USA 2024 presidential election

Even if US taxes are slashed, a big if, the Apples and Googles will still need an EU base. So i think there would be no immediate threat to the Apple or Google Irish bases.

Whichever candidate is elected, The US will continue to current level of support to Ukraine, which is not enough to bring about a decisive victory. Humiliating and frustrating Putin is victory enough for the US, neither Democrats or Republicans will go to war over Ukraine.

Both the US and EU seem to be committed to a long extended trade war with China. That will have a much bigger affect on world trade than anything Trump proposes.

The real damage Trump will do , I fear, is internally in the US. There is a real danger of a slide into fascism or at least something approaching fascism.

Ah, feck them, they get what they deserve if it happens.

No matter what happens in the White House, its clear that Congress will be mired in no clear working majority, and with Congress in charge of budget matters I don't see how Trump can actually deliver a massive upending of WTO and OECD agreements to bring in Tariffs and slash corporation taxes - not without putting the federal budget into untenable shape and increasing US borrowing rates through the roof. And while the federal budget does need huge work to get it into a consistent pattern of surplus, that will be impossible with poor credit ratings and much higher borrowing costs

I think whoever wins will inherit a poisoned chalice as the current rate of deficit spending isn’t sustainable.

Recent weak labour market figures seems to indicate that there are struggles around the corner for the US economy no matter who is in charge.

I agree with a lot of that, Ukraine shouldn't hand an inch of land over to that terrorist, but i honestly think people overplay the effect Trump will have on this conflict.

But what do i know? The exact same as anyone else here. Trump says a lot of things, but until i see it play out, it's just words and shite talk from him

Im think Harris will win and by a bigger margin than people are expecting.

The aftermath of this I am hoping is that once and for all the GOP will wake up finally from the MAGA wing and turn on Trump and put Tump and MAGA into the rubbish bin of history where they desrerve to be. If he looses you could see McConnell et al turn on him and say you lost for the 3rd of 4th time… now f**k off.

Cant wait for the end of Trump being on the news and the threat of him being in Power again. The only time he will be in the news is for his court cases for the next few years. God willing

Exactly.

People get the government they deserve.