Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie

Harris Vs Trump 2024 US Presidential election - read the warning in the OP posted 18/09/24

1529530532534535574

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,555 ✭✭✭✭Sleepy


    The demographic breakdown I referenced isn't present in that article. In fact, it's figures in that area explicitly state:

    A 20-year-old woman starting full-time work can expect to earn $407,760 less over a 40-year career compared to a man in the same position.

    Which clearly has a few issues: a 20 year old starting full-time work is unlikely to be educated to degree level and the statistic being presented is based on forecast / modelled figures which are inherently unreliable and done over a time-span which would be skewed by the lifestyle choices of parents I mentioned above. Also if you check the citation for that statistic, it's from the National Women’s Law Center: a feminist lobby group.

    Looking elsewhere on Forbes, this article has a little more detail: https://www.forbes.com/advisor/business/average-salary-by-age/ but it does seem to correlate more with what you're saying

    In the age group of 16 to 19, the gender pay gap is the smallest, with the median annual wage for males at $32,188 and for females at $31,096. This amounts to a difference of $1,092 or a 3.5% wage disparity in favor of males.

    The insights drawn from the data highlight the gender pay gap is not consistent across age groups, but rather, it expands as individuals progress in their careers and reach higher income levels. This pattern indicates that a complex interplay of factors, such as career choices, professional growth and striking a work-life balance, might be affecting women more significantly during their mid-career stages.

    Looking at US unemployment rates, it seems young men are more likely to be unemployed that young women (while young women are also more likely to be "underemployed" i.e. working part time roles which often indicate the parental choices referenced) so that would need to be factored into the above too.

    Apologies if I'm dragging this off-topic, I didn't mean to get involved in yet another debate about the gender pay gap. Though this very interaction does highlight part of my point: public discourse tends to be focused on issues that don't effect the majority of the population. The gender pay gap has been closing for decades and the gap that remains can be largely explained by legacy issues (older workers careers spanning a timeline where sexism was far more prevalent in their early careers) and differences in lifestyle choices (men being more likely to seek higher paid work, women being more likely to seek job satisfaction or work/life balance etc.). The days of men and women being paid differently for the exact same job are long past, legislation exists in most of the western world for any breaches of that to be remedied. It's something of a non-issue yet it gets a disproportionate amount of airtime.

    My argument was that there are real issues behind the voting patterns of one of the key demographics that voted for Trump and while neither party offered any meaningful solutions, the Republicans talked more about the problems and helped the disaffected young men (who'd tell pollsters their key voting issues were "the economy") feel seen by them. Many of them obviously hadn't the education or inclination to look at the actual policy platforms to see which would be economically better for them but from their POV they at least heard their own concerns about their lack of prospects being parroted back to them from the side they voted for in droves.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,366 ✭✭✭trashcan


    I wouldn't be convinced that Trump is going to follow through with his mass deportations. Remember Build the Wall ? It was convenient for him to bellow about immigrants to attract that vote, but once in I wouldn't be surprised if he more or less stops talking about it. I've heard it quoted that Biden actually deported more people than Trump during his Presidency. The Democrats aren't going to be holding Trump to it either, and his base will just move on to his next talking point. He has no ideological beliefs at all, as we know. Its all about what can help him get ahead, and what personal financial gains he can make.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,602 ✭✭✭10000maniacs


    Didn't take him long. Elon Musk already stirring the $hit on Taiwan.

    Advising SpaceX suppliers to get out of Taiwan and move to Thailand or Vietnam.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,784 ✭✭✭yagan


    Well I thing I learned about Trump when I lived there is that his hotels couldn't function without irregular immigration.

    They're legal when he uses them, but illegal if someone else uses them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,504 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    Many of them obviously hadn't the education or inclination to look at the actual policy platforms

    Too lazy in essence.

    Something their Grandfathers and fathers would not have been.

    America at this moment has a problem filling jobs in all sorts of sectors.

    Sounds to me like a subset of feckless individuals who are again swayed by populist soundbites and want to blame all their problems on others instead of taking a much needed introspective.

    America is lots of things at the minute, but as always if you have the ability and inclination to better yourself and actually work hard you will more than likely thrive. As it has always been, this path is far less step for males, particularly young white males.

    This longing for 1980 isn't coming back and as sure as shít Trump isn't bringing it back.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,580 ✭✭✭Cordell


    Regardless of what Trump says, importing cheap labor to be exploited, overworked and underpaid with no workers' rights sounds like something that was fought over in a war many years ago - and the democrats were in favor of it, just like they are now.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,698 ✭✭✭volchitsa


    …trans.

    The reality is though it wasn't mentioned as a issue in any exit polls I have read.

    Maybe that's because it wasn't asked? This annual poll says that electoral polls in general often don't ask about transgender issues:

    There’s not as much polling about how Americans feel about gender-affirming care as on other issues central to the election, so The 19th and SurveyMonkey asked a number of questions this year and last as policies that impact transgender Americans became a focus for some politicians.

    https://19thnews.org/2024/09/polling-2024/

    And this explainer of US exit polls suggests that they too ask about specific issues, rather than leaving it up to respondents to fill in their own opinions:

    Pollsters will ask voters who they cast their ballot for and their feelings on various key issues, such as the economy, inflation or abortion.

    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/exit-polls-explained-election-2024-b2641976.html

    This whole pronoun idea is so stupid. Gay rights for me, as a straight man, is mostly about letting people live their lives and love the people they want.

    Exactly the same with Trans people.

    Well no. Who loses rights when gay people get the right to marry for instance? (I mean genuinely loses rights, not some nonsense about devaluing other people's marriages).

    Compare that to how women and girls lose rights in all sorts of ways when trans women, in particular, demand extra rights that nobody else has, such as the right to choose whether they will be treated as male or female according to which suits them better at the time.

    Like the TW who nevertheless demands to inherit the family peerage over their older sister, on the grounds of being a little bit male really:

    Too bad for the older sister who was just unfortunate to be born one of those old-fashioned females, as Ricky Gervais says: "one of those ones without a cock". Unlike her younger brother sister, who gets to choose which they'll be today, depending on what's to be gained.

    Do you know many Trans people?
    I know 1.

    I don't know any middle aged TW such as those who seem to be driving this, people like India Willoughby or Rachel Levine. But I've lost count of the number of mostly deeply unhappy young people, male and female, that I know or know of though. The latest one was a young person I found sitting disconsolately on a step in town the other night at Halloween - I stopped because on first glance I had thought it was a Down Syndrome girl who had lost whoever she was meant to be with, but on closer inspection realised it was a young man dressed as a girl. They didn't want any help, and just refused to answer other than by shaking his head. Not being Downs, obviously the person wasn't as vulnerable as I had first thought anyway, so I decided it was best just to move on.

    But what's your point?

    ”I enjoy cigars, whisky and facing down totalitarians, so am I really Winston Churchill?” (JK Rowling)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 870 ✭✭✭Baba Yaga


    well both… sh!t and hit lists…read somewhere that between naps hes signing executive orders as fast as his biro will go!


    "They gave me an impossible task,one which they said I wouldnt return from...."

    "You are him…the one they call the "Baba Yaga"…

    yo! donnie vonshitzinpants,vlad putin,benji netanyahu..you sirs are the skidmarks on the jocks of humanity!!!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,780 ✭✭✭✭josip


    So how's that going to work out?

    Trump will start a trade war with China but in return will let them start a real war with Taiwan?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,461 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    Let’s face it - even if he bankrupts the country he’ll blame the Dems and 50% of the people will probably agree with him 😀

    I think he’ll do “visible” efforts and invite a selection of his favourite media along like some right wing podcaster or whatever to document it all - then it will all go quiet.

    Just thinking, if he intends to shake up government departments, could that mean mass strikes ahead of government workers ?



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,602 ✭✭✭10000maniacs


    He may as well have put a big sign on the tallest building in Taiwan saying "Please attack me already"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,504 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


     But I've lost count of the number of mostly deeply unhappy young people, male and female, that I know or know of though. The latest one was a young person I found sitting disconsolately on a step in town the other night at Halloween - I stopped because on first glance I had thought it was a Down Syndrome girl who had lost whoever she was meant to be with, but on closer inspection realised it was a young man dressed as a girl. They didn't want any help, and just refused to answer other than by shaking his head. Not being Downs, obviously the person wasn't as vulnerable as I had first thought anyway, so I decided it was best just to move on.

    That is a quite disturbing and vivid imagination.

    Jesus.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,698 ✭✭✭volchitsa


    Are you saying I'm making that up? I'm not.

    But whatever. It's unimportant. (Though why ask the question if you're going to disbelieve the replies?)

    And what was your point in saying you only know one?

    ”I enjoy cigars, whisky and facing down totalitarians, so am I really Winston Churchill?” (JK Rowling)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,784 ✭✭✭yagan


    There isn't queue of locals wanting to wipe boomers bums in nursing homes. At least we've had a history of being a country that exported nurses so we understand the plight of agency staff filling rolls that no one raised in Ireland wants to do anymore, same with working in abittoirs.

    BTW, there's many a mortgage paid off in Ireland by brazilians working in slaughterhouses so wages aren't always the issue.

    It's like sausages, many people like them but that doesn't mean they want to know how they're made.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,504 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    I'm not compelled to believe anecdotes by any anonymous strangers on the internet and neither are you. It's just sensible.

    But you are right, it is unimportant and off topic.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,698 ✭✭✭volchitsa


    Right but you asked the question. What level of evidence did you expect in the responses? And what exactly makes you find that anecdote hard to believe? Especially since by your own assertion you only know one trans person and you haven't said if it's a transidentifying male or female.

    And what was your own point in asking the question in the first place?

    ”I enjoy cigars, whisky and facing down totalitarians, so am I really Winston Churchill?” (JK Rowling)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,580 ✭✭✭Cordell


    There was no queue of cotton pickers either, and I'm sure during and post war many fields went unpicked. Sometimes cotton must remain unpicked just like some bums need to remain unwiped, for the greater good.

    You are justifying slavery and workers' exploitation, but I guess some things never change.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 436 ✭✭Patrick Mahomes


    If Trump was to die before the inauguration in January would JD Vance automatically become president?

    Regards,

    P.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,784 ✭✭✭yagan


    Ok, we're taking about the present now.

    I have to go out now and pick stones from the field or they'll break the plough.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,698 ✭✭✭volchitsa


    ”I enjoy cigars, whisky and facing down totalitarians, so am I really Winston Churchill?” (JK Rowling)



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,698 ✭✭✭volchitsa


    There was in fact a whole slew of laws passed post-slavery and during reconstruction to ensure that former slaves couldn't withdraw their labour from their "owner", leaving the cotton unpicked. Generally under the alibi of being anti vagabondage - but the result was that a black person could not just leave his or her employment if they were unsatisfied with the terms of employment.

    That's why the comparison with illegal immigrants, who are there voluntarily, doesn't work.

    ”I enjoy cigars, whisky and facing down totalitarians, so am I really Winston Churchill?” (JK Rowling)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,209 ✭✭✭amandstu


    "Generally under the alibi of being anti vagabondage - but the result was that a black person could not just leave his or her employment if they were unsatisfied with the terms of employment"

    Without going into details I have first hand experience of vagabondage laws being threatened against my own person Not in America but France.My employer(a Belgian as it happened) was (understandably for reasons I won't disclose)) very irate with me and attacked me physically ,his hands having to be prised from my neck by my co workers along with the warning that he had a gun)

    He knew I had no money and was not French and so threatened me with deportation under french vagabondage laws( they specify apparently a certain minimum of funds but I never went into it)

    I didn't want to stay in his employ anyway but my coworkers who had defended me physically thought I should.

    I left the next day.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,367 ✭✭✭RoyalCelt


    You know if women made 16% more then men nobody would care and you wouldn't have these same group's calling for equality



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,555 ✭✭✭✭Sleepy


    I couldn't agree with your last sentence more but I think most of the rest is nonsense in all honesty.

    Are the younger generations lazier than their boomer parents? Maybe. There was, of course, the whole counter-culture "tune in, turn on, drop out" movement of lazy sods back in their day too… It's also worth considering that a fairly significant number of poor young men of their generation with low career prospects and without rich Daddies to bribe doctors to lie for them about made up debilitating bone spurs were killed in Vietnam.

    The American Dream you're referring to is long dead (if, in fact in ever existed). There's a massive distortion of survivor bias at play with boomers.

    Most of the jobs American employers can't fill, they can't fill for a simple reason: they're crap jobs with crap pay, benefits, working conditions and don't offer healthcare insurance.

    America is a much harder place to better oneself than most of Europe too: very poor social supports, a desperately under-funded and under-performing education system, outlandishly expensive 3rd level education, appalling public healthcare and even if you manage to make it through the public education system with the offer of a college place in your hand, you'll be saddled with huge debt levels which your post-graduation employment options will struggle to clear down.

    With young women having better educational attainment, more supports for further education (female-only scholarships etc.), better options for low-skill employment (show me a waitress that receives lower tips than her male colleagues and I'll show you a very lazy or unpleasant waitress), diversity employment policies etc. the only thing that could hold a young woman back behind her male counterparts is being a mother without a partner (or parent) prepared to be the primary care giver.

    Admittedly, we're going to see a lot more young women having kids they don't want in Trump's Gilead-like America.

    You're falling into the same trap as Hilary Clinton did with her "deplorables" remark imo. I often do the same myself tbf. It's hard not to dismiss those voting for Trump as moronic (and some of them are, no doubt about it, utter morons). The reality is though: if you dismiss them as such and trivialise or dismiss their concerns you have no hope of them ever voting for your party come election day and the thickest, racist, sexist scumbag with no GED and an IQ of 80 has a vote that counts every bit as much on polling day as that of the richest members of the elite. True, the elite can donate obscene amounts of money to, or leverage their media assets in favour of, their preferred candidate but we've just seen the much wealthier campaign crushed in this election.

    Trump wasn't offering most of those who voted for him solutions to their problems beyond a "trust me, bro", he simply acknowledged that they exist and spouted their (often utterly wrong-headed) concerns back to them. The Democrats, who ironically were offering a policy platform that would have benefitted most of his voters far, far more, failed to adequately acknowledge their issues, engage with them or get that message across to them. Instead of listening, empathising and demonstrating that they were offering policies that addressed some of the legitimate concerns (Inflation, inflation, inflation) they preached at them and lectured them about how awful the (awful) guy who listened to those concerns was.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,698 ✭✭✭volchitsa


    Maybe the fact that it was never the case that men were banned from better paid jobs, or had to leave paid work upon marriage, or were just paid less than women for the same work might explain that though?

    ”I enjoy cigars, whisky and facing down totalitarians, so am I really Winston Churchill?” (JK Rowling)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,698 ✭✭✭volchitsa


    That's right - there was (maybe there still is, I don't know, and if so whether the amount has been updated) a law about having to have the equivalent of something like £1 or £2 in cash on you when in France, or you could be arrested for vagabondage. I'd forgotten that!

    Shocking that it could be used by an employer to punish an employee.

    The US laws were deliberately passed to force former slaves to remain on the plantations of their former owners; the French law was (I think) to allow the police to lift tramps off the street even when they weren't doing anything illegal.

    ”I enjoy cigars, whisky and facing down totalitarians, so am I really Winston Churchill?” (JK Rowling)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,504 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    You're falling into the same trap as Hilary Clinton did with her "deplorables" remark imo

    A 100% agree with her and instead of pandering to them they should be highlighted further and called out more.

    The reality is though: if you dismiss them as such and trivialise or dismiss their concerns you have no hope of them ever voting for your party come election day

    Of course you can, you come up with a catchy slogan and bunch of BS policies and the biopolar swing voter will come back.

    Like it always has.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,186 ✭✭✭✭Thargor


    Bidens inflation reduction act was a "New Deal", millions of new jobs, sustainable high wage/high skilled renewable energy production, trillions invested in rural/Republican areas elevating mostly Trump supporters out of poverty and into the middle class, actually seemed to be getting a hold on their crumbling infrastructure problems and its paying for itself, it was a stunning historic economic success that should have him listed as one of the greatest presidents ever just on this policy alone.

    And it didnt do jack sh1t for them because the American media is controlled by a few right wing billionaires that keep 300 million Americans in a fog of disinformation. All economic data shows that Republican leadership is bad for American workers but they're simply not allowed to see this information by their masters.

    I honestly dont see a way out of it for the Democrats, this has been going on for decades now and it gets worse by the year not better to the point that a decent man like Biden can be seen as worse than utterly corrupt cancer like Trump (who now gets to scrap the scheme and give it to the richest 1% or take the credit for its benefits)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,698 ✭✭✭volchitsa


    You're falling into the same trap as Hilary Clinton did with her "deplorables" remark imo

    A 100% agree with her and instead of pandering to them they should be highlighted further and called out more.

    So your solution is for the Democrats to call more than half the population "nazis" a bit more?

    Yeah, that'll work. They'll be coming back in droves in no time. 🤨

    ”I enjoy cigars, whisky and facing down totalitarians, so am I really Winston Churchill?” (JK Rowling)



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,099 ✭✭✭✭gormdubhgorm


    TLDR you tube channel -

    Why Trump won

    The one that stood out to me was that Trump looks like to have increased the minorities vote by about a third which if proven would be a record for any Republican party in history.

    Guff about stuff, and stuff about guff.



Advertisement