Autumn 2024 - General Discussion

Ah brilliant. I keep spelling your name wrong 'syran' instead of 'sryan' .

Can you recall a very dry October/ November like this ,sometime between 2003 and 2007 ?

Mild tonight as it clouded over with some drizzle. Colder further South. 1c Dunsany

Cheers thanks. I remember cattle out and it being exceptionally dry in November. I must see can I locate my weather diary for 2007.

Fog not in the forecast for Galway today(apart from hills), but its as bad now in the city as it was yesterday. Visibility is about 100m or less, has gotten gradually worse since 12pm.

Inlaws say they have great sunshine in the Garden County all morning. Not a peep here. Grey and damp with some drizzle a while ago. 9°

Another great morning out, this time at Killiney Hill getting above the dense fog that was over Dublin. A lovely few days after all the grey but back to it now this afternoon.

Lying snow in November in Ireland has occurred in but not limited to:

2019 when a rain to snow event brought snow to some inland including Kildare on the evening of the 13th.

1993 had easterly winds bring snowfalls on 21st/22nd but no information on depths or pics that I have found.

1977 had a few wintry falls but most notably thundersnow Irish Sea streamers from brief northeasterly winds in eastern areas on the 21st. This included supposedly a 12cm depth at 9am at Casement.. RTÉ footage on this one here.

1919 had the most severe mid-November conditions. There wasn't any official ice days recorded as far as I know but temps got down to as low as -11C in Sligo on the 14th and widespread snow cover from the 11th-16th November.

Other possible years I would think that might have contained some notable snowfalls in November were 1878, 1947 and 1952 but information is very limited.

As for ice days, these are all the examples I have with max and location in brackets:

29 Nov 2010 (-1.5C at Mount Juliet, Kilkenny)

28 Nov 2010 (-4.5C at Clonroche, Wexford). The Nov national record low max. Lots of places had ice day conditions this day.

29 Nov 2008 (-0.1C at Carrickmacross, Monaghan)

30 Nov 1947 (-1.1C at Shannon Airport)

A near miss to note: 20 Nov 2016 had 0.4C at Horseleap (Offaly). Ballyhaise had a calendar 24 hour ice day (midnight to midnight) on 25 Nov 2016 with a max of -0.3C.

As you can see, there's not much at all and that goes back to 1942. November snow and cold has always been a rare beast and just makes 2010 stand out even more as historic.

Don't worry about it, everybody does it even though it's just simply 's' in front of Ryan.

Yeah you're probably thinking of 2007 which was notably anticyclonic for much of the autumn after such a wet summer. October was exceptionally dry in the east with less than 20mm for some.

November 2004 was also very dry and similarly to the start of Nov 2024, it was also very cloudy. However, October 2004 was wet with severe flooding later in the month for the south.

Just to add to the list above. High of -2c Armagh 17 November 1915

That was a fantastic sunny day in Cork harbour, and fantastic red sky sunset.

Ireland has 32 counties.

Orange Bravo

Also based on CET and old weather maps, Nov 24-27 1904 and Nov 23-24 1858 were also very cold and potentially snowy.

Looking ahead, latest guidance is converging on a Tuesday battle as GFS in particular is showing a pushback of milder air and all guidance develops some kind of low pressure near the Irish Sea and or n/c Ireland. Then most guidance has a second low passing south of Cork Thursday into Friday. GFS shows 5-10 cm snowfalls in northern counties only on Tuesday, and 3-6 inland south by Friday.

A strong push of milder air would end the cold spell around Sunday 24th followed by heavy rains and strong winds.

I am not super confident of either snow scenario really working out, as uppers are a bit marginal, and models don't seem to have a very good grip on details yet. No doubt it will get cold enough to see snow settling on hills, but beyond that would assign 40-70 per cent chance sorts of probabilities to lowland accumulations at this point.

Doesn't feel as cool this morning but i don't know if this is more down to my shower being on "Burn the b****x off you" mode for some reason.

Misty enough. 11c N Kildare

It's nearly 11 degrees warmer than this time yesterday but the fog persists 😀 (N Tipp)

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