Donald Trump discussion Thread IX (threadbanned users listed in OP)

That was the official report

Why? Is Biden from Lowell Massachusetts? Last time I looked Trump is from New York.

What if Biden stood trial in Scranton, Pennsylvania? Would he get a fair trial there?

You know Trump has been involved in over 4,000 trial already?

BBC breaking news reporting him found guilty of all charges. He's on his way home by motorcade to Trump Towers. Live feed on TV. Sentencing at a later date. He's had a rant "statement" outside the courthouse.

Probably the worst result if your a biden supporter. Trump has played this brilliantly and the verdict will just harden a lot of support for him that are on the fringes. Any spectator with a neutral viewpoint could see this was a made up load of bollocks. Anyway will be interesting but as a betting man I would say trump is now a certainty

Yep very clever. Your on the ball

If you think this is over..... Id say it's only just begun.

It was a book keeping charge he was convicted off and he will get a slap on the wrist. Your reading too much into it. Bookies don't get stuff far wrong and he is favourite across the board whether you think people who vote for him are shameless or not.

Correct there is plenty of evidence already online that they don't have possession of their faculties, the mental capacity or have enough in common with him in relation to some of his convictions and brain farts for it to make a difference.

Two elections wrong in 140 years would make me think bookies are generally right. In 2016 nobody foreseen trump like Devon loch losing the grand national but in 2020 it was toss of a coin the same as this election will be. To think what happened in new York yesterday is going to have a major effect on trumps chances is imo wishful and naive.

https://theconversation.com/joe-biden-how-betting-markets-foresaw-the-result-of-the-2020-us-election-150095

Records of the betting on US presidential elections can be traced back to 1868. Since then, no clear favourite for the White House had lost before 2016, except in 1948, when the 8 to 1 longshot and sitting president, Harry S. Truman, famously defeated his Republican rival, Thomas E. Dewey.

In 2016, the exception was repeated when Hillary Clinton, trading at 7 to 2 on (equivalent to a win probability of about 78%) as polls opened, lost in the electoral college to Donald Trump. In so doing, Trump defied not just the polls and the experts but the “wisdom of the crowd” as displayed in the betting markets.

A lot of past elections were won closer to the polling day- it’s way too early to call it - who knows what sho1te will arise and when but it’s likely to be a dirty battle on both sides