FI Charts ( T120+ onwards) Spring 2025 **READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST

The end of the ECM has a decent cross polar flow to the north of the UK. What happens after that is anyone's guess.

What's the timeframe of that?

Our weather will remain largely settled up to Wednesday night with the exception of the northwest where some rain is likely for a time on Tuesday evening. Temperatures will be well above average for the coming week and could reach 13-16c in places later next weekend. Showers will become widespread later in the week but overall rainfall totals will be relatively low.

Models indicate that high pressure will build later next weekend into the following week introducing brighter and drier conditions once again. Should high pressure build to the northwest or north of Ireland, as suggested in the latest model output, temperatures will drop back to more seasonal values.

ECM day 10

Day 10 and all that.

But yeah nice chart. MT seems to think a quick return to mild later next week.. we shall see

I know I’m on my own here, but I see interesting hints in the charts for a weeks time and onwards…,

Gfs 6z a really nice run, HP sets up just to our north. Clear skies and calm days would be 👌

Spring will be placed on hold next week as strong east to northeast winds make it feel bitterly cold across Ireland.

All parts of Ireland will enjoy spells of sunshine, but heavy wintry showers will push into east Ulster and south and east Leinster at times giving falls of snow on mountains.

Temperatures will drop from highs of 15c this coming weekend to 5-8c by Monday evening as a cold front pushes down across Ireland from the north.

High pressure located to the north of Ireland will draws in colder air from the continent for the remainder of the week.

Overnight lows will drop to between -4 and +1 C from Monday night, with widespread frosts occurring away from exposed coastal locations in the east.

Cold air moving over the warmer waters of the Irish Sea will generate streamer activity by mid-week.

Showers will be mainly of rain or sleet at lower levels, but some snow is possible in any intense downpours with showers moving into the Midlands.

It will be largely dry and bright throughout next week in the southwest, west and northwest with rainfall levels well below average here. Preciptation totals of 20-30mm are expected in eastern and southeastern areas.

Drying conditions will be good in western counties where soils are currently saturated or waterlogged. Soil conditions in the east and southeast will disimprove due to the anticipated showery activity.

Gfs at day 16 😛

Looks like there maybe a SSW to spoil the party. I dont think anyone would want that now.

Usually these late winter/spring cold spells are rapidly followed by a hairdryer Southerly airflow. A 10 day period to have to put up with cool weather at this time of year is never nice, but I guess if it's not too windy it won't feel too chilly

Im thinking of my poor orchard : ( had late frosts last year that Fu#$ed the harvest.

This afternoon's GFS model suggests Ireland will remain largely dry up to and including St. Patrick's Day. Turning more unsettled thereafter with a stronger Atlantic influence on our weather.

Very clear indications in the latest GFS model output for high pressure to weaken and a more Atlantic-driven weather regime to dominate our weather from next Friday. Our weather will become more unsettled. It will turn milder by mid-week.

If Gfs 6z comes of it would be crazy. We evade the Atlantic for the whole run. We would be on drought watch! Highly unlikely tho given the ensembles