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Irish Property Market chat II - *read mod note post #1 before posting*

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29 Help_to_


    You said HTB was introduced to help renters who could not save a deposit for a property.

    If HTB doesn't increase the price of new builds, why would it increase the price of second hand properties?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,625 ✭✭✭fliball123


    The government could help our supply and demand and cost issues here by doing the following with regards to property

    1:) Stop vultures from bulk buying

    2:) Put a temporary stoppage on people buying more than one property - 10 years

    3:) Allow a 5 - 10 year period where people can sell their non resident property without paying CGT

    4:) Stem the amount of people coming here for the next 5 - 10 years with the caveat of people who are in certain trades and who will contribute be allowed in like the Australian system.

    5:) Ramp up modular homes and let those who are currently at refugee status and/or those looking for a gaff from the welfare system use these and allow the properties they were in come back onto the market.

    6:) The government should stop bulk buying and competing the same market as those who are just looking to get on the ladder.

    7:) After this put a higher tax on rents received and if a person has additional property they should be encouraged to sell with a sweetener at number 3 on the list here.

    8:) Take away all subsidies for First time buyers - This has had an inflationary effect and property would fall if they were taken away

    9:) Use it or lose it for developers - people who have property for planning should be forced to build or sell by upping the tax on vacant land with planning. 50% tax would see them get into line. No more carrot for these guys who are playing the violin when they are making a decent profit.

    10:) Incentivize over seas workers in the building game by allowing come here work in the building game for 5 years without paying tax if they want to stay after that they start paying. If they stop working in the building game they pay tax.

    11:) More focus on the building trades in secondary schools and within further education after an individual has done the leaving/junior cert)

    12:) All current and future housing that are state owned - should remain there no more giving out cheap or freebies to anyone. When a person who needed to be housed is dead or no longer needs the social house - it should be given to the next person on the list and not remain in the family for ever more or sold to them on the cheap.

    Some of this would be hard to swallow and some will take years to see the benefit but we do have a crisis on our hands and we need some real out of the box thinking before we see our best and brightest head off to other countries as Ireland is simply too expensive for the majority of those living here under 30s to buy or rent.



  • Administrators Posts: 56,219 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭awec


    Sigh.

    From my very first post on this topic:

    HTB was introduced to combat the problem of people being able to afford a mortgage but being unable to gather the deposit required because of rent. It loaded up the deposit for you, and in the amount you pay was higher, but over the lifetime of a mortgage this is a relatively insignificant amount.

    The deposit advance was the carrot for buyers. The increased price was the carrot for developers.

    From my second post:

    HTB really has little impact on affordability. You are trying to suggest that without HTB prices would be lower by an amount that actually makes a difference, this is wishful thinking. Prices may be lower, but not by any significant amount. People suggest that without HTB prices wouldn't have risen like they have over the past 10-12 years, I think this is delusional thinking. 

    You are still stuck on this "increased price" thing. It is not significant.

    HTB not existing is not going to make things easier for you.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29 Help_to_


    Your original posts are what I said.

    You say HTB doesn't increase house prices.

    You also say HTB was introduced to allow people to afford to buy because high rents mean they can't save a deposit.

    So, going by that, why amn't I getting a 30k HTB so I can afford a deposit to buy a second hand property?



  • Administrators Posts: 56,219 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭awec


    You say HTB doesn't increase house prices.

    No I did not. Absolutely nobody has said this. You are arguing with yourself on this point.

    It has consistently been said on this thread that HTB increased prices but it the increase is completely insignificant. It has had pretty much zero impact on affordability.

    I think you are under the illusion that if HTB did not exist prices would be significantly lower. They absolutely would not.

    I have already answered why HTB is not available to second hand properties.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,919 ✭✭✭Rocket_GD


    why amn't I getting a 30k HTB so I can afford a deposit to buy a second hand property?

    Unfortunately for you because it does not increase the supply of available stock, incentivising developers in building new builds was one major reason why HTB was introduced as it made them a more attractive investment.

    Also adding HTB to the second hand market would have a much greater inflationary impact on the market as more prospective buyers have larger amounts to bid with. There is no bidding process on new homes, you can either afford it with/without HTB or you cannot.



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,803 ✭✭✭hometruths


    Unfortunately for you because it does not increase the supply of available stock, incentivising developers in building new builds was one major reason why HTB was introduced as it made them a more attractive investment.

    This was the same reason the First Home Scheme was introduced. It is now being extended to second hand homes.

    Not that I'm in support of HTB being extended as well, just pointing out the flaw in the wisdom of extending the FHS.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,919 ✭✭✭Rocket_GD


    I don't agree with the FHS concept at all, literally the government making profits from their own flawed (perhaps intentional) policies, but disguised as helping people.

    My partner and I did look into it and gave it some consideration as our budget was just below a lot of new builds, but we agreed it wasn't a sensible option at all and purchased a second hand that in the end was below our budget.

    With the FHS extended to second hand homes it will immediately increase house prices.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,777 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    I don't think banks will allow you to borrow 90% LTV on an apartment, so the poster would need 20% deposit. On a 350k apartment that's 70k.

    It's not set by central bank but banks usually are more stringent on LTV for apartments



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,777 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    The deposit advance was the carrot for buyers. The increased price was the carrot for developers.

    Schrödingers price increase - it is both significant enough to stimulate more new builds construction but also insignificant enough to ever have negative price impacts on buyers!



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  • Administrators Posts: 56,219 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭awec


    The impact on the developer and the buyer is entirely different.

    The developer gets their 30k immediately, the buyer is paying an extra 30k over a term of 25-30 years.



  • Administrators Posts: 56,219 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭awec


    It's only 20% on 1 bed apartments (or houses).

    Everything else is 10%.



  • Administrators Posts: 56,219 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭awec


    It is probably also worth pointing out that getting a 30k rebate is not a high bar.

    To get 30k back you need to have paid 30k income tax over the past 4 years. That's not a lot, it's certainly not high-earner status.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 12,073 ✭✭✭✭J Mysterio


    Any evidence for your assertion that the vast majority of first time buyers think HTB is a bad idea? There was a big take up of this scheme



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,777 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    An extra 30k on a 25year mortgage is much *more* impactful than a 30k lump sum, on account of that massive factor called compound interest



  • Administrators Posts: 56,219 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭awec


    You cannot budget for it like this unless you are fixing your interest rate for the entirety of the mortgage, and even then, absolutely nobody does this.

    People budget for mortgages based on the monthly cost of the mortgage and 30k over 30 years is going to have an insignificant impact on the monthly cost.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,854 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    Small landlords are certainly buying properties in Dublin, I have seen them at viewings making offers and I know of at least 3 buyers in the market, 2 of which are FTBs, that were all outbid by a small landlords.

    Anecdotal examples I know, but there are landlords buying out there.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,917 ✭✭✭DataDude


    Isn’t HTB different from FHS in that, even IF the price of the new build went up the full €30k (it won’t because not all potential buyers have access to the €30k, that’s the point of targeting the subsidy)…it doesn’t get added to the mortgage. It’s not a loan like the FHS.

    Perhaps you’re referring to those buying without any grant but still getting the ‘higher price’



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,147 ✭✭✭I see sheep


    I agree totally on all the Irish politicians you mentioned.

    But Trump is no better. What did he do for ordinary Americans last time?

    "a terrible war imposed by the provisional IRA"

    Our West Brit Taoiseach



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,625 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Well he didnt facilitate any new wars while he was there and was actively trying to stop conflict and that to me trumps (forgive the pun) the majority of other president's have done before him. He has already gone and put manners on both Israel and Hamas to give up the war over there…

    Don't get me wrong I don't like the guy I don't believe in some/a lot of his policies but what I do admire is that he campaigned on different issues and took a definitive side and outlined how he was going to go about bringing change and now he is actively going to try and implement them ye know like what our shower of sh1ts in government should be doing. Now can you imagine Mehole Martin coming out and taking the biggest issue that was debated in Ireland and that being the housing crisis and him taking the the approach of doing everything he can to stop the housing crisis and actively perusing a policy for building much more housing and looking at other issues which have had a devastating effect on our housing such as immigration and taking the hard decision to stop people coming in until our housing and other public services have caught up? Not a chance the only hard decisions these boyos will be taking will be how much more money they will waste on the new curtains in the Dail pub and for anything that may be hard to do or may paint them in a bad light they will have a spin of "we will review" or "we will try to build" or "we will set up a group to look into that" yada yada kick the can down the road.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29 Help_to_


    Take up doesn't reflect whether people think it was a good thing to introduce.

    Grants only increase prices of the product. It's the same everywhere with grants. Grant for EV charger installation? Price of that went up dramatically.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 12,073 ✭✭✭✭J Mysterio




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,484 ✭✭✭halkar


    IMO government should not interfere with any market. Anything they touch gets inflated. It same with houses, EVs, insulation grants, solars etc.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,132 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    The one great thing about the recession back in the day was that the state was broke…it's hard to create chaos when your coffers are empty.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,036 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Bang on

    Meanwhile the European champions stumble across the finish line down 6.7% on the previous year

    At least the managed to sell a lie to the sheep to get re elected for another 5 years of dysfunction



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,919 ✭✭✭Rocket_GD


    Weren't we told multiple times that completions were going to be up last year? A few on this thread also spouted that this was the case and that this trend would continue to increase. Going by the actual figures we have, we're getting further away from the 40/50k we need a year.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,625 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Not enough to house the next wave of migration coming in this year and we will be further behind year on year while this persists. Honestly I have a teenager here and I am prepping him to get out of the country when he is of age as there is not a chance he will be able to afford to buy or rent here while the lemmings in government lie and lack the bollox to make the hard decisions.

    Post edited by fliball123 on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,919 ✭✭✭Rocket_GD


    Thanks for letting us know that you and your child will soon also be migrants.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,625 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Gary you need to read what I have been saying I don't have issues with any individual coming in. I have an issue with the amount of individuals coming in and what its doing to our public services like this discussion on property/housing.

    I also don't like people coming in who are looking for handouts and not working and contributing, I do understand some people need some help when they get here but after a year or so they should be well able to work and pay their own way

    When my kid goes I will make sure he has a trade and/or college behind him so when he goes to another country he will be working and contributing to the countries taxation system so he will be a nett tax payer and will also be paying his own way for things like rent and food. He will also be compliant with the countries Visa laws and wont be flushing documentation down the airplane toilet to be let into the country. Is that ok with you there. I never said I was going anywhere BTW. You need to move the conversation on pal honestly your like a broken record.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,919 ✭✭✭Rocket_GD


    You literally said "and I am prepping to get out of the country when he is of age".

    You're the one who has been spouting on for pages about immigration and your opinions on it's negative impacts on society. I want to discuss the housing market.

    I replied to another poster about completions and straight away you're back to me about immigration. We disagree let's leave it there as I'm sick of this and it's just clogging up the feed for other users who I bet are also sick of it.



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