Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie

Vice President Kamala Harris vs Donald Trump 2024

1226227229231232294

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,683 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    It’s a meaningless counterfactual. We have the race we have now.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 36,512 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    I believe she would have.

    That's how it has played out the several times before when there's a VP in the Democratic primaries.

    I don't see any of the other names that were bandied about as being so 'ideal' they'd have overcome that.
    She's have had a massive head start by virtue of being VP and the profile that gives her with Democratic base and donors.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Posts: 6,626 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    I think you are extrapolating from a poor information base - she was less popular than the winning candidates last round - but that is all that can be said. She was impressive enough for Biden to pick her as his VP candidate which none of the others managed. She has been workmanlike in her capacity as VP - which is all that most VP ever manage to achieve in that role.

    I don't see your conclusion been remotely valid.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,709 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    But I’m not “in US politics” - I’m on an Irish discussion board 😀

    And if I feel Harris has mis-stepped I’ll call it out- and if feel Trump has played a masterstroke (which is very unlikely) I’ll also call that out.

    In 2016 I was pretty much convinced that Trump would win - many of my friends and colleagues looked at me as if I had 2 heads.
    So I’m well used to abuse. That doesn’t mean I “wanted” Trump to win-a totally different thing altogether.

    In 2024, Harris has done well but there are obstacles to still navigate - but I don’t underestimate Trump - hence I’m interested in his strategy, what he says, who he says it to etc People ignored him on Irish commentary sites for a long time in 2016 and wrote him off as a joke- well he may well have been a joke but he won.

    Is it “better” to have Harris as president over Trump?
    I would imagine so - As an outsider I’d say ask the undecided though because they’re the ones most likely to influence the outcome - why they’re undecided baffles me given the choices so I’d certainly be interested in discussing what’s going on in their minds.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,570 ✭✭✭✭Boggles




  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,709 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    I was asked a question and I answered it but you insist on getting a dig in regardless -you’re badgering me .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,683 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    I'm just replying to an argument you presented in an open thread, that isn't badgering, or 'getting a dig in.'



  • Posts: 6,626 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Thats funny, she is wildly popular across the important demographics which will ultimately decide the race. She's not popular with white middle aged men - but who cares.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,044 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    But I’m not “in US politics” - I’m on an Irish discussion board

    Nobody said you were "in US politics".

    In 2024, Harris has done well but there are obstacles to still navigate - but I don’t underestimate Trump

    I don't think anyone here has said anything different.

    Is it “better” to have Harris as president over Trump?
    I would imagine so - As an outsider I’d say ask the undecided though because they’re the ones most likely to influence the outcome - why they’re undecided baffles me given the choices so I’d certainly be interested in discussing what’s going on in their minds.

    I would, too, ask these "undecideds" what it is that makes them undecided. Because when the clear choice is obvious, and in the case of the current US political race, the choice is VERY clear, any indecision becomes quite a dubious position.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,709 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    Who knows but she would have had to campaign like all the other candidates - 2020 didn’t see her doing well at that - who knows what candidate may have emerged, whether the thinking of the party was to move away from Biden related people or reinforce his style of politics - could a new Bill Clinton have emerged? Who knows and we won’t now anyway.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,570 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    So you have absolutely no credible candidate in mind but you are full sure she would have lost?

    Why?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,683 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    She's still got a pretty big support base in white dudes tho. This is interesting:

    Among voters who were not primed to think about the race or sex of the candidates, Harris and Trump are tied (47 to 48). When the list of issues mentions the sex of the candidates, Harris pulls ahead, 52 to 42. And when the race of the candidates is mentioned, Harris holds a 14-point lead, 53 to 39, a 15-point shift from the baseline condition.

    “When voters are thinking about race or sex, Trump’s support just plummets,” said Cassino. “All the time, we hear strategists and pundits saying that Democratic candidates shouldn’t talk about identity, but these results show that making race and sex salient to voters is bad for Trump and boosts Harris.”

    The movement in the race priming condition is largely due to changes in support among non-white voters. Fifty-five percent of non-white voters in the unprimed condition say that they’ll support Harris, with 39 percent supporting Trump. But in the race primed condition, Trump’s support among non-white voters drops by 10 points to 29 percent, while Harris’s support rises by 10, from 55 to 65 percent. All told, mentioning the race of the candidates moves Harris’s lead among non-white voters from 16 points (55 to 39) to 36 points (65 to 29).

    This size of the effect is supplemented by a shift away from Trump among white voters in the race primed condition. In the unprimed condition, Trump leads Harris among white voters by 11 points, 53 to 42. In the race primed condition, the two are tied, with Harris marginally ahead among white voters, 47 to 44.

    https://www.fdu.edu/news/fdu-poll-finds-race-and-gender-push-harris-above-trump-nationally/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,683 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    Who knows and we won’t now anyway.

    Precisely why it is a meaningless counterfactual. Not sure where you believe the 'new Bill Clinton TM' is hiding out at; Kang and Kodos could have come down from Rigel VII, but they didn't, Biden stepped down on July 21st and Kamala swept the DNC with the overwhelming majority of the delegates and now she is leaping ahead in the polls. That's the reality on the ground.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 36,512 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    This is how Biden did in the 2008 Democratic primaries:

    He ultimately dropped out of the race on January 3, 2008, after coming in fifth place and capturing less than 1% of the vote in the Iowa caucus.

    So the notion that a bad primary campaign means you are deeply unpopular with the electorate and wouldn't win another primary or a general election doesn't have a leg to stand on.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,003 ✭✭✭✭LambshankRedemption


    I am not suggesting he came to the conclusion entirely by himself, but in your previous post you seemed to suggest the democratic leadership have the power to remove him which they don't.

    My point was only the president can decide that the president will not be running. There is no doubt in my mind that Jill Biden and others had a word in his ear.



  • Posts: 6,626 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    It seems that the Harris is unpopular meme out of MAGA central is built on wildly shakey ground.



  • Site Banned Posts: 1,331 ✭✭✭Yvonne007


    That's ok.

    I haven't seen anything from Kamala Harris to make me think she is a good candidate, other than "well the alternative is worse".

    When Biden declared that his preference for VP would be someone of an opposite gender and/or someone of colour, it did not help her credibility and did allow, if not embolden, people to think it she was a diversity pick, a box ticking exercise if you would. She was an odd choice considering her popularity at the time and also because she had pulled up Joe in the primary debates about the "I'm not saying you are racist but you did things that made you seem racist" confrontation.

    She, not too long ago, described Biden as "sharp as a tack" and "ready for the second term". Was she lying or was she unable to see what the whole world could see?

    When you say she was "workmanlike", what do you mean?



  • Posts: 6,626 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Workmanlike - got on with been the VP without bringing any heat on the administration - did here job as described on the application form.

    I find it incredible that republican symapthisers can completely blank her long list of actual political and legal achievements when they attempt to diminish her. Its weak gruel.



  • Site Banned Posts: 1,331 ✭✭✭Yvonne007


    They absolutely have the power by using the 25th Amendment. I could imagine that the VP throwing an elderly man out of power wouldn't be a good optic so they went with the "word in the ear" method. Jill, from what I have seen, is the type of person who absolutely didn't help matters.

    Her infantalisation of her husband after the debate was almost as damaging as the debate itself.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,570 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    It's simple.

    Harris will be a perfectly fine president/

    We all know Trump won't and in reality will be exponentially worse, not just for America but for the world the 2nd time around.

    We know this because he keeps telling us.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,003 ✭✭✭✭LambshankRedemption


    I haven't seen anything from Kamala Harris to make me think she is a good candidate, other than "well the alternative is worse".

    Got a Degree in Economics and Political Science. Then got a Doctorate in Law. Ran for and got elected to be Attorney General of California. Re-ran and was re-elected. Ran for and got elected to the Senate. It's not like she's just a Hooters girl that Biden took a liking to.



  • Site Banned Posts: 1,331 ✭✭✭Yvonne007


    Nope.

    I agree that they like her more purely because she is a little better than biden.

    They are liking her more purely out of lack of any other option. I don't think she has done anything to endear herself to people other than not being Trump or Biden.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,264 ✭✭✭✭Water John


    Now, Katherine Ryan won't have anything bad said about Hooters girls.

    In a new reveal, Vance has concluded that anyone childless shouldn't be teaching children:

    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/aug/28/jd-vance-attack-childless-teachers



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,003 ✭✭✭✭LambshankRedemption


    I have nothing but high regard for Hooters girls. But saying the only thing Harris has going for is she's not Trump is doing her a disservice.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,683 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    Next it will be down to 'if you don't have children how can you expect to make happy meals for my family?'

    Vance is a **** weirdo who wants 'childless' people ostracized from society.

    This is Vance's "47% of Americans" problem, very much like Romney 2012 - literally, 47% of US adults under 50 are polled as saying they are not likely to ever have kids. This is coincidentally the same percent of Americans that Romney was dismissive of in comments that later leaked out of a dinner plate fundraiser with elitists via audio recording that helped tank his presidential race:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mitt_Romney_2012_presidential_campaign#47%25_comment



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,570 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    Did anyone on Trumps team even bother to type Vances name into DuckDuckGo before nominating him?

    He is absolute weirdo and I don't mean endearing eccentric.

    He is a smear shít on the wall lunatic.

    The buyers remorse must be savage.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,683 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    Also that same Pew poll found a whopping 64% of young women do not want to have kids.

    It's hard to see how this is not a problem for the pro-Gilead campaign.

    That's probably why MAGA is walking on eggshells now about the abortion issues, after having previously been "proud" to end Roe.

    https://www.mediaite.com/tv/trump-is-spooked-about-abortion-issue-on-state-ballot-adopting-dont-ask-dont-tell-strategy-according-to-florida-reporter/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,364 ✭✭✭Patser


    I see DJT Media share prices are continuing to collapse, and have dropped below $20 mark.

    A lot of people using those shares and indicative of Trump's elections chances - Truth Social will be effectively worthless if he loses, as as a 2 time defeated candidate you'd have to imagine his chances are gone.

    There's a big dilemma for Trump coming up shortly - he'll be allowed sell his shares mid-September. If he dumps them the stock will completely collapse just prior to election, which will hurt a lot of MAGA supporters who invested, and make his business acumen look tarnished again. Doesn't sell and he loses more and more money if stocks go down more. His grift dries up.

    https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/djt



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,683 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    As for RFK, even his own wife has fallen out with him over selling out to MAGA. It's hard to see how he hasn't fractured his small voter base. Some 'boost' for Trump right.

    https://www.mediaite.com/tv/rfk-jr-makes-clear-wife-cheryl-hines-is-not-maga-after-trump-endorsement-reaction-was-the-opposite-of-encouraging/



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,683 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    I hear he's given up posting to Truth social and has gone back to Twitter, at the same time news has come out that Musk was only able to afford the buyout he got locked into with the help of none other than the Russian oligarchy.

    https://regtechtimes.com/oligarch-hidden-complicated-musks-twitter-deal/



This discussion has been closed.
Advertisement