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Harris Vs Trump 2024 US Presidential election - read the warning in the OP posted 18/09/24

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,078 ✭✭✭✭y0ssar1an22


    any particular reason nevada and arizona are so slow with getting their results?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,303 ✭✭✭crusd


    That’s pretty much what you did for Biden. Now apply the same standard to Trump.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,543 ✭✭✭Westernview


    I don't trust media forecasting either but I don't agree it's restricted to left wing media. Keeping poles close is just a business decision to keep the public watching as I mentioned before. Sponsors are happier and give more money when viewing figures are up. Ongoing poll swings are a ratings winner too - remember the yellow orange and red terrorist warning appearing on screens. Everyone watching full of anxiety and afraid to change the channel. Of course met eireann belatedly got in on the act - yellow i think being the risk of a light mist.

    I think a moratorium should be brought in on polls close to elections. IIt's all linked to betting as well and it's not healthy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,303 ✭✭✭crusd


    VA and NM were red states, now they are safe Dem. AZ, NV and GA were safe red, now they are swing. Demographics shift. Texas is less than a generation from being a swing state.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,051 ✭✭✭Shelga


    Not that simple I agree, but charisma and not being bland seems to be a huge part of it. I like Kamala Harris but very few people have what it takes to get elected for the Democrats in 2024.

    Do you think if the Democrats truly convinced people that they are on the side of the working man, that things would be different? What will it take for a Democrat to be elected in 2028?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,543 ✭✭✭Westernview


    Swings will become more common in my view. The last 3 elections were essentially an exercise to vote out the incumbent. In 4 years time everyone will be pissed off with Trump for doing sweet SFA and vote democrat again. The whole thing is overhyped and overanalysed by media coverage and experts. After a days life goes on as normal.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,773 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    It would have been great to see Sanders get the nod from the DNC and win it. But it was never going to happen. People need to get real. The US is dominated by two conservative political parties and someone like Bernie isn't going to get a look in. There's far too many idiots within the population of America who can be manipulated easily and all Trump had to do was scream "communist" and they'd all nod along.

    Christ, he was calling Harris a Socialist, Communist, Fascist, Liberal only last week and that's the guy millions of Americans felt was grand to stick into the White House?

    There was no way Sanders was going to overcome that level of stupidity in a significant part of the US population.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,051 ✭✭✭Shelga


    Yeah, this would be my fear with Sanders. All they have to do is scream repeatedly that he’s a communist and that may have been that. Or, Sanders being such an effective communicator may have cut through and he could have won in a landslide. We’ll never know.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,773 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    Well, it just shows that these issues aren't all that important for some people and that they're willing to memory hole them with great ease.

    I think in future anyone in America trying to use rape as a political soundbyte or tool should be asked who they voted for the 2024 US election.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,023 ✭✭✭✭AbusesToilets


    I disagree that a socialist like Sanders is unelectable. The problem is that the idea he would espouse, which are widely supported across the population and all political leanings, are directly threatening to entrenched elites. They will always oppose it, as was seen in 2008 when they killed any chance at universal healthcare.

    The Democrats will continue to flounder if they persist in ignoring the progressives. The angry white and working class demographics want the things that Sanders and others advocate for. They're tired of hearing about how great Wall St and the economy are doing, when they can't afford a house and see their monthly bills go up over and over.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,558 ✭✭✭PsychoPete


    It's been an impressive election for the Republicans. They won the white house, Senate,house,popular vote,state legislature and governor majority



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,165 ✭✭✭Zardoz


    Good video this

    There is a longer version of it too.

    In the clip its argued that the election result is nothing short of a massive political realignment that should put to bed once and for all the corrosive myth that Trump’s coalition is driven by “white supremacy” or “fascism.”

    Through the democratic process, voters have resoundingly rejected elites’ favoured narratives about race, class, and immigration.

    People voted for Trump more as repudiation of totalitarianism than a vote for Trump the person or even his policies.

    There is alot of truth in this view.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,505 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    Do you think if the Democrats truly convinced people that they are on the side of the working man

    That's pretty easy. Trump just did it with a load of soundbites based on nonsense. There is absolutely no chance he is going to roll his sleeves up and work hard every day for 4 years to enrich the lives of all Americans. It's a hilarious thought.

    Even the dribble he barked out, that you may form some coherence from, Tariffs and deport 11 million illegals both which are in reality inflationary ideals.

    Blanket Tariffs are basically market manipulation that invariable drives up the price for the end consumer and considering there is roughly 2 million illegals working in food production over there I can't see your carton of eggs reducing in price, because Billy Bob isn't sorting through chicken shít for 8 bucks an hour with no medical benefits.

    As one Irish American farmer said in 2015 when Trump was banging out the same nonsense, America would starve in 3 weeks if all the illegals were deported.

    Convincing people is simple, we just had a snake oil sales man do it twice in the past 9 years.

    So the question is, is it in the best interests for the American population to keep voting in people based on populous rhetoric.

    The answer is of course it isn't, because reality will bite and bite quickly.

    If the Democrats want to guarantee the Presidency in 2028, Newsom with a massive left economic policy which will see him win in a landslide.

    No hope of delivering on the policy, but I suppose if that is good enough for the GOP.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,590 ✭✭✭Dick phelan


    They really didn't learn from 2016. Made the same errors. 2020 was weird with election turnout, it won't be repeated again. Democrats need to STFU about, threat to democracy, fascist Trump blah blah. What the hell were her policies. Why didn't she talk about the issues people care about. She was an empty suit. With no definable beliefs. They seem to think abortion would be this major issue. Why would it when states can vote on it separately. Besides most women don't have abortions. It's not actually a key issue for half as many women as they think.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,466 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    “People voted for Trump more as repudiation of totalitarianism than a vote for Trump the person or even his policies”


    I think it’s generally accepted Trump didn’t have “policies” -but in terms of did people vote for Trump the person? I don’t think a lot of people did- it was more an ideology or concept they voted for - certainly there was a wish to re-balance away from the left that Harris clearly represented , especially with her past history of quite extreme proposals when viewed from the “right”- so that was always going to be a factor .

    Many people, including Harris herself, placed too much emphasis on the “man”- it was clearly evident given his overwhelming victory in the nomination race (albeit a lower margin of victory throughout than was anticipated ) that this is what republicans stood for and wanted.

    Had they started the campaign battle from that premise and got their policies lined up that catered for their target swing audiences - and then stuck to that approach- they might have done better -but clearly certain Democrat policies that greatly touch on and impact personal morality and religious belief, are quite repugnant to many millions of Americans - as much as most people in Europe would prefer not to have Donald Trump the man as their leader, many Americans are equally repulsed by what Harris stood for or represented - that was seldom recognised -Trump got all the attention due to his convictions, but that’s only half the story here.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,706 ✭✭✭volchitsa


    So it’s all because American voters are just stupid is it? And the Dems were just too principled to lie properly? Really?

    Because IMO, calling 50% of the population “garbage” or “déplorables” isn’t the best way to convince people to vote for you, and I’m not sure how doubling down on that view will help them.

    In fact maybe the dismissive attitude that holds that they lost because anyone who isn’t convinced by them is just too stupid to see actually is the problem?

    ”I enjoy cigars, whisky and facing down totalitarians, so am I really Winston Churchill?” (JK Rowling)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,786 ✭✭✭yagan


    He was deplorable though. To accept victory now he has to concede defeat previously, which he has never done.

    US society is individualistic, cooperation is treated with suspicion and he's the anti government candidate.

    I won't be surprised if he'll spend more than half the next term playing golf and his voters won't mind one bit. That's what they would do if they were him.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 950 ✭✭✭thegame983


    Mod Edit: Warning issued for uncivil posting

    Post edited by Necro on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,184 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    This is part of the reason why Trump won. This is delusional. People who are in economic difficulty and hurting don't care what guidance celebrities have for them. They want solutions.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,786 ✭✭✭yagan


    Fretting about Trump, especially from an Irish perspective is futile.

    A lot of people who've never lived or worked in the US seem to have take too many cues from there.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,165 ✭✭✭Zardoz


    Do they actually believe this claptrap or are they being paid to say it ? Grifters the lot of them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 385 ✭✭Gerrymandering reborn


    These kind of people think that Kamala Harris should have won solely because she's a black woman.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,773 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    Donald Trump isn't going to do a damn thing for people in "economic difficulty", just like the last time. He's just promised desperate people the sun, moon and stars for his own ends and has no intention of putting policies into effect that will help people who are worse off.

    And taking the Democrats to task for their nonsense re: celebrity endorsement is ridiculous when the Republicans are just as bad. They have their list of celebs knocking around too.

    Fuck sake, the next President of the US is a bloody celebrity reality TV show star.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 385 ✭✭Gerrymandering reborn


    Does anyone know when we can expect to hear next from president-elect Trump?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 871 ✭✭✭Baba Yaga


    im just curious to see how many he has on the sh!t list…


    "They gave me an impossible task,one which they said I wouldnt return from...."

    "You are him…the one they call the "Baba Yaga"…

    yo! donnie vonshitzinpants,vlad putin,benji netanyahu..you sirs are the skidmarks on the jocks of humanity!!!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,184 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    After several rounds of golf.

    Speaking of which I think Trump spent by far the most time on the golf course than any previous president despite criticising others in 2016.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,859 ✭✭✭Real Donald Trump


    Trump did extremely well in some strong blue states, when you look at NY and Illinois.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,143 ✭✭✭Hyperbollix


    Theres a lot to be said for the power of branding too. In my youthful naivety, I used to think what got Obama elected was the idea of a black president and his great oratory. I thought people were really taking on board what he was saying and the country was moving towards acceptance of racial difference etc etc blah blah blah….

    Now I see that what Obama was, was actually a powerful brand. Unique look. Unique speech. Insanely charismatic. And his odd last name had the same hook as a Schwarzenegger. I think it's really that simple when it comes to the ordinary American voter. Trump has proven that. He is at this stage an Uncle Sam figure. Trump = America. To go along with all that, he has this crazy backstory that reads like a plot of a bestselling novel. Lifelong property developer conman, turned reality tv star, turned political powerhouse. Beaten down by "the man" at every turn. Even almost shot, twice. But he's still standing. And he's back baby. It's like Goodfellas and Godfather meets A Few Good Men with a twist of Game of Thrones. For a nation that are now living in a fantasy land of propaganda and misinformation, it powerful and addictive stuff. And they seem to want a lot more of it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,235 ✭✭✭Economics101


    Just checked, Micheal D appears not to have congratulated Trump yet. Not that I want to see the Orange Buffoon congratulated, but he was quick enought to congratulate the Iranian guy.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,706 ✭✭✭volchitsa


    I agree but that’s not the point here. Hillary Clinton didn’t call Trump a basket of déplorables. And Joe Biden didn’t call Trump, nor the comedian guy, “garbage”. No matter how the WH tried to row back on it later (apparently they even changed the official transcript, which raises other questions about honesty - ironic or what?, it was Trump supporters he said it about.

    ”I enjoy cigars, whisky and facing down totalitarians, so am I really Winston Churchill?” (JK Rowling)



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