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Harris Vs Trump 2024 US Presidential election - read the warning in the OP posted 18/09/24

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,580 ✭✭✭Cordell


    Kamala is the sitting vice president, the de facto president and she would have been a continuation of the current administration.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,746 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    Americas economy by every single metric is in A territory.

    The economy generally doesn't mean anything to most people. It's too abstract. What they'll focus on is how far the dollar in their pocket will stretch and they see, like most of the western world, that it doesn't go as far as it used to. Over all, the US is in pretty good shape under Biden and they've a GDP that a lot of western countries would envy. By any objective metric Biden has been a decent President and the Democrats have had a successful administration.

    Inflation has hit certain quarters over there hard, however, like it has here, Britain and Europe too. The other day my mate in Berlin was lamenting the fact that prices had gone up for certain stuff and his rent has increased again. It's happening all over. Every time I go to the shops there's been a hike in prices and it's not just a few cent here and there. It's a matter of a Euro or more and in the blink of an eye too. One day an item is a certain price, the next it's a Euro more expensive.

    The stupid thing, though, is blaming a President on such things. As if they are solely responsible for the rise in prices that private sector companies engage in. In a country that, supposedly, is all about the "free market", expecting the government to step in a control prices in a downward direction seems a bit weird.

    However, if Trump follows through on his idiotic tariff nonsense then the price of cheaper imported goods is set to rise and that'll hit the folk who are worried about how far their dollar stretches the worst.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,694 ✭✭✭volchitsa


    It doesn't work like that though. The brain wants the body to eat regularly, for one thing, so skipping meals because you have fat reserves doesn't stop feelings of hunger. It's not the same as skipping a meal occasionally because your stomach is still full.

    But even more of a problem is that people who are obese through eating poor quality food can be deficient in essential nutrients - which triggers the brain to make them hungrier to try to get those nutrients, even though they have an excess of calories. So they end up needing to eat more, not less. Which, if their calorie-dense food still isn't providing those nutrients, will make them more obese again. And possibly still hungry.

    ”I enjoy cigars, whisky and facing down totalitarians, so am I really Winston Churchill?” (JK Rowling)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,411 ✭✭✭j62


    Turns out it wasn’t

    “It’s the economy, stupid”

    But

    “It’s the perception of the economy by the stupid”

    IMG_5457.jpeg


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,495 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    Seriously? 🙄

    The De Facto President is the President, not the vice president.

    Harris if she won would have formed her own administration.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,694 ✭✭✭volchitsa


    The unemployment rate is actually quite high isn't it? I thought it was lower, given the low level of social welfare for the unemployed over there.

    ”I enjoy cigars, whisky and facing down totalitarians, so am I really Winston Churchill?” (JK Rowling)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,746 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    An unemployment rate of 4.1% is considered full employment.

    So, no. It's not "actually quite high".



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,411 ✭✭✭j62




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,646 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    In other news, it sounds distinctly like Trump will give carte blanche to Israel to engage in further genocide. Russia likely to be allowed to retain whatever parts of Ukraine it wants. That's gonna be plenty of genocide for the supposedly anti war leader.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,165 ✭✭✭sock.rocker*




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  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,897 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    To each their own. I moved to the US in January 2000 with no job lined up, $2,500 in my bank account and a credit card with a $3,500 limit. Turned out to be a damned good move and I have no intention of ever returning to live in Ireland.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,411 ✭✭✭j62


    Shocked picachu faces on those Muslim Americans and on the far Left who either stayed home or voted Trump/third party “because Gaza”



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,746 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    You joined the military, though, right? And then was sent to Iraq?

    No offence, but that right there isn't something a lot of people would consider a "damned good move".

    If you're not the user I'm thinking of, then scratch the above. 😁

    I'm not saying that the States can't work out for anybody. It's certainly possible to get on over there. It's just that the perception doesn't always tally with the reality for a lot of people who are expecting a certain outcome.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,746 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, American unemployment rates for the 1st quarter of 2024 stood at 3.8%. In Q2 is went up to 4%. As of October, it's stood at 4.1%. 2024's rate has been the lowest it's been in around 50 years.

    I don't know where you're getting the idea that it's 24%. That's a depression era rate from the 1930's.



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,897 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    Depends on how you define it.

    This link gets you to about 24% by including those who are under employed and those who are employed but don't "make a living wage". Most places which just count "out of the workforce" get you to about 7 5%, though I'm not sure how that relates to historical. After COVID there were some folks who just stopped looking for work for whatever reason.

    https://www.lisep.org/tru



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,694 ✭✭✭volchitsa


    Yup. All those "Genocide Joe" placards really worked a treat didn't they?

    Posters claiming that Trump voters are stupid and easily manipulated might like to have a think about certain Democrats, never mind the rest of the population.

    ”I enjoy cigars, whisky and facing down totalitarians, so am I really Winston Churchill?” (JK Rowling)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,371 ✭✭✭✭hotmail.com


    American presidents aren't bothered about genocides.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,854 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf


    I wonder what our friend engineerws will have to say if/when Trump clarifies that that is indeed his position.

    Untitled Image


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,411 ✭✭✭j62


    Stupidity and brain worms are something both far left and far right share

    Two cheeks of the same arse



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,580 ✭✭✭Cordell


    No real point in continuing this, it wasn't the point anyway. The point was that Trump won because americans are stupid and stupid americans voted for him. But blaming stupid people for loosing the election means they are even more stupid, they are so stupid they couldn't even convince enough stupid people to vote for them. If anyone is stupid, candidate or voters, it's the losing side.



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  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,897 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    I did. And a year in Afghanistan. But since I volunteered for the miltary back in 2000 that kindof comes with the territory and I can't exactly complain about it. Besides, the miltary benefits have been reasonable.

    It was two years out of the 24 I've been here. I doubt I'll be gone for another two years before I retire. Not that long a period of time. It's not as if I work for the railroads, trucking companies, merchant marine, or some such, where I'm away from home for a daft amount of time.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,694 ✭✭✭volchitsa


    There are stupid people everywhere, for sure. Letting your stupider supporters (and elected representatives) damage your election prospects is particularly unfortunate though.

    The Republicans may have manipulated the stupids on their side so as to get their votes: the Democrats seem to have been manipulated by theirs. So which is the stupider of the two parties then?

    ”I enjoy cigars, whisky and facing down totalitarians, so am I really Winston Churchill?” (JK Rowling)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,411 ✭✭✭j62


    What realistically could the democrats have done tho? Not helping Israel would have pissed off an even larger percentage of population with connections to that country



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 561 ✭✭✭CliffHangeroner


    Maybe, maybe not. A lot of Israeli's don't support the genocide believe it or not. Anyway we'll never know, now they just go out as losers who wouldn't take a moral stance when needed. Talked out of one side of it's mouth in regards Russia's actions and another in regards Israel's.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,694 ✭✭✭volchitsa


    They have the same problem as the UK Labour Party: a large part of their targeted support are Muslims. It's a difficult line to tread and yes I don't know if it can be fully achieved. There was always going to be some loss of support from the Muslim population (which itself is odd: nobody ever expected Italian-Americans to support the IRA or Noraid back in the day on the basis of being the same religion).

    But in any case they should not be letting people like Rachida Tlaib or AOC, who doesn't even have the excuse of being Palestinian, set the agenda.

    But the problem IMO is a longer term one of choosing to prioritise identity politics - the idea that Biden should step down so as to allow Kamala Harris a few months of being the first woman politician is the sort of madness that has put them in an untenable position.

    It's demagoguery, not politics.

    ”I enjoy cigars, whisky and facing down totalitarians, so am I really Winston Churchill?” (JK Rowling)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,635 ✭✭✭✭Penn


    "But the problem IMO is a longer term one of choosing to prioritise identity politics - the idea that Biden should step down so as to allow Kamala Harris a few months of being the first woman politician is the sort of madness that has put them in an untenable position."

    In fairness, while people are pointing out that it would be kind of funny just because of how hard Trump has pushed his "47" merch etc, nobody is actually seriously suggesting they should do it. It's not a matter of "identity politics" and the Dems would be far worse off if they actually did it because nobody would take them seriously any more; treating the Presidency as the punchline to a joke.

    Besides, even those who do want to see the first female President soon, getting it that way means less than not getting it at all.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,411 ✭✭✭j62


    interesting yeh, the Democratic Party might have to move to center and tell those on far left to either shut up and come along or split off

    I suspect the republicans will despite having all branches (judging by past performance) will also splinter due to far right numpties and the eventual Trump caused economic disasters

    maybe maybe not, but the people have spoken now and destruction of Palestine and Lebanon and maybe Iran (they tried kill Trump) are now baked in



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,495 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    interesting yeh, the Democratic Party might have to move to center and tell those on far left to either shut up and come along or split off

    I'm not so sure calling out genocide in real time should be considered far left, but either way the Democrats are a centre party.

    Biden is very much a centrist that leans right and left.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,411 ✭✭✭j62


    I don’t disagree but it turned out to be a non issue for vast majority of Americans who seemed more interested in negative alternate reality perceptions of economy (which itself is incredible as by every sane measure is never been better) than what happens in Middle East

    And for those who stayed at home or voted for Trump as a form of protest, well I haven’t seen that level of nose cutting to spite face since Brexit, real leopards ate my face shock coming their way



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,694 ✭✭✭volchitsa


    Yeah I mean I know it wasn't an official suggestion, and could even have been a joke, but the humour relies on the way "having a female president" is a box ticking exercise, something to be done regardless of the value of the person as president. It's the very worst sort of identity politics, as i mentioned above, and it is seen as something that today's Democratic party would be quite capable of doing.

    That's the problem - not whether they do or not, but that it seems plausible that they might want to.

    ”I enjoy cigars, whisky and facing down totalitarians, so am I really Winston Churchill?” (JK Rowling)



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