocol in this respect.

    Leo was put under a fair bit more pressure it would seem, but he knew her even less. He was allowed wander up to Alfies. people like Pecout also knew her more than Bailey. Perhaps as they crossed off the names of the people that knew her most and went down the list, they inadvertently crossed out the real murderer….



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,321 ✭✭✭chooseusername


    “Not sure how he could asses rigor mortis without touching the body, but I’ll take him at his word”

    It’s not Dr o’Connor’s word you’re taking. It’s Michael Sheridan’s word that Dr o’Connor supposedly told him that rigor had set in at 11am. for his fictitious account of the murder.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 575 ✭✭✭jesuisjuste


    You do not have any information about what their working theory was.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 575 ✭✭✭jesuisjuste


    You said their working theory had not changed, I was challenging you, because you have no evidence of what their theory was, you just made it up:

    "He said when detectives arrive at a murder scene the first thing they do is survey the crime scene and deduce what likely happened, this is before any forensic evidence etc comes into play

    In the bailey case the absence of physical evidence etc means they're still working off this assumption which is a nightime killer who arrived at her door"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,851 ✭✭✭FishOnABike


    No more speculative, I would think, than the 'working theory' of the original investigating team, which appears to have been 'well we don't know who it was, so it must be him' - all wthout any apparent supporting evidence.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 575 ✭✭✭jesuisjuste


    You have completely made that up out of thin air.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,348 ✭✭✭tibruit


    Far less fictitious than your own theory I`d say.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,352 ✭✭✭chicorytip


    It was crassly insensitive of Shirley to seek permission to drive out to the dump knowing the body of her murdered neighbour was lying at the end of the lane, don't you think ?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,321 ✭✭✭chooseusername


    I was just paraphrasing what Sheridan himself called it.

    “A Fictionalised Reconstruction”



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,321 ✭✭✭chooseusername


    newuser...10:45 am

    The gardai believed all along that bailey called at night

    Thats never been in dispute that I'm aware of 

    Disappeared into thin air, for a while anyway.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 575 ✭✭✭jesuisjuste


    Until the next iteration, must be some sort of magician our drury, seems to have taken a bunch of my comments with him too



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 575 ✭✭✭jesuisjuste


    If she had gone for a stiff drink it might have been more appropriate alright



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,321 ✭✭✭chooseusername


    Just to go back to Michael Sheridan and the rogor mortis. It looks like he conflated Dr O'Connor's and Dr Harbison's reports to suit his agenda of an 2am / 3am attack.

    @bjsc has Dr O'Connor's full report but it's too graphic for here. She has answered questions on it. This one from March 24

    "It may be in Michael Sheridan's book but unfortunately Dr O'Connor makes no mention of either body temperature or rigour. Indeed his report reads as though he only observed her from a distance"

    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/121888744/#Comment_121888744



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,348 ✭✭✭tibruit


    "It looks like he conflated Dr O`Connor`s and Dr. Harbison`s reports to suit his agenda."

    That is just speculation on your part driven by your own personal agenda and is typical of the theorizing based on zero evidence by multiple individuals on this thread.

    "Indeed his report reads as though he only observed her from a distance."

    More speculation, this time by bjsc who I also found to be a less than impartial contributor.

    Mod Edit: Warned for attacking the poster, not the post

    Post edited by Necro on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,851 ✭✭✭FishOnABike


    I would take the view that the opinion of someone who has had the benefit of reading Dr. O'Connor's full report is an informed opinion rather than speculation, as you suggest. That is unless you have some details from the report to the contrary.



  • Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 56,373 Mod ✭✭✭✭Necro


    Mod: tibruit has no right of reply at the moment so no need to quote them. Thanks.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 575 ✭✭✭jesuisjuste


    The "no mention of either body temperature or rigor" is far more damning in any case than the informed opinion of thinking he observed from a distance.

    Best way to put it is Dr O'Connor contributed nothing of evidentiary value, which is a shame to say the least.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,868 ✭✭✭Day Lewin


    I dunno. Doctors certify dead people all the time. They are professionals in the game. Would he REALLY have written this one off as deceased without even checking for vital signs - pulse, temperature, blood pressure, respirations?

    Apart from his written report which has often been quoted, has this doctor been interviewed since or questioned more closely about what he observed? I'd love to know!

    PS If I were running a "cold case review", this is one witness I would have returned to with a much more detailed questionnaire.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,522 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    Doctors certify dead people all the time - but not in circumstances like this. This wasn't a typical call out to e.g. older people found dead at home in bed etc.

    May have reacted differently at a potential crime scene.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,004 ✭✭✭Gussie Scrotch


    Well, not much, no.

    But he did comment on the blood around Sophie's nostrils appearing different to that on the rest of her face etc, validating the observations of Gardai Prenderville and Byrne, the first on the scene after Shirley and Alfie.

    Which supports, to some extent, the "early morning" ( after daybreak) theory versus the late night scenario, which, in itself, is a critical evidential issue.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 575 ✭✭✭jesuisjuste


    Quite correct, in fact I'm sure he probably has a lot of value in his observations. I meant that the gardai didn't seem to use any of it…..



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