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Donald Trump the Megathread part II - mod warnings in OP, Updated 18/03/25

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,741 Penn
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    Trump's talking head acolytes on Fox etc seem to flip-flop regularly between it meaning more jobs for American citizens, and then when pushed about how that will drive up costs, start saying most of the manufacturing will be automated and robots.

    And yet, setting up new manufacturing plants with specific automated processes to carry out the manufacturing would take years and a huge investment, during which time those companies would still have to keep their existing manufacturing in a country being tariffed, which will then cut into their costs and reduce the capital they have for investing in new manufacturing plants in America.

    So what's the solution? Those companies bend the knee enough to Trump to get exemptions from tariffs contingent on huge investment in America and probably greasing the palms of Trump & his buddies for the privilege. Because ultimately, that's what all Trump's plans boil down to; something he can publicly point to as a win, something he can privately enrich himself with as the actual win.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,219 Damien360
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    I never thought of that. The company I work for is listed on US exchange and those in all management are restricted from selling stock for weeks before quarterly results. Just in case of insider trading. That’s law. Every company listed gets a list of significant share movements easily googled and any board member selling is always listed no matter how much they sell. Given the obvious damage that government bodies can do with a comment , surely that is insider trading also.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,741 Penn
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    How many times has Musk done or said something which caused stock prices in his companies to shift dramatically, and which he then financially benefits from? The issue is he gets investigated by the SEC, warned, and given a fine which is less than how much he had just profited by.

    "If the penalty for a crime is a fine, then that law only exists for the lower class."



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,871 yagan
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    I'm reminded of the Onion skit about the cult leader escaping from his cult and him explaining all the ridiculous neediness he had to endure before getting out.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,377 SaoPaulo41
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    EU pausing tariff countermeasures for 90 days

    published at 11:35

    11:35

    Breaking

    The European Union says it is pausing its countermeasures on President Trump's tariffs for 90 days.

    In a statement, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen says that the EU wants "to give negotiations a chance" after Trump announced yesterday that there would be a 90 day pause for nations hit by higher US import tariffs.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,441 Strazdas
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    I heard someone saying on Pat Kenny this week that manufacturing jobs is something that 'sounds' good on paper and will appeal to the MAGA crowd. Ditto how Trump always talks about trade in physical goods but never about services - it's a very 1950s / 1960s mindset.

    The idea that Trump is some sort of economic visionary and genius is laughable. He's clearly a corrupt and failed businessman just trying to line the pockets of himself, his family and his buddies.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 627 poop emoji
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    Next 4 years

    IMG_5788.jpeg

    Meanwhile I see it was the Japanese as well who started it sell US bonds (they hold double of China)

    Hopefully whoever is in charge of the Irish 330bn invested in US starts diversification promptly especially to Europe



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,723 storker
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    "If a fine is not sufficient to deter, then it's not a fine; it's a fee."



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,984 breezy1985
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    It's to appeal to the "my pappy was a miner and his granpappy was miner and his granpappy was a miner" mentality spouted by people who have never been down a mine.

    It's the same as the clowns from Yorkshire and Nord Pas de Calais who lap up the shte from Farage and Le Pen.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,039 Big Ears
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    Simon Harris went to the US and within hours the tariffs were paused (well lowered to 10%).

    Clearly American diplomats were intimidated by Harris's menacing demeanor and aura.

    if you ever wondered how MAGA works, that's the view it's supporters (were they on the EU side) would view the last 24 hours.

    Harris Strong, Lutnick Weak.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 475 Will_I_Amnt
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    Under the law, members of congress are obliged to disclose any stock transactions (over $1,000) within 45 days of the trade and report these transactions publicly, making them accessible for scrutiny.

    The issue with Nancy Pelosi is it's not her who's making the stock transactions, it's her husband. Spouse trades are not automatically assumed to be influenced by the member’s position even though the stock transactions > $1,000 made by them has to be reported also. There's a number of highly suspicious trades, very coincidental in timing, where Paul Pelosi made a lot of money very quickly!

    What's even more interesting is unlike congress members, the president does NOT have to disclose stock transactions exceeding $1,000 within 45 days!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,984 breezy1985
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    Took him apart quicker than a carer in a supermarket.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,500 circadian
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    Considering he was completely unaware of the EU tariffs announced I'd assume Trump himself isn't involved in any decision making with market manipulation. The people surrounding him are most likely manipulating him, we know this from his first term. Basically once he was convinced to walk back the tariffs everyone in the loop got the buys in, same with when he announced the tariffs initially where shorts were taken.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,550 Peregrinus
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    Nothing.

    Nobody has had or will have any wins in this shîtshow. Every country will lose; some will lose more than others. The US will lose more than most.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,845 LambshankRedemption
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    The minimum wage in California is $16.50 an hour. The minimum wage in Mexico is  $13.75 USD a day.

    If they want Californians to sew suits and t-shirts, the labour costs are going to go up by a factor of about 8.

    I think it's safe to say, none of this has been properly thought out.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,239 dmakc
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    Without getting into the China battle, or piling in on the Trump bashing; am I correct in saying that as of last month, on average tariffs were less than 2%, Trump then reset the floor at 10%, which negotiations over the next three months can scale between 10%-20% thereafter.

    More relevant to Ireland, he has been careful to exclude pharma from this generic listing (which I'd suggest is not coincidental). Moreover, our representative here is a man who, as health minister, thought Covid 19 implied that there were 18 previous Covids.

    I think people need to pump the brakes on the parade, Trump seems to have tricked the world into feeling victorious with a minimum five-/seven-fold increase with barely a NET blip on indices



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 475 Will_I_Amnt
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    Exhibit A:

    Two people standing in the oval office yesterday who made $2.5 billion and $900 million in one day….yesterday



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,984 breezy1985
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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,560 Sleepy
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    They, and all other elected officials, their staff and family members, should be prohibitied from trading, not "obliged to disclose".



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 296 pad406
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    They need to introduce fines like the Finnish Speeding fines, they are proportionate to the speeders income.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,427 Wolf359f
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    So was the previous rumour the other day, just to test the market reaction so those in the know, can gauge the reaction?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,239 dmakc
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    I never said it was intentional, it's fairly evident that it wasn't. But care to dispute the field now compared to last week? Setting a floor for tariffs at 10% with minimal net market impact comes across as a steal. Throw in the view that the country that increased the tariffs is viewed as soft / backing down, I think many are losing sight of the bigger picture by focusing on one man



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,481 RoyalCelt
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    You make your comments as if they're a matter of fact. I have no idea what's happening but I have ideas what could happen. Ultimately I'll just analyse the outcome and move on with my life.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 627 poop emoji
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    The only thing Trump accomplished is reveal his weak card hand

    China, Europe, Japan etc now know what Trump fears the most and can use this to grab and squeeze the US by the …erm treasuries



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,557 Widdensushi
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    But it's a tariff on his own citizens, they will still have to import goods that can't produce , but pay more,I don't see anyone fooled other than Americans.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 627 poop emoji
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    Speaking of Americans being fooled, the stock ticker returned to Fox News main channel and website, it apparently was on vacation for last while



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 747 RickBlaine
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    The president only has tariff powers to respond to an emergency. The fact that he paused them for 90 days clearly illustrates there is no emergency. This would matter if congress actually did its job and hold the president to account - the checks and balances that are fundamental to the American government. It's pathetic that these GOP members of congress all claim to be patriotic and proud Americans yet they fail to do one of their core duties of being part of the American congress.

    Likewise with GOP representatives tweeting how great it is that people are being deported without due process despite that being undeniably un-American as per the American constitution.

    They are all corrupt charlatans and hopefully their legacies will be in tatters when future history books are written.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,241 Nate--IRL--
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    They've always known that. But it's a M.A.D. situation. The more they try to sell the Bonds, the more worthless their remaining in Bonds become. Not unlike the Banks in 2008 trying to offload their CDOs.

    Nate



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,984 breezy1985
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    They did back down. Just because they didn't fully back down doesn't mean they didn't back down.

    If you reverse only half way up a road you still reversed.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,239 dmakc
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    If you looked at it less emotively and more objectively, you'd see that they're still in a far better position than they were a week ago. Which is what I'm saying.

    "Backing down" occurs in just about every bilateral negotiation. Set the bar higher than you expect.



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