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⚠️ Storm Éowyn - Fri 24.01.25 (**Please read Mod Instruction in OP.**)

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,383 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    Good old Matty M, of course who used to be a regular here before he went Pro. I'm sure he still reads our forum on the qt.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,631 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    ECM 18Z stronger than earlier runs and the SW getting the big hit first and then moving up along the W and NW with the strongest winds. Looks very strong along the S and SE also for a time. Showing winds of 120 to 130 km/h sweeping in over the entire country .

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 74 ✭✭Thorny Queen


    Oh this sounds like a nasty one altogether. Thanks for the heads one everyone...I'm going to do a good top up shop in the morning. Hoping everyone will be safe and well. Our weather has been barmy recently- snow one week, mild spring like weather the next week, severe storm the next week. Mad.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,383 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    That's a crazy upgrade from one of the most trusted models in meteorology. Folks that's a close down Ireland and pray run!!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 510 ✭✭✭Murt2024


    Oh no i'm petrified, gonna buy a generator tomorrow and a few extra slice pans. I'm so scared.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 184 ✭✭Rain from the West


    Grim charts M58. If the ECM is still churning this out this time tomorrow night, along with the higher res models, it's very worrying tbh.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,345 ✭✭✭Rebelbrowser


    JS, great reporting by you on the models but might I suggest you sound a little less enthusiastic about “upgrades” and about this possibly hitting the southwest? This thing is highly likely to kill people, an “upgrade” would be reduced wind speeds or it buggering off to either France or Rockall imho. Appreciate you don’t make the weather, but you get the point. Otherwise, as I said, well done on seeing how dangerous this thing was / is from far out (as obviously did a good few others, particularly Meteorite who opened the thread).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,537 ✭✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare (430ft asl)


    Storm Eowyn will be born in the early hours of Wednesday morning as it evolves from a shortwave that develops off the the SE USA coast.

    The system will then undergo rapid cyclogenesis (fast and intensive development) in the mid-Atlantic tomorrow night and into Thursday. The system will take 48 hours to travel over 3,500 miles across the Atlantic toward Ireland and Britain.

    Additional systems will likely follow later in the weekend and into next week. As Friday's storm is far from nailed down, it would be pointless at this stage to mention specifics about follow-up systems.

    a.jpg animanp4.gif

    www.weatheire.com



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,546 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    Yeah i like my weather events but this would cause widespread damage and disruption. Anyway we'll see what later today brings.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,966 ✭✭✭Oíche Na Gaoithe Móire


    We had a nationwide RED for Ophelia in 2017, however I'd say only the bottom third of the country merited red, the rest orange. It was more the unprecedented nature of that October storm.

    I think this is way beyond Ophelia, I'd expect a national Red.

    'Where have you gone Joe DiMaggio? A nation turns It's lonely eyes to you.'



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,074 ✭✭✭sicknotexi


    It's incredible they can track these storms so far out really.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,281 ✭✭✭Dazler97


    where could I buy a generator , I might just get one , although I’ve never used 1 before



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 83 ✭✭dairyedge


    Hate storms with a passion and people that like them. Went from 1998 to Darwin without anyone to mention/remember and been without power for 12 nights since. People need to organise how to cook and heat if without fireplace and fill any containers with water (milk cartons) etc and have power banks so you can see when power might be restored or report. Power banks are like 20-30 euros. Generator’s are luxury unless milking cows or old people. Climate is F. People that have to go out everyday already know that. Look at last summer with a wind that would cut you.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,546 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    Ophelia was certainly windy alright but Darwin for about an hour was the worst I ever saw in north cork anyway. The Christmas eve storm of 97 was very bad too here.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,537 ✭✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare (430ft asl)


    Aside from the likely incredibly strong wind speeds on Friday morning and a very wide windfield, I do believe that them coinciding with morning rush hour and people moving about will carry added weight for Met Éireann when considering what Alerts will be put in place.

    By lunchtime tomorrow, I think every media outlet in the country will have this storm as the lead story.

    The recent cold spell was one of the greatest misinformation weather episodes that I can remember because most people did not actually read what Met Eireann were saying and, instead, were caught up with clickbait sites posting colourful snow charts with over the top headlines. Make https://www.met.ie your primary source or if you are in Northern Ireland, refer to https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

    If you have a problem with ME, stick it in the ME thread.

    www.weatheire.com



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,391 ✭✭✭mcburns07


    All 3 were whoppers for south Cork. Ophelia stands out for the no of trees taken down, as you said it being early October contributed to that. The sustained wind speeds in Darwin were something else, just a relentless howl for a few hours.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,631 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    I agree, the winds never really penetrated that far inland but there was some unfortunate loss of life if memory serves me correct. The eye actually passed over here, calm as could be and parts of the Northern half of the country it was very light if nonexistent. It just ran out of steam when it hit land. this is a different beast, deepening, moving at pace and the angle couldn't be more perfect in meteorological sense for bring those high winds inland.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,634 ✭✭✭An Ri rua


    Trump's Republicans didn't take it from the ground so. They were blaming the LA fire chief for the fires. I recall a horse getting similar justice in a Continental court in the Middle Ages.

    So calm out there tonight that its just plain worrying. When combined with these charts. I'm expecting a Here be Monsters chart on the 9 O'Clock tomorrow night. It will need Joanna Donnelly for the high drama.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,966 ✭✭✭Oíche Na Gaoithe Móire


    Right. I always thought Ophelia was ye're big one. Darwin was unreal on the Laois\Kilkenny border too. Ophelia was run of the mill for my location.

    'Where have you gone Joe DiMaggio? A nation turns It's lonely eyes to you.'



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 588 ✭✭✭JohnySwan


    And I've never experienced anything like Ophelia, down the road in East Cork. I thought our windows were gone at one stage, you could see them starting to buckle.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,966 ✭✭✭Oíche Na Gaoithe Móire


    Yes, tree cutting in Ophelia was one casualty.

    I've never seen anything like these charts, the agreement etc.

    'Where have you gone Joe DiMaggio? A nation turns It's lonely eyes to you.'



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 83 ✭✭dairyedge


    your local co op. It’s a change over switch that’s the main thing. Needs to be done by a certified electrician. Really nothing to rush into. Get one in the summer and do research beforehand about what size you need. I rushed into buying one. Buy yourself a camping stove to cook food on if you have no back up before Friday. You wont feel foolish if you have a plan B.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,604 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    There is still scope for this not to be a nationwide red warning. I will be surprised if Met Eireann issue a nationwide red before tomorrow evening. There will be some warnings issued tomorrow morning but I think they will hold off on a nationwide red until they have seen the evening runs. As for the additional systems, if this storm is as severe as current guidance depicts any follow up storm might not need to be as potent to do widespread damage as a lot of trees will be in a weakened state from Eowyn



  • Moderators, Computer Games Moderators Posts: 15,255 Mod ✭✭✭✭FutureGuy


    If Darwin was a 10/10 severity storm, what are we thinking here realistically?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,546 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    East Cork probably got it worse alright. The sting jet from Darwin might have hit my location more. People were out and about for Darwin too. Everything was shut down for Ophelia.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,631 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Yeah not their style to issue red warnings too far out , just a strongly worded statement saying warnings could be upgraded and to keep an eye on Met Eireann etc. More than likely a widespread if not all counties in Orange warning initially , then it is fine tuning with the Hi Res models. They have been remarkably consistent so by later tomorrow night should have a fair idea of track and strength.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,383 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    I think they will, there was quite a bit of trouble over the snow event and not calling a red. That was an error, will they make 2 errors in a row? Possible



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,634 ✭✭✭An Ri rua


    Spinal Tap 11.

    Joking apart, potentially brutal..Prepare then wait and see.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,631 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Just checked my House Insurance, got a fright for a minute, all covered , phew 😅



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,537 ✭✭✭WolfeEire
    Clare (430ft asl)


    The worst of Darwin's winds were the result of a stingjet that formed at the tip of the Shannon Estuary. They are notoriously hard to forecast for. Like @Meteorite58, I will never forget to roar of the wind here in County Clare. It was frightening. I watched trees in my garden keel over and branches snap in front of me. It was the most extreme wind I have every experienced.

    A storm will hit on Friday. I am hoping that the most extreme output backs off overnight. Until we hit Thursday morning, I am at pains to predict how windy it will get.

    www.weatheire.com



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