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Harris Vs Trump 2024 US Presidential election - read the warning in the OP posted 18/09/24

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,808 ✭✭✭✭banie01


    It's not really a conversation suited to this thread but your claim of

    the latest figures show we clocked up 19.3% excess mortality in August.

    Where's that figure coming from? And what data is it being compared against vis a vis Europe?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,420 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    Never suggested she was an unknown figure, but 108 days to run a Presidential Campaign is tight before you even consider the circumstances surrounding it.

    Trump has been campaigning in essence for nearly 4 years.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,422 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    That's a totally different point to comparing her unfavorable with Clinton, Obama level politicians.
    And the media environment has moved on especially since Bill Clinton.
    She's not on their level but I don't think she's a poor candidate, she's doing ok in a tough environment.

    She just had a rally with 75,000 in attendance.

    We are less than a week to go to the vote. Let's have the post mortem then when we can make proper assessment, at the moment the signal to noise ratio in polls, odds is high.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,992 ✭✭✭ronjo


    couldnt disagree more about the level of worry here if Trump wins.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,291 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    Not sure about coasting it. Trump has a very large and solid hardcore base who were always going to vote for him no matter who the Democrat nominee was. That almost certainly would have led to a close enough or even very close race.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,516 ✭✭✭Virgil°


    Conveniently forgetting that Crimea and chunks of the Donbass were under Russian occupation through the whole of Trumps term. And the only thing he did was extort Zelensky to try and dig up dirt on Biden.

    And for some reason now Trump supporters on here think that strongman Trump will do what? Make Putin leave Ukraine somehow?

    Far more likely is he'll sell Ukraine out and let Putin keep the chunks of Zaporizhzhia and Kherson(indeed JD Vance is on record saying as much). Including the people living there who will then subsequently be genocided by Russia. If you think that sounds like a good idea then you're not reachable.

    Not that I believe for a second that you're even slightly worried for Ukraine.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,045 ✭✭✭KilOit


    A lot of people died under Trump's handling of covid, and his handling of Afghanistan has brought war to the whole region. Harris offers stability



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,786 ✭✭✭Hoop66




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,027 ✭✭✭✭drunkmonkey


    Eurostat, the numbers are here, Ireland answer to Trump seems to be the only one calling it out and has been for ages, crickets from the MSM.

    https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php?title=Excess_mortality_statistics#Recent_data_on_excess_mortality_in_the_EU



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,572 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    What pray tell is the conclusion you're implying? Cause sounds somewhat like you're making a connection between this and lockdowns which is making a leap. I'm sure it'll be ab phenomena that will be studied but implying causation is a leap.



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  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 29,541 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    I appreciate this may be a difficult concept for a Trump fan to grasp, but it's actually quite normal to have prior Presidents stump for you. When the prior Presidents of your party and your own administration think you are a raging loon and won't do so, that's actually the oddity.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,725 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    Terrible revisionism. We all lived it and have you know, long term memory.

    image.png image.png

    'safer' in air quotes

    image.png image.png

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-54187961

    image.png image.png image.png

    Regarding "Nazi slurs from the left" lol

    A montage of Trump slurring Harris as a 'marxist, a communist, a fascist'

    Revisionism and holding both candidates to asymmetric standards of decorum. Let's nevermind the fact she hasn't called him a Nazi eh?

    https://www.jpost.com/diaspora/article-826751



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,858 ✭✭✭✭road_high


    oil prices were at record highs under Harris Biden. One of the few ways to put Putin in his place is to take the heat out of energy prices- they bankroll his war. Of course Harris Biden police’s do the exact opposite.



  • Posts: 6,597 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Oil was a global post COVID problem - Trump would have faced exactly the same issue.

    Some things are simply not caused by the President.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,027 ✭✭✭✭drunkmonkey


    It's not suited to this thread as Brian said, start a new one on it and I'll gladly give my option with backup. My response was to the claims reds we're dying more than blues. We're certainly a blue country.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 857 ✭✭✭csirl


    Why are they saying Trump will be both the 45th and 47th President if he wins? Surely its just another term for the 45th? Arent they counting people not terms - many Presidents have served 2 terms.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,786 ✭✭✭Hoop66


    Incorrect.

    The average briefly spiked at 100.08, which is not the highest seen (i.e. a "record"). Can you think of any "events" of any kind in 2020-2022 that may have caused this?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,032 ✭✭✭✭everlast75


    I think that posted is no longer on here, but I would have liked to ask why it was Trump's own VP wasn't campaigning for him...

    Elect a clown... Expect a circus



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,786 ✭✭✭Hoop66


    If the terms are non-consecutive, then they count as two presidencies. If they are consecutive - Obama for instance was the 44th - then they count as one presidency.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,817 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf


    That's the way presidencies are counted; he'd be emulating this guy

    Untitled Image Untitled Image


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,725 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    Oil prices underwent inversion under Trump and he begged the Saudis to pump more of it: people paid you to take a barrel of oil. I'm not sure this is the comparison you want to row down.

    https://www.bbc.com/news/business-52350082

    The price of a barrel of West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the benchmark for US oil, fell as low as minus $37.63 a barrel.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 25,995 Mod ✭✭✭✭CramCycle


    The MSG rally the other night called her every name under the sun, if you think this is a sign of being nervous, then DJT must be terrified.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,858 ✭✭✭✭road_high


    that’s not the oddity I was referring-of course I’d expect obama in his desperation to support his (very dismal) protege. Listening to him drone on about “hope and change” is like eating a rancid sandwich from 2008. Now that’s obviously failed the Nazi rhetoric is rolled out



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,032 ✭✭✭✭everlast75


    Trump is also alleging voter fraud in Pennsylvania. Perhaps that's a sign the polling isn't showing what he wants it to..

    Elect a clown... Expect a circus



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 25,995 Mod ✭✭✭✭CramCycle




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,725 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    If they really believed they were going to win, they wouldn't be setting fire to ballots, they wouldn't be … waving around motherf*n machetes to intimidate voters.

    https://www.mediaite.com/election-2024/cops-bust-machete-wielding-man-who-showed-up-at-florida-polling-station-to-antagonize-democrats/

    Williams was charged with aggravated assault on a person 65 years of age or older and improper exhibition of a firearm or dangerous weapon. The group, according to Key, were there “for no other reason but for ill intentions, to cause a disturbance.” The seven other boys did not engage in any activities that would “cross the criminal threshold.” Key also made a statement regarding freedom of expression during a heated political campaign:

    He is a registered Republican.

    The women were reportedly outside the polling place, holding Harris signs, when they were threatened with the machete. Florida only restricts political solicitation within 150 feet of the polling places (other states vary, eg. SC is 500 feet). Evidently, the women were doing nothing wrong when they were assaulted by the teen, accompanied by 7 other 16-18 year olds.

    You can guess how the parents vote.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,725 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    By the way: Kamala Harris condemned Biden's comment calling Trump's supporters 'garbage' for supporting the filth that occurred at the MSG rally.

    That will surely calm down the people claiming offense at it, the same people who support Trump's MSG rally and all the things said at it, including calling Puerto Rico a floating garbage pile. Trump couldn't even bring himself to condemn something so easy to condemn - Trump has been quicker to condemn Biden's comment than his rally's own rhetoric that was infinitely worse and more deliberate. Notice how Kamala didn't say "I don't know Joe Biden" or something as ridiculous as Trump did when he pretended like he and his campaign didn't vet every act at the rally and everything they were going to say and put it on teleprompter, vs. what Biden said off the cuff.

    What will the centrists have to complain about now?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 105 ✭✭doyle55


    Arnie has spoken. It's a long tweet so I post it here.

    I don’t really do endorsements. I’m not shy about sharing my views, but I hate politics and don’t trust most politicians.

    I also understand that people want to hear from me because I am not just a celebrity, I am a former Republican Governor.My time as Governor taught me to love policy and ignore politics.

    I’m proud of the work I did to help clean up our air, create jobs, balance the budget, make the biggest infrastructure investment in state history, and take power from the politicians and give it back to the people when it comes to our redistricting process and our primaries in California. That’s policy.

    It requires working with the other side, not insulting them to win your next election, and I know it isn’t sexy to most people, but I love it when I can help make people’s lives better with policies, like I still do through my institute at USC, where we fight for clean air and stripping the power from the politicians who rig the system against the peope.

    Let me be honest with you: I don’t like either party right now. My Republicans have forgotten the beauty of the free market, driven up deficits, and rejected election results. Democrats aren’t any better at dealing with deficits, and I worry about their local policies hurting our cities with increased crime.It is probably not a surprise that I hate politics more than ever, which, if you are a normal person who isn’t addicted to this crap, you probably understand.I want to tune out.But I can’t. Because rejecting the results of an election is as un-American as it gets.

    To someone like me who talks to people all over the world and still knows America is the shining city on a hill, calling America is a trash can for the world is so unpatriotic, it makes me furious. And I will always be an American before I am a Republican.That’s why, this week, I am voting for Kamala Harris and Tim Walz.

    I’m sharing it with all of you because I think there are a lot of you who feel like I do. You don’t recognize our country. And you are right to be furious.For decades, we’ve talked about the national debt. For decades, we’ve talked about comprehensive immigration reform that secures the border while fixing our broken immigration system. And Washington does nothing.

    The problems just keep rolling, and we all keep getting angrier, because the only people that benefit from problems aren’t you, the people. The only people that benefit from this crap are the politicians who prefer having talking points to win elections to the public service that will make Americans’ lives better. It is a just game to them.

    But it is life for my fellow Americans. We should be pissed!But a candidate who won’t respect your vote unless it is for him, a candidate who will send his followers to storm the Capitol while he watches with a Diet Coke, a candidate who has shown no ability to work to pass any policy besides a tax cut that helped his donors and other rich people like me but helped no one else else, a candidate who thinks Americans who disagree with him are the bigger enemies than China, Russia, or North Korea - that won’t solve our problems.

    It will just be four more years of bullshit with no results that makes us angrier and angrier, more divided, and more hateful.We need to close the door on this chapter of American history, and I know that former President Trump won’t do that. He will divide, he will insult, he will find new ways to be more un-American than he already has been, and we, the people, will get nothing but more anger.

    That’s enough reason for me to share my vote with all of you. I want to move forward as a country, and even though I have plenty of disagreements with their platform, I think the only way to do that is with Harris and Walz.Vote this week. Turn the page and put this junk behind us. And even if you disagree with me, vote, because that’s what we do as Americans.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,559 ✭✭✭✭Penn


    Yeah, funny how Harris isn't afraid to disagree with Biden's remarks, yet when Trump is asked about Hinchcliffe's remarks; "Who? I don't know what he said. I don't know who he is. I don't know who approved him to speak. I don't know anything about it. A lot of people are saying it didn't even happen. Many people. They say 'Sir, it didn't happen', that's what they say."



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,973 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    So hard to call this one, on paper I feel Trump has squeaked ahead (and have placed a bet on that), but there are signs from the other side that e.g. there are record amounts of early voters and mail in ballots (which lean slightly towards Dem)

    Pollsters can gauge the mood but they can't predict actual footfall. Anyway if Trump wins I make some money, if he doesn't, great.



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