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Joe Biden Presidency thread *Please read OP - Threadbanned Users Added 4/5/21*

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,727 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    Nearly every commentator who would have been favourably disposed towards Biden agrees the debate was an absolute disaster for him.

    Must say he has seriously turned me off this year with his relentless support for Israel and Netanyahu and failing to support the people of Gaza.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,949 ✭✭✭Hande hoche!


    Fair point. From what I understand it would have to be Biden's decision to step aside. He might convince himself having beaten Trump in the past, he is the one to do so again. Imagine difficult conversations will be taking place over the next few days. As you say, will be interesting to see how it develops.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,019 ✭✭✭✭duploelabs


    You realise bookmakers decide the odds this far out based on bets placed rather than actual probability right?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,849 ✭✭✭EltonJohn69


    Newsom 2024



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,790 ✭✭✭✭dulpit


    What Biden should do is concoct a reason for him to step down as president before the convention. Allow Harris come in as president for the rest of his term, but not have her run for election (on The Rest is Politics US edition they suggested that if she was promised a supreme court seat when one arises that would keep her away).

    Then with Biden out of the way, have a quick decision as to who the best replacement candidate is, and put absolutely everything behind that person to sail through a brokered convention and then onto debating Trump in September.

    That way Biden is not the candidate that will, based on last night at least, lose to Trump. And with him not as president, he can't be held up as some sort of lame duck who is not healthy enough to run but thinks he can still be president for ~6 months.

    Won't happen, but would be good to see…



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  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,703 ✭✭✭hometruths


    It may be too late in your opinion, but that doesn't make it fake news.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 177 ✭✭whitelaurel


    you think bookmakers odds are solely based on bets placed lol. They have traders. Don’t speak about something you haven’t a clue about. Biden was evens yesterday , 4/1 today. You think that much money was put on trump on PP in a few hours? They make judgement calls.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,790 ✭✭✭✭dulpit


    This kept coming up during the EU elections here. People simply don't bet much money on politics. So small amounts bet can swing the odds quite widely.

    The horse that has lowest odds in a race isn't the horse the bookies thinks will win. It's the horse most people have bet on. Odds are there to cover the bookies no matter the result.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,191 ✭✭✭Trigger Happy


    I have just finished watching the debate and it is painful viewing. I dont see how any swing voters watching that would come out voting for Biden. Best case scenario is they stay at home.

    Unless Biden himself bows out - which I doubt - Trump will win. I hate saying that.

    But…if pressure comes on him over the next few days from his family, Pelosi, Schumer, Harris etc then maybe he might consider it. He might. Still plenty of time before the convention for some to rise to the top.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,045 ✭✭✭JVince


    It is how it works.

    At present, the delegates are obliged to give the vote to Biden as he won the various primaries.

    But is Biden decides not to run, they are absolved of the obligation and then each state has a free vote for whatever candidates are on the ticket at the nomination convention



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,106 ✭✭✭Christy42


    I thought we were past these arguments.

    I have no idea, you may be a new poster. In multiple multiple elections the bookies have been shown to be "wrong". They follow the money and win either way.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 177 ✭✭whitelaurel




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,727 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    It's difficult to see how Biden can go forward as the candidate. In the history of televised Presidential debates (they started in 1960 I think), we've never seen a candidate so far off the pace and struggling even to make a coherent sentence - he was really 'that' bad and this was not even a a one off.

    And it appears that moves are already afoot:



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,656 ✭✭✭✭TheValeyard


    That was a disaster for Biden.

    Looks like I picked the wrong week to quit sniffing glue



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,266 ✭✭✭sock.rocker*


    "Dems might be considering a last minute replacement for Biden"

    "Fake news"

    "CNN reporting that senior Democrats are for the first time considering going public in calling for President Biden to step aside after “dismal” debate performance."



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,266 ✭✭✭sock.rocker*


    Watching CNN etc. suddenly talking about what they've been attacking others for talking about is absolutely surreal.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,426 ✭✭✭rolling boh


    The Democrats must be thinking about rolling the dice with another candidate as There are enough votes out there to stop Trump with anyone but Joe .Plenty of blue states and there should be enough middle ground voters to come out and vote for an alternative to Trump .It's quite incredible that they have allowed this situation arise .



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,727 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    In fairness, people did anticipate that Biden might be below par in the debate, but I'm not sure anyone was expecting a total car crash. It's not that he had a bad debate - it was worse than that (looked like he was no longer with it…..a frail old man).



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Computer Games Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 30,721 CMod ✭✭✭✭johnny_ultimate


    I have little to no sympathy for the Dems as it's been obvious for years that Biden was not fit (let alone popular enough) for another term, but they persisted with the uncontested re-election bid anyway. They've earned this humiliation.

    But their absolutely best option now is to cut him loose immediately (ideally get him to do to it himself to save face), get another candidate locked down ASAP, and then spend the rest of the campaign trying to recover. Four months is a long time in an election campaign, and the conversation would be entirely different if there was another candidate at the debate podium in Sept / Oct.

    There's a very good chance they've handed the win to Trump regardless of what happens next. But Trump is wildly unpopular, and his debate performances are terrible and insane in an entirely different way. If the Dems have another candidate they have a chance - who knows how big or small! - of taking advantage of that. With Biden, it's game over. I despair a second Trump presidency (even on a tangible international scale rather than domestic, the US Israel-Palestine policy is already horrifying and it'll be worse under Trump), but nor do the Dems deserve success with their disastrous strategy of putting Biden up again. What a shitshow.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,260 ✭✭✭PeggyShippen


    That debate was hugely enlightening. Trump was disciplined and sharp. Biden was shocking. The gaffes and ramblings. Even the Irish media can't call the debate anything other than a crushing defeat for Biden. Yet they tried first thing this morning until they realised the Guardian,CNN and even the NY Times couldn't put a gloss on it. It's Trumps to lose now and they can get the Trump bunting up early in West Clare.

    No time for a new nominee. Kamala Harris is so unlikeable she knows herself she can't run. Gavin Newsom could give it a good run but the leftwing of the democrates will not be able to stomach him.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,191 ✭✭✭Trigger Happy


    This is very true. At one stage on election night in 2020 PaddyPower had Biden out to 5/1 to win. I laid my money on that.

    Trump too was 5/1 just after securing the nomination in 2016.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,727 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    There's definitely time for a new nominee. If they go forward with Biden, they are almost certain to lose.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,141 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    Shouldn't all Presidents be judged on their ability to do the job, not their appearance when doing so? (Think FDR and attempting to hide his illness during his term)

    I'm massively on the opposite side as Biden when it comes to the conflict in Gaza he's never again feted in Ireland as a consequence of this. But he has been unquestionably an excellent President FOR the US.

    We've now almost a complete 4 year term for both Biden and Trump to compare with and there's no comparison as to the suitability for office between them both. Zero.

    And that's leaving aside the criminal acts, charges, trials, and convictions that Trump has to his name. Not to mention that while Biden is clearly old and showing it, show too is Trump. Neither of them should be in the race, but as both of them are, there's only one clear winner.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,001 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,068 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    Campaigning is hard work and tiring, Biden will not be as cogent or capable as last night in the later debates after gruelling months on the road.

    Last night was awful and it was wrong to put him up there, though as I said earlier on the page. Unless it was to flush him out because he would not quit.

    Problem is, given his mental faculties, he will not realize that or understand.

    If he is pulled in the convention how will they stop him from walking on stage as Gavin Newsom is picked and Joe calling him his new VP.

    An entirely predictable mess.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,068 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    If Biden is running in November he will lose and may well be the first candidate in living memory who would be unable to answer questions or take part in a debate due to such profound decline.

    The concern for the Democrats is that he will tank those running for Congress and Senate as well.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,678 ✭✭✭Cordell


    I'd say the cabinet is busy now considering invoking the 25th.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,699 ✭✭✭thecretinhop


    He's a poor Palestinian lol



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,068 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    Which they may well have to but having to sink your nominee because of mental incapacity and backing him last week is going to be a unique mess as well.

    It was obvious years ago the pace of his decline. The Democrats made the awful mistake of believing their own BS and kept sticking with Biden because Project 2025, Chemtrails, etc.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,068 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    At least he was solid on support for Israel, whatever else is gone in Joe his sense of right and wrong remains.



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