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Harris Vs Trump 2024 US Presidential election - read the warning in the OP posted 18/09/24

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,258 ✭✭✭✭Rjd2


    Polling has actually been pretty stable last few months and its clearly a close race.

    I know Trump overperformed the polls in 2016 and 2020 so its possible it could happen again, but the polling industry will pretty much be done in that scenario, so you would like to think out of sheer self preservation they won't underestimate Trump a third time.

    Maybe that's cope as someone who has money on Harris but as you say we will know in 2 weeks.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,635 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose


    Can you be more specific? Why do you think she's a poor communicator? Who in your view is a good communicator?



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Except that's not the case.

    That's the strawman that gets thrown around to dismiss people's actual arguments without a response.

    You seem to insisting that people somehow talk about the election and about the comparison between the two available candidates without talking about the failures of one of them.

    Harris is a good communicator. Not the best ever, but good.

    She is not the poorest communicator in the race.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,948 ✭✭✭✭yourdeadwright


    Yes it causes division but calling someone a communist or fascist is totally different than calling someone Hitler,

    Why can't you just admit its crazy carry on to spew what Obama did and 12 hours later to be calling someone Hitler on live TV

    Do you think that is right ? please don't answer with " but Trump "



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Ok. So Trump caused division by calling Harris a communist.

    That was bad.

    Why did you not think this was bad previously?

    Harris didn't call Trump Hitler. She called him a fascist. So I don't know what you're trying to get at.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,563 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    One is very different though. There's no backing evidence for Harris being a covert communist. There's a strong factual basis for fascistic tendencies with Trump so not exactly like for like.

    It would be like saying it's toxic to refer to Trump as racist. It's pretty clearly not since there's a factual basis for the claims.

    Not being toxic doesn't mean not dealing with how a candidate conducts themselves.



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,654 ✭✭✭hometruths


    Agreed.

    She'd be out of sight of Trump if she'd gone through the usual primary elections and fought that campaign.

    Does anybody know when was the last elected US president who has never contested a primary?

    Post edited by hometruths on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,838 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    I expect that the outcome of the race will be down to the strength of the "I distrust" level being a huge factor, along with the "dislike" factor of the voters opinions, which candidate gets the most hits on that point as reflected by the tally each gets. The abortion rights issue should harm Trump as it's about health as much as personal religious belief.

    Post-election poll results will be interesting.

    , .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,028 ✭✭✭✭everlast75


    Hmmm... Yes.

    Perhaps you'd advise her to discuss the length of Arnold Palmer's schlong instead?

    Sound advice.

    Elect a clown... Expect a circus



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 147 ✭✭ThePandazorian


    I’d love for those that think “both candidates are unfit” to actually explain what makes both candidates unfit.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,579 ✭✭✭McFly85


    I’m convinced anyone that says Harris doesn’t answer questions or can only say “but Trump” hasn’t watched literally any interview with her.

    When she’s done interviews, even on Fox, she’s come out of them well. That couldn’t possibly be true if she can’t answer a question. It’s really clutching at straws.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,030 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    Trump was asked a question.

    “If you win in November, can you commit to prioritizing legislation to make childcare affordable, and, if so, what specific piece of legislation will you advance?”

    His answer.

    “Well, I would do that, and we’re sitting down—you know, I was, somebody, we had Senator Marco Rubio, and my daughter Ivanka was so impactful on that issue. It’s a very important issue. But I think when you talk about the kind of numbers that I’m talking about, that—because look, child care is childcare, it’s—couldn’t, you know, it’s something, you have to have it, in this country you have to have it.

    But when you talk about those numbers compared to the kind of numbers that I’m talking about by taxing foreign nations at levels that they’re not used to—but they’ll get used to it very quickly—and it’s not gonna stop them from doing business with us, but they'll have a very substantial tax when they send product into our country. Those numbers are so much bigger than any numbers that we’re talking about, including childcare, that it’s going to take care.

    We’re gonna have—I look forward to having no deficits within a fairly short period of time, coupled with the reductions that I told you about on waste and fraud and all of the other things that are going on in our country, because I have to stay with childcare. I want to stay with childcare, but those numbers are small relative to the kind of economic numbers that I'm talking about, including growth, but growth also headed up by what the plan is that I just—that I just told you about.

    We’re gonna be taking in trillions of dollars, and as much as childcare is talked about as being expensive, it’s relatively speaking not very expensive compared to the kind of numbers we’ll be taking in. We’re gonna make this into an incredible country that can afford to take care of its people, and then we’ll worry about the rest of the world.

    Let’s help other people, but we’re going to take care of our country first. This is about America first. It’s about ‘Make America Great Again.’

    We have to do it because right now we’re a failing nation, so we’ll take care of it. Thank you. Very good question. Thank you.”

    Can any of the people concerned about Harris' responses in interviews tell us what specific piece of legislation Trump is going to advance to help with childcare.

    FFS, it's 4 years since he bragged about being able to pass a 5 word cognitive test and ye are all in here treating him like he's William F Buckley.

    He might still win this election, but he will never be more capable, competent or suitable for the office than Harris and its one of the most significant political acts of our lifetimes that the Republican party let him take it over.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    A while back a podcast I listen to did break downs of Alex Jones' depositions for his defamation trials. It had lawyers grilling him about his company. He'd give long rambling answers like this sometimes too.

    After one of them the lawyer asks: "Mr. Jones, what question did I just ask you?"

    Would love to see that with Trump.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 877 ✭✭✭eoinbn


    She struggles to put her thoughts into simple English. That is what you need to do - connect with the average voter - and to connect with average voter you also need to be able to connect to the not so bright voters!

    Both Obama's, most if not all US presidents that I can remember have been good at it - even Bush for all his gaffs. Watch Obama - you can actually see him struggle at times when he is trying to simplify what he is saying.

    Trump isn't a great speaker but he usually has a very simple message.

    MAGA.

    Tariffs.

    Deportations.

    Lock her up.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,249 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    You may not like Trump - it’s very possible that a lot of voters in America who will vote for Trump….dont like Trump .

    This election clearly has nothing to do with personalities or ways of speaking - it’s gone way beyond that - what exactly it’s about I actually don’t know but I reckon part of the reason is a balance adjustment of going too far left in the minds of many voters, it’s possibly through fear of the unknown be it jobs or change or country security - Security and the Economy in the eyes of voters were issues led by Trump against both Biden and Harris right though this race - so it’s not surprising where we are now - so yes, Harris has more to do if she wants to win.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,249 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    …”even Bush for all his gaffs.”


    100% correct. His speeches in the main were short simple language sentences - easy to understand.

    Obama was a far superior orator - but boy did he speak a hell of a lot of waffle and probably bored a lot of his listeners to sleep .

    Trump as we know just comes out with hatred and what not - but again it’s VERY simple language - inflammatory- absolutely it is - but it’s also memorable and always has been - and retaining these messages in voters minds is bound to resonate in the quiet of the polling booth - fear of immigrant attacks; fear of job losses; fear of alternative energy at the additional household costs that may bring no less an increase in supermarket prices - all that “stuff”,will be there in the minds of voters in the polling booths-

    but that’s pretty much his campaign message successfully delivered - job done. Trump has had nearly a whole year to work on peoples fears - and he may yet be successful - Harris has had only a few months in comparison to convince voters there’s an alternative way - a tough gig.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    An amazing democracy in which all the political parties (forget about the tiny ones) are identical, all the newspapers are identical, all the radio stations are identical, all the universities are left wing, in which posters get torn down during referenda, in which conservative people can't hold meetings, and in which "I'm not racist, insert whatever word, but" is heard every day. I think it's a dictatorship and I don't care what democracymatrix says.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    He is RINO, yes. I don't believe he's pro life, he doesn't care about the married family, etc.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,920 ✭✭✭✭Frank Bullitt


    Or talk about dead people balls for a bit, don't forget about that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,015 ✭✭✭✭briany


    …and its one of the most significant political acts of our lifetimes that the Republican party let him take it over.

    The Republican party establishment very much did not want Trump to begin with, but their base wanted him and both US parties are at least democratic enough that they must become a reflection of their voter base in order to remain electable.

    It's a bit like those horror or sci-fi films where the opening scene shows scientists in some clandestine facility creating a kind of biological weapon like a killer disease or mutant supersoldier. Then, there's some sort of leak or malfunction in the containment area, leading to their subject getting loose and killing everyone in the facility before going on the rampage.

    The Tea Party was the monster that the Republican created and thought they could control, but at some point it mutated into Trumpism and turned on its creator. Now the Republican party works for it, rather than the other way around. They need to in order to keep their jobs and be physically safe from the hordes of screeching MAGA hat wearers.

    The real time to defeat Trumpism was around 2008 when former Speaker and Republican strategist Newt Gingrich devised the strategy of total oppositionality to the Democrats.

    https://history.princeton.edu/about/publications/burning-down-house-newt-gingrich-fall-speaker-and-rise-new-republican-party

    A key quote from Obama in this text:

    When Donald Trump was elected president in 2016, President Obama observed that Trump “is not an outlier; he is a culmination, a logical conclusion of the rhetoric and tactics of the Republican Party.”

    Agreed 100 % .

    Nipping that strategy in the bud would have been the way to stop Trumpism, but that didn't happen and Trump's rise became an inevitability.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,030 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    Yeah, it's one thing I have never quite figured out, how come so you interviewers and debate opponents have managed to get the measurement of him in 1 on 1 conversation.

    Biden did in the debate in 2020, but precious few have managed it. And the puzzling thing is, he is not a sharp minded debater or interviewee, he's a bully who is strongest in the first ten words of his response, after which he gets weaker and weaker, the more he goes on.

    Maybe it's because he is genuinely incapable of accepting (or possibly even seeing) that he has been or shown up in a debate/or interview. Actually, probably what happens is, which we have seen, he walks out of the contest. That's probably it in fact. He is coward in that environment also.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    The cult members will like any auld dross, it seems. You can vote for a guy if the alternative is unbearable. It doesn't mean you necessarily like him, however.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,725 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    Would you look at that,

    Fox News deceitfully and hypocritically edited Trump's answers to make him sound less incoherent during his 'barbershop' PR stunt

    https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/24/media/fox-news-edit-trump-barbershop-interview/index.html

    One of the most telling parts of the dialogue began when an audience member asked Trump about finding a way to eliminate federal taxes in the future. On Fox, Trump was shown immediately answering affirmatively: “There is a way.”

    But that response from Trump actually came more than seven minutes later, after Trump (and Jones) brought up other topics, including inheritances, the Keystone Pipeline, Ronald Reagan, Russia, and transgender sports players. Trump had to be nudged back on track several times by the unnamed audience member, who kept circling back, apologetically, and said “I wasn’t able to finish my question.” After he repeated his tax inquiry yet again, Trump said “there is a way.”

    They also completely censored out him praising Viktor Orban and trashing Fox's sister property, the WSJ. They also censored Trump doubling down on his Haitian immigrants conspiracy theory, as well as censored him doubling down about his fanciful reversioning of the insurrection on the 6th.

    This is the same Fox News that joined Trump in attacking 60 minutes for editing down its Harris interview for time.

    Hypocrisy and hyperbole, it's all the Republicans have. Desperate stuff, their internal polling must be dreadful.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,384 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    I think you mean dupe the average voter. Very easy to sloganise if you're just chanting - honestly made up drivel which doesn't connect to reality - like that which doesn't amount to anything. You can put things into very simple English if you're being simplistic about it.

    If Harris did that, guaranteed there would be posters on this thread criticising her for 'dumbing down' and 'regurgitating' while never making the same comment about Trump.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,563 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    Given the fact that all those posters either dodge or justify his more extreme behaviors tends to indicate they're supporters tbh. Some admit it, most don't.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    The alternative supports abortion up to one second before birth. The alternative's running mate changed the law in his state so that life-saving care no longer has to be provided to a baby that survives an abortion. Even the hardest of hearts must surely find that unbearable to contemplate.

    And I don't care about what Trump has done. You can waste your time and write a thesis on Trump for all I care. I've already said that I would prefer a Mike Pence, a Marco Rubio, or a Ron DeSantis.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    It was because Pascal was / is left wing. No other reason.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,702 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    🙄

    And there's another one for the ignore list.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,249 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    And Trumps convictions language and behaviour are a clear indication that Republicanism has reached a “beyond Trump” level - Trump is just the living caricature of Republicanism today - people have focused too much on Trump the man, the person - It’s what he represents that people are voting for is my view- Donald Trump the person really has very little bearing at this stage - it’s far bigger than Trump the candidate - that’s likely why Harris is struggling - she’s battling a lot more than a personality



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,635 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose


    Better to discuss your abortion fantasies on the abortion thread. They're perverse



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