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Irish Property Market chat II - *read mod note post #1 before posting*

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,189 ✭✭✭✭J Mysterio




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,438 ✭✭✭halkar


    IMO government should not interfere with any market. Anything they touch gets inflated. It same with houses, EVs, insulation grants, solars etc.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,121 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    The one great thing about the recession back in the day was that the state was broke…it's hard to create chaos when your coffers are empty.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,881 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Bang on

    Meanwhile the European champions stumble across the finish line down 6.7% on the previous year

    At least the managed to sell a lie to the sheep to get re elected for another 5 years of dysfunction



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,487 ✭✭✭Rocket_GD


    Weren't we told multiple times that completions were going to be up last year? A few on this thread also spouted that this was the case and that this trend would continue to increase. Going by the actual figures we have, we're getting further away from the 40/50k we need a year.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,601 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Not enough to house the next wave of migration coming in this year and we will be further behind year on year while this persists. Honestly I have a teenager here and I am prepping him to get out of the country when he is of age as there is not a chance he will be able to afford to buy or rent here while the lemmings in government lie and lack the bollox to make the hard decisions.

    Post edited by fliball123 on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,487 ✭✭✭Rocket_GD


    Thanks for letting us know that you and your child will soon also be migrants.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,601 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Gary you need to read what I have been saying I don't have issues with any individual coming in. I have an issue with the amount of individuals coming in and what its doing to our public services like this discussion on property/housing.

    I also don't like people coming in who are looking for handouts and not working and contributing, I do understand some people need some help when they get here but after a year or so they should be well able to work and pay their own way

    When my kid goes I will make sure he has a trade and/or college behind him so when he goes to another country he will be working and contributing to the countries taxation system so he will be a nett tax payer and will also be paying his own way for things like rent and food. He will also be compliant with the countries Visa laws and wont be flushing documentation down the airplane toilet to be let into the country. Is that ok with you there. I never said I was going anywhere BTW. You need to move the conversation on pal honestly your like a broken record.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,487 ✭✭✭Rocket_GD


    You literally said "and I am prepping to get out of the country when he is of age".

    You're the one who has been spouting on for pages about immigration and your opinions on it's negative impacts on society. I want to discuss the housing market.

    I replied to another poster about completions and straight away you're back to me about immigration. We disagree let's leave it there as I'm sick of this and it's just clogging up the feed for other users who I bet are also sick of it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,881 ✭✭✭Villa05


    We're being preached to about the great HTB and FHS schemes by other posters.

    These figures go to show how useless and ineffective they are, waste of taxpayers money, populist nonsense



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,121 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    This is why I don't accept "build more houses" as a solution to the problem. We can discuss endlessly the inefficiencies that exist and lament the waste, but the reality is that the system that exists here for building houses cannot deliver the 80k or whatever many houses are needed to keep up with demand. Could it? Maybe so, but doesn't do it currently, and a few tweaks here and there are not going to alter this.

    This is why I am so vehement the matter of immigration. I also oppose building on that level for environmental reasons, but that's another matter.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,601 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Why cant you get one simply fact through your head and that fact is immigration is impacting our housing market (it always has) and currently its the number 1 issue that is impacting on it as we have not got enough properties to house the current population. Someone just put up the figures for house completions there at 30k for the full year 2024. We had nett migration inwards of 80k people from the start of the year to April 2024 so it is way more than that as I dont think a figure for migration inwards dropped to 0 from April till December 2024.

    We simply have not got enough property built to house our current population, we already have 15k on the homeless list and this does not record the people who are not in emergency accommodation. There are young couples out there with kids who have to live in their parents house as they cant afford to pay the current levels of rent or pay a mortgage and save for a deposit. There are also some who are living on the street who have slipped through the system. The fact is we are not building enough to keep up with these figures that are here currently and we will be adding more and more in the coming years as nothing has changed and we are way off. Yet the likes of you think that our migration policy has nothing to do with the property market and the knock on effect this all has.

    Sure if you think about this logically - how can someone here in their 20s get on the property ladder when the government are bulk buying properties left right and center to house the unwashed masses that are our welfare class and allowing REITS/vultures to bulk buy as well for rental purposes - whom their biggest client is the state who rent a high % from them. A lot of this is done to support the 80k+ migrants that came here from Jan to April of last year (and those who came in previous years) who arrived and the people who I mentioned above who are trying to save and live and work correctly and do it the right way working their holes off are paying a lot of tax to pay for this to house others while they cant get their own place. That is just wrong Gary.

    Also as your a lazy sod - so here is a links so you can look at those figures (in case you think I am making things up) for bulk buying, migration, house completions, homeless list Gary. No doubt you will want me to come over and click on the links and read them aloud to you maybe spoon feed you some corn flakes at the same time.

    Government and investment Bulk buying in Ireland

    https://www.irishexaminer.com/news/arid-41442832.html

    Homeless figures

    https://www.irishtimes.com/ireland/housing-planning/2024/11/29/homeless-figures-reach-a-new-high-of-almost-15000/

    New dwelling completions for 2024

    https://www.cso.ie/en/releasesandpublications/ep/p-ndc/newdwellingcompletionsq42024/

    Migration

    https://www.gov.ie/en/collection/aeea0-migration-the-facts/#:~:text=We%20had%20149%2C200%20people%20move,86%2C800%20other%20citizens%20including%20Ukrainians



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,487 ✭✭✭Rocket_GD


    how can someone here in their 20s get on the property ladder

    My partner is in her 20's and we bought our house in November 2024, it's not impossible.

    Anyway as I said we don't agree so I'm not going to be responding to you anymore, I'm too lazy to.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,601 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Well done congrats having said that your GF is in a minority. I am also not sure you have the get up and go to have girlfriend if your approach to a relationship is the same as your debating style. So yeah well don't bother responding Gary as you know your wrong. The info is there for anyone wanting to look at the fact that Immigration is the number 1 issue that is impacting our property market . I dare you or any one else to prove me wrong with facts.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,104 ✭✭✭I see sheep


    What a useless shower this government are.

    How will they try to spin another utter failure?

    "a terrible war imposed by the provisional IRA"

    Our West Brit Taoiseach



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 313 ✭✭Montys return


    The depressing this, this should be front and centre as a national scandal given they campaigned on 40K houses despite being repeatedly asked to explain how ESRI forecasts and CSO Q3 completions contradicted that position.

    There is no doubt they had better information than was in the public domain. It was a blatant lie. They should be raked over the coals for it. They won't be though, our politics is as broken as our infrastructure.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,104 ✭✭✭I see sheep


    It's up to you to back something up with facts, not just throw out some nonsense you read on Facebook and claim it's true.

    How about this - Poland has one of the lowest immigration rates & foreign born populations in Europe (2.5%) yet house prices are rising dramatically. In fact at double the rate of Ireland.

    Is it still because of the immigants?

    https://tradingeconomics.com/poland/housing-index

    "a terrible war imposed by the provisional IRA"

    Our West Brit Taoiseach



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 752 ✭✭✭FernandoTorres


    They won't need to spin anything. A storm will dominate the headlines for the next couple of days and after that nobody will care anymore.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,619 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Wages in Poland have risen significantly. Almost exactly in line with rise in house prices.

    Ireland however is not seeing the same correlation



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,104 ✭✭✭I see sheep


    @fliball123 is saying immigration is the biggest factor in the housing market and I'm looking for him to elaborate.

    "a terrible war imposed by the provisional IRA"

    Our West Brit Taoiseach



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 36,430 ✭✭✭✭o1s1n
    Master of the Universe


    Between 2003 and 2007 we were hitting close to (and beyond) the magic 80k figure, so it's been done in the past.

    house building data.JPG


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,619 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Your motivations do not excuse misinformed posts masquerading as facts



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,288 ✭✭✭enricoh


    There was net immigration of 80k in 12 months to April 2024. 10 years ago or so we had more emigrating than coming here. House prices and rents probably 40% of what they are now.

    Supply and demand



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,601 ✭✭✭fliball123


    It is and in a previous post I explained why with facts and figures - have a look at post 26233



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,558 ✭✭✭✭Idbatterim


    They have power again, that is all that matters! Just lie like they did, about the completions, sure there is no consequence. Local and national government here, is made up of an obscene shower of wasters… The ryanair chief executive, said this earlier. I have said it many times on this forum, its really incredible, what they can do, what they want, instantaneously. Like shut down an entire country, take on tens of billions extra in debt…

    But the housing crisis is oh so hard to solve… Step one, stop commercial and data centre construction, dont need more of that nonsense, we need homes.

    Allow auxiliary dwelling units, like they do in Canada, the US and Austrailia… But they wouldnt like that here, way to simple, and there would be barely any money for them to make out of it…

    Pay the apprenticeships etc for construction, far better…. I know that is a mad suggestion, they only have more money, than they can even comprehend… they cant even keep track of how many ways they are wasting it…

    Actually, financially incentivising construction workers to come back could be an option, allow them pay less tax etc for a period…

    This will NEVER ever happen here, but lets pretend we are in a parallel universe OR loads of other countries globally. You charge a proper property tax and if you want to stay in your 3, 4 , 5 bed house on your own, you can, but it wont be cheap…

    Imagine encouraging workers back home with lowering the marginal rate of tax... instead of driving them our of the country and welcoming the world in, with our world leading welfare system...

    Post edited by Idbatterim on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,104 ✭✭✭I see sheep


    Poland has negative net immigration and prices are shooting up there.

    So again, what's it got to do with immigration?

    "a terrible war imposed by the provisional IRA"

    Our West Brit Taoiseach



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,104 ✭✭✭I see sheep


    That means nothing.

    You're confusing correlation with causation.

    "a terrible war imposed by the provisional IRA"

    Our West Brit Taoiseach



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,161 ✭✭✭extra-ordinary_


    Increased number of completions this year and 40k is the target next year!! We are ramping up to 50-60k completions annually!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,558 ✭✭✭✭Idbatterim




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,161 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    41k is the projected completions for this year, not 2024.

    2024 was always projected around 30k, similar to 2023.

    Dissapointing its less than 31k, but 34k was the top end projection, so close enough.



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