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Vice President Kamala Harris vs Donald Trump 2024

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,728 ✭✭✭paddyisreal


    Trump is a convicted felon etc but none of that which is in the news for the last few years has had an effect on his popularity. the election is still 50/50. it is being completely over estimated the bearing trumps demeanours will have on the outcome of this election, voters dont actually care either way. Trump will be headline news 4 weeks out from the election and is reflective of that famous Oscar Wilde quote. it will not harm him anyway.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,728 ✭✭✭paddyisreal


    thats your opinion. i have brought up numerous arguments. dont know how i am dangerous though ?



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,915 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    There are already laws on the books preventing them from doing that to any great degree (or at least anymore than they do now).

    The proposed increase in Corporation tax still leaves it lower than it was before Trump cut it to benefit himself and his donors.

    That cut didn't bring any growth or any benefits to the US Economy - It just fed Shareholder payouts and share buy back schemes.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,781 ✭✭✭weisses


    No its a fact ….. Give me a few examples of a valid counterpoints you offered to challenge the narrative on this thread, resulting in a healthy debate… I couldn't find any going over your posts, I might missed them, as you seem to know straight away you brought up numerous arguments you might want to link them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 36,699 ✭✭✭✭SlickRic


    America is screwed either way, but in very different ways, depending on how you want to be screwed.

    Screwed by being led by a ticket that is veering its party ever further towards full-on socialism, or screwed by being led by a narcissistic strongman wannabe with the moral decency of a cabbage.

    the fact that Kamala has been able to get away with doing no political interviews or outlining any real policies until now is a testament to just how bad the Trump campaign is, and how utterly ludicrous he is.

    i mean this - if the GOP could have even moderately reformed and got away from him, Kamala would be toast. she is utterly vacuous without a shred of genuine likeability, while her running mate seems like he's insane. but the GOP didn't do that, and so we have what we have.

    the choice Americans have is an utterly lamentable one. it really is.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,945 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    Do you think undecideds are gonna be persuaded by ongoing legal cases including an appeal on a rape? Before you said the campaign has a strategy, now it's hoping that his criminality gives him a bump in the polls. The more likely scenario is that gives Harris an easy avenue for attacking Trump and playing up the prosecutor angle.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,728 ✭✭✭paddyisreal


    well you obviously didnt look to far, look at the last 2 pages of this thread. you will see plenty of argumenting/debating.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,915 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    Because of the nonsense that is the Electoral college , US Elections are always close to 50:50 no matter who the candidates are , which is why small moves in a small number of places make a huge difference.

    Harris will win the popular vote by 3 or 4% at least and possibly more , but the Election will be decided by a few hundred thousand voters across 5 or 6 States.

    If you think that a constant barrage of news about Trump being a rapist and a convicted felon that isn't even allowed to vote in the Election he is running in will be a positive for Trump because "all publicity is good publicity" I think you are mistaken.

    The news that the FBI were taking another look at the evidence around Clintons email server stuff had a massive impact on the final result.

    And , just like Trumps news , that was all information that had been out there and discussed for months and months before , but the idea that there might be something new tipped the scales , even when there wasn't.

    Trump being actually convicted and given a suspended sentence along with more fines (which I think is the likeliest outcome) will absolutely shift the needle.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,945 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    It's largely moving the goal posts when you abandon your previous points.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,915 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    "Veering towards Full on Socialism" - Ah would you stop.

    Nothing and I mean NOTHING being proposed by the Democrats in the US is even remotely close to a distant cousin of Socialism.

    Please explain what things you think are examples of "full on Socialism"? given that everything being suggested by them are fairly watered-down versions of policies that exist in almost every other democratic country on earth , none of which are havens for "full on socialism"



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,728 ✭✭✭paddyisreal


    you are misrepresenting what i said. i said trump has plenty of time for a strategy with Harris and it was the op who brought up trumps trials not me - i just answered saying he might get a bump from it and he might not. i have no idea what will make undecideds vote either way most likely the economy.



  • Site Banned Posts: 1,331 ✭✭✭Yvonne007


    Some of Kamala's policies sound really good for the American people. If only she had been in some sort of position of authority for the past 3 years to implement them…



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,915 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    And if it's the economy that will be the most important - Which it usually is to be fair, then Trump is in trouble there too as all the indicators are going in the wrong direction for him.

    Inflation is dropping fast , Interest rates are about to be cut , Wages are increasing and most economists are saying that the threat of recession is receding fast.

    Trump has tried twice now in the last week to talk about the economy (where he could make in-roads if done right) but each time he lasted about 5 minutes before he wandered back to his usual output of personal insults and whining about stolen elections and how everyone is mean to him.

    Trumps path to victory such as it is is , requires strict message discipline from him - And there is 50+ years of evidence showing he is incapable of that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,945 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    As pointed out already, postal voting starts in a few weeks so he's potentially losing a load of potential voters. Trump equally has made it clear that he's unwilling to follow any strategy his staff give him. Assuming a rape appeal might gain him voters is also a pretty huge leap, if anything it brings the kind of individual he is into sharp focus, just weeks before the election.

    At the current rate, it feels like people will be saying two weeks out that he's got loads of time to change his attitude.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,728 ✭✭✭paddyisreal


    yes i know how the college system works. no system is perfect . its historically incorrect to say all elections in the states are 50/50. reagan, clinton practically walked in both terms same with Bush. I do agree this one is 50/50 though. in my own opinion the trial outcome will have a negligible effect on the outcome of this election, Everyone knows what trump is and getting a suspended sentence with a fine isnt going to shift the neddle.



  • Site Banned Posts: 1,331 ✭✭✭Yvonne007


    Donald Trump has dropped the ball in an astronomical way. The stars aligned in such a preposterous way which should have meant he would be inevitable, but his ego and the manner in which he approaches his opposition has really let him down. All he had to do was stick to the script.

    Kamala Harris is a terrible alternative but it's the only two options the American public have.

    Totally depressing election cycle.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 235 ✭✭Repo101


    What data source are you using to present your assertion as fact? Most of the gains for Harris since her announcement fall within the margin of error. Please don’t treat polling data as if it’s an absolute reflection of reality.

    You should also recall what the polls were indicating in 2016 and 2020, which is typical for polling data. Polls are complex and don't support the conclusion you're making.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,781 ✭✭✭Flaneur OBrien


    Yeah, almost like she wasn't actually the president.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,781 ✭✭✭Flaneur OBrien


    Hmmm...

    Not seeing it personally. Is it safe to assume you're a republican?



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,915 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    Clinton won in 1992 with 43% of the vote (Perot screwed Bush there) , but had almost 200 more EC votes than Bush.

    He won in 1996 with 49% of the vote

    Bush won the 2000 election by literally a few hundred votes in Florida,

    In 2004 (the last time a Republican won the popular vote) he won with 50.7% of the vote.

    So always really narrow margins and when you dig in to the details the victories come down to very very narrow wins in 5 or 6 States - The EC vote total isn't a measure of the "size" of the victory.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,960 ✭✭✭✭Penn


    I know, right? I mean it's not like the economic circumstances of the country was different when they took office, that they were dealing with a post-Covid economy, inflation was only starting and their policies throughout have been in terms of managing rising inflation, and now that inflation is falling they can implement different policies to address the effect the on-going cost of living issues.

    They expect people to believe that policies have to adapt, change and evolve based on the circumstances? Nah. I think Trump has the right idea. Just say he'll fix the economy without giving any details as to how, and claim it'll be the best economy ever. Who needs details when you have "Drill Baby Drill"?



  • Site Banned Posts: 1,331 ✭✭✭Yvonne007


    Nope. I am Irish. I have no allegeance to either of the main American political parties. Just an interest in politics. I can see that some people are treating it as kind of like how the OH treats a football match. If you aren't cheering for one team, you must be supporting the other.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,779 ✭✭✭Rawr


    The fact that Donnie is in it at all makes the election cycle depressing. The fact that he still even has a bit of chance makes the election cycle depressing.

    Harris is the only viable option frankly. The alternative is the rise of a facist state built arond the fragile ego of one pathetic lonely old man. (As you can guess…I don't like Donnie)

    But what makes Harris "terrible" in your mind? She may have potentially the failings of a typical Corporate Democrat…but why is she "terrible"? Bonus points if you tell us without using the word "Communist" or alluding to the lack of sit down interviews.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,915 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    Multiple sources showing that she is picking up support across all the reported demographics - Not leading in all , but she is polling better than Biden was across all segments.

    https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/17/upshot/poll-harris-trump-sun-belt.html

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1DtCAcUi-gQi-imKgXR4N_NJkgLbwBEYA/edit?gid=1169815653#gid=1169815653

    And what sources are you providing for your assertion??



  • Site Banned Posts: 1,331 ✭✭✭Yvonne007


    I think that she is only popular because of peoples rabit hatred towards Donald Trump. I don't think the majority of people actively like her, they just support her because she isn't "him".

    Her campaign for election the last time around showed how unpopular she was in her own party. She has been pretty invisible as vice president and really don't feel she meritted the position of vice president. The border crisis hasn't improved under her. I personally find her demeanour abrasive. I don't think she has shown herself to be confident or shown the ability to lead.

    These are just personal opinions and I know that people will disagree but that's ok. I'm glad you asked rather than attacked.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,915 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    If it is all about a "Not Trump" vote then why is she polling better than Biden was?

    Are you saying people hated Biden more than they hated Trump?

    All VP's are invisible to be fair and while I'd agree her performance in the 2020 primary cycle was fairly insipid I think she has clearly developed significantly since then.

    Views on style/demeanour are very subjective so how you feel is how you feel . I'd disagree, I don't see anything particularly abrasive about her , certainly not in comparison to any US female executives in positions of high authority that I have interacted with professionally. They all have a very similar vibe.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,960 ✭✭✭✭Penn


    Biden largely won in 2020 for the exact same reason though; it was more an anti-Trump vote for a lot of people rather than being in any way excited for Joe Biden to be President. And he was largely invisible as Obama's VP for two terms as Harris has been for him. VP's generally aren't so publicly visible as the President.

    But yes, Harris will pick up a lot of votes where people don't like her, they just like Trump a whole lot less. The same thing benefitted Trump in 2016 where people hated Hillary so either didn't vote or voted for Trump largely just because he was such an unknown in terms of how he'd do politically. Trump no longer has that benefit because he's an absolute known quantity at this stage, and there will certainly be a strong anti-Trump vote.



  • Site Banned Posts: 1,331 ✭✭✭Yvonne007


    She is polling better than biden quite simply because she isn't openly showing symptoms of cognitive decline in the manner biden was.

    People hate Trump, but the state that biden was in, it would have been impossible to vote for him.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,945 ✭✭✭eightieschewbaccy


    I'd actually say my personal opinion of Harris has shifted since she became the candidate. A lot of Hillary Clinton's issue was she simply wasn't very likable. I thought Harris would have a similar issue but she and Walz have come across as a great combo. Biden was not motivating voters to go out and vote IMHO but Harris has entirely reenergized the campaign so I'd say you're underestimating how liked she actually is.



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  • Site Banned Posts: 1,331 ✭✭✭Yvonne007




This discussion has been closed.
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