Russia-Ukraine War

He is probably just referring to the constant shortage of key munitions for Ukrainian forces, and the lack of western resolve to win this strategically vital war.

Three countries/focal points will determine the next few decades

Ukraine,Israel and Taiwan and all their enemies are in conjunction.

While the Kursk invasion is an embarrassment to Putin at this stage he’s been so embarrassed many times over that the world isn’t shocked anymore.

Maybe Ukraine thought it would cause huge embarrassment from countries that he would have to do something big to save face.

At this stage no one bats an eyelid anymore.

Provided that they actually do scale up that production for Ukraine.

Agreed. Ukraine would need to take a city like Bryansk, Kursk or Belgorod to cause Putin real embarrassment or alarm at this stage. Which they're clearly not capable of.

I still think the Kursk incursion was worth it because Russia has taken losses and they'll pay a heavy price to return that territory. I just hope Ukraine has the ability to take the area cut off by the river to the West. Russia appears to have slowed them.

putin seems happy to feed his terrorists into yet another meat grinder while leaving insufficient force to defend his empire's borders or stop Ukraine from using its drone's to take out moskovyte military and industrial infrastructure. What has he left to take advantage of a hypothetical break in the front lines when he can't even hold the land that he has had control of since he came to power?

Vuhledar is a pile of smouldering ruins. No civilian population live there, no economic output. Russia has spent nearly two years and expended thousands of lives and hundreds of tanks for nothing. Ukraine falls back to the next small uninhabited village, rinse and repeat

The frontlines are largely contained since winter 2022. You have to zoom out on the maps to gain some perspective. The Ukrainians took more territory in a couple of weeks in Kursk than the Russians did in the last year in Donbass.

Why aren't the Ukrainians mining the shìte out of the land they're retreating from then blowing it to kingdom come one sufficient Russian troops and equipment are in the area. It makes no sense to retreat just so you can retreat again without punishing the Russians for moving forward.

Gdp is up due to wartime economy however vacancies in normal jobs are high because workers have been removed and factories repurposed for the war. Wages are therefore rapidly rising in that economy. This is fuelling inflation which is current at 9% while everyone else is back down to normal, and high interest rates are not stopping it.

As of a few weeks back the energy sector was 17% down and getting worse with every attack further driving price rises. There is increasing pressure on the ruble and the Central Bank are burning through reserves to prop it up which they can't do forever. Add in another mobilization to enhance problem 1 and things could get very tight.

Because the money for the mines etc is being withheld by EU

Btw there are continued reports of chemical weapons being used in this area

And all we get are thumbleweeds from us

I suppose there would be more jamming equipment from both sides there and more weapons to shot them down. Also say if you send it to front line to hit a tank etc. but that's moved location in the mean time and your drone just hits dirt while if you send it to hit oil storage facility that can't be moved so you are more likely to hit it. There using those drones that can fly hundreds and thousands of kms to do that and smaller drones on front line.

Slow them down. It's irrelevant what Putin cares about cos all he cares about is himself I reckon. This town seems a big deal to the defence in the east so firing anything in that direction to slow/stop the advancing Russians would be higher priority than facilities that aren't going anywhere over in Russia that seems like can be hit at anytime.

If you are in a fight for your life do you

A. try to block a punch

B. aim for the balls to end the fight faster

Ukraine has been choosing option A for last decade in Donbas and the world doesn’t care nor help much

Even at this “increased” rate of Russian advance we are looking at decades for Donbas to fall, never mind Russia even recapturing what they gained in initial months of this war

Yeah, people need to remember that the Ukrainian's have a number of different drone models - the one in that video is expensive and high-explosive, but a big fat relatively slow moving target. It wouldn't last very long over a highly militarised area. The drones in use on the front line are a different kettle of fish, they wouldn't have been used in these long-range sorties. It's a bity like in WW2 with the heavy and even light bombers… they served a completely different purpose to fighters and ground attack aircraft. A Wellington or a Lancaster wouldn't have lasted more than a few minutes over Dunkirk. Which was in fact half the problem the RAF had in the very early days of the war.

So I don't see how Ukraine attacking targets deep within Russia has a negative impact on its efforts to hold off the Russian push in Donbas. Unless you were arguing that resources should be diverted away from even buying/ building the long range drones. Which I don't think is a sensible proposition either.

These kind of drones are not so useful for that. They are rough equivalents to the "Shahed" ones Russia bombs Ukraine with every day. Russia does not use these on the front line afaik, they attack Ukrainian cities and infrastructure with them.

There would be a lot of air defences and electronic warfare protecting the Russian front lines (unlike these oil refineries and storage, factories etc. deep inside Russia).