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Harris Vs Trump 2024 US Presidential election - read the warning in the OP posted 18/09/24

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,351 ✭✭✭Billy Mays


    Probably not as much of a sucker as the posters continuously biting to him



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,540 ✭✭✭✭Penn


    He's not. But once you're in on Trump, you have to go all in and defend/support everything.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,025 ✭✭✭✭drunkmonkey


    The drive through was open, do you think they'd let anyone just breeze in through the doors or pull up to the hatch after what's went on so far in his campaign. He's even been told to give up his favourite sport.

    They did try and kill him after all..

    Untitled Image

    It's naive to think it could have happened any other way, at least you said it was closed while he was there, we've a few saying it was closed for the day then arguing about the passage of time.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    You're once again not making a very coherent argument there.

    Yes, the customers were not people who would have randomly walked in off the street and interacted with him in the same way as a normal employee.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,758 ✭✭✭weisses


    A registered Republican tried to kill him in that photo..… whats your point ?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,025 ✭✭✭✭drunkmonkey


    What's you're point, I'm a registered FG'er yet never paid a penny in my life, the local supporters pay it on my behalf.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,540 ✭✭✭✭Penn


    The drive-thru wasn't open, because the McDonald's wasn't open. People would have been arranged, vetted and scheduled to roll up to the window, act like Trump is so incredible and fantastic, and then drive away from the window.

    It was entirely and completely staged. Like you say, it would have to be for the security concerns alone.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,016 ✭✭✭✭briany


    The McDonalds thing is so weird.

    I'm not even talking about the idea of it being staged in part or entirely. I'm talking about how it seemed that Trump was so bothered by the idea of Harris ever working there.

    You could imagine him on his private plane after a rally - he's about to reward himself with a Bigmac, fries and coke, but when he picks up the carton thing, he doesn't see happy golden arches. He just sees Kamala's laughing face. Dismayed, he throws his burger across the cabin.

    The photo op is really just his way to 'exorcise' her from his favourite food.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,992 ✭✭✭ronjo


    true true…. but I mentioned before I deleted Twitter because of childish trolls. was hoping for a smidgen more from here.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,472 ✭✭✭Lewis_Benson


    Hahaha

    I laughed out loud at the image of him getting his stupid Bigmac on the plane. And Harris' face on the packaging.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,025 ✭✭✭✭drunkmonkey


    The hush up conspiracy by McDonald's is really weird, I'm only seeing it in the independent.

    Waiting to hear what Pat Kenny has to say about it with whichever non biased guest he picks today. Pat McDonagh possibly.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,540 ✭✭✭✭Penn


    From memory I think the whole McDonald's thing came about because Harris said she worked at one, but then it was discovered she didn't include it on her resume for a previous job (because you probably wouldn't depending on how long ago it was, how long you worked there for, if you hadn't made it to any type of managerial position or other position of responsibility etc). So the MAGAs were trying to say she was lying about it or something.

    So it evolved into this performative bullsh*t where less than 3 weeks before a Presidential candidate, one of those candidates wants to roleplay as a McDonald's employee to show how easy it is (sure that'll go down well with the actual McDonald's employees who work long shifts under huge demands and pressure for low wages).



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 933 ✭✭✭Detritus70


    It was interesting to see the sharp decline of background noise of "I'm not a Trump supporter, BUT!". You could really sense how stunned and dismayed they were. There was a frantic scramble to rewrite the script. They knew they couldn't go with "but she's black! AND a woman!". I fancy I also see a correlation between pro Trump background white noise and the DJT share price. It has gone from around $10 to nearly $30 in the same time the pro Trump arguments on the internet (not just here) have been getting louder, shriller and more desperate
    But I'm disappointed with the new script. It seems it took them weeks to come up with "She's a terrible candidate! She once dressed sexy and therefore is a prostitute! And she's a terrible candidate!". It really feels like an essay handed in by a student who spend days playing computer games and hastily scribbled something down in half an hour on the morning they're supposed to hand it in.

    Fully Automated Luxury Gay Space Communism



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,274 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    I’m not a Trump supporter. 😀

    BUT- I can’t get my head around the polls in terms of why Harris is not further ahead given what we know about her opponent.

    So I posted last night that essentially, this is the Republicans turn at the wheel- and there’s very little that anyone can do to change that

    It’s not the fault of Harris - I think she’s done a fine job overall - and yes she’s a woman so you’d think the women of America would be out there pushing their own gender to the degree the polls would widen- but they’re not.

    And yes she’s black, so again you’d think various ethnicities would be head over heels and just signing up left right and centre - but whatever stories we’ve seen throughout this campaign indicating this might be happening, it’s certainly not reflecting in the polls.

    So what’s wrong? I don’t believe Harris is “wrong”- she’s not the most dynamic of candidates but she’s been “steady as she goes” since her nomination.

    I just think there’s a wider fear here- maybe it’s fear of jobs going abroad, fear about a growing inadequacy when compared to China as a nation, fear about the economy or border security. Maybe it’s all of that and more besides- I have yet to see an article explaining why we are where we are in this election - but it’s not because Trump is coming across as a great leader, or that Harris is coming across as a bad leader- there’s something else happening .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,992 ✭✭✭ronjo


    I think its just FEAR in general……. MAGA is so worked up that everyone non MAGA is out to get them and their families and their way of life



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,540 ✭✭✭✭Penn




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,684 ✭✭✭✭looksee


    You are over-thinking it. I agree with your analysis, but you are not allowing for the fact that a mass-hysteria type effect has taken over one side. They are not paying any attention to any news of any description, just listening to opinion shows and on-line chat. This isn't going to change, so most of what the news (insofaras the US does news) reports is either ignored or regarded as lies and conspiracy material. They watch carefully curated bits of Trump and take it at face value because it suits their opinions. Its all very exciting being part of this huge and entertaining 'stick it to them' showman's followers. What else is there to distract you from everyday issues? His followers are entirely the 'poorly educated' and easily led, and the uber-wealthy who want to remain that way. Its a perfect balance.

    I still think there are enough 'eyes open' people with intelligence to see past the hype and do the sums to vote for Harris - not because she will be an amazing President, but because she will be a safer pair of hands than the alternative. Almost more important is the number of Democrats that are voted in to hold the Senate and House, hopefully even if Trump does get in if there is enough weight in the government he may be kept in check.

    Maybe this is all wishful thinking, he has the Supreme Court, he can pretty much do as he pleases. He won't be doing much beyond playing golf, but his team are more dangerous and will be able to power ahead with whatever Project 25 stuff they wish and he will sign what is put in front of him.

    I do think though that at some stage the US needs the chaos and danger of an uncontrolled right wing presidency to eventually allow them to see sense, but it will be a long and dirty battle that will not do the rest of the world any good at all.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,310 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    This is true.

    He does want to reduce corporation tax down to 15% though, while Harris says she will increase it.

    The latter would be better for Ireland.

    Of course this is Trump and he says a lot of things, but doing is a different matter.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,310 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    Those are fair points.

    I agree with you about the EU.

    They seem more intent on punishing businesses and protecting certain industries rather than looking for real growth or innovation in the region.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,310 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    It is an indicator. That is all. But given that I said the betting markets are 60/40 in favour of Trump at this moment in time, I would say it's on the button.

    Trump slight favourite right now.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,310 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    Pa, Mi, Wi all even now. The popular vote is in to about 1%. Apparently demagoguery sells. We should all just accept it and move on.

    Harris will have to run the table for her to win this election.

    But, Trump needed to do this in 2020, remember the infamous 'Blue Wall'?

    Its possible that Harris indeed will sneak all those states, but the odds are not in her favour right now.

    I personally think she is a terrible candiate but it will be on the Dems if they lose this.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,625 ✭✭✭✭LambshankRedemption


    I posted something similar over the weekend. Not as eloquently put as you though.

    I am putting it down to a failure in how polls are recorded and/or Russia interfering in the polling. Polling data collected via the online medium can be easily scripted and made to look however someone might want.

    In my opinion, the only accurate polls are the exit polls, and we still need to wait until November 5th for those.

    According to the BBC website, they have Harris at 48 to Trumps 46.

    This segment seemed relevant:

    At the moment, the polls suggest that Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are within a couple of percentage points of each other in all of the swing states - and when the race is that close, it’s very hard to predict winners.

    Polls underestimated support for Trump in both 2016 and 2020. Polling companies will be trying to fix that problem in a number of ways, including how to make their results reflect the make-up of the voting population.

    Those adjustments are difficult to get right and pollsters still have to make educated guesses about other factors like who will actually turn up to vote on 5 November.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,840 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    Trump's pal Miller is the propagandist of his age, he's got the folks looking over the shoulder at their neighbours.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,274 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    I don’t live in America so I don’t see the day to day world they live in, especially outside the major cities and into the smaller towns where such things might resonate more strongly on a community level.

    Yes MAGA are certainly good at working up fear- probably the only thing they’re good at doing- and fear is ONE of the key ways to influence others. I’m just surprised it’s worked so well.


    I looked up employment rate statistics in the US- recent article below.

    Surprisingly there are 8 million jobs available right now in the USA- and no one is filling them - labour participation rates are down - about 3 million Americans retired early throughout the pandemic- young people are choosing how they interact with the labour market and many are simply suiting themselves eg- remote working etc.

    Birth rates are down too leading to fewer job vacancies filled. Child care is an issue - many (especially women) are opting to stay at home parenting .

    So making a long story shorter, employment doesn’t appear to be a factor here- in fact employment rates couldn’t be better . And if that’s the case, then the economy shouldn’t really be a major issue either- there’s been improvements in the last 6 months definitely- so that means more money in peoples wallets - so it can’t be “the economy stupid” -

    Immigration? Feeling secure? Maybe it’s these issues- maybe MAGA has done a “fine” job in messing with peoples minds and making them afraid- but I never would have given them that level of ability - maybe I was mistaken

    https://www.uschamber.com/workforce/understanding-americas-labor-shortage



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,025 ✭✭✭✭drunkmonkey


    His proposal to exempt ovetime work after 40hrs from tax is pretty progressive I think, depending on what's in the fine detail that could put around $100 or more into peoples pay packets every week. I'd like to see one of our politicans propose similar. I don't get overtime so it doesn't effect me but I can see how it would help a lot in certain industries.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,310 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    I still believe in the secret non-Trump voters. The ones that say they'll vote for him, but in the quiet of the polling booth, admits that he would be appalling candidate to be president

    That is a belief alright but one devoid of reason. The pheonoma is actually the opposite. The shy Tory effect to use a phrase.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shy_Tory_factor


    People don't want to admit that they are going to vote for a certain person/party, but in the polling both will vote for them.

    Remember 2016? Even 2020 saw something similar, it's just Biden had too big of a lead for it to make a difference. In an election as close as this, it may make the crucial difference.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,284 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    There have been suggestions (Washington Post for example) that the Trump campaign has spent millions of dollars manipulating the odds trying to make it 'look' like he is the clear favourite. He very suddenly shortened in price last week, when there was no obvious change in momentum or boost for him in the polls or elsewhere….the feeling is that this may not be real bets being placed on him by the public, but his own team up to dodgy stuff.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,992 ✭✭✭ronjo


    Why did Biden get 7,000,000 more Americans to vote for him? Maybe Trump just wasnt a good president.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,274 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    For me, if the “non-Trump” voter exists, and I don’t discount that it may exist, I think the profile will be young female voters, worried about the abortion issue - so yes, they’ll say Trump all the way- then vote Harris to ensure they have abortion as an option.

    That’s possibly where I read about “non-Trump” voters at the start of this election- but as we know, young voters have a renowned fear of polling booths 😀



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