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Donald Trump the Megathread part II - mod warnings in OP, Updated 18/03/25

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,326 ✭✭✭Field east


    Did Trump factor in the value of all the military equipment/ ordnance the US has supplied to Israel in his tarriff calculations



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,847 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    Chief Johnson has put a temporary hold on the lower court order instructing the Govt to bring the deportee back from.. edit: El Salvador.

    Post edited by aloyisious on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,326 ✭✭✭Field east




  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 29,546 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    I think it is unlikely they would benefit on the whole. This whole thing is just recessionary and that is kryptonite for manufacturing.

    But even if it did - so what? A tiny proportion of the US labour force would have small benefits while a global economic collapse happens.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,945 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    Indeed, like congrats you got a 10% pay increase while your spouse lost their job, siblings business went bust and parents pensions disappeared, but 10%... Good for you?



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  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 29,546 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    This case is going to be the first real test of whether the concept of the rule of law is just gone in the US.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,277 ✭✭✭✭Thelonious Monk


    Looks like Netanyahu has told Trump to threaten Iran over nukes



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 446 ✭✭Will_I_Amnt


    I was responding to a post that said goods AND services. And services such as Heath, Education etc are ridiculously expensive. But you're only addressing goods.

    Also your link shows there are only 2 EU countries with more expensive goods than the US



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,196 ✭✭✭Emblematic


    Could potentially be quite large though.

    image.png

    The US is the yellow line. Look at how much it has lost in manufacturing in just the last twenty years or so.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 566 ✭✭✭DrPsychia


    IMG_7090.jpeg

    this is real. At first I didn't believe it and had to look on twitter.

    again I am lost for words to describe the extent how much of a clown show this administration is.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 768 ✭✭✭Exiled Rebel


    It's because everything is so damn expensive to produce in the States. The company I work for import a particular product from Korea into the states. That same product purchased from the same company, manufactured in the states, for use in the states, costs double!

    There was an issue on site last week where that product went pop. The company said the product will cost X plus the tariff to replace. Fun times!

    That's just one example. My American colleagues are on double my salary. If staff choose to relocate from Ireland to the US the package includes doubling of salary, accommodation, a car and free flights home every quarter. It's one mad expensive place to do business.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 29,546 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    The US losing manufacturing has been an absolutely unparalleled good thing for US employees on a whole. They have mostly moved into much better paid and less back-breaking jobs. It is an utterly absurd thing to try and revert back.

    There is negligible unemployment in the US - today at least, it is likely about to get a lot worse. There is no massive cadre of manufacturing workers about to get a bonanza.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,350 ✭✭✭joseywhales


    Yeah but the meth addicts in the rust belt aren't happy about being left behind, apparently we have to cater to that "demographic"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,277 ✭✭✭✭Thelonious Monk




  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 94,824 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,031 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    Not necessarily.

    The wage gap has grown significantly in America, and particularly the gap between CEO's and the average worker wage in the company they manage.

    And we know how housing, education, healthcare costs have increased over the last 40 years. I saw someone describe recently how their father provided for a wife, and 4 children on a salary of 35K back in the day which would equate to 120K now and then there's no way you'll provide a house and living items for 6 people on that sort of money today. The Federal minimum wage hasn't increased since 2009 and if it kept track with inflation from where it was in the 1970,s would be over $25/hour now. Instead it is still at $7.25

    And also, the American unemployment figure is very good, but it is also hiding the stark reality for a lot of people. The amount of people using food stamps or having to work 2 or 3 jobs to make ends meet is much higher than what it was in the past. There's many stories of Walmart workers or the likes having to access food stamps to supplement their incomes. When I lived there, I worked with a guy who was earning between 150K and 200K per year as an electrician who worked 50-60 hrs/week and he could not afford to take a days sick leave because of how tight his finances were.

    The irony about how globalisation has harmed American society is that it was pushed massively by stringent capitalists. The same people who identify mostly as Republican. And no matter their claims, the Republican party hasn't seen the American workforce as anything more than a vote providing commodity for decades. Even now, Lutnick is talking about manufacturing coming back in the form of robot staffed factories. The capitalist behemoth will continue to look to prioritize it's profit at the expense of masses. That's one of the only things we can be sure of.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,109 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    First reaction from Chinese government on Trump's 24 hour ultimatum

    *CHINA COMMERCE MINISTRY ISSUES STATEMENT ON US TARIFFS

    *CHINA SAYS 'WILL FIGHT TO THE END' IF US INSISTS ON MEASURES

    *CHINA VOWS NECESSARY ACTIONS TO DEFEND RIGHTS

    *URGES DIALOGUE



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 363 ✭✭CoffeeImpala


    But the US hasn't lost manufacturing output in the last 20 years. Your graph only shows their percentage share of global manufacturing dropping.

    The dollar value of US manufacturing is at/near an all time high but is more efficient than in the past so numbers employed are falling.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 310 ✭✭REDBULL68


    Now hear me out and don't give out ,could this be a way to drop the market so low that Russian shell companies could buy back in to the markets on the sly and I'm sure stocks will rocket next week, and this was part of an agreement about a peace deal with Ukraine.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 310 ✭✭REDBULL68


    Don't believe it for a minute, all these leaders either had a meeting in the white House or a very long video call, it's all smoke and mirrors, The world is now in the hands of people with a ideology, that to me makes no sense.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 573 ✭✭✭eastie17


    quiet possibly, this is either sheer incompetence or a look over there while we do something really sly over here approach.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,846 ✭✭✭take everything


    Pelosi seemed to be saying essentially the same thing that Trump is saying today about tariffs and how screwed up the American-Chinese trade relationship was 30 years ago. How it was hurting American workers etc.

    She seems quite passionate about what she is saying as well in that video.

    Anyway, aren't these primarily just the start of a negotiation to get some of these countries to wake up a bit.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,138 ✭✭✭sock.rocker*


    Wake up and do what? Start spending hundreds of dollars on KitchenAid appliances while Americans spend $20 on Amazon Choice appliances?

    The world can't afford to buy American goods, especially the countries most affected by high tariffs. A person in Cambodia isn't going to spend a month's wages on a stand mixer.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 418 ✭✭PixelCrafter


    Considering many workers there earn about $150 / month a kitchen aid stand mixer at $500+ isn't even remotely on the agenda.

    Their GDP per capita is only $2429.75 about 34 times less than the US!

    Not that Trump gives a flying **** the guy didn't even seem to know what the word 'groceries' was all about yesterday. Sounded like he's never interacted with such things.

    Basically all Trump's doing to somewhere like Cambodia is deeply impoverishing it and causing it to cut economic likes entirely with the US.

    They just won't be able to trade on that kind of basis.

    All it means in reality is lots of countries on that list will end up far more focused on China.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,138 ✭✭✭sock.rocker*


    Even Americans can't afford to buy all-American. A KitchenAid mixer made in Greenville Ohio is either a wedding gift or a once-in-a-lifetime splurge by someone who absolutely loves baking. The rest of their kitchen will still be made in Vietnam or India. That's why this plan will ultimately fail. People don't want to go back to when a new appliance was a big financial decision.

    And I don't understand the people who think that other countries can reduce their surplus with America by "waking up a bit". It's a meaningless soundbite. If Americans can't afford to do it, which they clearly can't since they are spending a trillion more dollars abroad than they make, why would someone in Lesotho or Vietnam be able to do it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,469 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    Anyway, aren't these primarily just the start of a negotiation to get some of these countries to wake up a bit.

    No, they're not.

    Trump has — presumably deliberately — presented these tariffs in a way that makes it very difficult for other countries to do anything that could count as "waking up".

    Take Vietnam. Trump claims that Vietnam subjects imports from the USA to tariffs of 90%. On that basis he imposes "reciprocal" tariffs of about half that, 46%. Logically, you'd think, if Vietnam wants to get the US tariff revoked it needs to reduce or eliminate the tariff it imposes on US goods.

    The thing is, Vietnam can't do that. The 90% tariffs supposedly charged by Vietnam are completely fictional. Vietnam's trade-weighted average tariff rate is 5.1%. The reason the Vietnamese don't buy a lot of US goods is not because those goods are tariffed out; it's because they can't afford them.

    Vietnam can't eliminate the 90% tariffs that it never imposed in the first place, obviously. What it can do — if the US is willing — is negotiate a trade deal under which it exempts US imports from the average 5.1% tariff rate that it does impose, in return for the US eliminating the 46% tariff rate that it has just imposed.

    This would acheive precisely nothing for the US. Vietnam would not buy materially more US goods, because they still would find them unaffordable. At best, we'd be back to square one, with Vietnam and the US trading on more or less the terms that they were trading on before Stupid Thursday, and with a similar pattern of trade — the US buying skads of clothing, footwear and cheap manufactures from Vietnam, and Vietnam buying a small amount of agricultural produce and motor vehicles from the US.

    Trump would, of course, try to spin this return to the status quo ante as a hugh victory for the US, a massive climbdown for Vietnam, so much winning, etc. And this is a Trump line the more slow-witted have been been willing to embrace in the past. But what he has just done to their savings, to their retirement accounts, to consumer prices and to the government programs from which they benefit has shocked a lot of his erstwhile supporters; they are going to be a bit more critical, and a bit less gullible, now than they were in the past.

    The likes of Vietnam can't afford to buy more US manufactures unless the US starts manufacturing stuff they want to buy at prices they can afford. It's hard to see how the US could do that, and policies aimed at doing that — slashing wages, reducing labour and consumer standards — would be deeply unpopular, even with Trump voters.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,437 ✭✭✭halkar


    Xi gives two fingers to Trump 🍿 🍿 🍿



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,437 ✭✭✭halkar


    Xi gives two fingers to Trump 🍿 🍿 🍿



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,035 ✭✭✭✭everlast75


    Is anyone who gave Biden sh1t over Israel/ Palestine prepared to read the following quote and accept that they now know, when given the binary choice that the American presidential election gives, that Biden was the far better option?

    Trump: "You know how I feel about the Gaza Strip. I think it's an incredible piece of important real estate. And I think it's something that we would be involved in. Having a peace force like the US there controlling and owning the Gaza Strip would be a good thing ... you call it the Freedom Zone."

    Elect a clown... Expect a circus



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,469 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    To be fair, "not as dreadful as Donald Trump" is a pretty low bar. A squashed apricot would have made a better president than Donald Trump.

    You really are damning Biden with faint praise, arent' you?



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