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Harris Vs Trump 2024 US Presidential election - read the warning in the OP posted 18/09/24

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,505 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    The mass deportation of the undocumented is an economic issue. A huge one.

    But again this incoming administration wants to deport the documented too.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,303 ✭✭✭crusd


    As soon as the pronouncements come out that one side will likely rule for x number of cycles after this you can be almost certain its about to turn in the opposite direction.

    You statement there on "what they really need to be doing is going back to their grass roots and determining what it is that their traditional supporter needs". They definitely need to start working on ideas and plans to do that, however the evidence of this election is that simplistic answers that will probably makes things worse and scaremongering is what actually get votes

    Because the democrats Chips act is increasing the manufacturing base in the US providing more quality jobs for working people. The inflation reduction act has made the US the country to get out of the post covid inflation cycle the quickest. And the immigration act would have addressed many of the unchecked immigration issues while providing a path for legal immigration do fill jobs that need to be filled. But it was torpedoed by Trump as would have taken away one of his bogeymen. So the Democrats did have tangible actions to address the needs of ordinary working people. But it was lost in the messaging. Tariffs and immigrants eating your dogs just sells better.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,303 ✭✭✭crusd


    When Trump starts deportations and the economy starts tanking as a result the republicans will really need to ramp up the dog eating stories alright as they wont want the people to realise they caused it



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,466 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    Fracking is also another scourge - I view that as a race to the bottom bringing with it a major environmental disaster that will destroy swathes of land and make it completely uninhabitable for generations to come- and will, without fear of contradiction, bring illness and shorter lifespan to any community living within its vicinity and will impact the water supplies if any community living within the path of rivers that flow through these areas, potentially impacting millions of people.

    Harris’ U turn on a ban on fracking was presumably something that had to be done if the Democrats wanted a chance to win the election - ironically given the outcome, this is something that’s just going to get worse.

    I’m not normally in favour of nimbyism overall but if ever there was a place for it, Shirley this is it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 699 ✭✭✭DangerMouse27


    It will easily happen.

    Maybe not in the broadstrokes of what was initially described but the US will tie up deals to deport people who have illegally crossed, and deport them to countries that they will do deals with.

    Think UK/Rwanda* Italy/Albania*

    The asterisks are the pitfalls/implementations of such plans. But the US will try to do the same. Venezuela is my first guess. Mexico is out.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,773 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    Since Reaganomics Republican's have been about pushing wealth upwards and the average American has always ended up worse off under them. Yet there's this lie that keeps getting used that the Republican Party are the party of the economy, bizarrely enough. And if Trump does follow through with his ridiculous tariff nonsense that will only impact the average (and poorer) American, because it's that demographic that relies on the cheaper goods that the tariffed countries produce. The wealthy already don't count how much an item costs and they tend not to buy goods that are produced in the countries that the tariffs are aimed at.

    But this is the thing, the Republicans can keep lying and lying and lying and there's always a large number of Americans (and outsiders) who'll keep falling for it. And the latest Liar'n'Chief is one of the biggest liars of all. Every time he opens his mouth a lie is uttered.

    And millions have fallen for it again.

    ¯\_(ツ)_/¯



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 561 ✭✭✭CliffHangeroner


    Trump has the charisma of a wet fart and yet he destroyed Harris.  I mean at least someone like Mc Cain got destroyed by Obama, but no shame in getting massacred by a generational talent like him, Harris got trounced by Donald fcuking Trump. It's so embarrassing for her i don't think even a reality show would have her on now tbh.

    And another thing i dont think the whole "woke" stuff was decisive like a lot of right wingers are saying. Immigration to some extent (small extent actually) and economy mainly was, but it sure as hell didn't help.

    This whole pronoun idea is so stupid. Gay rights for me, as a straight man, is mostly about letting people live their lives and love the people they want. You do you. But expecting other people like university professors or colleagues to learn your particular pronouns, goes far beyond that.
    The same goes for trigger warnings, and the endless list of words that have become insensitive to use. It's tiring and most people just don't want to hear it.

    Expecting others to adapt to you as an individual like that is selfish and self absorbed, and in many ways ultra individualistic. It is a weird version of "the customer is always right".



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,705 ✭✭✭volchitsa


    Well I hadn’t thought of that interpretation of your words. Does that mean that you think the Dems are the White Knight who would save America and have her live happily ever after?

    Or is this some kind of Saudi Arabian metaphor, where the woman cannot just leave the abusive partner and make her own way in the world, but has to constantly transfer “ownership” between one of only two would-be guardians, both of whom are deeply unsatisfactory each in their own way?

    If the latter, then IMO that’s a good analogy. It also makes it obvious why the country might regularly flip flop from the false promises of one to the false promises of the other.

    ”I enjoy cigars, whisky and facing down totalitarians, so am I really Winston Churchill?” (JK Rowling)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,505 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    I didn't mention gender at all TBF.

    The statistics are clear.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,505 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    economy mainly was

    Trump spent more on adds on Trans fear mongering then he did on the Economy.

    Harris barely mentioned it, citing mainly Equality legislation.

    Trump ranting and raving about the bogey man stealing children and forcing them trans.

    The reality is though it wasn't mentioned as a issue in any exit polls I have read.

    That's not to say a large amount of Trumps base has not swallowed the imbecilic coolade on what is an extremely tiny portion of the population.

    This whole pronoun idea is so stupid. Gay rights for me, as a straight man, is mostly about letting people live their lives and love the people they want.

    Exactly the same with Trans people.

    Do you know many Trans people?

    I know 1.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,694 ✭✭✭AllForIt




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,505 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    had a 100% record in calling elections correctly using his own system not going on polls.

    Called it for Harris!

    He was due one, it happens.

    It's still an absolute phenomenal prediction record.

    Although technically it is 8 out of 10 now. He never had 100% record.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,705 ✭✭✭volchitsa


    Yes, most domestic violence victims are women.

    But you've ignored the real problem with your abused partner metaphor, which is that a country has to have a government, whereas an adult (in the west at least) does not have to replace one guardian with another. And a country does have to have a government - someone will always be made the incumbent after each election.

    So where would the Democrats stand in your metaphor? As "the Good Guy" just waiting patiently for his chance to save the poor deluded victim, delusionally in love with the Bad Boy? Or as just another abusive man - in the model that many DV victims do seem to end up in, going from one abusive partner to another?

    ”I enjoy cigars, whisky and facing down totalitarians, so am I really Winston Churchill?” (JK Rowling)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,164 ✭✭✭Zardoz


    Looks like a very capable and experienced lady, a good appointment.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,505 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    Yes, most domestic violence victims are women.

    Not all. The reason I didn't mention gender.

    It was a pretty standard and simple metaphor.

    You are way over thinking it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,505 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    That she is. She also apparently has 1 stipulation, the WH does not turn into the clown show from the last time.

    She will be gone by the summer I imagine.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,555 ✭✭✭✭Sleepy


    There is part of me wondering if this is the inevitable backlash / swing of the pendulum against 5th Wave feminism tbh.

    It seems the only way forward for the Democrats in 2028 is to loudly move to the left on economic issues (i.e. a return to the party of the "New Deal" that involves turning away from Wall Street and wealthy DNC donors and focus on making ordinary Americans better off) and working quietly on social issues in the background.

    The focus on social issues which often only affect small percentages of the electorate (e.g. only 1.14% of the US adult population identify as transgender for example) and the focus on these issues has been weaponised by right-wing media and Republican politicians.

    When Donald Trumps says something obnoxiously transphobic it dominates the news cycle for a few days leaving cost-of-living issues, which affect a much, much larger percentage of the electorate, off the agenda. Instead of hysterically denouncing him as the horrible individual he is at length, Democrat politicians need to be able to turn to the reporter asking them for a response to his bile and say something along the lines "Well obviously he's talking nonsense but have you heard about XYZ proposition/bill/piece of legislation we've proposed to help working families?"

    Don't get me wrong, I'm not anti-LGBT or anti-women but straight young men are demonstrably being left behind in the new economy, they're poorer than their fathers/grandfathers and either stuck living with their parents or spending most of their income on rent, they're under-performing their female peers educationally and in the workforce, they have less opportunities for social advancement, they're the first generation to be raised with social media (which combined with the pandemic happening during their crucial formative years) has had a massive effect on their social development and this, combined with the struggles many of them face in the dating world where most women and girls preferences still align with that of their mothers and grandmothers (i.e. tall, handsome and with at least comparable economic prospects to their own) has left the in a pretty miserable place.

    To steal a phrase from the feminists, representation matters and these young men don't have many positive male role-models in the public arena to emulate. Economically they have no chance of living the same lives their fathers, uncles and grandfathers did, the politicians seeking to represent them grew up in a different paradigm: from the perspective of young men in their early 20's those guys got to play the game of life on "easy mode" where a working man on a normal salary could afford to buy a home and support a family. Sure, the politician seeking their vote may share the same gender, sexuality and skin colour as them but they're never going to see themselves represented by these people when they're living in such a different time.

    This lack of representation and the poor economic and social outlook their lives have has made them easy prey for populist politicians offering (fake) simple solutions to the complex problems they face and tech oligarchs who control the algorithms that drive their social media feeds towards toxic **** like Andrew Tate.

    They're losing in life and if the only win that's available to them in that life is "owning the libs", they're going to be drawn to it even if it's against their own economic interests to do so.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,505 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    new economy, they're poorer than their fathers/grandfathers and either stuck living with their parents or spending most of their income on rent, they're under-performing their female peers educationally and in the workforce, they have less opportunities for social advancement,

    I don't think they are doing worse in the workforce than women.

    But are women not renting the same as men, are they not challenged the same on however one would define "social advancement"? Did women not grow up in the era of social media as well?

    If they are harping back to their Grandfathers Day where women were basically not allowed work and were seen as little more than cattle, then the problem is firmly with them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,164 ✭✭✭Zardoz


    No I don't think she will be gone by the summer.

    Trump will have learnt alot from his first term, its always easier second term as there is a learning curve.

    He has had more time to line up his cabinet this time too so he can hit the ground running.

    Plus he has control of the Senate and the House and the Republican party is fully behind him this time unlike in 2020.

    I expect good things of his tenure.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 561 ✭✭✭CliffHangeroner


    She's an excellent appointment. Who Trump picks for secretary of defence will be very telling for the direction of both the middle east and Ukraine over the next few months imo. Pompeo will be a disaster.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,505 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    He already fired her once.

    The idea that Trump is going to run an non chaotic administration is at best remedial, especially considering the absolute ghouls he is going to pack it with.

    Plus he has control of the Senate and the House and the Republican party is fully behind him this time unlike in 2020.

    The GOP House couldn't even pick a leader without making an absolute holy show of themselves.

    I think you either don't understand what the GOP is now or the chaos it has descended into.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,555 ✭✭✭✭Sleepy


    I don't have it to hand but the data I last saw showed that young American women are significantly more likely to be college educated than young men and have the higher incomes one would expect to go with that.

    It's visible here in Ireland too: there's a negative gender wage gap in that demographic. Young women are out-earning young men and the situation only reverses post child-birth where their careers stall as they adopt the role of primary caregiver within the family unit. I'm not saying this is right or the best we can hope for but it does seem to reflect most women's preferences and it's certainly demonstrable in their dating preferences where only a small minority are interested in being the main breadwinner while their male partner fills this role of caregiver. The "having it all" feminism of the 1980s was always a myth and sadly one that many haven't recognised as such yet.

    In referencing their grandfathers I wasn't suggesting that the socio-economic environment they came of age in could, or should, be something to strive for or returned to (i.e. the "Great" middle class, white 1950's idealised by MAGA but realistically built on the back of sexism, homophobia and racism).

    I was explicitly referencing them as a cohort of the role-models these young men grew up admiring. in much the same way that sports stars whose talents they don't share make poor role models, so too do their familial forebears who's successes they (quite realistically) perceive as something they can't aspire to emulate.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,141 ✭✭✭323


    Yea. Wonder how many other countries will wake up to that if Trump follows through on his statements:

    "One of the most urgent tasks... is to decisively defeat the climate hysteria hoax."

    "The radical left's fearmongering about climate and our future is... destroying America's economy, weakening our society, and eviscerating our middle class. It's really hurting us."

    "We have to defeat the climate hoaxsters once and for all."

    “Follow the trend lines, not the headlines,”



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,505 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    I don't have it to hand but the data I last saw showed that young American women are significantly more likely to be college educated than young men and have the higher incomes one would expect to go with that.

    The Data is not hard find TBF.

    It is here if you would like to read it.

    https://www.forbes.com/advisor/business/gender-pay-gap-statistics/#:~:text=What%20is%20the%20wage%20gap,for%20every%20dollar%20men%20earn.

    Despite attempts to narrow the gap, 

    women still earn 16% less than men on average.

    [1] This gender pay gap statistics report will delve into the latest statistics, uncover where the gap is still present and discuss factors that influence pay disparity between men and women.

    Long way to go yet.

    Post edited by Boggles on


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 24,146 Mod ✭✭✭✭robinph


    A couple of countries will clap along with Trump, but most will look at each other in mild dispair and remind themselves that it's only 4 years until the chance of some sense of normality returns. Just have to hope that Trump lasts 4 years as he'll then be gone for good. If he doesn't make it 4 years then there is a good chance that Vance gets at least one further term.

    That is the nightmare scenario for the world on many different levels.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,466 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    I didn’t pay a whole lot of attention to Vance throughout - I wonder though would we actually win the nomination in 4 years? He was Trumps pick afterall and with Trump out in 4 maybe the party might take a chance to break out of this MAGA business



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,705 ✭✭✭volchitsa


    LOL If by "overthinking" you mean pointing out why it doesn't work as a metaphor, then sure.

    ”I enjoy cigars, whisky and facing down totalitarians, so am I really Winston Churchill?” (JK Rowling)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,705 ✭✭✭volchitsa


    Unfortunately now the alternative to Trump is Vance, who is probably more effective in his extremism. Trump is a chancer - Vance, it seems, is a believer.

    ”I enjoy cigars, whisky and facing down totalitarians, so am I really Winston Churchill?” (JK Rowling)



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 24,146 Mod ✭✭✭✭robinph


    Less likely to win the nomination in 4 years if Trump manages to live 4 years. If Trump dies or is removed for some medical reasons then Vance would get the nomination by default with a minor bit of theatrics to make out there is a vote in the same way both parties do when they have the current president.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,248 ✭✭✭Marty Bird


    Guys I don’t use the boards app I use safari to view the site. But this comes up when it shows up in my history. Anyone else get this ?

    IMG_0387.png

    🌞6.02kWp⚡️3.01kWp South/East⚡️3.01kWp West



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