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Irish Property Market chat II - *read mod note post #1 before posting*

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 79 ✭✭Drog79


    I think the underutilization problem will balance over the coming years with more and older adult children remaining at home.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,457 ✭✭✭SharkMX


    What ive noticed the last few years is that even if an older family member could be convinced to downsize, if something decent was available for them and there was enough money left over to actually be useful to them, they still dont want to go from 3 or 4 bedrooms to 1 or 2.

    Because they now have children and grandchildren living far away from them and they want to have somewhere for them to stay when they come for a visit, because expecting them to pay 3 or 400 euro per night in a hotel for a family of 4 is a joke.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,457 ✭✭✭SharkMX


    Have seen a few times now people looking into it and all for the idea, reality hits them hard when they see whats available and the changes they would have to make to their lives.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,554 ✭✭✭amacca


    In fairness, its a big house on a big plot, looks well maintained, A rated 5 bed, 4 bath..lots of parking space, well finished....while I think prices for some things are crazy and you might well struggle to get the colour of that for it in a downturn ..... it does represent value for a certain buyer in the current market if you like the location etc

    Especially when you see the kind of shiteholes making 750k in some places



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,457 ✭✭✭SharkMX


    Or Dinny and Denises nameless daughter meets Anders when off to Sweden for the summer. He gets her up the duff and she comes home. Anders may or may not come to live with them too in the next few months.

    So, so many ways this dynamic can change. We do it all the time where I work. You create a scenario to fit the results you want to demonstrate. You can prove anything you like doing that.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,457 ✭✭✭SharkMX


    5 more people join the game of musical chairs. One more chair is added. Things going to get interesting :)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,457 ✭✭✭SharkMX


    There are so many council houase that have spare rooms in them. If you started (because the state owns them so should be easier) with these and optimized them all you could see how well it works before trying to move on to privately owned property.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,037 ✭✭✭Villa05


    I disagree on removing vat all that would happen is builders would rise house prices by 10%. In reality government has removed vat on new builds it called HTB. It paid directly to FTB

    No point in removing vat if its going to developers margin, that why ways to prevent it should be explored.

    FTB's are buying predominantly second hand homes so your 2nd point is not wholly correct. This is a measure of how distorted the new build market is

    The refurbishment, HTB and shared equity are all kicking in, it time we need now to see the results

    We have seen some of the results already. In your home County of Limerick we have the council paying 630k for 2 beds and 520k 1 bed for social and affordable. No private buyer would pay that

    There were 5900 self build and one off homes built last year. It would appear that to afford a new home (historically this was the Ftb market) you need the site, ftb grant and possibly shared equity scheme also. This is not sustainable, government schemes have replaced jumbo mortgages of the celtic Tiger

    Refurbishment grants are another high risk policy ast they pose a further risk of owners keeping property off the rental and purchase market to avail of the grant. You can't continually throw carrots at the market without effective sticks to prevent abuse



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,037 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Better to have grandparents on limited incomes maintaining an oversized home on the off chance you might call then

    I know of parents that sold up and moved to where there children moved to



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,803 ✭✭✭hometruths


    So, so many ways this dynamic can change. We do it all the time where I work. You create a scenario to fit the results you want to demonstrate. You can prove anything you like doing that.

    Sure. Like saying the fact we do not have an average household size of 2.4 is evidence of a housing shortage.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,448 ✭✭✭AlanG


    The things holding many back are the risk of bad neighbours in an apartment and the fact that the Fair Deal scheme is likely to eat up any excess money you have if you enter it. Financially an elderly parent who wants to do inheritance planning and doesn't need much liquidity is better off upsizing rather than dawnsizing. If they had dedicated housing schemes for older people and a reform of Fair deal it would help a lot.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 93 ✭✭Middleage Fanclub


    So here's my logic

    • site value 300k
    • cost to build 800k
    • garage 50k
    • landscaping, garden, groundworks etc 75k

    New houses never come with land and need more money to 'finish' old houses cost the purchase price again to renovate to modern standards. I think there is a sweet spot of houses that are new enough to last about 30 to 40 years, have a lot of post build work and money put into them so once you buy your done.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,955 ✭✭✭Nermal


    Seven figures to live a long car journey from civilisation in something that lacks any architectural merit, landscaping or views and where the 'tennis court' doesn't have a fence. In the words of picture 12: winter is coming.



  • Posts: 14,768 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,554 ✭✭✭amacca


    I agree with the logic but...800k to build?

    Have things gone that mental?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,037 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Housing and cost of living the Number 1 priority..…Their own housing and cost of living



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,457 ✭✭✭SharkMX


    I think you are married to your revelation and fail to see any holes in it.

    Its like the kid who gets lambasted because they cant sing on Britains got talent and then they interview them backstage and they say "Well I know im a great singer and they are all wrong so im going to keep going til i get a record deal".



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 335 ✭✭gaming_needs90


    Despite the slightly increased supply in the last few weeks, all that pent up demand is sending bids crazy. Everything in Clare is going 20-25%+ over asking now. It would push you towards building but any value you are getting (And there is no guarantee there - depends who you know) is traded for the 2+ year timeframe.

    Its extremely disheartening. Obviously the answer is to go for houses with lower asking prices so you can easily afford the 25% premium, but then you feel really shafted for what you get!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,037 ✭✭✭Villa05


    absolutely unbelievable.

    Unfortunately it is very believable in the Irish context

    Post edited by Boards.ie: Mike on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,139 ✭✭✭Gregor Samsa


    There's bidding on a house in Clare at the moment that has (so far) gone 35% over asking - and I think it will keep going a bit more. Pent up demand for sure (there's 5 active bidders), but part of the problem is the EA setting the "asking price" way too low. It was obvious from the get-go that it was only set to get as many people as possible to the open viewing (which worked), and that asking + 150k was the real starting point.

    We're trying to move from a perfectly fine 4 bed semi-d to something a bit bigger with more space inside and out. We have what we thought was a very good budget. But there's clearly a good number of people out there with bigger ones. We're having to reset expectations.

    You're right, it is extremely disheartening.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 2,991 ✭✭✭PommieBast


    @Gregor Samsa

    but part of the problem is the EA setting the "asking price" way too low. It was obvious from the get-go that it was only set to get as many people as possible to the open viewing (which worked), and that asking + 150k was the real starting point.

    Guessing the EAs are on commission on how many people they get through the door. Massive waste of a lot of peoples' time and money. Unfortunately the only way I see this sort of behaviour (along with the whole blind auction charade) going away is something external like the Troika coming to down again and forcing such reforms.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,037 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Data harvesting, everyone of those viewers is a weapon for the estate agent in driving up future sales



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,699 ✭✭✭Padre_Pio


    Stoking a bidding war and trying to get the best price for the seller.

    Remember the EA isn't working for you. They're trying to extract the maximum amount of money to close the deal.



  • Posts: 3,330 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Came in to post that story from The Journal

    €15k cash and €15k of home improvements. A casual €30k for making an objection.

    No wonder nothing gets built in this country with multiple objections.

    Hopefully Revenue goes after this one and makes an example of her to stamp out this crap. And they should audit the living bejaysus out of the developer too.

    FG local candidate suspends campaign after report she received money to withdraw planning objection
    https://jrnl.ie/6391740



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,620 ✭✭✭combat14


    between ryanair last week noting soft airline ticket sales and now retail volume dropping too something is finally a foot in terms of consumers ability to cope with all the price rises the last few years, perhaps all the covid savings are gone or maybe it is something more

    Retail sales decline in April as car sales slump

    Largest annual declines were seen in food, drinks, and specialist tobacco stores, which fell 7.9% year-on-year, CSO data shows

    https://www.irishexaminer.com/business/economy/arid-41404580.html



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,457 ✭✭✭SharkMX


    We went through that so many times. We then came up with a plan that as soon as a house we liked came on the market we went straight in 50k over asking with the thinking that it would scare everyone else away when they saw it jump 50k on day 1 and that the vendor would bite our hand off. And that, like all the other places we bid on, we would eventually end up there or higher if we bid in increments anyway, so why not just put our single bid in at the start.

    Anyway it worked (we went a little over 50k over asking after a few phone calls) and it was sale agreed in less than a week and we have our house now. I think if we were bidding in smaller increments it would still be going and looking at a house across the road that went for 100k more that is exactly the same but with a smaller garden a couple of months later, i think we did the right thing and got lucky.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,917 ✭✭✭DataDude


    https://www.cso.ie/en/releasesandpublications/ep/p-elcq/earningsandlabourcostsq42023finalq12024preliminaryestimates/

    More extremely strong wage growth reported today. Average earnings up 2% in the last quarter alone and nearly 5% in the last year.

    Interesting to see that wages are now up 26% since 2019, vs house prices at slightly over 30%. Would suggest, contrary to the general narrative of house price explosion during COVID, house price to income ratios remain pretty much at where they were 5 years ago.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,457 ✭✭✭SharkMX


    You make it sound like all grand parents are struggling. If they are happy and willing to live in their property like they have all their lives, then let them do what they like with the house they spent their lives buying and blood, sweat and tears making it a home.

    So let the ones on limited incomes who cant afford it make their own decision on whether if they want to downsize. Any who have the means, well let them keep the fruit of their lifes labour, if they want, I say.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,457 ✭✭✭SharkMX


    Our household income is up 15% since we closed on our house earlier this year. Bonuses will be back this year too in my company.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,037 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Mania phase, househunters have my full sympathys



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