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Harris Vs Trump 2024 US Presidential election - read the warning in the OP posted 18/09/24

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,574 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    You haven't clarified what the conspiracy theory is.… Guess you must of been talking nonsense.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    There's been plenty of links already provided.

    Here is the most recent one:

    https://www.newsweek.com/robert-paxton-trump-fascist-1560652

    Again, why do you believe he is wrong? Do you believe that you are just more informed than he is about what Fascism is?



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,892 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    I also believe Harris will win, though I don't have a great track record at that. I thought Clinton would win 8 years ago. Maybe it was just wishful thinking, I did vote for her.

    There are other historical record factors at play to look at though, in your overview. First, Harris's. Four years ago her candidacy was so disastrous that she withdrew even before the primaries, which has its own story we don't need to get into here. Why would people think she would be better now than then? What has she done in the last for four years to change this? Ok, so she isn't Trump, but neither was Clinton and that obviously wasn't good enough.

    Then there's the fact that Trump has been president, and for all the "but Hitler" business, the system still worked and we had a functional transfer of power. Those systems are still in place and I, for one, have no concerns that a system as decentralized as the US will turn into a fascist or dictatorial country. He can spew all the fascist rhetoric he wants, but he can't actually do much on that department. Indeed, remember that a central tenet of US conservatism is supposed to be not increasing the power of the federal government, so I don't see that decentralized system changing. I have far greater concerns about what Trump will do with international relations, which is something he can directly control and could have catastrophic consequences, but again it wouldn't be the first time that the US has had an isolatinist foreign policy.

    I don't think anyone who isn't already against Trump gives a hoot about the felon thing. They will pay more attention to the circumstances leading up to the conviction, be it Trump's activities with Daniels, in which case that is more important than the conviction or not, or that suddenly every Democratic DA looking to make a name for themselves (unfortunately, we're partisan here, and they get elected) with a theoretical case to bring started flinging things against the wall in the hopes that something sticks. And in a country where the average person is estimated to break a law between one and three times a day without knowing it, the one conviction was obtained in a county where over 90% of voters voted against the defendant on a charge so obscure that the news had to run explanation articles about why the activity could be illegal. I posted back a couple years ago that they should have picked one major case, maybe a federal law, and stuck with just that for fear of an impression of persecution... which is a narrative Trump has now been running on.

    I wonder if Democrats haven't fallen into a projection trap: Thinking that non-Democrats think the same way about things as they do.

    There is a further concern: 90% of the discussion is about character (or lack thereof). Trump is a narcissist. Harris lacks a connection to the voter. Whatever. Just how much are people going to care about that vs whatever policies are going to be emplaced?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,277 ✭✭✭erlichbachman


    I love everybody, got no hate in my heart and shall leave in peace, slan.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,857 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    It was not a riot. It was a clear attempt to seize power by force after Trump lost his re-election bid through the ballot box and his V/P at the time declined to subvert the election process.

    On the issue of seizing power by force, Hitler tried that in Munich in Nov 1923 and failed, then spent five years in prison for his efforts. AFAIK, he disliked the title Fascist as Mussolini had used it for his party. Hitler's being the NSDAP.

    Quibbling over whether it is right or wrong to pin the label of being a fascist on Trump is useless, plays into his hand, ignoring what he's after; total power over the US from border to border. Trump wants the time to put his platform into effect. Giving him the presidency is giving him opportunity and power to do so. Call him what he wants to be and have done with it; a dictator who seized outside the ballot box.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,330 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    Do you not get it at this stage? Perception is EVERYTHING.

    The only thing that matters in this whole election campaign is who gets over the winning line - that’s all, nothing else matters.

    Voters perceptions are THEIR reality. Yes I know your reality is different and yes, I totally get that Harris is a far more “fit” person to be president when compared to Trumps personal life- but that doesn’t matter - what matters is how voters perceive - that’s all that matters.

    I don’t know where you’re getting that I think Harris should lie - I’m just pointing out how Trumps near year of campaigning at this stage and repetitive messaging false and all that it may be, has finally trickled down to some of the least likely voters - that’s all



  • Posts: 6,597 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    The link was given in this thread. It clearly indicated that an expert in Fascism changed his position on Trump after Jan 6th when Trump used political violence to attempt to seize power - that was the tipping point whereby he ticked enough boxes to qualify as a fascist in the historical mould.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,725 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    State Corporatism isn't one of the signs of Fascism from the Holocaust Memorial Museum…

    Do you believe that in history there have only been 2 fascists, Mussolini and Hitler?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,009 ✭✭✭scottser


    The article you posted reiterates my point in paragraphs 3 and 4. The author became convinced of Trump's Fascist leanings after J6, and it would be churlish to disagree with that; Trump has no problem wiping his hole with the constitution in order to get his way. My point is that Trump is not ideologically driven, favours disunity over unity and despite the many, many similarities, is not a Fascist but the team behind him are nailed on jackboot kissers for sure.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Ok. So if she can't lie. She can't point out Trumps lies and failings. Her efforts to actually get out her policy messages and stances are constantly ignored and diminished.

    What is she supposed to do?

    Cause at this stage, if she did it, I'm sure we'd be hearing how that was costing her the election too.



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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Sorry, this doesn't make sense.

    The article calls Trump a fascist. The author explains why he changed his mind from being previously reluctant to do so.

    Doesn't equivocate with "leanings".

    It states:

    Trump's incitement of the invasion of the Capitol on January 6, 2020 removes my objection to the fascist label. His open encouragement of civic violence to overturn an election crosses a red line. The label now seems not just acceptable but necessary. It is made even more plausible by comparison with a milestone on Europe's road to fascism—an openly fascist demonstration in Paris during the night of February 6, 1934.

    So you disagree with this statement.

    Ok. Is this based on your own superior understanding and research of fascism?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,009 ✭✭✭scottser


    Mussolini was a nailed-on Corporatist, just like Salazar was in Portugal.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,009 ✭✭✭scottser


    Yes, I disagree fundamentally on the grounds that Trump has no ideology other than 'gimme gimme'.

    As for whether I'm more qualified to discuss the topic than the author you posted, I have no idea of their credentials so I really can't say.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,330 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    Why are you asking me all of this? I’m not arguing with you or anyone for that matter -


    im simply pointing out fact in terms of what is happening on the Trump side of this election and how quite possibly (but not definitely as I don’t think anyone can be definite at this stage) he’s heading for victory .

    There are better people than me to advise Harris on “what to do” - I haven’t suggested that Harris do anything nor am I challenging you to respond on that either.

    But clearly, there are certainly “indications” that the ethnic vote, heavily relied on by Democrats , is obviously not as cohesive as many including myself, believed it was - personally I don’t think there’s a darn thing Harris can do about that - coz like I said earlier, if Springsteen can’t get the votes in , then no one can.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,462 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    His credentials are this: American political scientist and historian specializing in Vichy Francefascism, and Europe during the World War II era. He is Mellon Professor Emeritus of Social Science in the Department of History at Columbia University

    Trump has progressed beyond the 'gimme gimme' stage, or rather he is willing to use fascist acts as part of 'gimme gimme' power. Is someone willing to use fascist acts to achieve political ends and power a fascist?
    Not much point splitting that hair is there.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Because your argument hinges on the notion that Harris is somehow failing to do something.

    And you keep dodging the question. You've now finally answer.

    You are saying that you can't think of anything she could be doing different that would improve her odds.

    Even with the impossible double standard you don't want to acknowledge, she is doing the best that anyone could possibly be in the circumstances.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    I'm not convinced that all fascists are just into fascism because they want money and power.

    I think that's kinda the whole point of fascism.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,330 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    sorry but you’re absolutely impossible to have a discussion with - nowhere in anything that I’ve said in my last few posts could any reasonable poster even think I was going in that direction - but you’re totally twisting it probably in the hope that I’ll lash out and get banned.

    Well I won’t lash out - because you know what, I’m pretty confident reasonable posters will take what I’ve posted in the good faith that I posted . It’s very clear what trying to do here now. Very clear.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,009 ✭✭✭scottser


    As I stated earlier, Trump's actions are more likely to lead to a civil war. Hitler believed that a war in Europe was a means to an end, so it's a pretty massive hair to split, IMO.



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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Again, it's very easy to have a discussion if you just answer questions put to you.

    It's not possible to have a discussion if you just refuse to acknowledge things that undermine your points.

    You are now inventing motivations to dodge more points.

    You are right in that reasonable posters will see this.

    Your constant nitpicking of Harris is not in good faith. You are simply finding fault in anything she does and holding her to an impossible double standard.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,462 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    I don't know what that means.

    Trump is a danger to democracy in the US, the rule of law, and its constitutional order. This is not my opinion alone, it is backed up by expert opinion, it is backed by Trump's former closest staff and a retied general.

    He already tried to subvert one election, by demanding illegal acts of subordinates and by inciting violence.

    Whatever 'ism' you want to describe that as is secondary to recognising that danger.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,449 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    There are other historical record factors at play to look at though, in your overview. First, Harris's. Four years ago her candidacy was so disastrous that she withdrew even before the primaries

    I doubt anyone including Harris thought for a second she would be nominated.

    Also depends which historical factors you want to look at or give weight to.

    Biden's 2008 campaign was a disaster. He went on to be 2 term VP and President.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,031 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    I don't put much weight in to the fact that Kamala ran 4 yrs ago, I feel in every campaign there are people who are making a name for themselves, testing the water, expressing an interest etc and Harris in all likelihood was doing something along those lines. I wouldn't be surprised to see Pete Buttigeig, Nikky Haley attempt to do so in future, or possibly even Tulsi Gabbard attempting to get on the Republican ticket after failing to get on the Democrat one. Although I think that that is unlikely.

    I'm much less confident about the security of the system than you are. All that stopped Trump achieving his goal of overriding the result of the last election was a VP willing to support him and to ignore slates of electors that were offered. I'm not saying it would have been easy, but so many of the necessary things for that to happen did happen, the states preparing different electoral slates, Senators, refusing to accept the 'official' electors offered and so on. There is nothing to suggest that if Pence had acted as Trump wished that senior Republicans such as McCarthy, McConnel et al would have called a halt. They both blamed Trump for Jan 6th, but then refused to hold him responsible and I feel if he had managed to gain control of events on Jan 6th, they would have allowed the SC to become involved knowing it would be in their favour.

    We are agreed with respect to Trump's potential influence on international relations and I hold Biden hugely responsible for the unrestrained actions of Israel in the Middle East.

    As I've already hinted, I personally feel that too many Conservatives have been forgiving of Trump and his actions and instead of sought to blame the Democrats for either misrepresentation of those actions, or for persecuting him. Like, the conservatives would have us believe that they are the party of Law & Order but they have resolutely refused to apply this to Trump and his actions. For the most part. Also, some of the cases pursued against Trump have been done under the jurisdiction of republican appointed personnel so again, this idea that it is a Democrat initiated and guided act is false. I do feel the Democrats should have done better in communicating this to the public so there was little room for the muddying of the waters around it.

    In terms of the risk of the US turning in to a fascist or dictatorial country. I don't think that that is likely to happen at the most obvious level. As I said earlier, fascism shouldn't be considered in a Black and White way of you're either Hitler, or your fine. But that doesn't mean it can't move in that direction or that states couldn't select more dictatorial practices (such as they are doing around abortion) because of having been enabled or emboldened at the federal level. I don't buy the conservative position that they desire less government interference, (certainly some do) but rather they want the government interference to be of the sort that they support. Again, the abortion conversation is evidence of what I am talking about in this respect. Or the banning of books, or the placing of specific models of bibles in schools as being mandatory for example.

    As for the outcome, I'm still none the wiser, I think it will come down to who goes to vote, not who has changed their mind and selected someone to vote for.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,431 ✭✭✭combat14


    the more harris mentions TRUMP the more the name is implanted in voters heads - its like when skiing if you focus on avoiding the 🌳 trees instead of skiing the path you hit them

    she needs to focus on her valuable strategy NOT trump trump trump cause thats the only word voters hear



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    So again we're seeing that Harris isn't supposed to mention Trump. Shouldn't criticize or counter his lies. Or respond to questions she's asked about him.

    But this doesn't apply to Trump, right? When he mentions Harris this isn't a problem for him.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,009 ✭✭✭scottser


    I have never once denied that Trump's intention is the establishment of an autocracy. Moreover, I think he would love that his brand will live on after he goes and that Trumpism will give him the immortality he obviously craves.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,449 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    Well no. At this stage the sound strategy is to do both.

    Trump by not toning down the crazy is playing directly into Harris's hands.

    His fascist rhetoric needs be called out at every opportunity for the next 2 weeks.

    Focus the mind of the undecides and ward them off voting for Trump.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,807 ✭✭✭EltonJohn69


    IMG_8836.jpeg

    I was listening to the rest is politics US and they were talking about how many voters are “low information voters” and that it comes down to how many of these low information voters think Trump will lower my rent and Kamala kills babies….. I’m starting to think everything else is just noise and Trump has a very good chance to win



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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    So he's seeking to establish an autocracy using fascist tactics and rhetoric.

    This makes him a fascist in the view of a lot of people including his former chief of staff and many experts such as Robert Paxton. (Who I am going to assume is more informed and qualified than yourself.)

    Objecting to labeling him as a fascist because of your personal assumptions about his motivations (while side stepping all of the fascists also just into it for the money and power) is a bit of a strange nitpick.

    You believe that he is just pretending to be a fascist.

    I don't believe there's a useful distinction between that and just being one.



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