Harris Vs Trump 2024 US Presidential election - read the warning in the OP posted 18/09/24

I’ll watch later - yes it is a bit of a phenomenon I guess and something probably unique to when Trump came on the scene -,whilst we’ll know a lot more after the election just where the key groups such as ethnic minorities and blue collar workers really stand, it’s clear he’s a bit of a pied piper

interesting tidbit from seeing the clip via Reddit: the NTD network cut their live feed right after that. Presumably the camera man went rogue. I say that because the NTD is right wing, connected to the Epoch Times a right wing conspiracy theory outlet.

The camera man going rogue and the feed being cut off which you can see below just makes it funnier, the emperor has no clothes:

https://www.reddit.com/r/PublicFreakout/s/zBSt20lNTv

From looking at afar at this point, you would think Harris would landslide it - I said that at the start but certainly reversed out that a month ago with the way her polls appeared to stall as if she’d reached some sort of glass ceiling limit. I reckoned being part of the current administration was the key factor there.

This last week has been a game changer in my view but likely I’m being influenced by all kinds of media and polls. Certainly Trump has done a lot to lose it at the very least.

My mind is probably around the question do the American people wish to progress or regress? Regression suits a lot of people - both rich republicans and in their minds at least, poor democrats .

The swing in the Selzer polls between Biden and Harris might suggest an indiscrepancy, when you look at the likes of YouGov polls etc you can see from Biden stepping aside to this week there is a gradual creep in Harris catching up. If the models are just taking all Dem vs Rep polls into account then it's probably pulling back a little on the reality of Harris polling.

Georgia has already seen 4 million early votes. Thats 75% of the total turnout of 2020. Texas is at about 74% of total 2020 votes in early voting. 43% nationally with 53% being women voters and 20% unaffiliated/independent.

I do think the higher turnout will be in Harris' favour, with Michigan the only state I would say is closer than it should be because of Israel/Palestine, an issue that could have a wider impact especially with younger voters.

I think Trump only needs one of , PA, MI, WI , to win.

It doesn't matter which, can't lose all three though

True.

He may just need one while Harris needs all 3. This is why I think Trump is the slightest of favourites.

Can you support that? I can't find any senate or house predictiona anywhere

His meds made him post crazy shít but he is still empowered to carry a gun, drive a car and engage with the public as an LEO. Absolutely batshít.

Democrats have an upbeat tone late this week apparently peaking at the right time - just shows what a few weeks can do and in high contrast to earlier this month.

Nothing guaranteed but given Trumps very weak and off the charts speeches and behaviour since last weekend onwards and especially because he’s not intending to carry in any dramatic positive policy to the white house that could appeal to all voters , the attraction , whatever it was in the first place, to vote Trump is weak this week at least. Talk about timing!

If democrats do win by a small margin , apparently the legal challenges are already in place to be kick started up and down certain states - it will be ugly, people will certainly lose their lives - I just hope it will be over quickly- I don’t think the capitol will be impacted like last time - I think it will be certain states that will experience the brunt of the MAGA protests and violence

“Vice President Kamala Harris has spent much of the past two months portraying herself as the underdog in the effectively tied race against former president Donald Trump.In recent days, however, the Democratic presidential nominee and her top aides have struck a somewhat more optimistic tone in public, conveying to supporters and the media that they expect to win the race — albeit by narrow margins.”

“Harris’s advisers attribute the recent movement in their direction among late-deciding voters to the divisive tone that Trump’s campaign has struck in the closing days, and especially to remarks by one of his warm-up speakers at a Madison Square Garden rally who described Puerto Rico as an “island of garbage.”“If you look at the full data, the conclusion is crystal clear: She’s ahead in the states she needs to win to get to 270 and neck-and-neck across the battleground,” Future Forward President Chauncey McLean said in a statement. “The trajectory of the race is increasingly in her favor and she’s on track to win.”

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/11/03/will-kamala-harris-trump-win/

For a bit of levity, the SNL cold open, lampooning the home stretch of the campaign, eg. Trump's sexual gesturing with a microphone: "the last time I hate a mic this much, I tried to have him killed. Pence!"

"Now, let me just send a quick text"

"Oh, who are you texting?"

"Every single person in America"

"Those actually come from you?!"

"Yeah, they all start with 'Hey, it's Kamala'"

"Is there any way I can stop getting them?"

"Oh, hell no"

I sure have gotten a lot of texts this cycle…

I think the impersonations really peaked a long time ago with Tina Fey being Sarah Palin but SNL is still in it.

"I don't really laugh like that, do I?"

"…eh, a little bit. Now Kamala, take my palmala: the American people wanna stop the chaos-"

"-and end the dramala"

"-with a cool new stepmomala, kick back in our pyjamalas, and watch a romcomala,"

"Like Legally Blondala"

"-and start decorating for Christmas, fa la la-la la. Because what do we always say?"

"Keep calm and carry onala!"

_

"I'm gonna vote for us."
"Great - any chance you are registered in Pennsylvania?"

I've just had a great idea for a new 'Odd Couple' styled, zany sitcom…

I’d say people on a certain Irish social media chat site would love it -sick leave would reach record levels as people stay at home and post 😀