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Harris Vs Trump 2024 US Presidential election - read the warning in the OP posted 18/09/24

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Comments

  • Posts: 6,598 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Interesting analysis of the debate fact checking, with almost everything Trump said been deemed false;

    "Despite these fact-checks, Trump supporters expressed outrage on social media, accusing moderators Muir and Davis of bias. Conservative talk radio host Hugh Hewitt criticized the debate as a "choreographed" effort to aid Harris, while journalist Glenn Greenwald and Republican staffer Abigail Jackson also voiced concerns about the moderators' handling of the debate.

    In addition to the live debate fact-checks, ABC News evaluated both candidates' statements online. Harris's 11 claims were fact-checked with two deemed "false," two "true," one "partly true," one "mostly true," four "needs context," and one "true, but needs context." Trump’s eight claims were fact-checked with six rated "false," one "mostly false," and one "true, but needs context."

    https://globaloutlookreport.blogspot.com/2024/09/every-time-donald-trump-was-fact.html



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,723 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    The very fact that they can put a statement of his out without comment or opinion as a Campaign ad against him is incredible.

    Everyone that reads it knows it's complete verbal diarrhoea even his supporters



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,344 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    That seems to havd been memory holed after Harris played Trump like a violin in the debate, and shock prepared for possible debate questions. It was always drivel given Harris background as a prosecutor and DA.

    Now MAGA are reduced to whinging that Trump was fact checked more than her, ignorinh the stream of lies coming from Trump.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,011 ✭✭✭✭briany


    History is replete with examples of people who've chosen to align themselves with authoritarian leaders, thereby obtaining a position on their inner circle and a good deal of associated power.

    It's a chance lots of people have taken and, to be totally fair, they don't always end up getting executed in a party purge. Some live long lives and die of old age in comfortable surroundings. True, there isn't a whole lot of middle ground, but there'll always be those who believe they can ride the wave.

    Besides, there isn't really any way back for Lindell, Giuliani et al. They're going to ride that train wherever it takes them and it's probably only going to be fine margins in voting that decides if their destination is oblivion or not.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,021 ✭✭✭✭everlast75


    I get that history is full of such examples, but wouldn't count on these guys being big readers, so I'll forgive them missing that.

    However, there are multiple examples in the last 4 years of this happening. Trump absolutely burns those near him, loyalty or no. How they can witness this first hand and yet delude themselves into thinking it won't be them, is proof yet again that it's a cult

    Elect a clown... Expect a circus



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,045 ✭✭✭✭Leroy42


    Also, at this stage what options do they have? They can't support Harris, or even turn their backs on Trump. Whatever chance they might have of getting into the inner circle again if Trump wins, they have zero chance if Trump loses. So might as well go all in and try to win big.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,694 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,196 ✭✭✭Economics101


    One thing we now know about the MAGA-Republicans is that they never learn about almost anything, whether it's new healthcare plans, losing dozens of electoral-fraud court cases, thinking that shutting down the government is popular, wheeling out Rudi. I could go on…..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,836 ✭✭✭FishOnABike


    Maybe he's setting the foundations for pleading insanity / mental incapacity and 'retiring' under medical care to one of his properties instead of prison. 😏



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,989 ✭✭✭✭pjohnson


    Anyone who didn't disembark the TrumpTrain immediately when the "stolen election" nonsense started missed their last stop to try and keep some dignity.

    Now its either sit down the back of the train crying that you've ruined your legacy and future and have no escape OR down some coke eat some XL BigMacs and charge to the front beside Don screaming about "HAITIANS ARE EATING PETS"

    They dont have great choices so might aswell double/triple down on insanity and see if your loyalty might benefit and give you a future.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,021 ✭✭✭✭everlast75


    Some interesting polling data, for what it's worth

    Fingers crossed this holds out to be true, or even better.

    I genuinely believe that if he can't be beaten in November, with the baggage of COVID, his scandalous term, the court judgements, the upcoming cases, the republicans backing Harris, the car crash debate, the awful people he surrounds himself with, the awful stuff he said and continues to say, and the new found enthusiasm for Harris, then America truly deserves what it gets.

    Elect a clown... Expect a circus



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,549 ✭✭✭Raoul Duke III


    My advice is this: forget the national polls, forget 49 out of 50 state polls.

    Forget everything except the Great State of Pennsylvania. The Keystone State is the key to this election - whoever wins it wins the White House.

    This will help filter the signal from the noise. 😉



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,421 ✭✭✭circadian


    Definitely the kind of fella to piss on your back and tell you it's raining.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,421 ✭✭✭circadian


    How much damage did the cemetary incident cause? Is there a significant drop in support from people from a military background?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,011 ✭✭✭✭briany


    Whatever else about Rudy Giuliani and Mike Lindell, never let it be said that they're not experts in self-delusion.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,395 ✭✭✭Flaneur OBrien


    That's just silly, tbh. There's 7 battleground states.

    Arizona (11)

    Georgia (16)

    Michigan (15)

    Nevada (6)

    North Carolina (16)

    Pennsylvania (19)

    Wisconsin (10)

    That's 93 EC votes up for grabs.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,011 ✭✭✭✭briany


    Pennsylvania is worth almost a 40 point swing in the Electoral College. It's certainly not that it's essential in order to win the White House, but without it, your pathways to that destination suddenly dwindle and you have to knock off a number of other swing states that are currently at a dead heat, polling-wise.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,549 ✭✭✭Raoul Duke III


    Your maths is correct. Well done.

    But you need to consider the concept of paths to victory. And, once you start doing so, you will realise that the Keystone State is indeed the key to this election. If you lose Pennsylvania, your path to victory becomes very slender indeed.

    This article is a useful primer.



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 25,982 Mod ✭✭✭✭CramCycle


    Jesus, that man does not understand taxes, tarriffs or economics, it is truly frightening. A real leader who has such a knowledge gap would talk to their relevant experts and find out, what makes sense, but not old Donald, no sirree. Sounds like when you meet the village drunk when you arrive in for a pint on a Friday night and then wish you had went straight home instead.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,631 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose


    and if she flips Florida?

    Really pointless to belabor polls now. Maybe mid-October, but as they say, the only one that matters is 5 November.



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  • Subscribers Posts: 42,860 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    i see the betting money is following the polls

    Harris is now as short as 8/11 whereas Trump is 11/10



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 25,982 Mod ✭✭✭✭CramCycle


    It is a really weird thing that some can't understand, they were both fact checked, it was only said out loud when a fact showed a lie and if it was caught in time. They missed one/some lies for both live. That is it, and is in line with after the debate fact checks. Harris vs Trump, in their statements:

    Harris: 27.2% irrefutable truths, 18.2% irrefutable lies, 13.7% truth with possible exaggeration, 9% not lies but needs context, 36.3% not enough context to check

    Trump: 75% irrefutable lies, 12.5% lies mixed with truth, 12.5% not lies but needs context/misleading

    Giving a split of what should and could have been called live it falls that

    Harris: 2 should have been called live, 1 was called/clarified

    Trump: 7 should have been called live, 5 were called/clarified

    Depending on who you want to be perceived as biased you can phrase this lots of ways but the truth is, with such a small number in a 90 minute window, live (they did publish all after the fact). As for a bias, there is no possible way to imply such a thing unless they both lied equally, and even then, it would be hard to show.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,631 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose


    A nice intellectual exercise, but what the debate proved is that Trump is a gibbering lying old c*nt with nothing vaguely resembling grasp of the truth and the worst POTUS candidate ever - worse than 2016 Trump by far. Whatever beancounting about statements during the debate, imo is irrelevant. Trump. Is. Nuts. Crazy. Gibbering. Howler-monkey-on-adderall. Absurd. Laughable. Demented.

    Can't form a sentence, follow a thought, express facts. Nada. Zip. Might as well be a short-circuiting AI every time Trump opens his yap.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,538 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    538 has her chances of winning increasing too.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,549 ✭✭✭Raoul Duke III


    Interestingly, the betting markets in 2020 were illogically skewed towards Trump. Not to the point that he was favourite but that he was far shorter than the facts on the ground would have suggested.

    My own amateur explanation for this was that most bettors are blue-collar males, who are likely to be emotionally as well as financially invested.

    The maddest thing of all was that the Betfair market remained open for long after it was obvious that Trump had lost, and people continued to bet large amounts of money on him!



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 25,982 Mod ✭✭✭✭CramCycle


    I don't disagree with you but sometimes it is nice to have a, these are the facts, make of them what you will. There are points in there that could be stated by a pro Harris or Trump side to alter perceptions, if all the facts are there though, it puts those claims into context.

    For example, people say Harris was not fact checked for the debate. She was, but a fact check in a live debate is only obvious if the person lies and needs to be called on it, and there has to be an acceptance that on occasion, things can be missed live, no different than a sports game. Both were fully fact checked, and published, after the debate.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,631 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose


    Like I said, nice intellectual exercise but pretty much irrelevant. Two choices: the bland chicken dinner, or a flaming bowl of burning sh1te mixed with broken glass. Which would you prefer?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,549 ✭✭✭Raoul Duke III




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,023 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    I think we're in a place where we need to step back a bit from expecting to be disgusted or entertained our overawed by politicians.

    What we want, is competence in a leader to identify the right people and enable them to manage sectors of governance appropriately. To that end, Biden has been close to excellent (I'll never forgive him for Gaza). How many of his secretaries have been in the news for drama, or for having been replaced, or having resigned etc. They've mostly got on with the job in a professional and competent manner. And isn't that what good leadership should be?

    Trump (and similar in the UK) changed the expectation to be about visual performance more that capability and the role of leading such influential countries should never be like that.

    I'm hoping if Harris wins she can adopt a similar approach of being a manager first and see being a communicator as a lesser albeit existing responsibility.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,021 ✭✭✭✭everlast75


    Aka the adult in the room, or a steady pair of hands.

    That's what Biden was. Borderline boring, but as I said before.... After necking jalapeno peppers for 4 years, plain vanilla ice cream was what was needed. I agree Biden did a great job. To undo what trump ruined in 4 years was a mammoth task.

    Now, I have high-ish hopes for Harris (as much as I have for any politician). But frankly, to stave off another and final 4 years of trump will be a big enough service to America and democracy at large in my opinion.

    Elect a clown... Expect a circus



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