Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie

Election to be called Fri - predict outcome

13567164

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,718 ✭✭✭paddyisreal


    Ff,Fg will return similar to the last election and the independents will clean up the sinn Fein vote that will drop. The sein Fein surplus will go mostly to independents and the next government could be very hard to form. Don't be surprised if we have another one in a few months..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,186 ✭✭✭wazzzledazzle


    Too true breezy

    Friends sister is a nurse in TUH was telling me that there is either no viable accomodation or rooms that are too expensive to attract nurses from overseas



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,513 ✭✭✭Patser


    I actually think the SF collapse people are talking about might be overhyped. Last election they performed way above what even they expected, but often had only 1 candidate in constituencies they got nearly double the quota for (and I think it was their transfers that benefitted a lot of left independents), and didn't take advantage of the big vote.

    Since then they went higher in the polls and were talked about as being the next big party, but their recent drop off will probably bring them back to the previous level of 1 seat per constituency, near enough where they are now. So vote wise they could be well down, but seat wise pretty much the same.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,140 ✭✭✭✭PopePalpatine


    Were there any half-eaten avocado sandwiches left behind too?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,513 ✭✭✭Patser


    Did you collect them all up and add an extension to your house?



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,798 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf


    Most likely outcome IMO. They were on a combined 45% in one of the most recent polls, that should give them a majority of seats unless they were pretty unlucky. And we have yet to see how the Shinners' latest turbulence plays into their poll ratings…



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,025 ✭✭✭Everlong1


    Don't get the predictions for the collapse of the Greens either. You don't vote Green in the first place unless you're committed to their ideology and policies. On that score they've done very well in Government in terms of implementing their policies. Why would someone who voted Green last time suddenly abandon them now?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,494 ✭✭✭Pauliedragon


    The problem with that is the people who fucked up immigration in the first place are the ones getting back in. They certainly wont fix it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,259 ✭✭✭✭ted1


    No left wing party will do anything for housing. We don’t have any builders at home scratching themselves. We can’t build any faster.

    We’ve had an economy that’s performing exceptionally well. Attracting lots of inward migration. Who need to be housed.

    The only way to do a quick fix on housing is to crash the economy and hope people immigrant in the hundreds of thousands.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 29,602 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    So Sinn Fein will fix the housing crisis is what you are saying 🤣



  • Advertisement
  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 25,987 Mod ✭✭✭✭CramCycle


    SDs won't be in government because they won't go in with FFG, and rightly so, it would destroy them in one term. Greens won't be annihilated but they ill lose seats. Probably still hold enough to be viable partners but the Greens are a member party so there members may not fancy being whipping boys for policies that are not even theirs and not getting credit for what they actually do.

    It would also be terrible if FFG got a majority without a 3rd leg to keep them moderately in line, and this shouldn't be a coalition of independents with no one clear direction.

    SF won't get in either, and no one will go in with them after the last few months.

    Long story short, it will be a bare majority with a vote or two from Independents to get it across the line but not actually supporting government or it will be similar to what we currently have but it will take months to sort out.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,430 ✭✭✭bladespin


    They said the same about a FF/FG powershare a few years ago.

    Untitled Image

    MasteryDarts Ireland - Master your game!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,037 ✭✭✭BlueSkyDreams


    There is very little difference between FF and FG anymore.

    There is a chasm between SF and FG.

    A FF/SF govt was always SFs only chance, but the safe money was always on FF continuing to partner with FG. Stick to what you know and dont risk tanking the economy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,962 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    ffg all the way into the 30's and beyond, 'the best way for ireland to change, is to stay the same', cause thats how change occurs!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 561 ✭✭✭CliffHangeroner


    FG/FF/Greens or possibly Labour.

    There is absolutely no other outcome.

    I would have voted SF for the last 30 years but they won't be getting a vote this time. Can see Mary Lou stepping down after a complete humiliation for them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,186 ✭✭✭wazzzledazzle


    I think you have posted this same response at least a hundred times i have seen across various threads.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,962 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    think the greens are gonna get shafted, could very well be labour, and/or others



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,262 ✭✭✭✭Geuze


    I will raise a glass if Roderic O'Gorman isn't re-elected.

    His actions are nearly treasonous.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,962 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    think it should be the slogan to be honest, or we could roll out other favorites such as 'keep the recovery going'!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,186 ✭✭✭wazzzledazzle


    He won't be re-elected. There are very few other politicians as un-popular as him, and that's saying something in itself.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,186 ✭✭✭wazzzledazzle


    No alternative though is there? Not anymore, SF had an opportunity to really slam home an advantage. IIRC, It all started going t**s up with their stance on immigration, or their lack of a stance. I can't remember now



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,430 ✭✭✭bladespin


    Things change, politicians are essentially prostitutes who jump in bed together for an agreed price, agreed it's an unlikely scenario but there isn't a civil war between them.

    Untitled Image

    MasteryDarts Ireland - Master your game!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 561 ✭✭✭CliffHangeroner


    Possibly for sure but i actually think extent of their demise is exaggerated. They won't do as well as last time obviously but i can definitely see them gaining enough to hang onto power.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,262 ✭✭✭✭Geuze


    The Greens did help improve public transport, yes.

    And I welcome carbon taxes being used to finance energy efficiency.

    I welcome much more offshore wind power.

    BUT

    RO'G invited and welcomed so many bogus AS, imposing billions of costs onto taxpayers.

    And he is also involved in the implementation of anti-Irish DEI education in schools.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,603 ✭✭✭Padre_Pio


    Not a chance will 40k homes be built next year. CSO says we're building less homes this year than last year. Besides, 40k is still over 10k less than what we needed 5 years ago



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,962 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    absolutely, sf have completely stuffed it, again, i actually cant ever see a sf government, which means for the mean time, its actually going to be ffg, this will probably remain to be into the 30's, and maybe even into the 40's, so dont be surprised if theres still serious issues in housing and health care heading into the 30's and beyond!



  • Posts: 133 ✭✭ [Deleted User]




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,844 ✭✭✭HBC08


    They'd be very stupid to even talk about abortion,the majority on people in Ireland are in agreement on abortion so going against the grain would be political suicide (see Renua)

    To dismiss them as a single issue party is not accurate at all.Theyre probably the fastest growing party in Ireland and their big issues (at least according to the Aontu candidate in my area) are realistic immigration, rural regeneration, more sensible environmental policies etc.Abortion didn't feature (wisely) in any of their literature I saw or talking to candidate.

    I'll be voting num 1 for the local candidate, if he started bringing up changing the current abortion laws I'd be put off.Hopefully they can get a few seats and replace the Greens as the smaller party in government.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 524 ✭✭✭Dont Be at It


    That's nonsense though. Stick and carrot.. Local TFI transport links have never been better than they are now. Most people just don't use them. And it was the Greens brought in the hugely reduced public transport prices.

    Cycle lanes are being built at a rate we've never seen before. Bike to work scheme increased and expanded to include electric bikes.

    Rescued childcare costs, etc etc. Their main problem is communication. The main parties take credit for the good stuff and the greens get panned for the negative stuff.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,962 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    aontu aint getting anywhere near government, theyll be permeant opposition, which of course plays a role in governance, but government itself, not a chance, the only real government potentials are ffg, greens, labour, sd's, indies….



Advertisement