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Harris Vs Trump 2024 US Presidential election - read the warning in the OP posted 18/09/24

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,549 ✭✭✭Raoul Duke III


    I'd love to see some good analysis of the impact of demographic change in the swing states. Anyone got any links?

    North Carolina I know from work and it is definitely becoming a more urban, educated state...the question is could it make a difference?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,005 ✭✭✭✭the_amazing_raisin


    That points to more of a systematic failure than some sort of effort to deprived Trump of protection

    Secret Service seems to have been somewhat resistant to embrace new technology such as drone surveillance. As I said this is probably from a long history of nobody actually managing to get a shot off at the president for several decades (Regan was the last as I recall?)

    They're really the last line of defense to my knowledge, the FBI would be doing most of the legwork finding and stopping any assassination plots before they got anywhere near a sitting or former president

    "The internet never fails to misremember" - Sebastian Ruiz, aka Frost



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,005 ✭✭✭✭the_amazing_raisin


    Didn't they get moved out of the department of treasury a while back?

    "The internet never fails to misremember" - Sebastian Ruiz, aka Frost



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,005 ✭✭✭✭the_amazing_raisin


    Well they all seem f**cked after 4 years and halfway dead after 8, so they must be doing something

    A lot of it depends on what you'd consider work. I doubt they composing emails or writing executive orders or organising meetings

    Most of what national leaders would be doing is discussion, negotiation and making plans and decisions

    I get what be you're saying that a lot of decisions seem to be made for them, but it's probably more like the president asks the secretary for housing to come up with plans to reduce homelessness and then has to review what they come up with plus all the implications and decide which course of action to take

    While that doesn't seem like a lot, doing it all day for every day plus a ton of travelling would probably get pretty exhausting. Also I would hope the fact that their decisions can affect the lives of millions of people does weigh on them somewhat so they carefully consider the implications of their decisions

    This goes back to a comment I made a while ago about how people should look for leaders who are competent administrators who think decisions through before taking action, rather than strongman clowns to spend more time talking than thinking

    "The internet never fails to misremember" - Sebastian Ruiz, aka Frost



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,367 ✭✭✭✭hotmail.com


    Big corporations and the banks have more power than the US president.

    They are correct to take as much holidays as possible.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,005 ✭✭✭✭the_amazing_raisin


    If this guy is the best that Iran can come up with then they couldn't assassinate Leo Varadkar, let alone someone with actual protection like Donald Trump

    I'm not very familiar with the typical pricing of a contract killer but $5k seems a tad low to try and hire someone to take out a former president. The lad from Day of the Jackal charged more and that was in 1960s money

    In fact I'm pretty sure that hitman who shot himself in the leg in Dublin a few years ago was charging more

    Either the Iranian security services have been vastly overestimated, or else this was probably just some nut job who'd watched too many spy thriller movies

    "The internet never fails to misremember" - Sebastian Ruiz, aka Frost



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,005 ✭✭✭✭the_amazing_raisin


    Okay we're not quite in the Cyberpunk 2077 universe just yet, while Amazon or Apple are pretty big they don't have the US Military or the world's largest nuclear arsenal at their beck and call

    I get that not all political power is derived from military power, but the US still has considerable influence on the world stage and the president would command that influence, so they're hardly powerless

    "The internet never fails to misremember" - Sebastian Ruiz, aka Frost



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,871 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    Ok. I'll cede you that because Trump is a committed friend of Israel and that would be enough for some in Iran to wish him ill-will: period: However whack-jobs with their own choices seem to be ten a penny now.

    The rules here forbid any references that would indicate a preference toward a fatality occurring to presidential candidates in the electoral race debate so comment [by name] as to which candidate would have higher prestige wont be from me.



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 22,632 Mod ✭✭✭✭Brian?


    seriously now. Do you believe this or you want to cheer lead for the GOP? Trump is not a conservative, in the way you are. Why do you support him?

    they/them/theirs


    The more you can increase fear of drugs and crime, welfare mothers, immigrants and aliens, the more you control all of the people.

    Noam Chomsky



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,027 ✭✭✭✭duploelabs


    Ah cmon man, we're all adults here, have some credibility and honesty behind your words. You said the mulleur report claimed there's no collusion between the trump team and the russians, I contested that. Please show me where it doesn't? Here's the report

    https://www.justice.gov/archives/sco/file/1373816/dl



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,031 ✭✭✭✭briany


    Sky News have a good piece up about Project 2025. One thing I didn't know was that Trump has pointedly stated that he will immediately reenact Schedule F if he gets back in. That's the executive order which would give him the power to hire and fire employees of the various governmental agencies which help run the country. Trump phrases it as being able to get rid of rogue bureaucrats. Read: purging anyone who gets in his way.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,615 ✭✭✭Quantum Erasure




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,453 ✭✭✭Flaneur OBrien


    Boom boom.

    Maybe that's what Trump did. God knows he'd never read the full thing



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,453 ✭✭✭Flaneur OBrien


    I agree with Brad Raffensberger on this one, regardless of what is being proposed.

    “It is far too late in the election process for counties to implement new rules and procedures, and many poll workers have already completed their required training. If the board believes that rules changes are important for an election, the process should begin much sooner to allow for smooth implementation and training, and include the input of election officials.”



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,871 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    I cant help but wonder if Trump and the foundation would consider members of SCOTUS to be public servants if the justices were to disagree openly with some parts of project 25 and Trumps own project; say the part about Christianity being the religion of the land where the constitution is concerned and anyone of another or of no faith would be relieved of the burden of the rights included for citizens in the constitution in line with the wording of project 25 - If you don't become a part of or adapt the strictures of US Christianity as we preach it to be, there's the border; GO!

    There's been a lot of talk about the stacking of SCOTUS. The present SCOTUS has rolled back the previous SCOTUS concept of forward thinking where it came to all of the US citizenry having the same rights across the board [damn socialism] back to where the some alone would have them as a birth-right. SCOTUS [having neutered itself with it's cancellation of decades earlier SCOTUS rulings] will have no relevance except as a rubber stamp on Trumps desk.

    Trump has made it plain that Musk will be his czar where re-education is concerned. Musk will have to dethrone SCOTUS to succeed in the long term. To do that he needs Trump to win and employ project 25.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,005 ✭✭✭✭the_amazing_raisin


    Pretty sure they consider EVERYONE to be servants of the administration

    Another scary aspect of it is that they want all military promotions to be approved by the white house. So a sitting president would be able to promote officers loyal to them over others

    Just in case they need some rebellious types put down

    "The internet never fails to misremember" - Sebastian Ruiz, aka Frost



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,871 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    Basically the three hang-overs from Trump's last reign are trying a alternative to his Georgia vote-coup attempt again where the votes of the public are concerned, probably claiming something along the lines of Trump's "I'm securing the integrity of the vote" B/S. It would be nice if some-one were to go to Georgia's State Supreme Court and ask it to overturn the trio's effort to subvert the election.

    Doubtless they are anticipating such a move so that some people in Trumps GOP campaign can go to SCOTUS with an already written prepared case of appeal in the event of the trio's plan being overturned by Georgia's supreme court.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,871 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    Yes, well, Trump's been after this loyalty oath to himself at a personal level since his last spell in office [the FBI director he fired relating how Trump asked for a loyalty oath from him during their private dinner together].

    AFAIK, US Military officers loyalty oaths are given to the US constitution alone and they are forbidden from giving the oath to a personality [as in Trump] for obvious reasons.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,395 ✭✭✭PropJoe10


    I think education always makes a difference. Something that quite a large portion of the US voting population seems to be sorely lacking, if they're considering voting for an insurrectionist, criminal and court-affirmed sex pest as their next President.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 415 ✭✭pjordan


    I've noticed in listening to some Soundbytes from swing states in the last few weeks, whenever they interview intending Trump voters and ask them why they intend voting for him, they nearly always, to a man or woman, parrot a version of a line or a concept that Trump has uttered in the past, be it on the economy (I heard a guy claim this week that under Biden the average price of a McDonald's meal has gone from $3.50 to $11!), Illegal immigration, Foreign policy or whatever. It is truly scary how brainwashed these people seem to be by one man, how totally accepting without any questions whatsoever of blatantly false narratives and how unable or unwilling to venture outside the box in making a decision of their own.

    I was reading a book during the summer about the 1936 Olympics in Berlin, which was Hitler and the Nazi's triumph of propaganda and a major charm offensive to the wider world, and the really scary things was that one could lift major passages out of that book and apply them directly to Trump and the MAGA fanatics.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,629 ✭✭✭✭MisterAnarchy


    The US presidential election is neck and neck. But only one candidate has been compared to Adolf Hitler. Is it an exaggeration or based in fact?

    Interesting article by Professor David Runciman, political theorist at the University of Cambridge where he is Head of the Department of Politics and International Studies 

    Its a good article and carefully and logically dismantles the belief that Trump is a Fascist.

    He argues Trumps first term was not one of Fascism. His bark was far worse than his bite.

    He also states Trump is too passive to be fascist. He has shown little appetite for the kind of deliberate confrontation and mass mobilisation on which fascism depends. Trump is also limited by the fact that he doesn’t have his own political party and the Republican party, for all its Trumpification, remains a relatively broad organisation.

    He goes through other Fascist elements and outlines why Trump isnt a Fascist.

    If he doesn’t like you, he will take you apart on his social media accounts. But he won’t actually have you butchered.

    The difference, though, is that 1930s fascism went out of its way to create international conflict in order to maintain the crisis conditions under which it flourished. It was a doctrine built on military aggression and territorial expansion. Trump wants the US out of these conflicts

    Trump is too fickle and essentially reactive to be a fascist. At the same time, the would-be fascists who have made him their cause are no nearer to running the show than they were in 2016. Fascism was a product of a period of acute difficulty for western democracies. It arose in the aftermath of a world war, in the ruins of defeat, in places with weak democratic systems, in nations populated by very large numbers of angry young men (many of them traumatised by their experience of war), in a time of high unemployment, in the face of global economic collapse and in the shadow of Bolshevism. None of that is true of the US today.

    Definitely worth a read.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,453 ✭✭✭Flaneur OBrien


    Honestly dude, the only time you say something is "interesting" is when it shows Trump in a good light.

    It's just nonsense and completely transparent.

    I've heard these arguments. They were probably made every year over the last 8 years, and have been shown to be wrong, or misrepresented time, and time and time again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,031 ✭✭✭✭briany


    It's all weasel-wording, really. A bit like going, "Well, he doesn't do the big goose-steppy walk, therefore he cannot be a Fascist."

    He is the man who, as sitting president, promoted a massive and utterly baseless lie about the 2020 election just because he lost. And he did this aggressively . He gave a big speech to a crowd of angry supporters on the day the election was to be certified about how the election was stolen and then said to go to the Capitol building, and then he sat back for at least an hour as a group of those people forced their way in before saying anything.

    Trump may not be a Fascist by the dictionary definition of the term - this would probably require more principles and beliefs than the vacuous Trump has - but he certainly has no respect for liberal democracy because that requires to believe in and participate in the peaceful transfer of power, even when you lose, which is something Trump only sort of participated in under duress after his Jan 6th bid failed. It certainly wasn't option number one for him.

    And that's not to mention all of the utter ghouls behind him like Miller, Bannon and Thiel who do have a regressive world view and see Trump as an imperfect vessel to achieve their goals.

    So that's,

    No respect for liberal democracy

    Has cultivated a strong and devoted cult of personality

    Has referred to his political enemies as 'vermin'

    Has referred to immigrants as 'animals', without qualifier

    Has demanded personal loyalty from government officials

    But shur, it'll be grand.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,005 ✭✭✭✭the_amazing_raisin


    I'm going to politely suggest that Prof David Runciman go and reconsider some of his points (yes I did read the article, no I will not be quoting it because I'm not bothered)

    While I get his main argument that Trumpism doesn't resemble the rise of the Nazis, I think he's missing the point

    First off, it's important to remember that it's effectively impossible to start a new political party in the US and be successful. If Trump had gone and started the MAGA party or whatever, then the best he would achieve would be to split the conservative vote and guarantee the Democrats victory

    In many ways, the same thing happened to the Democrats in 2016 when Bernie Sanders (a longtime independent) tried to pull the party further left. In doing so he split the vote and helped Trump win

    So the only path to victory is to subvert an existing party and reshape it to your views. This is largely what has happened to the Republican party over the past 8 years

    Second, there's this perception that Trump is all bark and no bite and generally somewhat indecisive and easy to manipulate. This actually puts him more in common with the likes of Hitler and Mussolini who were notorious for changing their minds on a whim, being incredibly vain with fragile egos and would launch into savage verbal attacks against anyone who stood against them

    Thirdly, regarding how the rise of fascism was marked by a violent change of power structures whereas Trumpism is externally more like a reorganisation of the government. This is simply a product of the systems in which they came about. The Weimar republic was an extremely weakened government that was relatively easy to overthrow

    In contrast the US has very well established democratic systems with a lot of public scrutiny. Project 2025 doesn't explicitly detail violence against any opponents because (I assume) someone in the heritage foundation had enough brain cells to realise that writing it down would be a bad idea

    Whether there will be violence, well I'll just let the whole January 6th thing stand as sufficient evidence that Trump supporters are prepared to use violence to achieve their aims

    Lastly, I would advise people to look at the parallels between the fascist parties of the 1930s and modern Trumpism.

    Both seek to malign and other sections of society to maintain ideological and national "purity"

    Both focus on the use of trade protectionism and tariffs to focus their economies inwards

    Both aim to support their economies using wealth taken from ethnic groups they have excluded from society

    Both value loyalty to the party and leader above loyalty to the nation and it's ideals

    Both seek to undermine the democratic process to gain additional power and suppress the opposition

    Both are willing to use violence to achieve their aims

    Both are terrible and need to be stopped before they gain any more power

    (Don't worry @MisterAnarchy I know I'm not going to convince and ardent Trump fan like yourself of anything, I'm just writing the essay in case anyone else happens to be reading 😉)

    "The internet never fails to misremember" - Sebastian Ruiz, aka Frost



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,417 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    Interesting is used a lot when people either don't have or don't want to share their opinion on something, I certainly use it myself, though am trying to cut it out, for something where I don't have the full facts.

    I've seen the 'it wasn't too bad' argument with trump before, it either means ignore what he's saying because he's a weak leader or that he's incompetent, neither of which is interesting for someone who supports trump.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,629 ✭✭✭✭MisterAnarchy


    I have the full facts, as does Runciman.

    Trump is not a Fascist.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 29,569 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    Has any prominent politician actually called Trump a fascist or compared him to Hitler apart from his own VP pick?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,453 ✭✭✭Flaneur OBrien




  • Posts: 6,597 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    I don't think Trump is capable of been a Hitler type character - but the people who he has surrounded himself with are well capable of using the opportunity he affords them to set up a theocratic cryto-fascist state and the only evidence we need to support this position is the manifesto called Project 2025. Not a word of Project 2025 is written by Trump but everyone of his cabinet would have contributed to it.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,507 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    …Did you actually read the complete article?

    You seem to accept Runciman's bona fides as an expert. This is his verdict on Trump:

    He is a real and present danger to the American republic and the wider world…
    The more that goes wrong, the more fascism will find its footing again. But a victory for Trump could nevertheless be a cause of 21st-century fascism. Not because he is a fascist, but because he doesn’t know how to govern and good government is the only guarantee against the worst form of politics returning.

    He could yet be one of its [fascism] enablers.

    Therefore, I think it is reasonable to ask if you agree?

    And if you do not reply, it would appear you have presented Runciman as an expert \ authority in bad faith.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



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