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Irish Property Market chat II - *read mod note post #1 before posting*

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 347 ✭✭chalky_ie


    When people say that salaries are double they are mostly talking about large tech company pay. There are plenty of 'tech' jobs in the US outside of the normal hotspots that don't pay crazy wages.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,585 ✭✭✭Blut2


    I was hired by my direct manager whos US based, and I've hired staff for my team under me based in other countries. Its not rare at all to report across countries these days.

    Software engineer in Dublin €60k-105k, median €92k:

    https://www.glassdoor.ie/Salary/Google-Software-Engineer-Salaries-E9079_D_KO7,24.htm

    Software engineer in the US: $212k-$305k, median $251k:

    https://www.glassdoor.ie/Salary/Google-Software-Engineer-California-Salaries-EJI_IE9079.0,6_KO7,24_IL.25,35_IS2280.htm

    Thats the same job in the same company and 200%+ salary difference. And its broadly indicative across the entire sector, have a look at the same job roles in the same MNCs across Dublin and the US on Glassdoor.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,351 ✭✭✭Ray Palmer


    Go look up Test Manager and compare. The salaries aren't double maybe 15% difference. You are calling out one particular role in one company. It is not a standard as you claim.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,815 ✭✭✭tigger123


    Is this relevant to the Irish Property Market?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,819 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    100k ireland

    https://www.glassdoor.ie/Salary/Cadence-Design-Systems-Principal-Design-Engineer-Salaries-E1217_D_KO23,48.htm

    2-300k US

    https://www.glassdoor.com/Salary/Cadence-Design-Systems-Principal-Engineer-Austin-Salaries-EJI_IE1217.0,22_KO23,41_IL.42,48_IM60.htm

    80-84k Ireland

    https://www.glassdoor.ie/Salary/Synopsys-Senior-Staff-Engineer-Salaries-E2143_D_KO9,30.htm

    250-325k USD

    https://www.glassdoor.com/Salary/Synopsys-Senior-Staff-Engineer-Salaries-E2143_D_KO9,30.htm

    We could go on and on all day - but so as to not derail the thread further this is the last I'll say on the matter. It is absolutely the case that equivalent salaries for equivalent roles in tech, pharma, finance, etc are all much lower in Ireland than in the USA. Hence why it's so attractive to hire here for equivalent roles



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 461 ✭✭Rooks




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,132 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    Anyone remember that thread that we had a few years ago on the matter of a "softening housing market"?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,953 ✭✭✭DataDude


    To be fair, there was a fair old softening. In Summer 2023 the YoY inflation rate was -2% in dublin and+1% countrywide.

    When wage inflation is running at 5% that is a substantial drop in real terms. So many Irish people see something like that and stay on the sidelines assuming a mad 30% price drop is just around the corner. The reality is they almost never happen anywhere a! You need to jump on the small soft period but the scars of 2008-2012 runs deep in Irish psyche!



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,809 ✭✭✭hometruths


    CSO this week have launched a Housing Hub as "a single source for key housing information in Ireland"

    Some interesting numbers from their "snapshot":

    Screenshot 2024-11-22 at 12.09.28.png

    Presumably the next five years will be significantly higher, but I was definitely surprised to see it was as high as 8% between 2006 and 2011. Worth bearing in mind there is an extra year in the 2022 figure because of the delayed census.

    Screenshot 2024-11-22 at 12.13.44.png

    So the 2011 housing stock growth comfortably outstripped the population growth, hence you'd expect some oversupply in 2011. On the face it these figures don't really support the idea we should have had a crisis level housing stock deficit in 2022 or 2016.

    The deficit idea is also contradicted up by this old chestnut:

    Screenshot 2024-11-22 at 12.16.56.png

    So the Housing Commission, based on Census data says there was a deficit in the Housing Stock of 250k on census night, April 2022. Yet the CSO says there was a vacancy rate of 10.9% on census night, April 2022.

    Only thing that is certain is either the Housing Commission or the CSO is talking out their hole. My money is on the Housing Commission.

    This is the one that surprised me most:

    Screenshot 2024-11-22 at 12.20.42.png

    I know the bottom was post 2011, approx early 2013, but I was still very surprised to see that April 2011 was higher than 2016.

    https://www.cso.ie/en/releasesandpublications/hubs/p-hh/housinghub/snapshot/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,819 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Thanks for the stats.

    Just out of interest, is median home price based on sales figures? That could distort things a lot because in 2011 low valued homes could be in negative equity and unable to actually sell, 5 years on more equity built up means even if your home was worth similar to 2011 your equity means you could sell and move on.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 461 ✭✭Rooks


    The Property Price Register has sales going back to 2010 I think so why not use that instead of 5 year snapshots.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,132 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    Hmm true. I actually bought my house in 2022. It's worth about 30k more based on what's going in the market for the area. It's not much use to me as I need somewhere to live, and I don't see the house as an investment, but I'm glad that I didn't wait.

    There was a story in that thread of a couple who sold up in 2022, hoping to buy back into the market in a year or so when the perceived crash had taken place. In other words, they tired to short the housing market. Crazy stuff.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,947 ✭✭✭✭o1s1n
    Master of the Universe


    We bought in 2021 during the pandemic and the house has gone up about 100k in value since. It's ridiculous. My sister is trying to buy at the moment and my heart really goes out to her.

    I actually wanted to wait as I was sure the prices would come down and that we were overpaying but my missus convinced me to press ahead with it.

    Sure glad we did now!

    Be worth checking your LTV rate now versus when you bought by the way, might be able to get a better mortgage rate.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,585 ✭✭✭Blut2


    Test Manager salary in Dublin €60k-84k, €68k median:

    https://www.glassdoor.ie/Salaries/dublin-test-manager-salary-SRCH_IL.0,6_IM1052_KO7,19.htm

    Test Manager salary in US $138k-212k, $170k median:

    https://www.glassdoor.ie/Salaries/los-angeles-ca-test-manager-salary-SRCH_IL.0,14_IC1146821_KO15,27.htm

    Above 200% difference again, in the exact specific role you think makes your point.

    I'll stop replying on this as other posters have, but its quite clear you have no actual experience in tech salaries in Dublin vs the US, or how they would affect the Irish housing market. As everyone in this thread telling you, and the data, would suggest.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,953 ✭✭✭DataDude


    That is insanity. I’d have very little sympathy for people like that, and suspect they are in a tiny tiny minority.

    The ones I do feel sorry for, and it only came up in work recently, are 20 somethings who could buy but choose to wait a year because uncle Jim says it feels exactly like 2007.

    It’s sad to watch. If you’re paying a rental yield of 8% and wages are rising 5%. You need once in a lifetime drops in property prices just to stand still. The right time to buy is pretty much always as soon as you can!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,132 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    Good old Uncle Jimmy…

    I don't like to say "boomers", but I strongly advise any young people these days to not put too much weight into what the hear from their older family members. The circumstances of the housing market today are not like anything that has been seen before, and just because 2007 saw record high prices followed by a crash in no way means that a crash is coming in 2025.

    My advice is to buy what one can when they have the chance. Even if there is a crash, at least there will a roof over your head.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,044 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    Indeed. And most importantly, dont be a forever renter.

    When the time comes to retire, you will be lucky to get social housing anywhere they put you, in order to live out your days.

    There isn't a cat in hells chance that a pension will pay the market rent and leave you with disposable income.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 461 ✭✭Rooks


    Does this apply to variable rate only? Can you get a fixed rate changed?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,947 ✭✭✭✭o1s1n
    Master of the Universe


    You'd need to switch out of your current fixed rate - there might be penalties but in a lot of instances there aren't.

    We changed out of a fixed rate last year with one year still left to go and there were zero penalties for doing so.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,132 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    Sadly, a lot of people will be forever-renters through no great fault of their own.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 461 ✭✭Rooks




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,092 ✭✭✭Villa05


    The ESRI released a report during the week saying 100k were added to the numbers in work

    Is there a correlation between migrant numbers and numbers at work, just asking as it gives a picture on whether migration is a non issue? Rather a failure in housing/governance



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,132 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    Migration is a non issue? I think you'll need to expand on that particularly extraordinary idea.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,619 ✭✭✭Timing belt


    well if the employment rate isn’t falling then it’s either people taking multiple jobs or immigration. You can look at no of work permits issued but that only shows non EU immigrants. You won’t see EU immigrants (nor non EU immigrants that have a EU passport from parents/grandparents). And then you have asylum seekers who are allowed to work after a certain period. I wouldn’t be surprised if the no of new builds wasn’t sufficient to house the increases we have seen recently.

    On the flip side a lot of these immigrants are needed to

    • provide essential services (doctors, nurses, builders etc.) to keep the country attempting to function.
    • Needed to feed the multinationals expansions

    Another side that is not discussed is the increase in tax take (income tax, vat etc) that is generated and instead it is painted as we increased spending on x but in reality spending per head has dropped.

    unfortunately due to extreme views on left and right it’s impossible to have a constructive conversation on the topic without being called extreme left or extreme right so most people will form a view (sometimes without considering all the relevant information) but will not express this in public because of fear of being labelled. But yes it is as important in my mind as the ability to build new houses.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,132 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    "unfortunately due to extreme views on left and right it’s impossible to have a constructive conversation on the topic without being called extreme left or extreme right"

    Very, very true. SOME immigration is fine, and even a good thing. 100k NET yeah on year is not. Immigration should be been discussed openly years ago, but it was not and now it's quite probably one of the greatest problems that the country has faced in a long, long time.

    Post edited by RichardAnd on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,351 ✭✭✭Ray Palmer


    Am I making things up or maybe glassdoor is skewed data of top earners as opposed to what jobs are recruited at. Don't be quick to call somebody a liar when you are the one using one source for your data. My view is based on friends and relative working in the USA and my own experience

    https://www.indeed.com/career/test-manager/salaries/Boston--MA?from=top_sb



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 18,095 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    Test roles have been eliminated or combined into other roles in tech so it's less in demand.

    Ireland typically has a 2:1 headcount rate vs. the US but productivity per head can get similar. The US is also hitting a crunch internally due to lack of immigration/visa availability (much fewer people moving from south and east asia) and lack of graduates coming from US third level.

    Canada (Vancouver particularly) is also very popular at the moment.

    The ratio with India is higher again but productivity and output suffer there (along with high attrition and turnover rates).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,351 ✭✭✭Ray Palmer


    First I have heard of the elimination of test roles. Very important legally for government contracts and those servicing the government. It tends to be a crucial part of SDLC and clients use it to determine if their needs are met. I know people working here and there and the salaries are not that different generally but in certain areas and certain companies pay way more. The title maybe the same but the work is not. There is a huge amount of Indian people coming over here which are probably keeping salaries down here. I have been in a few meetings and been the only Irish native there



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 18,095 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    You seem very out of the loop in these areas.

    During the pandemic there was a lot of hiring happening that would often include relocation for people across Europe and Asia but that has mostly stopped. The local market in Ireland is quite small and we're probably not producing enough high-quality graduates to fill the roles but wages have been trending upwards in these sectors.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 461 ✭✭Rooks


    Should we change the name of the thread? Perhaps rename the forum too?



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