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Russia-Ukraine War (continuing)

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,916 ✭✭✭eire4


    I know right what a shock. Imagine the Ukrainians not been interested in the complete capitulation to the Russian dictatorship which the US has offered up as a so called peace deal. Who would have guessed that!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,458 ✭✭✭zv2


    .

    Post edited by zv2 on

    It looks like history is starting up again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,551 ✭✭✭Deub


    why is it nonsense ?

    Ukraine has to forget about Nato membership

    You say it is presumably a quote from Trump and not necessarily the truth.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,404 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    I believe the issue is that the Ukrainians are not prepared to accede to most of things Trump promised Putin a fortnight ago.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,068 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Amazing what can come crawling out of the woodwork.

    Fiona Hill, a former adviser to US President Donald Trump and a senior fellow for foreign policy at the Center for US and European Affairs, said that if Ukraine had not given up its nuclear weapons in exchange for security guarantees under the Budapest Memorandum, Russia would not have invaded.

    At the same time, Tyler McBrien, editor of Lawfare magazine, recalled that much of the infrastructure for managing these weapons is located in Moscow.


    Hill recalled the call of former Soviet foreign minister and first president of independent Georgia, Eduard Shevardnadze, for the Ukrainian authorities to keep "one or two" nuclear warheads in case of a potential future conflict with Russia.

    "In fact, he (Shevardnadze) told his Ukrainian counterpart, see if you can keep one or two nuclear bombs when they gave them up during the Budapest Memorandum, put them in a closet," said the former adviser to US President Donald Trump.

    "Shevardnadze said he saw documents about what would happen if one of the Soviet republics tried to secede, and he said you might need them later," Hill continued. Since the early 1990s, many in Moscow have wanted to prevent Ukraine from seceding from Russia, she added.

    Benjamin Wittes, editor-in-chief of Lawfare magazine and a researcher at the Brookings Institution, in his discussions with senior U.S. diplomats involved in negotiations with Ukraine over the Budapest Memorandum, their sense of guilt about the treaty was obvious.

    According to him, former US President Bill Clinton also expressed regret about the memorandum.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,068 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,736 ✭✭✭✭kowloon




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,068 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    A few days ago I posted about elected Republicans being jeered and coping blowback from their electorates at public meetings.

    Untitled Image


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,277 ✭✭✭brickster69


    Because the map is just replicating what Deepstate is saying and they stopped updating Toretsk map in January.

    This is from 7/2/24 when 95% was taken and it is still the same today.

    A more reliable one from today shows an attack but to suggest it is half the town is 2 days is total nonsense.

    suriy.jpg

    "if you get on the wrong train, get off at the nearest station, the longer it takes you to get off, the more expensive the return trip will be."



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,458 ✭✭✭zv2


    It looks like history is starting up again.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,068 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,083 ✭✭✭✭Francie Barrett


    I am not convinced there can be a peace deal at all.

    Putin and his government haven't really budged in their demands since attempts at negotiations started. They want Ukraine to acknowledge the loss of Crimea and the four oblasts that they claim. I haven't seen anything to suggest that they might be willing to even compromise moderately on that position. Ukraine will obviously never agree to these demands, so I don't see any other choice than fighting to continue.

    I think Putin views this as a war he can still win and his plan to win it is through attrition. Both sides are suffering terrible losses and eventually one side will buckle and the other will win. The Russians have the population advantage and capacity for tremendous personal suffering, I think Putin's counting on that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,039 ✭✭✭✭AbusesToilets


    I'm rather shocked that Ukraine hasn't produced its own nuclear weapon at this stage. They likely have the refining capacity to do so



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,164 ✭✭✭Jizique


    Just lookat what Bloomberg's Javier Blas is posting on twitter, it is quite funny as he is a but if an expert



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,604 ✭✭✭forumdedum




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,724 ✭✭✭✭BorneTobyWilde


    Zelensky shouldn't sign this deal, if he can't get answers from Trump on security, just walk away, Europe needs to step up and help



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 322 ✭✭REDBULL68


    Looks like he has no choice, Bit late for some major European powers to step up ,that ship has sailed, Ukraine government prob in talks for months, we'll see on Friday.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,879 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf


    Thing is there is a strong incentive for Putin to make some minimal compromises as it could give Trump justification for pulling the plug on Zelensky…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,879 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf


    What's that got to do with Russia-Ukraine though?

    Well he's kind of got his answer

    Bit of wiggle room in that 'beyond very much' but, well, not very much…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,068 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    It indicates the people who voted Republican are not all happy with the way things have turned out. Some of that might well be down to Trump doing a 180º on the US relationship with the Orcs, so if the elected republicans start thinking they might become unelected at the next opportunity, they might start to reconsider their support for Trump and it might affect how they vote on things.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,068 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Zelensky has choice, given the usual diarrhoea exiting the Orc gobs, the 'peace deal is clearly going to be anything but' They don't want peace, they want a ceasefire to lick their wounds, try and fix their economy and get themselves in shape to have another go at it.

    The ship is far from having sailed. €700 B is a lot of money.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 322 ✭✭REDBULL68


    I think Ukraine would like a ceasefire as well as Russia, peace is peace, I don't think Russia will come back from this on an international and military scale for years, Putin will be gone soon enough, I don't think the Russian people or even the military would tolerate another Putin, wishful thinking I know, but maybe .......



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,197 ✭✭✭Addmagnet


    I do wish people would stop using the word 'peace' when what they're taking about is a 'ceasefire'.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,809 ✭✭✭threeball


    I wish people would stop posting X links and just disengage from that twat. They can't be calling out people in Teslas whilst spending time flicking through X and posting links. Hypocritical nonsense.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,809 ✭✭✭threeball


    And what exactly would they do with it. They can't deploy a nuclear weapon as Russia would reply with 50. And even if they survived they'd be an international pariah. Nukes are only useful to countries where nutjobs are running the asylum, like Russia, North Korea... and the USA



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,174 ✭✭✭omega man


    I think Europe needs to win some time in order to boost capabilities so diplomacy is needed for the moment then the gloves can come off.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,797 ✭✭✭yagan


    The only time a ceasefire has been a thing is because Trump wants a Ukrainian surrender.

    No one else is calling for a ukranian surrender except Trump.

    So the ejection of an invasion force will continue because Ukraine was not consulted.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,879 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf


    and this is where the security guarantee comes in, if it’s sufficiently robust the game of having another go should be not worth the candle for the Russians, if they’re ’rational actors’…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,363 ✭✭✭Field east


    outside of the technical aspects of the deal , the financial element, who gets what, I thought , from a security point of view, the most PROFOUND aspect of it /comments by Trump on it was when he said “ While the US civil staff from senior management down working on the mines IN THE EAST , Russia will not touch them. It will do so AT IT’s pearl”. Or words to that effect. He was very clear in his statement.

    So, if we take that statement as clearly understood , does that mean that Ukraine has now got juristiction over all of the Dhonbas and Luhansk while the US is mining there and when the mines are ‘exhausted’ /the US has got it’s money back and the US goes home - WHAT THEN????????????? As they say “ POSSESSION IS NINE POINTSOF THE LAW”



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,039 ✭✭✭Big Ears


    People seem to be talking a lot about peace talks and ceasefire deals, when it seems to me at the moment, the only deal being discussed is a minerals one.

    In fact Trump saying Europe would be the ones who need to provide security and saying a peace deal may not be possible highlights this.

    Trump must have been told about King Leopold II and thought "that seems a good idea, maybe I can do something like that"



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