Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie

Harris Vs Trump 2024 US Presidential election - read the warning in the OP posted 18/09/24

1525526528530531574

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,303 ✭✭✭crusd


    it’s also not 15million. Probably will end up closer to 9/10. Lots of California votes still not included in the data.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 385 ✭✭Gerrymandering reborn


    I'm not sure if you're trolling but you can't vote if your illegal in USA. If he starts deporting illegal immigrants, he is only doing a favour to the American People

    Mod Edit: Poster warned for backseat moderation

    Post edited by Necro on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,463 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    It wasn’t the illegal immigrants that voted though- it was 2nd 3rd generation Americans of an ethnic background - and their outlook and focus isnt rooted in traditional voting legacies or agreements or norms - they’re “American” and will likely change party in the future if it suits them to do so - just like many other Americans do- we might be seeing the last of this “reliance” on the ethnic vote - they’ll do what they want to do is what I’m seeing now



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,784 ✭✭✭✭josip


    Looking like the Republicans will have 222/223. That's not wafer thin. Especially with Trump as their president. They will all walk the line.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,659 ✭✭✭✭nullzero
    °°°°°


    Did she buy a leaky tank of Nitrous oxide while she was in the shop as well?

    Glazers Out!



  • Advertisement
  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 29,647 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    It's not going to be 15M voters, they haven't finished counting yet.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,303 ✭✭✭crusd


    Except for all those jobs no one else is doing. What’s going to happen the economy when 100s of thousands of workers doing necessary jobs disappear.

    If only there was a bill that had bipartisan support that would have helped secure the border from illegal immigration while also providing a legal partway for those doing jobs that the economy needed. Oh wait, there was until Trump torpedoed it as the most important thing for him was the immigrant bogeyman and not actual solutions



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,210 ✭✭✭amandstu


    Where is he going to send them?

    Do his favoured countries have to accept them?

    Ireland?

    Will he deport Musk ,being the most conspicuous first?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,613 ✭✭✭Hamsterchops


    Great description of what went before, and what Trump will wash away…

    Wokeism, radical leftism, totalitarianis & identity politics, not forgetting gender ideology, which will now be on the way out the door, with a loud bang as the door shuts behind it. Finally 👏

    Men & women can be men & women again, without any dogma or laws to say otherwise. Womens sports can once again be populated 100% by women.

    Amen to that I say 🙏



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,725 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    Immigrants can naturalize and become citizens. Not all 'supportive brown folks' are there illegally, however that no less means they can't be swept up in Trump's 'foreign enemies act' push, and placed in internment camps or deported to their country of origin. He has a Supreme Court that will let him do essentially anything he wants.

    No, deporting immigrants is not "only a favour to the American people." Case in point: when Obama began mass deportations (yes, Obama did mass deportations), what happened in actual fact was an increase in US citizen unemployment. Why, you might ask: significant drops in consumer demand for one, for another and for the same reason, lots of businesses which depended on immigrant labor and skills to function (think jobs Americans won't do en masse, like picking crops, landscaping, back-breaking construction work, etc.) could not stay open and shuttered. Immigrants also tend to pay into systems that they can not take out from too, like social security. Illegal immigrant labor accounts for billions of dollars funneled into SSI that they are not eligible to claim.

    If all undocumented immigrants were deported today, next year’s Social Security trust funds would have approximately $13 billion less for benefit payouts. It’s a considerable loss of dollars, especially when it’s projected that the Social Security funds will be depleted by 2034.

    According to New American Economy, undocumented immigrants contributed $13 billion into the Social Security funds in 2016 and $3 billion to Medicare. Three years prior, the Chief Actuary of the Social Security Administration, Stephen Goss, wrote a report that estimated undocumented immigrants contributed $12 billion into Social Security.

    https://www.marketplace.org/2019/01/28/undocumented-immigrants-quietly-pay-billions-social-security-and-receive-no/

    And that's without even thinking of the cost of deportation. Trump's mass deportation plan could cost upwards of $100 Bn/yr - and take years to carry out.

    new report from the American Immigration Council, an immigration rights research and policy firm, estimates that to deport even one million undocumented immigrants a year would cost over $88 billion dollars annually, for a total of $967.9 billion over more than ten years.

    https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trump-mass-deportation-program-cost/story?id=115318034

    That's assuming the Trump administration doesn't come up with a cheaper, bloodier 'solution.' Either way the economy absorbing the loss of millions of people in a short period of time will result in no favors other than a significant recession.

    In fact there is much evidence for example that Republican farmers for their part (and other industries as well, adjacent) are 'mad as hell' about GOP anti-immigration pushes:

    image.png

    https://www.tiktok.com/%40vicenews/video/7242353223649053978

    https://www.thecalifornian.com/story/news/politics/2023/09/28/gop-florida-governor-ron-desantis-met-with-protests-in-salinas/70994580007/

    DeSantis has gained notoriety for supporting policies that harm farmworkers and make it more difficult for undocumented immigrants to gain employment.

    Salinas has a large population of immigrant and migrant farm workers, which agriculture companies have historically failed to protect from voter intimidationCOVID-19wildfires and harmful pesticides (which are used in fields near local schools despite being linked to leukemia in children).

    If people think groceries cost too much now wait until entire crops are left to rot.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,303 ✭✭✭crusd


    They came in with 222 and struggled to even elect a speaker. 218 is the majority figure you know. And the California seats not called still have a **** tonne if votes, postal and provisional to count, so rather than just take who is leading right now as an indicator of final number I would guess it will finish at 219/220



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,725 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    If its razor thin the vote for speaker will probably be a mess. Like the last few times.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 699 ✭✭✭batman75


    Just watched his acceptance speech on YT just now. Really struggling to see how he got elected. He is full of bombast and no way statesmanlike. To think he has won 2 terms in non consecutively is incredible. His victory for me highlights how weak Harris must have seemed to the American people. Interesting times ahead.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,371 ✭✭✭letowski


    They do. But unfortunately, I think it’s fundamentally much more difficult for a new populist democratic candidate to reform the Democrat party to properly represent the working class.

    With Trump, it’s a bit different. While he is, for sure, a political revolutionary, he was able to revolutionise the Republican Party without truly overthrowing the Republican elites at the RNC and the donor class. They don’t like him, find him chaotic and can’t control him, but they can live with him because ultimately his economic agenda (tax cuts, union busting, etc) are friendly to the upper and wealthy class. Conservative policies have room for the wealthy.

    It’s different for a populist Democratic candidates, like say Bernie Sanders was. His policies directly challenge and go against the wealthly DNC elites, donors and corporations. The push back that populist candidates get at primaries are much stronger and more coordinated by the DNC, as Sanders found in 2016. . I think the situation is pretty dire tbh. Maybe the Democrat party getting a huge ass kicking this week might give rise to a populist, working class movement, but I’d be skeptical unfortunately. I wouldn’t be surprised in 2028 were looking at a Gavin Newsom or a Josh Shapiro running for the nomination.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 26,008 Mod ✭✭✭✭CramCycle


    Have to say my opinion of Biden has went down alot in recent times. Not because of the decline, I am 30 years his junior and make gaffes like him all the time but, and some here don't get it, he pushed to go again and he is smart enough to know that he wasn't capable but his ego took over and that was a massive fall from grace. Could he have handled another presidency, absolutely, despite the giving out, I think he would have been smart enough to delegate.

    I still think Kamala was a credible candidate but with a better life over here, probably blinded by the simplicity of Trumps message, in the end, whether people like it or not, most people are concerned with the price of Diesel and Pints than the personal actions of one man. I don't agree with some of the out of the woodwork ideas on why she lost that came out on this thread the last 48 hours but the simple message that America was divided in two but not in the way we thought, those doing alright and those who weren't. Both sub divided on who they'd vote for but in the end, Trumps message was simpler and when you're already losing you may as well gamble. I hope it pays off for them.

    Lastly, will people stop suggesting Michelle Obama. She is a great person but has repeatedly said no, shown no interest and technically has neither the will or want to do it. For all those giving out about about celerity culture or endorsements, this is by far the most annoying.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,768 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    blinded by the simplicity of Trumps message

    What, exactly, was Trump's "message" though?

    The communist, socialist, fascist, liberals are going to…something, something…help Haitians eat your pets? The elite are coming to get you, not my elite of course, the other elite. I've got the biggest crowds at my rallies and I'll deport millions of brown people.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,367 ✭✭✭trashcan


    Even a lot of his biggest critics call him charismatic. I just don’t see it myself. I can’t stomach listening to his ramblings for more than about 30 seconds. I can understand the blue collar working class voters feeling that the Dems let them down, but how on earth they think Trump is the answer just baffles me.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 29,647 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    I think you could have called him charismatic 8 years ago to be fair, if completely crass. But that's all gone down the toilet now and he is a rambling mess, but no one seems to have updated their view with the current reality.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,358 ✭✭✭Billy Mays


    Untitled Image

    "but it's only illegal immigrants they want to deport…" 🙄



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,785 ✭✭✭✭cj maxx


    I think so too .I think I posted in 2020 that it was a vote to oust Trump they were so disgraced at him rather than to put Joe in



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,163 ✭✭✭Zardoz


    This is the full version

    He hits the nail on the head, outlining the different reasons for people voting for Trump, and why the margins changed.

    Social media and the fishbowl effect gets a mention too.

    He has a book coming out on all of this, it could be very interesting.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,801 ✭✭✭threeball


    Unfortunately I think that ship has sailed and there's no turning back. Just look at the environmental disaster unfurling in Ukraine every day. We had our chance and we faffed about. Humans are stupid and self indulgent. The election results showed that too.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,043 ✭✭✭✭y0ssar1an22




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,010 ✭✭✭✭AbusesToilets


    You think they're going to bother discriminating between them? They already go after legals erroneously. The racism is the point my guy. They don't want brown people in the country.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,163 ✭✭✭Zardoz


    Great judges of character these people, and they telling people who to vote for.

    Strange Michelle didn't run for President, she'd surely have won, a 4th and 5th term for Barack.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,131 ✭✭✭Jinglejangle69


    Cant see this whole charade lasting 4 years.


    Something will happen soon to put a halt to the madness.

    It’s how these things usually pan out.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 918 ✭✭✭InAtFullBack


    image.png

    This is probably the image to tell the story better.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 699 ✭✭✭batman75


    After Biden's disastrous debate their was no way he could have continued in the Presidential race. I wonder why he dragged it out as long as he did post debate. Kamala was pretty much crowned his successor to run. Were there more plausible candidates or were they encouraged not to muddy the waters? We may never know. How Biden was allowed to run beggars belief. He is for the birds.

    What is undoubtedly true and ultimately tragic is that the people living in the self styled greatest democracy in the world had two god awful candidates to chose from. I think the standard of politicians in the U.S, U.K. and here seems to be rapidly declining. Very few if any have gravitas, presence or eloquence.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,210 ✭✭✭amandstu


    "self styled greatest democracy in the world"

    Indeed.But they are possibly the most consequential political grouping on the planet and would be definitely if they tried living up to their supposed ideals.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,603 ✭✭✭valoren


    The cost of living crisis hits America. The Republican candidate is telling his supporters what he's going to do about it even if he doesn't understand the implications of what it means but he is at least saying that he's going to fix it. And Kid Rock is advising him on it. (Joke)

    Meanwhile, the Democrat candidate, the incumbency and running the show during the crisis, is saying she won't be doing anything differently than what her President is doing. Are you tone deaf?

    And then she is having billionaires like Oprah Winfrey and other celebrities, who will never face a cost of living crisis, pontificating and lecturing before they go back to their mansions. She could have shown leadership by accepting substitution for Biden but only if celebrities are not tolerated. Polite social media acknowledgement of endorsements but certainly no lectern and lectures during Prime Time. In their place put on experts who can explain the cost of living crisis and people who spell out how it will be tackled.

    Remember Ricky Gervais going viral roasting celebrities at the Golden Globes? He wasn't kidding. Multi millionaires giving each other golden statues. STFU, take your trophy and go home as he put it memorably. The right latched onto that as Gervais explaining what they were trying to spell out. The Democrats needed to eschew these endorsements and needed to make the case that Harris was going to do what she needed to do to reduce costs and alleviate concerns and anxiety. At least you'll think she is doing something about it.

    She wouldn't do anything differently. She failed.

    And they wonder why the middle of the aisle voters veered towards Trump. Misogyny! Racism! Idiocracy! Hopefully this rout serves as a wake up call for them. They need the political equivalent of Gervais to deliver some home truths about this stunning election. Regular everyday and decent people from demographics voting against historical trends voted for a convicted felon as President of the United States. That says it all.

    And why? Because they can at least feel he is on their side. Even if it isn't true. A rotten ham sandwich or a cucumber sandwich was posited as the choice facing voters this year. We now know that you'd eat sh*t if you're hungry enough.



Advertisement